Monthly outlook for Bull Run, NY: average high 46.7°, average low 33.6°. That is 0.1° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 3.3 inches), against a normal of 6 days and 2.3 inches. The warmest day looks like 11 November (54.4°), the coolest 17 November (25°).
46.7°/33.6°
Average high / low
+0.1°
Above normal
5 / 6
Wet days / normal
3.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
10 November – 19 November
43.8°
47.6°
-2.1°
20 November – 29 November
51.5°
44.6°
+3.8°
30 November – 9 December
at normal
39.9°
—
November records over 66 years
75.4°6 November 2024All-time high
1°23 November 2018All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Olive (10 mi).
Wed, 1154° / 42°0
54 °
Bull Run, Wednesday, 11 November
Overcast. High 54°, low 42°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind8.9 mph NW
Humidity54%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point31°
Thu, 1245° / 37°1
45 °
Bull Run, Thursday, 12 November
Snow. High 45°, low 37°.
Pressure29.62 inHg
Wind9.7 mph SE
Humidity99%
Visibility0.5 mi
Dew point40°
Fri, 1338° / 32°0.28
38 °
Bull Run, Friday, 13 November
Snow. High 38°, low 32°.
Pressure29.65 inHg
Wind8.3 mph N
Humidity93%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point31°
Sat, 1435° / 31°0.3
35 °
Bull Run, Saturday, 14 November
Snow. High 35°, low 31°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind17.3 mph N
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Sun, 1536° / 28°0
36 °
Bull Run, Sunday, 15 November
Partly cloudy. High 36°, low 28°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind14.8 mph NW
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Mon, 1638° / 28°0
38 °
Bull Run, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 38°, low 28°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind6.9 mph NW
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Tue, 1744° / 25°0
44 °
Bull Run, Tuesday, 17 November
Mostly clear. High 44°, low 25°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind4.7 mph NW
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Wed, 1845° / 27°0
45 °
Bull Run, Wednesday, 18 November
Clear. High 45°, low 27°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind4.7 mph NW
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Thu, 1950° / 30°0
50 °
Bull Run, Thursday, 19 November
Clear. High 50°, low 30°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind4 mph NW
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Fri, 2052° / 33°0
52 °
Bull Run, Friday, 20 November
Overcast. High 52°, low 33°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind4.5 mph NW
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Sat, 2154° / 35°0
54 °
Bull Run, Saturday, 21 November
Overcast. High 54°, low 35°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind4.7 mph NW
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Sun, 2253° / 39°0
53 °
Bull Run, Sunday, 22 November
Overcast. High 53°, low 39°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind4.7 mph NW
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Mon, 2354° / 43°1.65
54 °
Bull Run, Monday, 23 November
Rain. High 54°, low 43°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind6.6 mph SE
Humidity99%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Tue, 2454° / 38°0.04
54 °
Bull Run, Tuesday, 24 November
Light rain. High 54°, low 38°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind9.4 mph W
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Wed, 2542° / 30°0
42 °
Bull Run, Wednesday, 25 November
Mostly clear. High 42°, low 30°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind13.5 mph W
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Thu, 2646° / 32°0.24
46 °
Bull Run, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.24 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high62° (2025)
Record low19° (2005)
Fri, 2744° / 32°0.13
44 °
Bull Run, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high61° (2006)
Record low18° (1978)
Sat, 2845° / 32°0.25
45 °
Bull Run, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.25 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high64° (1990)
Record low15° (2014)
Sun, 2943° / 31°0.12
43 °
Bull Run, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high62° (1990)
Record low8° (2014)
Mon, 3042° / 30°0.16
42 °
Bull Run, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high60° (2006)
Record low12° (2013)
Tue, 0142° / 29°0.18
42 °
Bull Run, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high63° (2006)
Record low12° (1971)
Wed, 0241° / 28°0.14
41 °
Bull Run, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high58° (1998)
Record low8° (1971)
Thu, 0341° / 28°0.17
41 °
Bull Run, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high59° (1998)
Record low6° (1976)
Fri, 0440° / 28°0.12
40 °
Bull Run, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high65° (1998)
Record low9° (1966)
Sat, 0539° / 28°0.13
39 °
Bull Run, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high63° (2001)
Record low0° (1971)
Sun, 0641° / 28°0.18
41 °
Bull Run, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high64° (2001)
Record low8° (1976)
Mon, 0738° / 26°0.12
38 °
Bull Run, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high64° (1998)
Record low10° (1964)
Tue, 0837° / 25°0.11
37 °
Bull Run, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high58° (1966)
Record low3° (1964)
Wed, 0938° / 25°0.19
38 °
Bull Run, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high60° (1966)
Record low5° (2002)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Bull Run, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Bull Run, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.