Monthly outlook for Swancott Mill, NY: average high 51°, average low 41.8°. That is 2.4° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 11 days (about 4.6 inches), against a normal of 8 days and 2.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 4 November (66.8°), the coolest 1 November (33.3°).
51°/41.8°
Average high / low
+2.4°
Above normal
11 / 8
Wet days / normal
4.6 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
31 October – 9 November
56.4°
48.4°
+4.4°
10 November – 19 November
42°
42.9°
-0.5°
20 November – 29 November
at normal
39.5°
—
October records over 66 years
81.7°4 October 2023All-time high
20.7°20 October 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Leyden (12 mi).
Sun, 0157° / 33°0
57 °
Swancott Mill, Sunday, 1 November
Clear. High 57°, low 33°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind4.6 mph SW
Humidity64%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Mon, 0260° / 42°0
60 °
Swancott Mill, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 60°, low 42°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind3.9 mph SW
Humidity52%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Tue, 0354° / 49°0.05
54 °
Swancott Mill, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 54°, low 49°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind5.2 mph SE
Humidity85%
Visibility4.0 mi
Dew point47°
Wed, 0467° / 49°0
67 °
Swancott Mill, Wednesday, 4 November
Overcast. High 67°, low 49°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind4.9 mph S
Humidity63%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point49°
Thu, 0559° / 52°1.02
59 °
Swancott Mill, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 59°, low 52°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind11.6 mph S
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Fri, 0657° / 51°0.29
57 °
Swancott Mill, Friday, 6 November
Rain. High 57°, low 51°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind13.2 mph SE
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Sat, 0751° / 46°0.85
51 °
Swancott Mill, Saturday, 7 November
Rain. High 51°, low 46°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind14.4 mph SE
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Sun, 0854° / 46°0.07
54 °
Swancott Mill, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 54°, low 46°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind5.9 mph SE
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Mon, 0954° / 45°0.42
54 °
Swancott Mill, Monday, 9 November
Rain. High 54°, low 45°.
Pressure29.62 inHg
Wind8.9 mph E
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Tue, 1047° / 43°0.25
47 °
Swancott Mill, Tuesday, 10 November
Rain. High 47°, low 43°.
Pressure29.62 inHg
Wind12.1 mph W
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Wed, 1142° / 39°0.28
42 °
Swancott Mill, Wednesday, 11 November
Light rain. High 42°, low 39°.
Pressure29.53 inHg
Wind15 mph W
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Thu, 1242° / 34°0.33
42 °
Swancott Mill, Thursday, 12 November
Snow. High 42°, low 34°.
Pressure29.53 inHg
Wind12.5 mph SW
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Fri, 1339° / 35°0
39 °
Swancott Mill, Friday, 13 November
Light rain. High 39°, low 35°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind7.7 mph NW
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Sat, 1443° / 33°0.23
43 °
Swancott Mill, Saturday, 14 November
Rain. High 43°, low 33°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind13.9 mph E
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Sun, 1539° / 36°0.78
39 °
Swancott Mill, Sunday, 15 November
Rain. High 39°, low 36°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind16.2 mph SE
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 1642° / 29°0.16
42 °
Swancott Mill, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high61° (2006)
Record low7° (1996)
Tue, 1741° / 29°0.19
41 °
Swancott Mill, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high60° (1987)
Record low8° (1972)
Wed, 1841° / 29°0.11
41 °
Swancott Mill, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high60° (1994)
Record low13° (2008)
Thu, 1942° / 29°0.13
42 °
Swancott Mill, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high64° (1985)
Record low11° (2008)
Fri, 2041° / 28°0.17
41 °
Swancott Mill, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high66° (1991)
Record low9° (1992)
Sat, 2140° / 27°0.18
40 °
Swancott Mill, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high53° (1991)
Record low7° (1967)
Sun, 2239° / 27°0.15
39 °
Swancott Mill, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high58° (1963)
Record low-2° (2018)
Mon, 2340° / 26°0.13
40 °
Swancott Mill, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high63° (1979)
Record low-14° (2018)
Tue, 2439° / 26°0.15
39 °
Swancott Mill, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high62° (2014)
Record low-1° (2000)
Wed, 2540° / 27°0.15
40 °
Swancott Mill, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high58° (2001)
Record low3° (1995)
Thu, 2640° / 29°0.27
40 °
Swancott Mill, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.27 in
Chance of precipitation63%
Record high62° (1979)
Record low12° (1978)
Fri, 2739° / 28°0.18
39 °
Swancott Mill, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation67%
Record high59° (1988)
Record low-2° (1994)
Sat, 2840° / 28°0.26
40 °
Swancott Mill, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.26 in
Chance of precipitation80%
Record high65° (1990)
Record low5° (1996)
Sun, 2938° / 26°0.19
38 °
Swancott Mill, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high60° (2005)
Record low7° (2013)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Swancott Mill, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Swancott Mill, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.