Monthly outlook for Manitou Beach, NY: average high 46°, average low 37.5°. That is 0.5° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 0.5 inches), against a normal of 8 days and 2.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 21 November (61.6°), the coolest 24 November (28.9°).
46°/37.5°
Average high / low
+0.5°
Above normal
4 / 8
Wet days / normal
0.5 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
13 November – 22 November
50.4°
45.6°
+2.7°
23 November – 2 December
38.6°
43.1°
-2.5°
3 December – 12 December
at normal
38.6°
—
November records over 66 years
76.6°5 November 2024All-time high
8.6°30 November 2013All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Irondequoit (11 mi).
Sat, 1442° / 38°0.18
42 °
Manitou Beach, Saturday, 14 November
Light rain. High 42°, low 38°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind19.1 mph NW
Humidity76%
Visibility6.0 mi
Dew point37°
Sun, 1545° / 39°0.06
45 °
Manitou Beach, Sunday, 15 November
Light rain. High 45°, low 39°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind12.5 mph NW
Humidity66%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point33°
Mon, 1646° / 44°0
46 °
Manitou Beach, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 46°, low 44°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind13.8 mph W
Humidity74%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Tue, 1752° / 42°0
52 °
Manitou Beach, Tuesday, 17 November
Overcast. High 52°, low 42°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind13.5 mph W
Humidity62%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Wed, 1853° / 45°0
53 °
Manitou Beach, Wednesday, 18 November
Clear. High 53°, low 45°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind13.3 mph W
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Thu, 1958° / 44°0
58 °
Manitou Beach, Thursday, 19 November
Clear. High 58°, low 44°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind20.9 mph SW
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Fri, 2053° / 44°0
53 °
Manitou Beach, Friday, 20 November
Clear. High 53°, low 44°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind16.6 mph W
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Sat, 2162° / 44°0
62 °
Manitou Beach, Saturday, 21 November
Partly cloudy. High 62°, low 44°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind17.4 mph S
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Sun, 2254° / 37°0
54 °
Manitou Beach, Sunday, 22 November
Light rain. High 54°, low 37°.
Pressure29.65 inHg
Wind23.8 mph W
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Mon, 2335° / 30°0.09
35 °
Manitou Beach, Monday, 23 November
Light snow. High 35°, low 30°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind21.8 mph W
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point21°
Tue, 2433° / 29°0.13
33 °
Manitou Beach, Tuesday, 24 November
Light snow. High 33°, low 29°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind16.7 mph NW
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Wed, 2533° / 29°0
33 °
Manitou Beach, Wednesday, 25 November
Overcast. High 33°, low 29°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind15.4 mph NW
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Thu, 2639° / 30°0
39 °
Manitou Beach, Thursday, 26 November
Overcast. High 39°, low 30°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind24.2 mph SW
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Fri, 2745° / 34°0
45 °
Manitou Beach, Friday, 27 November
Mostly clear. High 45°, low 34°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind15.2 mph W
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Sat, 2846° / 35°0
46 °
Manitou Beach, Saturday, 28 November
Mostly clear. High 46°, low 35°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind8.1 mph SW
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 2942° / 33°0.13
42 °
Manitou Beach, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high64° (2006)
Record low14° (2013)
Mon, 3042° / 32°0.13
42 °
Manitou Beach, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high67° (1991)
Record low9° (2013)
Tue, 0142° / 31°0.18
42 °
Manitou Beach, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high62° (1998)
Record low16° (1976)
Wed, 0241° / 31°0.14
41 °
Manitou Beach, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation63%
Record high61° (1982)
Record low10° (1976)
Thu, 0341° / 30°0.15
41 °
Manitou Beach, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high67° (1982)
Record low9° (1976)
Fri, 0440° / 30°0.11
40 °
Manitou Beach, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high65° (2012)
Record low12° (1989)
Sat, 0539° / 29°0.12
39 °
Manitou Beach, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high64° (1999)
Record low8° (1989)
Sun, 0640° / 30°0.13
40 °
Manitou Beach, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high66° (2001)
Record low15° (1969)
Mon, 0737° / 28°0.11
37 °
Manitou Beach, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high66° (1998)
Record low12° (1969)
Tue, 0837° / 28°0.06
37 °
Manitou Beach, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high63° (1966)
Record low11° (1976)
Wed, 0938° / 28°0.15
38 °
Manitou Beach, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high58° (1966)
Record low9° (2002)
Thu, 1039° / 29°0.14
39 °
Manitou Beach, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high55° (2023)
Record low11° (1977)
Fri, 1137° / 28°0.17
37 °
Manitou Beach, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high64° (2021)
Record low7° (1977)
Sat, 1238° / 27°0.11
38 °
Manitou Beach, Saturday, 12 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high56° (1979)
Record low3° (1988)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Manitou Beach, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Manitou Beach, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.