Monthly outlook for Fair Harbor, NY: average high 56.4°, average low 48.7°. That is 0.6° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 4.8 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 30 October (69.2°), the coolest 12 November (40.8°).
56.4°/48.7°
Average high / low
+0.6°
Above normal
5 / 5
Wet days / normal
4.8 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
30 October – 8 November
60.5°
56.6°
+2.2°
9 November – 18 November
49.6°
52.6°
-1.7°
19 November – 28 November
at normal
49.9°
—
October records over 66 years
82.9°8 October 2007All-time high
34°27 October 1976All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Fire Island Pines (6 mi).
Sat, 3156° / 44°0
56 °
Fair Harbor, Saturday, 31 October
Clear. High 56°, low 44°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind8.9 mph N
Humidity51%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point34°
Sun, 0157° / 46°0
57 °
Fair Harbor, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 57°, low 46°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind4.2 mph W
Humidity50%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point36°
Mon, 0261° / 53°0
61 °
Fair Harbor, Monday, 2 November
Clear. High 61°, low 53°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind10.2 mph SW
Humidity67%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point47°
Tue, 0362° / 56°0
62 °
Fair Harbor, Tuesday, 3 November
Clear. High 62°, low 56°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind8.7 mph W
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Wed, 0461° / 55°0
61 °
Fair Harbor, Wednesday, 4 November
Light rain. High 61°, low 55°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind11.9 mph E
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Thu, 0562° / 57°0.13
62 °
Fair Harbor, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 62°, low 57°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind15.2 mph SE
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
Fri, 0663° / 60°3.34
63 °
Fair Harbor, Friday, 6 November
Heavy rain. High 63°, low 60°.
Pressure29.53 inHg
Wind22.5 mph S
Humidity99%
Visibility—
Dew point62°
Sat, 0760° / 49°0
60 °
Fair Harbor, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 60°, low 49°.
Pressure29.62 inHg
Wind22.4 mph NW
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Sun, 0853° / 46°0
53 °
Fair Harbor, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 53°, low 46°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind16.1 mph NW
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Mon, 0948° / 44°0
48 °
Fair Harbor, Monday, 9 November
Overcast. High 48°, low 44°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind11 mph N
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Tue, 1052° / 45°0.61
52 °
Fair Harbor, Tuesday, 10 November
Rain. High 52°, low 45°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind20.4 mph NE
Humidity88%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Wed, 1147° / 44°0.13
47 °
Fair Harbor, Wednesday, 11 November
Light rain. High 47°, low 44°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind16.8 mph N
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Thu, 1247° / 41°0
47 °
Fair Harbor, Thursday, 12 November
Mostly clear. High 47°, low 41°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind10.4 mph N
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Fri, 1351° / 46°0.56
51 °
Fair Harbor, Friday, 13 November
Rain. High 51°, low 46°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind18.6 mph SE
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Sat, 1452° / 46°0
52 °
Fair Harbor, Saturday, 14 November
Clear. High 52°, low 46°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind14.2 mph NW
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 1553° / 43°0.12
53 °
Fair Harbor, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high70° (1993)
Record low26° (1967)
Mon, 1652° / 42°0.15
52 °
Fair Harbor, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high65° (2006)
Record low26° (1967)
Tue, 1751° / 42°0.14
51 °
Fair Harbor, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high65° (2006)
Record low32° (1967)
Wed, 1851° / 42°0.08
51 °
Fair Harbor, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high64° (2024)
Record low30° (2014)
Thu, 1951° / 42°0.07
51 °
Fair Harbor, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high62° (2021)
Record low26° (2014)
Fri, 2051° / 42°0.12
51 °
Fair Harbor, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high66° (1985)
Record low29° (1984)
Sat, 2150° / 40°0.1
50 °
Fair Harbor, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high62° (2020)
Record low23° (1987)
Sun, 2249° / 40°0.16
49 °
Fair Harbor, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high61° (2007)
Record low21° (2018)
Mon, 2348° / 39°0.13
48 °
Fair Harbor, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high64° (1992)
Record low20° (2018)
Tue, 2449° / 40°0.09
49 °
Fair Harbor, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high62° (1979)
Record low26° (2013)
Wed, 2549° / 40°0.14
49 °
Fair Harbor, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high63° (1979)
Record low25° (2005)
Thu, 2651° / 41°0.21
51 °
Fair Harbor, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high64° (1979)
Record low29° (1978)
Fri, 2751° / 41°0.13
51 °
Fair Harbor, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high61° (1986)
Record low29° (1978)
Sat, 2851° / 41°0.16
51 °
Fair Harbor, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high62° (1990)
Record low26° (2002)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Fair Harbor, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Fair Harbor, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.