Weather in Bear Creek, NY
Bear Creek, Sunday, 15 November, 09:32
Overcast. Feels like 33°. High 42°, low 38°.
Monthly outlook for Bear Creek, NY: average high 49.4°, average low 41.6°. That is 3° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 1 day (about 0.5 inches), against a normal of 9 days and 2.3 inches. The warmest day looks like 22 November (58.9°), the coolest 30 November (32.6°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 November – 24 November | 50.7° | 44.6° | +3.4° |
| 25 November – 4 December | 47.2° | 41.9° | +2.9° |
| 5 December – 14 December | at normal | 37.4° | — |
November records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Sodus (12 mi).
0Bear Creek, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 44°, low 39°.
0
Bear Creek, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 54°, low 42°.
0
Bear Creek, Wednesday, 18 November
Partly cloudy. High 55°, low 48°.
0Bear Creek, Thursday, 19 November
Overcast. High 57°, low 48°.
0Bear Creek, Friday, 20 November
Partly cloudy. High 54°, low 51°.
0Bear Creek, Saturday, 21 November
Overcast. High 56°, low 49°.
0
Bear Creek, Sunday, 22 November
Light rain. High 59°, low 46°.
0.03Bear Creek, Monday, 23 November
Light rain. High 47°, low 39°.
0Bear Creek, Tuesday, 24 November
Overcast. High 38°, low 37°.
0Bear Creek, Wednesday, 25 November
Overcast. High 44°, low 35°.
0Bear Creek, Thursday, 26 November
Clear. High 48°, low 38°.
0.01Bear Creek, Friday, 27 November
Light rain. High 53°, low 41°.
0.39Bear Creek, Saturday, 28 November
Rain. High 55°, low 48°.
0Bear Creek, Sunday, 29 November
Overcast. High 46°, low 35°.
0Bear Creek, Monday, 30 November
Overcast. High 36°, low 33°.
0.19
Bear Creek, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Bear Creek, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Bear Creek, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Bear Creek, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Bear Creek, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Bear Creek, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Bear Creek, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Bear Creek, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Bear Creek, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Bear Creek, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Bear Creek, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Bear Creek, Saturday, 12 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Bear Creek, Sunday, 13 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Bear Creek, Monday, 14 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Bear Creek, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Bear Creek, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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