Monthly outlook for Swancott Mill, NY: average high 48.5°, average low 37.8°. That is 1.7° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 2.4 inches), against a normal of 8 days and 2.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 4 November (66.4°), the coolest 15 November (24.6°).
48.5°/37.8°
Average high / low
+1.7°
Above normal
7 / 8
Wet days / normal
2.4 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
2 November – 11 November
54.2°
47.3°
+3.8°
12 November – 21 November
39.1°
41.8°
-1.5°
22 November – 1 December
at normal
39°
—
November records over 66 years
70°5 November 2022All-time high
-14.3°23 November 2018All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Leyden (12 mi).
Tue, 0360° / 44°0.04
60 °
Swancott Mill, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 60°, low 44°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind6 mph S
Humidity85%
Visibility3.1 mi
Dew point49°
Wed, 0466° / 44°0
66 °
Swancott Mill, Wednesday, 4 November
Mostly clear. High 66°, low 44°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind5.7 mph S
Humidity64%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point53°
Thu, 0563° / 53°0.51
63 °
Swancott Mill, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 63°, low 53°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind9.3 mph S
Humidity99%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point58°
Fri, 0660° / 50°0
60 °
Swancott Mill, Friday, 6 November
Overcast. High 60°, low 50°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind3.3 mph SW
Humidity78%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point52°
Sat, 0763° / 47°0.03
63 °
Swancott Mill, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 63°, low 47°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind7.4 mph NE
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Sun, 0849° / 39°0.23
49 °
Swancott Mill, Sunday, 8 November
Rain. High 49°, low 39°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind5.5 mph SE
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Mon, 0940° / 37°0.47
40 °
Swancott Mill, Monday, 9 November
Rain. High 40°, low 37°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind7.5 mph SE
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Tue, 1039° / 35°0.08
39 °
Swancott Mill, Tuesday, 10 November
Light rain. High 39°, low 35°.
Pressure29.65 inHg
Wind15.4 mph W
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Wed, 1138° / 33°0.24
38 °
Swancott Mill, Wednesday, 11 November
Snow. High 38°, low 33°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind16.1 mph W
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Thu, 1238° / 34°0.29
38 °
Swancott Mill, Thursday, 12 November
Snow. High 38°, low 34°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind13.3 mph W
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Fri, 1338° / 29°0.02
38 °
Swancott Mill, Friday, 13 November
Light snow. High 38°, low 29°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind9.1 mph W
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Sat, 1435° / 25°0
35 °
Swancott Mill, Saturday, 14 November
Clear. High 35°, low 25°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind7.9 mph W
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point14°
Sun, 1540° / 25°0
40 °
Swancott Mill, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 40°, low 25°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind4.3 mph S
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point12°
Mon, 1639° / 29°0
39 °
Swancott Mill, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 39°, low 29°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind10.7 mph E
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point17°
Tue, 1745° / 39°0.51
45 °
Swancott Mill, Tuesday, 17 November
Rain. High 45°, low 39°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind15.5 mph SE
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Wed, 1841° / 29°0.11
41 °
Swancott Mill, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high60° (1994)
Record low13° (2008)
Thu, 1942° / 29°0.13
42 °
Swancott Mill, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high64° (1985)
Record low11° (2008)
Fri, 2041° / 28°0.17
41 °
Swancott Mill, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high66° (1991)
Record low9° (1992)
Sat, 2140° / 27°0.18
40 °
Swancott Mill, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high53° (1991)
Record low7° (1967)
Sun, 2239° / 27°0.15
39 °
Swancott Mill, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high58° (1963)
Record low-2° (2018)
Mon, 2340° / 26°0.13
40 °
Swancott Mill, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high63° (1979)
Record low-14° (2018)
Tue, 2439° / 26°0.15
39 °
Swancott Mill, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high62° (2014)
Record low-1° (2000)
Wed, 2540° / 27°0.15
40 °
Swancott Mill, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high58° (2001)
Record low3° (1995)
Thu, 2640° / 29°0.27
40 °
Swancott Mill, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.27 in
Chance of precipitation63%
Record high62° (1979)
Record low12° (1978)
Fri, 2739° / 28°0.18
39 °
Swancott Mill, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation67%
Record high59° (1988)
Record low-2° (1994)
Sat, 2840° / 28°0.26
40 °
Swancott Mill, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.26 in
Chance of precipitation80%
Record high65° (1990)
Record low5° (1996)
Sun, 2938° / 26°0.19
38 °
Swancott Mill, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high60° (2005)
Record low7° (2013)
Mon, 3038° / 26°0.19
38 °
Swancott Mill, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation70%
Record high60° (2006)
Record low1° (2013)
Tue, 0137° / 24°0.27
37 °
Swancott Mill, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.27 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high55° (2006)
Record low-1° (1989)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Swancott Mill, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Swancott Mill, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.