Monthly outlook for Manitou Beach, NY: average high 49.5°, average low 41.1°. That is 2.8° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.4 inches), against a normal of 8 days and 2.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 22 November (59.4°), the coolest 30 November (31°).
49.5°/41.1°
Average high / low
+2.8°
Above normal
2 / 8
Wet days / normal
0.4 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
15 November – 24 November
50.9°
45.1°
+3.2°
25 November – 4 December
47.2°
42.3°
+2.7°
5 December – 14 December
at normal
38°
—
November records over 66 years
76.6°5 November 2024All-time high
8.6°30 November 2013All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Irondequoit (11 mi).
Mon, 1644° / 40°0
44 °
Manitou Beach, Monday, 16 November
Light rain. High 44°, low 40°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind12.5 mph NW
Humidity72%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Tue, 1754° / 41°0
54 °
Manitou Beach, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 54°, low 41°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind15.4 mph W
Humidity60%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Wed, 1855° / 47°0
55 °
Manitou Beach, Wednesday, 18 November
Partly cloudy. High 55°, low 47°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind11.4 mph W
Humidity72%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point45°
Thu, 1957° / 47°0
57 °
Manitou Beach, Thursday, 19 November
Overcast. High 57°, low 47°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind20 mph SW
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Fri, 2054° / 50°0
54 °
Manitou Beach, Friday, 20 November
Partly cloudy. High 54°, low 50°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind20.2 mph SW
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Sat, 2158° / 48°0
58 °
Manitou Beach, Saturday, 21 November
Partly cloudy. High 58°, low 48°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind10.2 mph S
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Sun, 2259° / 47°0
59 °
Manitou Beach, Sunday, 22 November
Overcast. High 59°, low 47°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind16.1 mph W
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Mon, 2346° / 39°0.02
46 °
Manitou Beach, Monday, 23 November
Light rain. High 46°, low 39°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind16.7 mph NW
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Tue, 2439° / 35°0
39 °
Manitou Beach, Tuesday, 24 November
Partly cloudy. High 39°, low 35°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind11.7 mph N
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Wed, 2545° / 34°0
45 °
Manitou Beach, Wednesday, 25 November
Overcast. High 45°, low 34°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind6.5 mph SW
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Thu, 2648° / 38°0
48 °
Manitou Beach, Thursday, 26 November
Clear. High 48°, low 38°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind7.3 mph SE
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Fri, 2753° / 41°0.03
53 °
Manitou Beach, Friday, 27 November
Light rain. High 53°, low 41°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind12.2 mph S
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Sat, 2856° / 48°0.3
56 °
Manitou Beach, Saturday, 28 November
Rain. High 56°, low 48°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind22.3 mph S
Humidity90%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Sun, 2945° / 35°0
45 °
Manitou Beach, Sunday, 29 November
Overcast. High 45°, low 35°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind16.5 mph NW
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Mon, 3037° / 31°0
37 °
Manitou Beach, Monday, 30 November
Overcast. High 37°, low 31°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind13.5 mph NE
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 0142° / 31°0.18
42 °
Manitou Beach, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high62° (1998)
Record low16° (1976)
Wed, 0241° / 31°0.14
41 °
Manitou Beach, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation63%
Record high61° (1982)
Record low10° (1976)
Thu, 0341° / 30°0.15
41 °
Manitou Beach, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high67° (1982)
Record low9° (1976)
Fri, 0440° / 30°0.11
40 °
Manitou Beach, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high65° (2012)
Record low12° (1989)
Sat, 0539° / 29°0.12
39 °
Manitou Beach, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high64° (1999)
Record low8° (1989)
Sun, 0640° / 30°0.13
40 °
Manitou Beach, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high66° (2001)
Record low15° (1969)
Mon, 0737° / 28°0.11
37 °
Manitou Beach, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high66° (1998)
Record low12° (1969)
Tue, 0837° / 28°0.06
37 °
Manitou Beach, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high63° (1966)
Record low11° (1976)
Wed, 0938° / 28°0.15
38 °
Manitou Beach, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high58° (1966)
Record low9° (2002)
Thu, 1039° / 29°0.14
39 °
Manitou Beach, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high55° (2023)
Record low11° (1977)
Fri, 1137° / 28°0.17
37 °
Manitou Beach, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high64° (2021)
Record low7° (1977)
Sat, 1238° / 27°0.11
38 °
Manitou Beach, Saturday, 12 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high56° (1979)
Record low3° (1988)
Sun, 1338° / 28°0.09
38 °
Manitou Beach, Sunday, 13 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high58° (1991)
Record low9° (1976)
Mon, 1437° / 27°0.15
37 °
Manitou Beach, Monday, 14 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high63° (2015)
Record low10° (1989)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Manitou Beach, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Manitou Beach, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.