Monthly outlook for Shelby, NY: average high 54.1°, average low 40.2°. That is 0.5° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 1.3 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 29 October (65.8°), the coolest 7 November (26.8°).
54.1°/40.2°
Average high / low
+0.5°
Above normal
3 / 7
Wet days / normal
1.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
24 October – 2 November
59.3°
54.3°
+2.8°
3 November – 12 November
45.4°
50.1°
-2.6°
13 November – 22 November
at normal
45.2°
—
October records over 66 years
85.6°4 October 2023All-time high
28.2°23 October 1969All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Medina (3 mi).
Sun, 2565° / 35°0
65 °
Shelby, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 65°, low 35°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind6.4 mph SW
Humidity49%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Mon, 2662° / 50°0
62 °
Shelby, Monday, 26 October
Partly cloudy. High 62°, low 50°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind8.4 mph W
Humidity71%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point51°
Tue, 2750° / 37°0
50 °
Shelby, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 50°, low 37°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind5.4 mph NE
Humidity62%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point35°
Wed, 2855° / 36°0
55 °
Shelby, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 55°, low 36°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind7.9 mph S
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Thu, 2966° / 49°0.01
66 °
Shelby, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 66°, low 49°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind15.4 mph SW
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Fri, 3064° / 48°0.03
64 °
Shelby, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 64°, low 48°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind14.7 mph SW
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Sat, 3156° / 40°0
56 °
Shelby, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 56°, low 40°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind8.1 mph E
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Sun, 0157° / 52°0.27
57 °
Shelby, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 57°, low 52°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind14.4 mph S
Humidity88%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Mon, 0257° / 49°0.03
57 °
Shelby, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 57°, low 49°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind10.1 mph NW
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Tue, 0355° / 41°0.01
55 °
Shelby, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 55°, low 41°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind11 mph E
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Wed, 0448° / 46°0.29
48 °
Shelby, Wednesday, 4 November
Rain. High 48°, low 46°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind6.9 mph NE
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Thu, 0546° / 41°0.61
46 °
Shelby, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 46°, low 41°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind13.1 mph N
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Fri, 0639° / 30°0.01
39 °
Shelby, Friday, 6 November
Light snow. High 39°, low 30°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind14.9 mph NW
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point17°
Sat, 0740° / 27°0
40 °
Shelby, Saturday, 7 November
Overcast. High 40°, low 27°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind10.8 mph NW
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Sun, 0844° / 28°0.01
44 °
Shelby, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 44°, low 28°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind14.3 mph SW
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 0950° / 38°0.1
50 °
Shelby, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high75° (2020)
Record low24° (2019)
Tue, 1050° / 38°0.13
50 °
Shelby, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high74° (2020)
Record low20° (2017)
Wed, 1148° / 38°0.16
48 °
Shelby, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high67° (2012)
Record low23° (2017)
Thu, 1247° / 36°0.11
47 °
Shelby, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high66° (1964)
Record low16° (2019)
Fri, 1346° / 35°0.09
46 °
Shelby, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high63° (1961)
Record low13° (2019)
Sat, 1446° / 36°0.12
46 °
Shelby, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high66° (1994)
Record low17° (1986)
Sun, 1546° / 36°0.18
46 °
Shelby, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high64° (1960)
Record low19° (1967)
Mon, 1646° / 35°0.13
46 °
Shelby, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high64° (2005)
Record low19° (2019)
Tue, 1745° / 35°0.11
45 °
Shelby, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high64° (1987)
Record low16° (2019)
Wed, 1846° / 35°0.07
46 °
Shelby, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high67° (2016)
Record low21° (2014)
Thu, 1946° / 35°0.08
46 °
Shelby, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high67° (1985)
Record low16° (2014)
Fri, 2045° / 35°0.11
45 °
Shelby, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high67° (1991)
Record low19° (2022)
Sat, 2143° / 33°0.11
43 °
Shelby, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high56° (1992)
Record low16° (1987)
Sun, 2243° / 33°0.12
43 °
Shelby, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high65° (1999)
Record low13° (2018)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Shelby, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Shelby, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.