Monthly outlook for Swancott Mill, NY: average high 53.6°, average low 38.7°. That is 0.8° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 0.6 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 2.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 20 October (61.8°), the coolest 18 October (30.4°).
53.6°/38.7°
Average high / low
+0.8°
Above normal
3 / 7
Wet days / normal
0.6 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
17 October – 26 October
55.4°
53.1°
+1.3°
27 October – 5 November
50.5°
49.9°
+0.3°
6 November – 15 November
at normal
44.7°
—
October records over 66 years
81.7°4 October 2023All-time high
20.7°20 October 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Leyden (12 mi).
Sun, 1855° / 30°0
55 °
Swancott Mill, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 55°, low 30°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind7.4 mph SW
Humidity58%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point36°
Mon, 1959° / 41°0
59 °
Swancott Mill, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 59°, low 41°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind6.3 mph W
Humidity52%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Tue, 2062° / 43°0
62 °
Swancott Mill, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 62°, low 43°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind6.6 mph NE
Humidity56%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point43°
Wed, 2160° / 39°0
60 °
Swancott Mill, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 60°, low 39°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind11.3 mph NE
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Thu, 2260° / 40°0
60 °
Swancott Mill, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 60°, low 40°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind5.8 mph N
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Fri, 2355° / 38°0
55 °
Swancott Mill, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 55°, low 38°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind10.3 mph NE
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Sat, 2457° / 36°0
57 °
Swancott Mill, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 57°, low 36°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind4.7 mph NE
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Sun, 2558° / 38°0
58 °
Swancott Mill, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 58°, low 38°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind13.3 mph N
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Mon, 2646° / 31°0
46 °
Swancott Mill, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 46°, low 31°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind11.5 mph NW
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point21°
Tue, 2751° / 33°0.01
51 °
Swancott Mill, Tuesday, 27 October
Light rain. High 51°, low 33°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind5.3 mph SW
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Wed, 2853° / 42°0.05
53 °
Swancott Mill, Wednesday, 28 October
Light rain. High 53°, low 42°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind8.5 mph W
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Thu, 2954° / 44°0
54 °
Swancott Mill, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 54°, low 44°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind5.3 mph NE
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Fri, 3049° / 42°0.1
49 °
Swancott Mill, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 49°, low 42°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind11.7 mph SE
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Sat, 3151° / 49°0.39
51 °
Swancott Mill, Saturday, 31 October
Rain. High 51°, low 49°.
Pressure29.56 inHg
Wind10.8 mph SE
Humidity98%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Sun, 0145° / 43°0.03
45 °
Swancott Mill, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 45°, low 43°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind13.6 mph N
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 0250° / 37°0.23
50 °
Swancott Mill, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.23 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high68° (1971)
Record low22° (1965)
Tue, 0350° / 36°0.15
50 °
Swancott Mill, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high68° (1982)
Record low17° (2020)
Wed, 0448° / 35°0.16
48 °
Swancott Mill, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high66° (2015)
Record low21° (2020)
Thu, 0548° / 36°0.17
48 °
Swancott Mill, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high70° (2022)
Record low19° (1962)
Fri, 0648° / 36°0.19
48 °
Swancott Mill, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high68° (2005)
Record low23° (1962)
Sat, 0746° / 34°0.12
46 °
Swancott Mill, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high67° (1975)
Record low12° (1962)
Sun, 0845° / 33°0.16
45 °
Swancott Mill, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high65° (1975)
Record low15° (1992)
Mon, 0946° / 33°0.15
46 °
Swancott Mill, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high67° (2020)
Record low14° (1995)
Tue, 1047° / 33°0.19
47 °
Swancott Mill, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high66° (2020)
Record low13° (1995)
Wed, 1144° / 33°0.19
44 °
Swancott Mill, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high63° (2012)
Record low11° (2017)
Thu, 1244° / 31°0.2
44 °
Swancott Mill, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high65° (1964)
Record low10° (2019)
Fri, 1342° / 29°0.15
42 °
Swancott Mill, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high59° (2005)
Record low1° (2019)
Sat, 1442° / 30°0.13
42 °
Swancott Mill, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high62° (1994)
Record low5° (2018)
Sun, 1542° / 29°0.19
42 °
Swancott Mill, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high61° (1989)
Record low7° (2018)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Swancott Mill, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Swancott Mill, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.