Monthly outlook for Manitou Beach, NY: average high 54.8°, average low 44.4°. That is 3.5° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 1.9 inches), against a normal of 8 days and 2.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 4 November (76.9°), the coolest 12 November (35.6°).
54.8°/44.4°
Average high / low
+3.5°
Above normal
6 / 8
Wet days / normal
1.9 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
4 November – 13 November
55.9°
49.8°
+3.4°
14 November – 23 November
52.8°
45.4°
+4.1°
24 November – 3 December
at normal
42.8°
—
November records over 66 years
76.6°5 November 2024All-time high
8.6°30 November 2013All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Irondequoit (11 mi).
Thu, 0566° / 46°0.34
66 °
Manitou Beach, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 66°, low 46°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind15.9 mph SW
Humidity69%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point53°
Fri, 0658° / 45°0.14
58 °
Manitou Beach, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 58°, low 45°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind7.2 mph W
Humidity78%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point51°
Sat, 0753° / 48°0.91
53 °
Manitou Beach, Saturday, 7 November
Rain. High 53°, low 48°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind18.1 mph W
Humidity87%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point45°
Sun, 0853° / 48°0.11
53 °
Manitou Beach, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 53°, low 48°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind22.6 mph W
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Mon, 0950° / 47°0.19
50 °
Manitou Beach, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 50°, low 47°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind25.4 mph NW
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Tue, 1059° / 47°0
59 °
Manitou Beach, Tuesday, 10 November
Clear. High 59°, low 47°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind18.4 mph W
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Wed, 1150° / 40°0.03
50 °
Manitou Beach, Wednesday, 11 November
Light rain. High 50°, low 40°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind18.3 mph N
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Thu, 1243° / 36°0
43 °
Manitou Beach, Thursday, 12 November
Clear. High 43°, low 36°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind16.3 mph W
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Fri, 1351° / 39°0
51 °
Manitou Beach, Friday, 13 November
Partly cloudy. High 51°, low 39°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind19.6 mph W
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Sat, 1452° / 43°0
52 °
Manitou Beach, Saturday, 14 November
Overcast. High 52°, low 43°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind11.5 mph SW
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Sun, 1554° / 46°0
54 °
Manitou Beach, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 54°, low 46°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind15.3 mph W
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Mon, 1644° / 38°0
44 °
Manitou Beach, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 44°, low 38°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind10 mph N
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Tue, 1752° / 37°0
52 °
Manitou Beach, Tuesday, 17 November
Mostly clear. High 52°, low 37°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind9.1 mph SW
Humidity36%
Visibility—
Dew point18°
Wed, 1856° / 44°0
56 °
Manitou Beach, Wednesday, 18 November
Overcast. High 56°, low 44°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind8.5 mph SW
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Thu, 1960° / 48°0.15
60 °
Manitou Beach, Thursday, 19 November
Light rain. High 60°, low 48°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind9.4 mph S
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 2045° / 35°0.11
45 °
Manitou Beach, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high70° (1991)
Record low22° (2022)
Sat, 2144° / 34°0.13
44 °
Manitou Beach, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high57° (1994)
Record low16° (1987)
Sun, 2243° / 34°0.14
43 °
Manitou Beach, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high66° (1999)
Record low14° (2018)
Mon, 2344° / 33°0.09
44 °
Manitou Beach, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high66° (1979)
Record low12° (2018)
Tue, 2444° / 33°0.11
44 °
Manitou Beach, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high65° (2014)
Record low12° (2000)
Wed, 2544° / 34°0.09
44 °
Manitou Beach, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high62° (2001)
Record low19° (2005)
Thu, 2644° / 35°0.21
44 °
Manitou Beach, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation65%
Record high63° (1979)
Record low22° (1978)
Fri, 2744° / 34°0.11
44 °
Manitou Beach, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high65° (1990)
Record low22° (1977)
Sat, 2844° / 34°0.24
44 °
Manitou Beach, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.24 in
Chance of precipitation75%
Record high68° (1990)
Record low20° (2002)
Sun, 2942° / 33°0.13
42 °
Manitou Beach, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high64° (2006)
Record low14° (2013)
Mon, 3042° / 32°0.13
42 °
Manitou Beach, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high67° (1991)
Record low9° (2013)
Tue, 0142° / 31°0.18
42 °
Manitou Beach, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high62° (1998)
Record low16° (1976)
Wed, 0241° / 31°0.14
41 °
Manitou Beach, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation63%
Record high61° (1982)
Record low10° (1976)
Thu, 0341° / 30°0.15
41 °
Manitou Beach, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high67° (1982)
Record low9° (1976)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Manitou Beach, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Manitou Beach, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.