Monthly outlook for Swancott Mill, NY: average high 51°, average low 37.2°. That is 1.4° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 2.6 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 2.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 29 October (64.3°), the coolest 8 November (27.3°).
51°/37.2°
Average high / low
+1.4°
Above normal
7 / 7
Wet days / normal
2.6 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
27 October – 5 November
53°
49.9°
+1.7°
6 November – 15 November
47.8°
44.7°
+1.7°
16 November – 25 November
at normal
40.5°
—
October records over 66 years
81.7°4 October 2023All-time high
20.7°20 October 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Leyden (12 mi).
Wed, 2859° / 34°0
59 °
Swancott Mill, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 59°, low 34°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind5 mph SE
Humidity54%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point32°
Thu, 2964° / 43°0.11
64 °
Swancott Mill, Thursday, 29 October
Rain. High 64°, low 43°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind6.4 mph S
Humidity64%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point47°
Fri, 3054° / 42°0.15
54 °
Swancott Mill, Friday, 30 October
Rain. High 54°, low 42°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind14 mph NW
Humidity69%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point35°
Sat, 3149° / 36°0
49 °
Swancott Mill, Saturday, 31 October
Partly cloudy. High 49°, low 36°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind5.2 mph NW
Humidity54%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point30°
Sun, 0156° / 36°0
56 °
Swancott Mill, Sunday, 1 November
Clear. High 56°, low 36°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind4.6 mph W
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Mon, 0247° / 42°0.15
47 °
Swancott Mill, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 47°, low 42°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind5.4 mph SE
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Tue, 0349° / 47°0.42
49 °
Swancott Mill, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 49°, low 47°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind12.6 mph SE
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Wed, 0449° / 43°0.04
49 °
Swancott Mill, Wednesday, 4 November
Light rain. High 49°, low 43°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind13.4 mph SE
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Thu, 0553° / 44°1
53 °
Swancott Mill, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 53°, low 44°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind13.2 mph SE
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Fri, 0653° / 46°0.68
53 °
Swancott Mill, Friday, 6 November
Rain. High 53°, low 46°.
Pressure29.56 inHg
Wind8.9 mph W
Humidity98%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Sat, 0743° / 31°0
43 °
Swancott Mill, Saturday, 7 November
Mostly clear. High 43°, low 31°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind13.2 mph NE
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Sun, 0845° / 27°0
45 °
Swancott Mill, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 45°, low 27°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind7.4 mph N
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point17°
Mon, 0947° / 30°0
47 °
Swancott Mill, Monday, 9 November
Overcast. High 47°, low 30°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind4.9 mph N
Humidity33%
Visibility—
Dew point13°
Tue, 1050° / 31°0
50 °
Swancott Mill, Tuesday, 10 November
Clear. High 50°, low 31°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind5.3 mph N
Humidity38%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
Wed, 1149° / 31°0
49 °
Swancott Mill, Wednesday, 11 November
Clear. High 49°, low 31°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind6 mph E
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Thu, 1244° / 31°0.2
44 °
Swancott Mill, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high65° (1964)
Record low10° (2019)
Fri, 1342° / 29°0.15
42 °
Swancott Mill, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high59° (2005)
Record low1° (2019)
Sat, 1442° / 30°0.13
42 °
Swancott Mill, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high62° (1994)
Record low5° (2018)
Sun, 1542° / 29°0.19
42 °
Swancott Mill, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high61° (1989)
Record low7° (2018)
Mon, 1642° / 29°0.16
42 °
Swancott Mill, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high61° (2006)
Record low7° (1996)
Tue, 1741° / 29°0.19
41 °
Swancott Mill, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high60° (1987)
Record low8° (1972)
Wed, 1841° / 29°0.11
41 °
Swancott Mill, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high60° (1994)
Record low13° (2008)
Thu, 1942° / 29°0.13
42 °
Swancott Mill, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high64° (1985)
Record low11° (2008)
Fri, 2041° / 28°0.17
41 °
Swancott Mill, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high66° (1991)
Record low9° (1992)
Sat, 2140° / 27°0.18
40 °
Swancott Mill, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high53° (1991)
Record low7° (1967)
Sun, 2239° / 27°0.15
39 °
Swancott Mill, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high58° (1963)
Record low-2° (2018)
Mon, 2340° / 26°0.13
40 °
Swancott Mill, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high63° (1979)
Record low-14° (2018)
Tue, 2439° / 26°0.15
39 °
Swancott Mill, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high62° (2014)
Record low-1° (2000)
Wed, 2540° / 27°0.15
40 °
Swancott Mill, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high58° (2001)
Record low3° (1995)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Swancott Mill, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Swancott Mill, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.