Monthly outlook for Shelby, NY: average high 57.5°, average low 42.3°. That is 3.6° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 0.6 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 4 November (70.7°), the coolest 8 November (30.5°).
57.5°/42.3°
Average high / low
+3.6°
Above normal
4 / 7
Wet days / normal
0.6 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
29 October – 7 November
63.1°
52.6°
+5.9°
8 November – 17 November
48.1°
47.2°
+0.5°
18 November – 27 November
at normal
44.2°
—
October records over 66 years
85.6°4 October 2023All-time high
28.2°23 October 1969All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Medina (3 mi).
Fri, 3057° / 40°0.01
57 °
Shelby, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 57°, low 40°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind12.8 mph W
Humidity55%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Sat, 3154° / 39°0
54 °
Shelby, Saturday, 31 October
Partly cloudy. High 54°, low 39°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind8.6 mph W
Humidity62%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Sun, 0164° / 39°0
64 °
Shelby, Sunday, 1 November
Partly cloudy. High 64°, low 39°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind2.8 mph S
Humidity54%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point42°
Mon, 0266° / 48°0
66 °
Shelby, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 66°, low 48°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind7.8 mph SW
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Tue, 0363° / 51°0
63 °
Shelby, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 63°, low 51°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind10.1 mph S
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Wed, 0471° / 56°0
71 °
Shelby, Wednesday, 4 November
Overcast. High 71°, low 56°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind15.4 mph S
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Thu, 0571° / 57°0.24
71 °
Shelby, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 71°, low 57°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind16.1 mph S
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Fri, 0666° / 56°0.15
66 °
Shelby, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 66°, low 56°.
Pressure29.47 inHg
Wind18 mph S
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Sat, 0752° / 35°0.11
52 °
Shelby, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 52°, low 35°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind13.5 mph N
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Sun, 0842° / 31°0
42 °
Shelby, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 42°, low 31°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind12.6 mph NW
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Mon, 0946° / 32°0
46 °
Shelby, Monday, 9 November
Overcast. High 46°, low 32°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind8.9 mph NW
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Tue, 1048° / 39°0.01
48 °
Shelby, Tuesday, 10 November
Light rain. High 48°, low 39°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind5 mph NE
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Wed, 1148° / 37°0
48 °
Shelby, Wednesday, 11 November
Overcast. High 48°, low 37°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind6.1 mph NW
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Thu, 1249° / 34°0
49 °
Shelby, Thursday, 12 November
Clear. High 49°, low 34°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind8.2 mph NW
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Fri, 1355° / 36°0
55 °
Shelby, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 55°, low 36°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind6.4 mph E
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 1446° / 36°0.12
46 °
Shelby, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high66° (1994)
Record low17° (1986)
Sun, 1546° / 36°0.18
46 °
Shelby, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high64° (1960)
Record low19° (1967)
Mon, 1646° / 35°0.13
46 °
Shelby, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high64° (2005)
Record low19° (2019)
Tue, 1745° / 35°0.11
45 °
Shelby, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high64° (1987)
Record low16° (2019)
Wed, 1846° / 35°0.07
46 °
Shelby, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high67° (2016)
Record low21° (2014)
Thu, 1946° / 35°0.08
46 °
Shelby, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high67° (1985)
Record low16° (2014)
Fri, 2045° / 35°0.11
45 °
Shelby, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high67° (1991)
Record low19° (2022)
Sat, 2143° / 33°0.11
43 °
Shelby, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high56° (1992)
Record low16° (1987)
Sun, 2243° / 33°0.12
43 °
Shelby, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high65° (1999)
Record low13° (2018)
Mon, 2344° / 33°0.08
44 °
Shelby, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high67° (1979)
Record low12° (2018)
Tue, 2444° / 33°0.09
44 °
Shelby, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high63° (1979)
Record low12° (2000)
Wed, 2544° / 33°0.09
44 °
Shelby, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high62° (2001)
Record low19° (2005)
Thu, 2644° / 34°0.19
44 °
Shelby, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high63° (1979)
Record low22° (2005)
Fri, 2744° / 34°0.12
44 °
Shelby, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high66° (1990)
Record low21° (1977)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Shelby, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Shelby, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.