Monthly outlook for Shepard Settlement, NY: average high 58.3°, average low 44.9°. That is 1.5° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 1.8 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 2.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 13 October (72.8°), the coolest 27 October (38.3°).
58.3°/44.9°
Average high / low
+1.5°
Above normal
6 / 7
Wet days / normal
1.8 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
13 October – 22 October
60.3°
56.5°
+2.1°
23 October – 1 November
54.9°
53.1°
+1°
2 November – 11 November
at normal
49.4°
—
October records over 66 years
84.2°4 October 2023All-time high
26.1°20 October 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Marcellus (4 mi).
Wed, 1466° / 56°0.1
66 °
Shepard Settlement, Wednesday, 14 October
Rain. High 66°, low 56°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind11 mph NW
Humidity89%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point57°
Thu, 1556° / 48°0
56 °
Shepard Settlement, Thursday, 15 October
Mostly clear. High 56°, low 48°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind2.5 mph NE
Humidity59%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Fri, 1660° / 46°1.02
60 °
Shepard Settlement, Friday, 16 October
Rain. High 60°, low 46°.
Pressure29.50 inHg
Wind12.7 mph W
Humidity97%
Visibility4.0 mi
Dew point57°
Sat, 1744° / 38°0.22
44 °
Shepard Settlement, Saturday, 17 October
Rain. High 44°, low 38°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind18.7 mph NW
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Sun, 1857° / 41°0
57 °
Shepard Settlement, Sunday, 18 October
Partly cloudy. High 57°, low 41°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind12.4 mph W
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Mon, 1962° / 38°0
62 °
Shepard Settlement, Monday, 19 October
Overcast. High 62°, low 38°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind11.8 mph SW
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Tue, 2062° / 46°0
62 °
Shepard Settlement, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 62°, low 46°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind6.4 mph SW
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Wed, 2161° / 43°0
61 °
Shepard Settlement, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 61°, low 43°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind5 mph NE
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Thu, 2265° / 43°0
65 °
Shepard Settlement, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 65°, low 43°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind14 mph S
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Fri, 2368° / 51°0
68 °
Shepard Settlement, Friday, 23 October
Mostly clear. High 68°, low 51°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind19.4 mph S
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Sat, 2464° / 49°0.02
64 °
Shepard Settlement, Saturday, 24 October
Light rain. High 64°, low 49°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind18.3 mph W
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Sun, 2550° / 44°0.04
50 °
Shepard Settlement, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 50°, low 44°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind7 mph W
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Mon, 2648° / 41°0.07
48 °
Shepard Settlement, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 48°, low 41°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind4.2 mph W
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Tue, 2750° / 38°0
50 °
Shepard Settlement, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 50°, low 38°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind11.8 mph S
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Wed, 2849° / 42°0.13
49 °
Shepard Settlement, Wednesday, 28 October
Light rain. High 49°, low 42°.
Pressure29.38 inHg
Wind13.1 mph W
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Thu, 2951° / 39°0.12
51 °
Shepard Settlement, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high68° (1989)
Record low27° (1965)
Fri, 3051° / 39°0.1
51 °
Shepard Settlement, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high74° (2024)
Record low28° (2008)
Sat, 3153° / 39°0.13
53 °
Shepard Settlement, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high75° (2024)
Record low27° (1972)
Sun, 0153° / 40°0.14
53 °
Shepard Settlement, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high72° (2024)
Record low29° (1965)
Mon, 0252° / 40°0.21
52 °
Shepard Settlement, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high71° (1982)
Record low25° (1965)
Tue, 0352° / 39°0.11
52 °
Shepard Settlement, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high70° (1982)
Record low28° (2002)
Wed, 0450° / 39°0.13
50 °
Shepard Settlement, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high70° (2015)
Record low28° (2013)
Thu, 0551° / 39°0.13
51 °
Shepard Settlement, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high72° (2022)
Record low25° (1991)
Fri, 0650° / 39°0.15
50 °
Shepard Settlement, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high73° (2022)
Record low26° (1962)
Sat, 0748° / 37°0.11
48 °
Shepard Settlement, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high68° (1975)
Record low18° (1962)
Sun, 0848° / 36°0.14
48 °
Shepard Settlement, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high68° (2020)
Record low21° (1976)
Mon, 0948° / 36°0.12
48 °
Shepard Settlement, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high72° (2020)
Record low20° (1976)
Tue, 1048° / 36°0.15
48 °
Shepard Settlement, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high71° (2020)
Record low20° (2017)
Wed, 1146° / 36°0.15
46 °
Shepard Settlement, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation63%
Record high66° (2020)
Record low17° (2017)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Shepard Settlement, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Shepard Settlement, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.