Monthly outlook for Bear Creek, NY: average high 51.9°, average low 43°. That is 0.3° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 1.5 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 2.3 inches. The warmest day looks like 29 October (64.8°), the coolest 10 November (35.1°).
51.9°/43°
Average high / low
−0.3°
Below normal
4 / 7
Wet days / normal
1.5 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
26 October – 4 November
55.6°
53.7°
+1.1°
5 November – 14 November
45.8°
48.8°
-1.7°
15 November – 24 November
at normal
44.6°
—
October records over 66 years
87.3°1 October 2019All-time high
28.4°20 October 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Sodus (12 mi).
Tue, 2751° / 37°0
51 °
Bear Creek, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 51°, low 37°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind10.6 mph NE
Humidity70%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point37°
Wed, 2857° / 45°0
57 °
Bear Creek, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 57°, low 45°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind5.2 mph SE
Humidity75%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point44°
Thu, 2965° / 55°0.02
65 °
Bear Creek, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 65°, low 55°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind10.9 mph SW
Humidity75%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point53°
Fri, 3060° / 54°0.01
60 °
Bear Creek, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 60°, low 54°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind19.4 mph W
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Sat, 3153° / 43°0
53 °
Bear Creek, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 53°, low 43°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind8.5 mph S
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Sun, 0156° / 44°0
56 °
Bear Creek, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 56°, low 44°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind8.6 mph SW
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Mon, 0256° / 50°0.62
56 °
Bear Creek, Monday, 2 November
Rain. High 56°, low 50°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind15.9 mph NE
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Tue, 0350° / 45°0.41
50 °
Bear Creek, Tuesday, 3 November
Rain. High 50°, low 45°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind25.8 mph NE
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Wed, 0443° / 41°0
43 °
Bear Creek, Wednesday, 4 November
Overcast. High 43°, low 41°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind21.2 mph NE
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Thu, 0541° / 39°0
41 °
Bear Creek, Thursday, 5 November
Clear. High 41°, low 39°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind17.9 mph NE
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Fri, 0644° / 35°0
44 °
Bear Creek, Friday, 6 November
Clear. High 44°, low 35°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind9.2 mph S
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Sat, 0754° / 37°0
54 °
Bear Creek, Saturday, 7 November
Overcast. High 54°, low 37°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind13.4 mph S
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Sun, 0852° / 47°0.37
52 °
Bear Creek, Sunday, 8 November
Rain. High 52°, low 47°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind18.4 mph SW
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Mon, 0943° / 36°0.06
43 °
Bear Creek, Monday, 9 November
Snow. High 43°, low 36°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind23.9 mph N
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Tue, 1039° / 35°0.03
39 °
Bear Creek, Tuesday, 10 November
Snow. High 39°, low 35°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind13.4 mph SW
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Wed, 1148° / 38°0.2
48 °
Bear Creek, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high70° (2020)
Record low23° (2017)
Thu, 1246° / 36°0.17
46 °
Bear Creek, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high68° (1964)
Record low20° (2019)
Fri, 1346° / 35°0.1
46 °
Bear Creek, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high62° (1964)
Record low17° (2019)
Sat, 1446° / 36°0.14
46 °
Bear Creek, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high67° (1994)
Record low20° (2019)
Sun, 1546° / 35°0.18
46 °
Bear Creek, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high65° (1960)
Record low20° (1967)
Mon, 1646° / 35°0.14
46 °
Bear Creek, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high65° (1990)
Record low17° (2019)
Tue, 1745° / 35°0.14
45 °
Bear Creek, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high62° (1987)
Record low13° (2019)
Wed, 1846° / 35°0.07
46 °
Bear Creek, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high64° (2016)
Record low19° (2014)
Thu, 1946° / 35°0.09
46 °
Bear Creek, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high67° (1985)
Record low18° (2014)
Fri, 2045° / 35°0.13
45 °
Bear Creek, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high70° (1991)
Record low23° (2022)
Sat, 2143° / 33°0.13
43 °
Bear Creek, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high56° (1994)
Record low16° (1987)
Sun, 2243° / 33°0.14
43 °
Bear Creek, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high65° (1999)
Record low12° (2018)
Mon, 2344° / 33°0.11
44 °
Bear Creek, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high65° (1979)
Record low3° (2018)
Tue, 2444° / 33°0.13
44 °
Bear Creek, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high65° (2014)
Record low15° (2000)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Bear Creek, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Bear Creek, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.