Monthly outlook for Manheim, NY: average high 58.1°, average low 41.3°. That is 0.3° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 2.8 inches), against a normal of 6 days and 2.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 16 October (71.7°), the coolest 24 October (32.7°).
58.1°/41.3°
Average high / low
−0.3°
Below normal
6 / 6
Wet days / normal
2.8 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
9 October – 18 October
60.5°
59.8°
+0.4°
19 October – 28 October
54°
55.8°
-1°
29 October – 7 November
at normal
52.4°
—
October records over 66 years
84.2°4 October 2023All-time high
23.4°31 October 2020All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Palatine Bridge (15 mi).
Sat, 1063° / 41°0
63 °
Manheim, Saturday, 10 October
Overcast. High 63°, low 41°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind2.1 mph SW
Humidity55%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Sun, 1157° / 45°0.87
57 °
Manheim, Sunday, 11 October
Heavy rain. High 57°, low 45°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind7.5 mph E
Humidity64%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point44°
Mon, 1264° / 51°0.08
64 °
Manheim, Monday, 12 October
Rain. High 64°, low 51°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind4 mph NW
Humidity83%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point54°
Tue, 1363° / 52°0.57
63 °
Manheim, Tuesday, 13 October
Rain. High 63°, low 52°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind8.7 mph W
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
Wed, 1456° / 43°0.02
56 °
Manheim, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 56°, low 43°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind11.7 mph NW
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Thu, 1559° / 39°0
59 °
Manheim, Thursday, 15 October
Overcast. High 59°, low 39°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind5.3 mph E
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Fri, 1672° / 48°0.93
72 °
Manheim, Friday, 16 October
Rain. High 72°, low 48°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind13.2 mph SW
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Sat, 1760° / 40°0.17
60 °
Manheim, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 60°, low 40°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind11.9 mph NW
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Sun, 1850° / 33°0
50 °
Manheim, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 50°, low 33°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind8.3 mph NW
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Mon, 1952° / 34°0
52 °
Manheim, Monday, 19 October
Overcast. High 52°, low 34°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind9.4 mph NW
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Tue, 2054° / 35°0
54 °
Manheim, Tuesday, 20 October
Partly cloudy. High 54°, low 35°.
Pressure30.59 inHg
Wind5.3 mph E
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Wed, 2152° / 39°0.04
52 °
Manheim, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 52°, low 39°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind7.9 mph SW
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Thu, 2256° / 48°0.02
56 °
Manheim, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 56°, low 48°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind6.8 mph W
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Fri, 2356° / 41°0
56 °
Manheim, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 56°, low 41°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind9.4 mph NW
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Sat, 2453° / 33°0
53 °
Manheim, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 53°, low 33°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind6.8 mph SE
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 2555° / 41°0.14
55 °
Manheim, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high78° (1963)
Record low29° (1981)
Mon, 2655° / 41°0.13
55 °
Manheim, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high77° (1963)
Record low28° (2018)
Tue, 2755° / 40°0.18
55 °
Manheim, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high76° (2023)
Record low27° (1976)
Wed, 2854° / 39°0.18
54 °
Manheim, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high76° (1984)
Record low27° (1976)
Thu, 2952° / 38°0.12
52 °
Manheim, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high69° (1989)
Record low27° (1969)
Fri, 3053° / 37°0.1
53 °
Manheim, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high74° (2024)
Record low28° (2020)
Sat, 3154° / 37°0.09
54 °
Manheim, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high76° (2024)
Record low23° (2020)
Sun, 0154° / 39°0.13
54 °
Manheim, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high73° (1974)
Record low28° (2020)
Mon, 0254° / 39°0.15
54 °
Manheim, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high75° (1982)
Record low24° (1993)
Tue, 0353° / 38°0.12
53 °
Manheim, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high74° (1982)
Record low20° (1993)
Wed, 0452° / 38°0.1
52 °
Manheim, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high72° (1994)
Record low26° (2020)
Thu, 0551° / 38°0.14
51 °
Manheim, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high73° (2022)
Record low17° (1962)
Fri, 0651° / 38°0.12
51 °
Manheim, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high74° (2022)
Record low26° (1962)
Sat, 0750° / 36°0.09
50 °
Manheim, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high71° (1975)
Record low12° (1962)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Manheim, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Manheim, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.