Monthly outlook for Shepard Settlement, NY: average high 56.6°, average low 41°. That is 0° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 1.3 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 2.4 inches. The warmest day looks like 13 October (75.9°), the coolest 19 October (26.9°).
56.6°/41°
Average high / low
−0°
Below normal
6 / 7
Wet days / normal
1.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
10 October – 19 October
57.6°
57.7°
-0.1°
20 October – 29 October
55°
54°
+0.6°
30 October – 8 November
at normal
50.8°
—
October records over 66 years
84.2°4 October 2023All-time high
26.1°20 October 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Marcellus (4 mi).
Sun, 1159° / 46°0.27
59 °
Shepard Settlement, Sunday, 11 October
Rain. High 59°, low 46°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind11.5 mph SE
Humidity85%
Visibility5.2 mi
Dew point52°
Mon, 1265° / 46°0.05
65 °
Shepard Settlement, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 65°, low 46°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind5.7 mph NW
Humidity73%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point56°
Tue, 1376° / 57°0.28
76 °
Shepard Settlement, Tuesday, 13 October
Rain. High 76°, low 57°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind10.3 mph S
Humidity82%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point65°
Wed, 1462° / 55°0.05
62 °
Shepard Settlement, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 62°, low 55°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind7.5 mph W
Humidity87%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point55°
Thu, 1555° / 46°0.02
55 °
Shepard Settlement, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 55°, low 46°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind12.3 mph N
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Fri, 1661° / 45°0.44
61 °
Shepard Settlement, Friday, 16 October
Rain. High 61°, low 45°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind18.5 mph S
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Sat, 1755° / 41°0.02
55 °
Shepard Settlement, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 55°, low 41°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind10.9 mph W
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Sun, 1838° / 34°0.18
38 °
Shepard Settlement, Sunday, 18 October
Snow. High 38°, low 34°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind10.6 mph NW
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Mon, 1943° / 27°0
43 °
Shepard Settlement, Monday, 19 October
Partly cloudy. High 43°, low 27°.
Pressure30.62 inHg
Wind12 mph NW
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Tue, 2047° / 28°0
47 °
Shepard Settlement, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 47°, low 28°.
Pressure30.62 inHg
Wind4.4 mph SE
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Wed, 2154° / 33°0
54 °
Shepard Settlement, Wednesday, 21 October
Mostly clear. High 54°, low 33°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind5.7 mph S
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Thu, 2257° / 37°0
57 °
Shepard Settlement, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 57°, low 37°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind9.9 mph S
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Fri, 2358° / 40°0
58 °
Shepard Settlement, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 58°, low 40°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind10.4 mph S
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Sat, 2456° / 42°0
56 °
Shepard Settlement, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 56°, low 42°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind6.6 mph NE
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Sun, 2558° / 40°0
58 °
Shepard Settlement, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 58°, low 40°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind5.2 mph NE
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 2653° / 42°0.15
53 °
Shepard Settlement, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high75° (1963)
Record low31° (1976)
Tue, 2753° / 41°0.15
53 °
Shepard Settlement, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high75° (2023)
Record low27° (1976)
Wed, 2853° / 40°0.15
53 °
Shepard Settlement, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high74° (1984)
Record low27° (1976)
Thu, 2951° / 39°0.12
51 °
Shepard Settlement, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high68° (1989)
Record low27° (1965)
Fri, 3051° / 39°0.1
51 °
Shepard Settlement, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high74° (2024)
Record low28° (2008)
Sat, 3153° / 39°0.13
53 °
Shepard Settlement, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high75° (2024)
Record low27° (1972)
Sun, 0153° / 40°0.14
53 °
Shepard Settlement, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high72° (2024)
Record low29° (1965)
Mon, 0252° / 40°0.21
52 °
Shepard Settlement, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high71° (1982)
Record low25° (1965)
Tue, 0352° / 39°0.11
52 °
Shepard Settlement, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high70° (1982)
Record low28° (2002)
Wed, 0450° / 39°0.13
50 °
Shepard Settlement, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high70° (2015)
Record low28° (2013)
Thu, 0551° / 39°0.13
51 °
Shepard Settlement, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high72° (2022)
Record low25° (1991)
Fri, 0650° / 39°0.15
50 °
Shepard Settlement, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high73° (2022)
Record low26° (1962)
Sat, 0748° / 37°0.11
48 °
Shepard Settlement, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high68° (1975)
Record low18° (1962)
Sun, 0848° / 36°0.14
48 °
Shepard Settlement, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high68° (2020)
Record low21° (1976)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Shepard Settlement, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Shepard Settlement, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.