Monthly outlook for Johnsons Chapel, TN: average high 72.5°, average low 55°. That is 4.8° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 5.5 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 30 October (76°), the coolest 23 October (43.9°).
72.5°/55°
Average high / low
+4.8°
Above normal
6 / 5
Wet days / normal
5.5 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
23 October – 1 November
71.9°
65.4°
+3.6°
2 November – 11 November
73.5°
60.9°
+7°
12 November – 21 November
at normal
57°
—
October records over 66 years
94.6°1 October 2019All-time high
30.4°29 October 1976All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Smithville (9 mi).
Sat, 2473° / 44°0
73 °
Johnsons Chapel, Saturday, 24 October
Mostly clear. High 73°, low 44°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind1.9 mph SW
Humidity38%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point44°
Sun, 2573° / 46°0
73 °
Johnsons Chapel, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 73°, low 46°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind1.3 mph N
Humidity45%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point48°
Mon, 2672° / 52°0
72 °
Johnsons Chapel, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 72°, low 52°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind3 mph NW
Humidity43%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point47°
Tue, 2774° / 52°0
74 °
Johnsons Chapel, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 74°, low 52°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind0.5 mph NE
Humidity41%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point46°
Wed, 2873° / 56°0
73 °
Johnsons Chapel, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 73°, low 56°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind7.5 mph S
Humidity32%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Thu, 2975° / 52°0
75 °
Johnsons Chapel, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 75°, low 52°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind7.1 mph SW
Humidity31%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Fri, 3076° / 52°0.04
76 °
Johnsons Chapel, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 76°, low 52°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind8.5 mph S
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Sat, 3162° / 59°1.17
62 °
Johnsons Chapel, Saturday, 31 October
Rain. High 62°, low 59°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind10.8 mph S
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
Sun, 0169° / 61°0.19
69 °
Johnsons Chapel, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 69°, low 61°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind7.4 mph SE
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point63°
Mon, 0274° / 60°0.02
74 °
Johnsons Chapel, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 74°, low 60°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind3.7 mph SE
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
Tue, 0368° / 62°1.43
68 °
Johnsons Chapel, Tuesday, 3 November
Heavy rain. High 68°, low 62°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind14.7 mph SW
Humidity88%
Visibility—
Dew point63°
Wed, 0475° / 64°2.05
75 °
Johnsons Chapel, Wednesday, 4 November
Heavy rain. High 75°, low 64°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind9.8 mph SW
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point67°
Thu, 0576° / 62°0.26
76 °
Johnsons Chapel, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 76°, low 62°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind9.8 mph SW
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point67°
Fri, 0675° / 59°0.3
75 °
Johnsons Chapel, Friday, 6 November
Rain. High 75°, low 59°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind9.5 mph SW
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point59°
Sat, 0773° / 54°0
73 °
Johnsons Chapel, Saturday, 7 November
Partly cloudy. High 73°, low 54°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind6.7 mph W
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 0860° / 45°0.04
60 °
Johnsons Chapel, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high80° (2023)
Record low27° (1971)
Mon, 0962° / 45°0.17
62 °
Johnsons Chapel, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high77° (2005)
Record low28° (1991)
Tue, 1060° / 44°0.16
60 °
Johnsons Chapel, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high77° (2020)
Record low28° (1973)
Wed, 1159° / 43°0.09
59 °
Johnsons Chapel, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high72° (1985)
Record low25° (2025)
Thu, 1257° / 42°0.1
57 °
Johnsons Chapel, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high72° (1978)
Record low22° (2019)
Fri, 1356° / 41°0.05
56 °
Johnsons Chapel, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high73° (1978)
Record low20° (2019)
Sat, 1458° / 41°0.09
58 °
Johnsons Chapel, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high73° (1993)
Record low24° (1986)
Sun, 1556° / 42°0.15
56 °
Johnsons Chapel, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high73° (1964)
Record low22° (1969)
Mon, 1657° / 41°0.14
57 °
Johnsons Chapel, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high73° (1964)
Record low28° (1997)
Tue, 1757° / 42°0.12
57 °
Johnsons Chapel, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high76° (2016)
Record low26° (1997)
Wed, 1858° / 42°0.13
58 °
Johnsons Chapel, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high76° (2016)
Record low22° (2014)
Thu, 1958° / 42°0.12
58 °
Johnsons Chapel, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high74° (2025)
Record low23° (2014)
Fri, 2057° / 42°0.11
57 °
Johnsons Chapel, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high71° (1979)
Record low26° (2022)
Sat, 2155° / 42°0.13
55 °
Johnsons Chapel, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high70° (2025)
Record low26° (1964)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Johnsons Chapel, TN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Johnsons Chapel, TN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.