Monthly outlook for Memphis, TN: average high 80.3°, average low 61.3°. That is 5.1° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.4 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 2.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 13 October (91.3°), the coolest 18 October (47.8°).
80.3°/61.3°
Average high / low
+5.1°
Above normal
2 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.4 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
12 October – 21 October
81.4°
72.2°
+5.1°
22 October – 31 October
78.5°
68.8°
+5.4°
1 November – 10 November
at normal
64.4°
—
October records over 66 years
93.6°2 October 2019All-time high
31.6°31 October 1993All-time low
Tue, 1391° / 64°0
91 °
Memphis, Tuesday, 13 October
Clear. High 91°, low 64°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind7.7 mph SW
Humidity58%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point69°
Wed, 1489° / 72°0.33
89 °
Memphis, Wednesday, 14 October
Heavy rain. High 89°, low 72°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind6 mph SW
Humidity67%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point73°
Thu, 1588° / 71°0
88 °
Memphis, Thursday, 15 October
Clear. High 88°, low 71°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind6.8 mph SW
Humidity50%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point65°
Fri, 1674° / 59°0
74 °
Memphis, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 74°, low 59°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind15.2 mph N
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Sat, 1767° / 53°0
67 °
Memphis, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 67°, low 53°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind10.7 mph NE
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Sun, 1877° / 48°0
77 °
Memphis, Sunday, 18 October
Mostly clear. High 77°, low 48°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind9.1 mph SE
Humidity21%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Mon, 1979° / 57°0
79 °
Memphis, Monday, 19 October
Overcast. High 79°, low 57°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind10 mph SE
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Tue, 2078° / 66°0
78 °
Memphis, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 78°, low 66°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind11.1 mph SE
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point61°
Wed, 2182° / 66°0.02
82 °
Memphis, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 82°, low 66°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind10.2 mph SE
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
Thu, 2287° / 66°0
87 °
Memphis, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 87°, low 66°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind11.5 mph SE
Humidity31%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Fri, 2385° / 65°0
85 °
Memphis, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 85°, low 65°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind11 mph S
Humidity35%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Sat, 2487° / 66°0
87 °
Memphis, Saturday, 24 October
Mostly clear. High 87°, low 66°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind11.7 mph S
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Sun, 2573° / 65°0.1
73 °
Memphis, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 73°, low 65°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind14.3 mph N
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Mon, 2665° / 54°0
65 °
Memphis, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 65°, low 54°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind11.1 mph N
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Tue, 2773° / 48°0
73 °
Memphis, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 73°, low 48°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind11.2 mph NW
Humidity19%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Wed, 2867° / 50°0.13
67 °
Memphis, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high67°
Average low50°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high83° (2024)
Record low35° (2001)
Thu, 2968° / 50°0.1
68 °
Memphis, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high68°
Average low50°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high84° (2016)
Record low34° (1976)
Fri, 3069° / 51°0.13
69 °
Memphis, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high69°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high84° (2016)
Record low34° (1993)
Sat, 3169° / 52°0.14
69 °
Memphis, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high69°
Average low52°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high85° (2016)
Record low32° (1993)
Sun, 0168° / 51°0.11
68 °
Memphis, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high68°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high84° (2016)
Record low32° (1993)
Mon, 0266° / 49°0.14
66 °
Memphis, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high66°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high82° (1961)
Record low32° (2014)
Tue, 0365° / 49°0.09
65 °
Memphis, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high83° (2016)
Record low26° (1966)
Wed, 0464° / 48°0.13
64 °
Memphis, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high79° (1987)
Record low24° (1991)
Thu, 0564° / 48°0.16
64 °
Memphis, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high80° (2024)
Record low24° (1991)
Fri, 0664° / 47°0.2
64 °
Memphis, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high78° (2023)
Record low29° (1967)
Sat, 0763° / 47°0.13
63 °
Memphis, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high79° (2023)
Record low27° (1993)
Sun, 0864° / 47°0.06
64 °
Memphis, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high81° (2005)
Record low26° (1991)
Mon, 0964° / 47°0.11
64 °
Memphis, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high79° (2020)
Record low23° (1991)
Tue, 1063° / 46°0.12
63 °
Memphis, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high78° (2002)
Record low25° (1991)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Memphis, TN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Memphis, TN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.