Monthly outlook for Warsaw, NY: average high 60°, average low 43.5°. That is 3.7° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.1 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 2.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 31 October (70.8°), the coolest 26 October (34.6°).
60°/43.5°
Average high / low
+3.7°
Above normal
2 / 7
Wet days / normal
0.1 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
18 October – 27 October
56.3°
54.2°
+1.2°
28 October – 6 November
66.1°
51.3°
+8.2°
7 November – 16 November
at normal
45.6°
—
October records over 66 years
82.4°1 October 2019All-time high
21.7°20 October 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Genesee Falls (12 mi).
Mon, 1961° / 42°0
61 °
Warsaw, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 61°, low 42°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind7.7 mph W
Humidity50%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Tue, 2056° / 43°0
56 °
Warsaw, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 56°, low 43°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind8.2 mph NE
Humidity70%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point44°
Wed, 2155° / 40°0
55 °
Warsaw, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 55°, low 40°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind4.5 mph NE
Humidity60%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point39°
Thu, 2254° / 41°0.01
54 °
Warsaw, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 54°, low 41°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind10.5 mph NW
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Fri, 2346° / 36°0
46 °
Warsaw, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 46°, low 36°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind8.7 mph N
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Sat, 2461° / 36°0
61 °
Warsaw, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 61°, low 36°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind15.2 mph S
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Sun, 2564° / 46°0.02
64 °
Warsaw, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 64°, low 46°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind19.1 mph SW
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Mon, 2650° / 35°0
50 °
Warsaw, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 50°, low 35°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind13 mph W
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Tue, 2756° / 40°0
56 °
Warsaw, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 56°, low 40°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind17.6 mph W
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Wed, 2860° / 37°0
60 °
Warsaw, Wednesday, 28 October
Clear. High 60°, low 37°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind10.2 mph S
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Thu, 2967° / 53°0.06
67 °
Warsaw, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 67°, low 53°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind16.1 mph SW
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Fri, 3064° / 52°0.04
64 °
Warsaw, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 64°, low 52°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind14 mph W
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Sat, 3171° / 54°0
71 °
Warsaw, Saturday, 31 October
Clear. High 71°, low 54°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind18.4 mph SW
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Sun, 0171° / 61°0
71 °
Warsaw, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 71°, low 61°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind22.8 mph W
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point59°
Mon, 0264° / 46°0
64 °
Warsaw, Monday, 2 November
Partly cloudy. High 64°, low 46°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind20.5 mph W
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 0352° / 37°0.09
52 °
Warsaw, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high69° (1961)
Record low27° (2006)
Wed, 0450° / 37°0.12
50 °
Warsaw, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high71° (2015)
Record low22° (1991)
Thu, 0550° / 37°0.1
50 °
Warsaw, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high72° (2022)
Record low19° (1991)
Fri, 0649° / 36°0.1
49 °
Warsaw, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high71° (2022)
Record low24° (1962)
Sat, 0747° / 35°0.1
47 °
Warsaw, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high70° (1975)
Record low19° (1962)
Sun, 0848° / 34°0.1
48 °
Warsaw, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high68° (2020)
Record low19° (1967)
Mon, 0948° / 35°0.1
48 °
Warsaw, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high71° (2020)
Record low13° (1992)
Tue, 1048° / 35°0.13
48 °
Warsaw, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high71° (2020)
Record low15° (2017)
Wed, 1145° / 34°0.17
45 °
Warsaw, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high66° (2012)
Record low16° (2017)
Thu, 1244° / 32°0.13
44 °
Warsaw, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high65° (1964)
Record low8° (2019)
Fri, 1344° / 31°0.08
44 °
Warsaw, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high61° (1961)
Record low7° (2019)
Sat, 1444° / 32°0.13
44 °
Warsaw, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high65° (1994)
Record low5° (1986)
Sun, 1544° / 32°0.17
44 °
Warsaw, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high62° (1960)
Record low10° (1967)
Mon, 1644° / 31°0.15
44 °
Warsaw, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high62° (1990)
Record low-3° (1967)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Warsaw, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Warsaw, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.