Monthly outlook for Chase Mills, NY: average high 50.1°, average low 36.1°. That is 0.6° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 1.4 inches), against a normal of 6 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 29 October (64.4°), the coolest 27 October (28.3°).
50.1°/36.1°
Average high / low
+0.6°
Above normal
5 / 6
Wet days / normal
1.4 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
27 October – 5 November
51.5°
50.5°
+0.6°
6 November – 15 November
47.8°
45°
+1.5°
16 November – 25 November
at normal
40.9°
—
October records over 66 years
84.6°4 October 2023All-time high
25°20 October 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Waddington (6 mi).
Wed, 2854° / 30°0
54 °
Chase Mills, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 54°, low 30°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind2.8 mph E
Humidity56%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point30°
Thu, 2964° / 42°0.27
64 °
Chase Mills, Thursday, 29 October
Rain. High 64°, low 42°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind11.6 mph SW
Humidity68%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point49°
Fri, 3054° / 41°0
54 °
Chase Mills, Friday, 30 October
Partly cloudy. High 54°, low 41°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind15 mph W
Humidity58%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point39°
Sat, 3148° / 37°0
48 °
Chase Mills, Saturday, 31 October
Clear. High 48°, low 37°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind8 mph W
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Sun, 0154° / 36°0
54 °
Chase Mills, Sunday, 1 November
Clear. High 54°, low 36°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind9.5 mph SW
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Mon, 0249° / 46°0.57
49 °
Chase Mills, Monday, 2 November
Rain. High 49°, low 46°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind13.2 mph NE
Humidity98%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Tue, 0344° / 32°0
44 °
Chase Mills, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 44°, low 32°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind13.4 mph NE
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Wed, 0451° / 31°0
51 °
Chase Mills, Wednesday, 4 November
Clear. High 51°, low 31°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind8 mph SW
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Thu, 0550° / 38°0.19
50 °
Chase Mills, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 50°, low 38°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind8.6 mph S
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Fri, 0645° / 32°0.22
45 °
Chase Mills, Friday, 6 November
Rain. High 45°, low 32°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind10.9 mph N
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Sat, 0739° / 29°0
39 °
Chase Mills, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 39°, low 29°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind8.1 mph NW
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Sun, 0848° / 30°0
48 °
Chase Mills, Sunday, 8 November
Overcast. High 48°, low 30°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind15.8 mph SW
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Mon, 0950° / 35°0
50 °
Chase Mills, Monday, 9 November
Overcast. High 50°, low 35°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind6.5 mph SW
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Tue, 1053° / 40°0.02
53 °
Chase Mills, Tuesday, 10 November
Light rain. High 53°, low 40°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind11.4 mph SW
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Wed, 1152° / 50°0.11
52 °
Chase Mills, Wednesday, 11 November
Light rain. High 52°, low 50°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind12.4 mph S
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Thu, 1244° / 33°0.15
44 °
Chase Mills, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high67° (2012)
Record low12° (2019)
Fri, 1342° / 31°0.09
42 °
Chase Mills, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high61° (1964)
Record low8° (2019)
Sat, 1443° / 32°0.11
43 °
Chase Mills, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high63° (1994)
Record low14° (2019)
Sun, 1542° / 31°0.13
42 °
Chase Mills, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high59° (1989)
Record low14° (1967)
Mon, 1642° / 31°0.11
42 °
Chase Mills, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high65° (1989)
Record low6° (1967)
Tue, 1742° / 30°0.1
42 °
Chase Mills, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high63° (1987)
Record low13° (2019)
Wed, 1842° / 31°0.08
42 °
Chase Mills, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high60° (1994)
Record low15° (1995)
Thu, 1942° / 31°0.07
42 °
Chase Mills, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high65° (2016)
Record low18° (1986)
Fri, 2041° / 30°0.11
41 °
Chase Mills, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high65° (1991)
Record low16° (2022)
Sat, 2140° / 29°0.13
40 °
Chase Mills, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high54° (2003)
Record low8° (2018)
Sun, 2239° / 28°0.09
39 °
Chase Mills, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high63° (1999)
Record low4° (2018)
Mon, 2340° / 29°0.09
40 °
Chase Mills, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high64° (1979)
Record low9° (2018)
Tue, 2440° / 29°0.09
40 °
Chase Mills, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high65° (2014)
Record low13° (1996)
Wed, 2540° / 29°0.08
40 °
Chase Mills, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high62° (2001)
Record low9° (1995)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chase Mills, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chase Mills, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.