Monthly outlook for Manitou Beach, NY: average high 49.1°, average low 40.1°. That is 2° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 0.8 inches), against a normal of 8 days and 2.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 22 November (61.3°), the coolest 26 November (30.9°).
49.1°/40.1°
Average high / low
+2°
Above normal
6 / 8
Wet days / normal
0.8 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
11 November – 20 November
49°
46.4°
+1.5°
21 November – 30 November
49.3°
43.6°
+3.2°
1 December – 10 December
at normal
39.3°
—
November records over 66 years
76.6°5 November 2024All-time high
8.6°30 November 2013All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Irondequoit (11 mi).
Thu, 1249° / 36°0.17
49 °
Manitou Beach, Thursday, 12 November
Light rain. High 49°, low 36°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind24.2 mph NE
Humidity83%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point42°
Fri, 1343° / 35°0.02
43 °
Manitou Beach, Friday, 13 November
Light rain. High 43°, low 35°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind12.5 mph N
Humidity67%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point30°
Sat, 1445° / 39°0.15
45 °
Manitou Beach, Saturday, 14 November
Light rain. High 45°, low 39°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind5.4 mph NW
Humidity66%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point30°
Sun, 1546° / 44°0.06
46 °
Manitou Beach, Sunday, 15 November
Light rain. High 46°, low 44°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind15.1 mph NW
Humidity67%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point36°
Mon, 1648° / 43°0.01
48 °
Manitou Beach, Monday, 16 November
Light rain. High 48°, low 43°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind14.8 mph W
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Tue, 1749° / 42°0
49 °
Manitou Beach, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 49°, low 42°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind13.2 mph W
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Wed, 1851° / 39°0
51 °
Manitou Beach, Wednesday, 18 November
Clear. High 51°, low 39°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind8.9 mph SW
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Thu, 1953° / 41°0
53 °
Manitou Beach, Thursday, 19 November
Overcast. High 53°, low 41°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind8.3 mph SW
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Fri, 2051° / 44°0
51 °
Manitou Beach, Friday, 20 November
Overcast. High 51°, low 44°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind7 mph SW
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Sat, 2153° / 45°0
53 °
Manitou Beach, Saturday, 21 November
Overcast. High 53°, low 45°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind11.5 mph SW
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Sun, 2261° / 50°0
61 °
Manitou Beach, Sunday, 22 November
Overcast. High 61°, low 50°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind14.7 mph SW
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Mon, 2353° / 47°0.15
53 °
Manitou Beach, Monday, 23 November
Light rain. High 53°, low 47°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind8.3 mph SW
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Tue, 2447° / 36°0.17
47 °
Manitou Beach, Tuesday, 24 November
Snow. High 47°, low 36°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind16.4 mph NW
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Wed, 2539° / 32°0.05
39 °
Manitou Beach, Wednesday, 25 November
Light snow. High 39°, low 32°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind15.9 mph W
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Thu, 2643° / 31°0
43 °
Manitou Beach, Thursday, 26 November
Partly cloudy. High 43°, low 31°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind17 mph W
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 2744° / 34°0.11
44 °
Manitou Beach, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high65° (1990)
Record low22° (1977)
Sat, 2844° / 34°0.24
44 °
Manitou Beach, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.24 in
Chance of precipitation75%
Record high68° (1990)
Record low20° (2002)
Sun, 2942° / 33°0.13
42 °
Manitou Beach, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high64° (2006)
Record low14° (2013)
Mon, 3042° / 32°0.13
42 °
Manitou Beach, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high67° (1991)
Record low9° (2013)
Tue, 0142° / 31°0.18
42 °
Manitou Beach, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high62° (1998)
Record low16° (1976)
Wed, 0241° / 31°0.14
41 °
Manitou Beach, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation63%
Record high61° (1982)
Record low10° (1976)
Thu, 0341° / 30°0.15
41 °
Manitou Beach, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high67° (1982)
Record low9° (1976)
Fri, 0440° / 30°0.11
40 °
Manitou Beach, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high65° (2012)
Record low12° (1989)
Sat, 0539° / 29°0.12
39 °
Manitou Beach, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high64° (1999)
Record low8° (1989)
Sun, 0640° / 30°0.13
40 °
Manitou Beach, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high66° (2001)
Record low15° (1969)
Mon, 0737° / 28°0.11
37 °
Manitou Beach, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high66° (1998)
Record low12° (1969)
Tue, 0837° / 28°0.06
37 °
Manitou Beach, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high63° (1966)
Record low11° (1976)
Wed, 0938° / 28°0.15
38 °
Manitou Beach, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high58° (1966)
Record low9° (2002)
Thu, 1039° / 29°0.14
39 °
Manitou Beach, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high55° (2023)
Record low11° (1977)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Manitou Beach, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Manitou Beach, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.