Monthly outlook for Shelby, NY: average high 55.7°, average low 39.5°. That is 1° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 0.8 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 1 November (65.9°), the coolest 4 November (34.2°).
55.7°/39.5°
Average high / low
+1°
Above normal
5 / 7
Wet days / normal
0.8 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
22 October – 31 October
57.9°
54.6°
+1.8°
1 November – 10 November
52.1°
51.5°
+0.3°
11 November – 20 November
at normal
46.1°
—
October records over 66 years
85.6°4 October 2023All-time high
28.2°23 October 1969All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Medina (3 mi).
Fri, 2358° / 36°0
58 °
Shelby, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 58°, low 36°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind8.6 mph E
Humidity63%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point41°
Sat, 2459° / 34°0
59 °
Shelby, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 59°, low 34°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind0.5 mph S
Humidity53%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Sun, 2562° / 40°0
62 °
Shelby, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 62°, low 40°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind4.9 mph SW
Humidity51%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point39°
Mon, 2665° / 46°0
65 °
Shelby, Monday, 26 October
Mostly clear. High 65°, low 46°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind7.1 mph W
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Tue, 2754° / 43°0
54 °
Shelby, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 54°, low 43°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind8.5 mph NE
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Wed, 2845° / 40°0.22
45 °
Shelby, Wednesday, 28 October
Light rain. High 45°, low 40°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind5.8 mph NE
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Thu, 2950° / 36°0
50 °
Shelby, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 50°, low 36°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind7.9 mph NW
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Fri, 3058° / 35°0
58 °
Shelby, Friday, 30 October
Mostly clear. High 58°, low 35°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind6.4 mph SW
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Sat, 3165° / 40°0
65 °
Shelby, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 65°, low 40°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind10 mph S
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Sun, 0166° / 51°0
66 °
Shelby, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 66°, low 51°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind14.2 mph S
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Mon, 0258° / 46°0.17
58 °
Shelby, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 58°, low 46°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind23.3 mph NW
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Tue, 0342° / 36°0.1
42 °
Shelby, Tuesday, 3 November
Snow. High 42°, low 36°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind18.4 mph W
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
Wed, 0449° / 34°0.1
49 °
Shelby, Wednesday, 4 November
Light snow. High 49°, low 34°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind16.8 mph W
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Thu, 0554° / 43°0.16
54 °
Shelby, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 54°, low 43°.
Pressure29.53 inHg
Wind22.9 mph SW
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Fri, 0645° / 36°0.01
45 °
Shelby, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 45°, low 36°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind13.4 mph W
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 0750° / 39°0.11
50 °
Shelby, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high71° (1975)
Record low28° (2002)
Sun, 0850° / 39°0.1
50 °
Shelby, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high69° (2020)
Record low24° (2019)
Mon, 0950° / 38°0.1
50 °
Shelby, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high75° (2020)
Record low24° (2019)
Tue, 1050° / 38°0.13
50 °
Shelby, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high74° (2020)
Record low20° (2017)
Wed, 1148° / 38°0.16
48 °
Shelby, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high67° (2012)
Record low23° (2017)
Thu, 1247° / 36°0.11
47 °
Shelby, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high66° (1964)
Record low16° (2019)
Fri, 1346° / 35°0.09
46 °
Shelby, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high63° (1961)
Record low13° (2019)
Sat, 1446° / 36°0.12
46 °
Shelby, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high66° (1994)
Record low17° (1986)
Sun, 1546° / 36°0.18
46 °
Shelby, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high64° (1960)
Record low19° (1967)
Mon, 1646° / 35°0.13
46 °
Shelby, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high64° (2005)
Record low19° (2019)
Tue, 1745° / 35°0.11
45 °
Shelby, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high64° (1987)
Record low16° (2019)
Wed, 1846° / 35°0.07
46 °
Shelby, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high67° (2016)
Record low21° (2014)
Thu, 1946° / 35°0.08
46 °
Shelby, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high67° (1985)
Record low16° (2014)
Fri, 2045° / 35°0.11
45 °
Shelby, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high67° (1991)
Record low19° (2022)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Shelby, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Shelby, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.