Monthly outlook for Manitou Beach, NY: average high 53.1°, average low 45.1°. That is 1.2° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 1.1 inches), against a normal of 8 days and 2.2 inches. The warmest day looks like 4 November (67.5°), the coolest 12 November (32.7°).
53.1°/45.1°
Average high / low
+1.2°
Above normal
5 / 8
Wet days / normal
1.1 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
30 October – 8 November
58.4°
52.8°
+3.1°
9 November – 18 November
44.2°
47.2°
-1.7°
19 November – 28 November
at normal
44.3°
—
October records over 66 years
86.5°1 October 2019All-time high
28.9°23 October 1969All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Irondequoit (11 mi).
Sat, 3157° / 39°0
57 °
Manitou Beach, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 57°, low 39°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind10.2 mph W
Humidity65%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Sun, 0159° / 44°0
59 °
Manitou Beach, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 59°, low 44°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind3.1 mph S
Humidity67%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point45°
Mon, 0261° / 52°0
61 °
Manitou Beach, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 61°, low 52°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind3.9 mph W
Humidity76%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point52°
Tue, 0364° / 55°0
64 °
Manitou Beach, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 64°, low 55°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind9.8 mph S
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Wed, 0467° / 58°0
67 °
Manitou Beach, Wednesday, 4 November
Clear. High 67°, low 58°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind12 mph SE
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Thu, 0562° / 59°0.04
62 °
Manitou Beach, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 62°, low 59°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind14.3 mph S
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Fri, 0659° / 51°0.85
59 °
Manitou Beach, Friday, 6 November
Rain. High 59°, low 51°.
Pressure29.53 inHg
Wind14.3 mph NW
Humidity99%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Sat, 0750° / 46°0.02
50 °
Manitou Beach, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 50°, low 46°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind20.2 mph NW
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Sun, 0844° / 41°0
44 °
Manitou Beach, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 44°, low 41°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind12.3 mph NW
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Mon, 0944° / 41°0
44 °
Manitou Beach, Monday, 9 November
Overcast. High 44°, low 41°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind14.9 mph E
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Tue, 1043° / 40°0.09
43 °
Manitou Beach, Tuesday, 10 November
Light rain. High 43°, low 40°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind15.7 mph NE
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Wed, 1141° / 37°0
41 °
Manitou Beach, Wednesday, 11 November
Clear. High 41°, low 37°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind11.3 mph N
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Thu, 1245° / 33°0
45 °
Manitou Beach, Thursday, 12 November
Partly cloudy. High 45°, low 33°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind8 mph SE
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Fri, 1343° / 39°0.1
43 °
Manitou Beach, Friday, 13 November
Light rain. High 43°, low 39°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind9.3 mph S
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Sat, 1450° / 43°0.04
50 °
Manitou Beach, Saturday, 14 November
Light rain. High 50°, low 43°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind5.8 mph SW
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 1547° / 36°0.18
47 °
Manitou Beach, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high65° (1960)
Record low19° (1967)
Mon, 1646° / 35°0.14
46 °
Manitou Beach, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high65° (1990)
Record low18° (1967)
Tue, 1745° / 35°0.13
45 °
Manitou Beach, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high62° (1987)
Record low17° (2019)
Wed, 1846° / 36°0.07
46 °
Manitou Beach, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high66° (1971)
Record low20° (2014)
Thu, 1946° / 35°0.08
46 °
Manitou Beach, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high69° (1985)
Record low17° (2014)
Fri, 2045° / 35°0.11
45 °
Manitou Beach, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high70° (1991)
Record low22° (2022)
Sat, 2144° / 34°0.13
44 °
Manitou Beach, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high57° (1994)
Record low16° (1987)
Sun, 2243° / 34°0.14
43 °
Manitou Beach, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high66° (1999)
Record low14° (2018)
Mon, 2344° / 33°0.09
44 °
Manitou Beach, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high66° (1979)
Record low12° (2018)
Tue, 2444° / 33°0.11
44 °
Manitou Beach, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high65° (2014)
Record low12° (2000)
Wed, 2544° / 34°0.09
44 °
Manitou Beach, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high62° (2001)
Record low19° (2005)
Thu, 2644° / 35°0.21
44 °
Manitou Beach, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation65%
Record high63° (1979)
Record low22° (1978)
Fri, 2744° / 34°0.11
44 °
Manitou Beach, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high65° (1990)
Record low22° (1977)
Sat, 2844° / 34°0.24
44 °
Manitou Beach, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.24 in
Chance of precipitation75%
Record high68° (1990)
Record low20° (2002)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Manitou Beach, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Manitou Beach, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.