Monthly outlook for Manitou Beach, NY: average high 48.8°, average low 40.8°. That is 2.1° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 2.2 inches), against a normal of 8 days and 2.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 24 November (64.5°), the coolest 26 November (28.7°).
48.8°/40.8°
Average high / low
+2.1°
Above normal
4 / 8
Wet days / normal
2.2 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
13 November – 22 November
50.3°
45.6°
+2.6°
23 November – 2 December
46.3°
43.1°
+1.8°
3 December – 12 December
at normal
38.6°
—
November records over 66 years
76.6°5 November 2024All-time high
8.6°30 November 2013All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Irondequoit (11 mi).
Sat, 1445° / 40°0.21
45 °
Manitou Beach, Saturday, 14 November
Light rain. High 45°, low 40°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind19 mph NW
Humidity77%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point37°
Sun, 1545° / 42°0.04
45 °
Manitou Beach, Sunday, 15 November
Light rain. High 45°, low 42°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind12.5 mph NW
Humidity67%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point33°
Mon, 1648° / 44°0.01
48 °
Manitou Beach, Monday, 16 November
Light rain. High 48°, low 44°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind13.3 mph W
Humidity70%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point37°
Tue, 1752° / 42°0
52 °
Manitou Beach, Tuesday, 17 November
Partly cloudy. High 52°, low 42°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind15 mph W
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Wed, 1852° / 44°0
52 °
Manitou Beach, Wednesday, 18 November
Overcast. High 52°, low 44°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind13.2 mph SW
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Thu, 1957° / 43°0
57 °
Manitou Beach, Thursday, 19 November
Overcast. High 57°, low 43°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind19.4 mph SW
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Fri, 2053° / 46°0
53 °
Manitou Beach, Friday, 20 November
Clear. High 53°, low 46°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind17.3 mph SW
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Sat, 2153° / 43°0.02
53 °
Manitou Beach, Saturday, 21 November
Light rain. High 53°, low 43°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind13.5 mph SW
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Sun, 2257° / 53°0.01
57 °
Manitou Beach, Sunday, 22 November
Light rain. High 57°, low 53°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind14.4 mph SW
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Mon, 2364° / 52°0
64 °
Manitou Beach, Monday, 23 November
Mostly clear. High 64°, low 52°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind16.4 mph S
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Tue, 2464° / 46°0.42
64 °
Manitou Beach, Tuesday, 24 November
Rain. High 64°, low 46°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind23.8 mph S
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Wed, 2543° / 32°1.45
43 °
Manitou Beach, Wednesday, 25 November
Snow. High 43°, low 32°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind20.1 mph NW
Humidity88%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Thu, 2631° / 29°0
31 °
Manitou Beach, Thursday, 26 November
Overcast. High 31°, low 29°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind20 mph N
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
Fri, 2735° / 30°0
35 °
Manitou Beach, Friday, 27 November
Mostly clear. High 35°, low 30°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind12.2 mph N
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point13°
Sat, 2840° / 29°0
40 °
Manitou Beach, Saturday, 28 November
Mostly clear. High 40°, low 29°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind8.9 mph S
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point18°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 2942° / 33°0.13
42 °
Manitou Beach, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high64° (2006)
Record low14° (2013)
Mon, 3042° / 32°0.13
42 °
Manitou Beach, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high67° (1991)
Record low9° (2013)
Tue, 0142° / 31°0.18
42 °
Manitou Beach, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high62° (1998)
Record low16° (1976)
Wed, 0241° / 31°0.14
41 °
Manitou Beach, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation63%
Record high61° (1982)
Record low10° (1976)
Thu, 0341° / 30°0.15
41 °
Manitou Beach, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high67° (1982)
Record low9° (1976)
Fri, 0440° / 30°0.11
40 °
Manitou Beach, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high65° (2012)
Record low12° (1989)
Sat, 0539° / 29°0.12
39 °
Manitou Beach, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high64° (1999)
Record low8° (1989)
Sun, 0640° / 30°0.13
40 °
Manitou Beach, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high66° (2001)
Record low15° (1969)
Mon, 0737° / 28°0.11
37 °
Manitou Beach, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high66° (1998)
Record low12° (1969)
Tue, 0837° / 28°0.06
37 °
Manitou Beach, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high63° (1966)
Record low11° (1976)
Wed, 0938° / 28°0.15
38 °
Manitou Beach, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high58° (1966)
Record low9° (2002)
Thu, 1039° / 29°0.14
39 °
Manitou Beach, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high55° (2023)
Record low11° (1977)
Fri, 1137° / 28°0.17
37 °
Manitou Beach, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high64° (2021)
Record low7° (1977)
Sat, 1238° / 27°0.11
38 °
Manitou Beach, Saturday, 12 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high56° (1979)
Record low3° (1988)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Manitou Beach, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Manitou Beach, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.