Monthly outlook for Warsaw, NY: average high 53.8°, average low 43.4°. That is 3.4° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 11 days (about 5.7 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 4 November (71.3°), the coolest 16 November (32.1°).
53.8°/43.4°
Average high / low
+3.4°
Above normal
11 / 7
Wet days / normal
5.7 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
1 November – 10 November
59.3°
49.7°
+5.4°
11 November – 20 November
44.7°
43.9°
+0.4°
21 November – 30 November
at normal
41.1°
—
November records over 66 years
72°5 November 2022All-time high
-2.9°16 November 1967All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Genesee Falls (12 mi).
Mon, 0270° / 48°0
70 °
Warsaw, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 70°, low 48°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind8.3 mph SW
Humidity54%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point44°
Tue, 0364° / 53°0.07
64 °
Warsaw, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 64°, low 53°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind10 mph SW
Humidity56%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point46°
Wed, 0471° / 56°0
71 °
Warsaw, Wednesday, 4 November
Partly cloudy. High 71°, low 56°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind9.5 mph S
Humidity59%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point53°
Thu, 0562° / 52°0.58
62 °
Warsaw, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 62°, low 52°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind18.6 mph S
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point57°
Fri, 0659° / 52°0.76
59 °
Warsaw, Friday, 6 November
Rain. High 59°, low 52°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind14 mph SW
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Sat, 0761° / 50°0.09
61 °
Warsaw, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 61°, low 50°.
Pressure29.56 inHg
Wind13.6 mph SW
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Sun, 0850° / 43°0.38
50 °
Warsaw, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 50°, low 43°.
Pressure29.32 inHg
Wind15.6 mph W
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Mon, 0945° / 41°0.46
45 °
Warsaw, Monday, 9 November
Rain. High 45°, low 41°.
Pressure29.29 inHg
Wind22.3 mph W
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Tue, 1045° / 41°0.11
45 °
Warsaw, Tuesday, 10 November
Light rain. High 45°, low 41°.
Pressure29.59 inHg
Wind17.3 mph W
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Wed, 1141° / 37°0.11
41 °
Warsaw, Wednesday, 11 November
Snow. High 41°, low 37°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind18.3 mph W
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Thu, 1245° / 38°0.01
45 °
Warsaw, Thursday, 12 November
Light rain. High 45°, low 38°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind9.8 mph W
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Fri, 1351° / 38°0.06
51 °
Warsaw, Friday, 13 November
Light rain. High 51°, low 38°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind10.2 mph S
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Sat, 1445° / 42°1.68
45 °
Warsaw, Saturday, 14 November
Heavy rain. High 45°, low 42°.
Pressure29.50 inHg
Wind22.3 mph N
Humidity98%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Sun, 1540° / 33°1.39
40 °
Warsaw, Sunday, 15 November
Rain. High 40°, low 33°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind23.5 mph N
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Mon, 1646° / 32°0
46 °
Warsaw, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 46°, low 32°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind10.7 mph W
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 1743° / 31°0.13
43 °
Warsaw, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high59° (1987)
Record low10° (2019)
Wed, 1844° / 31°0.07
44 °
Warsaw, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high67° (2016)
Record low10° (2014)
Thu, 1944° / 30°0.09
44 °
Warsaw, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high67° (1985)
Record low7° (2014)
Fri, 2043° / 31°0.11
43 °
Warsaw, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high68° (1991)
Record low8° (1986)
Sat, 2141° / 29°0.09
41 °
Warsaw, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high56° (2003)
Record low11° (2018)
Sun, 2241° / 29°0.12
41 °
Warsaw, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high64° (1999)
Record low-3° (2018)
Mon, 2342° / 28°0.07
42 °
Warsaw, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high64° (1979)
Record low-1° (2018)
Tue, 2442° / 29°0.09
42 °
Warsaw, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high60° (1979)
Record low-2° (2000)
Wed, 2542° / 29°0.09
42 °
Warsaw, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high58° (2001)
Record low12° (1997)
Thu, 2642° / 31°0.18
42 °
Warsaw, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high61° (1979)
Record low14° (1974)
Fri, 2742° / 30°0.11
42 °
Warsaw, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high64° (1990)
Record low12° (1974)
Sat, 2841° / 29°0.22
41 °
Warsaw, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.22 in
Chance of precipitation65%
Record high65° (1990)
Record low4° (1996)
Sun, 2939° / 28°0.09
39 °
Warsaw, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high62° (2006)
Record low7° (2013)
Mon, 3039° / 28°0.11
39 °
Warsaw, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high64° (2006)
Record low1° (2013)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Warsaw, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Warsaw, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.