Monthly outlook for Shelby, NY: average high 57.5°, average low 43.7°. That is 2.9° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 2.5 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 1 November (69.5°), the coolest 28 October (31.5°).
57.5°/43.7°
Average high / low
+2.9°
Above normal
7 / 7
Wet days / normal
2.5 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
26 October – 4 November
61°
53.6°
+4.1°
5 November – 14 November
51.7°
48.8°
+1.6°
15 November – 24 November
at normal
44.8°
—
October records over 66 years
85.6°4 October 2023All-time high
28.2°23 October 1969All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Medina (3 mi).
Tue, 2754° / 34°0
54 °
Shelby, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 54°, low 34°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind4.9 mph E
Humidity60%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point36°
Wed, 2864° / 31°0
64 °
Shelby, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 64°, low 31°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind1.1 mph W
Humidity65%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point47°
Thu, 2967° / 50°0.11
67 °
Shelby, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 67°, low 50°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind13.6 mph SW
Humidity61%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point52°
Fri, 3058° / 48°0.06
58 °
Shelby, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 58°, low 48°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind9.7 mph NW
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Sat, 3158° / 42°0
58 °
Shelby, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 58°, low 42°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind4.9 mph SE
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Sun, 0169° / 47°0
69 °
Shelby, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 69°, low 47°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind10.6 mph SW
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Mon, 0257° / 54°0.47
57 °
Shelby, Monday, 2 November
Rain. High 57°, low 54°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind8 mph SW
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Tue, 0362° / 54°0.04
62 °
Shelby, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 62°, low 54°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind15.7 mph SE
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Wed, 0459° / 46°1.15
59 °
Shelby, Wednesday, 4 November
Rain. High 59°, low 46°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind19.8 mph SE
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Thu, 0555° / 46°0
55 °
Shelby, Thursday, 5 November
Overcast. High 55°, low 46°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind12.2 mph W
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Fri, 0660° / 45°0
60 °
Shelby, Friday, 6 November
Overcast. High 60°, low 45°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind10.9 mph SW
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Sat, 0751° / 43°0.35
51 °
Shelby, Saturday, 7 November
Rain. High 51°, low 43°.
Pressure29.44 inHg
Wind12.4 mph S
Humidity90%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Sun, 0848° / 40°0.28
48 °
Shelby, Sunday, 8 November
Rain. High 48°, low 40°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind13.9 mph N
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Mon, 0946° / 39°0.01
46 °
Shelby, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 46°, low 39°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind11.8 mph N
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Tue, 1049° / 35°0
49 °
Shelby, Tuesday, 10 November
Clear. High 49°, low 35°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind7.3 mph SW
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Wed, 1148° / 38°0.16
48 °
Shelby, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high67° (2012)
Record low23° (2017)
Thu, 1247° / 36°0.11
47 °
Shelby, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high66° (1964)
Record low16° (2019)
Fri, 1346° / 35°0.09
46 °
Shelby, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high63° (1961)
Record low13° (2019)
Sat, 1446° / 36°0.12
46 °
Shelby, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high66° (1994)
Record low17° (1986)
Sun, 1546° / 36°0.18
46 °
Shelby, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high64° (1960)
Record low19° (1967)
Mon, 1646° / 35°0.13
46 °
Shelby, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high64° (2005)
Record low19° (2019)
Tue, 1745° / 35°0.11
45 °
Shelby, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high64° (1987)
Record low16° (2019)
Wed, 1846° / 35°0.07
46 °
Shelby, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high67° (2016)
Record low21° (2014)
Thu, 1946° / 35°0.08
46 °
Shelby, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high67° (1985)
Record low16° (2014)
Fri, 2045° / 35°0.11
45 °
Shelby, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high67° (1991)
Record low19° (2022)
Sat, 2143° / 33°0.11
43 °
Shelby, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high56° (1992)
Record low16° (1987)
Sun, 2243° / 33°0.12
43 °
Shelby, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high65° (1999)
Record low13° (2018)
Mon, 2344° / 33°0.08
44 °
Shelby, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high67° (1979)
Record low12° (2018)
Tue, 2444° / 33°0.09
44 °
Shelby, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high63° (1979)
Record low12° (2000)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Shelby, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Shelby, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.