Weather in Bear Creek, NY
Bear Creek, Friday, 23 October, 09:45
Clear. Feels like 49°. High 55°, low 40°.
Monthly outlook for Bear Creek, NY: average high 57.9°, average low 47.7°. That is 2.4° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 1.5 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 2.3 inches. The warmest day looks like 29 October (67.9°), the coolest 24 October (29.7°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 October – 1 November | 57.5° | 54.5° | +1.6° |
| 2 November – 11 November | 58.7° | 51° | +4.3° |
| 12 November – 21 November | at normal | 45.4° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Sodus (12 mi).
0Bear Creek, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 63°, low 30°.
0Bear Creek, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 58°, low 36°.
0
Bear Creek, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 58°, low 54°.
0
Bear Creek, Tuesday, 27 October
Mostly clear. High 50°, low 45°.
0Bear Creek, Wednesday, 28 October
Clear. High 53°, low 43°.
0Bear Creek, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 68°, low 52°.
0.07
Bear Creek, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 62°, low 50°.
0.19Bear Creek, Saturday, 31 October
Light rain. High 52°, low 49°.
0.33Bear Creek, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 56°, low 49°.
0.03Bear Creek, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 54°, low 53°.
0Bear Creek, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 54°, low 52°.
0.2Bear Creek, Wednesday, 4 November
Rain. High 57°, low 50°.
0.33Bear Creek, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 60°, low 52°.
0.29Bear Creek, Friday, 6 November
Rain. High 64°, low 55°.
0.09Bear Creek, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 62°, low 53°.
0.15
Bear Creek, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Bear Creek, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Bear Creek, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.2Bear Creek, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Bear Creek, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Bear Creek, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Bear Creek, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.18Bear Creek, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Bear Creek, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Bear Creek, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Bear Creek, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Bear Creek, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Bear Creek, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Bear Creek, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Bear Creek, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Bear Creek, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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