Weather in Bear Creek, NY
Bear Creek, Thursday, 12 November, 15:03
Drizzle. Feels like 35°. High 46°, low 40°.
Monthly outlook for Bear Creek, NY: average high 52.3°, average low 42.4°. That is 4.2° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 0.4 inches), against a normal of 8 days and 2.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 25 November (62.7°), the coolest 27 November (36.8°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 November – 21 November | 50° | 45.4° | +2.5° |
| 22 November – 1 December | 56.2° | 42.9° | +7.4° |
| 2 December – 11 December | at normal | 38.3° | — |
November records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Sodus (12 mi).
0.02
Bear Creek, Friday, 13 November
Light rain. High 43°, low 38°.
0.15Bear Creek, Saturday, 14 November
Light rain. High 47°, low 42°.
0.11Bear Creek, Sunday, 15 November
Light rain. High 46°, low 42°.
0.02Bear Creek, Monday, 16 November
Light rain. High 48°, low 44°.
0
Bear Creek, Tuesday, 17 November
Overcast. High 52°, low 44°.
0Bear Creek, Wednesday, 18 November
Overcast. High 53°, low 42°.
0
Bear Creek, Thursday, 19 November
Mostly clear. High 56°, low 42°.
0
Bear Creek, Friday, 20 November
Clear. High 59°, low 50°.
0Bear Creek, Saturday, 21 November
Overcast. High 49°, low 38°.
0.06Bear Creek, Sunday, 22 November
Light rain. High 58°, low 37°.
0Bear Creek, Monday, 23 November
Overcast. High 62°, low 52°.
0Bear Creek, Tuesday, 24 November
Overcast. High 62°, low 50°.
0.01Bear Creek, Wednesday, 25 November
Light rain. High 63°, low 42°.
0Bear Creek, Thursday, 26 November
Overcast. High 41°, low 37°.
0Bear Creek, Friday, 27 November
Overcast. High 51°, low 37°.
0.25Bear Creek, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Bear Creek, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Bear Creek, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19Bear Creek, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Bear Creek, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Bear Creek, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Bear Creek, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Bear Creek, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Bear Creek, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Bear Creek, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Bear Creek, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Bear Creek, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Bear Creek, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Bear Creek, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Bear Creek, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Bear Creek, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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