Monthly outlook for Bear Creek, NY: average high 51.6°, average low 43.9°. That is 2° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 1.6 inches), against a normal of 8 days and 2.2 inches. The warmest day looks like 4 November (77.3°), the coolest 18 November (33.8°).
51.6°/43.9°
Average high / low
+2°
Above normal
7 / 8
Wet days / normal
1.6 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
4 November – 13 November
55.8°
49.4°
+3.5°
14 November – 23 November
44.7°
44.9°
-0.1°
24 November – 3 December
at normal
42.4°
—
November records over 66 years
76.6°5 November 2024All-time high
2.8°23 November 2018All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Sodus (12 mi).
Thu, 0566° / 54°0.28
66 °
Bear Creek, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 66°, low 54°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind12.3 mph W
Humidity76%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point53°
Fri, 0657° / 53°0.08
57 °
Bear Creek, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 57°, low 53°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind3.7 mph W
Humidity81%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point52°
Sat, 0753° / 50°0.7
53 °
Bear Creek, Saturday, 7 November
Rain. High 53°, low 50°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind14.1 mph N
Humidity87%
Visibility2.0 mi
Dew point47°
Sun, 0853° / 47°0.02
53 °
Bear Creek, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 53°, low 47°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind29.3 mph W
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Mon, 0950° / 46°0.25
50 °
Bear Creek, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 50°, low 46°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind30.4 mph W
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Tue, 1056° / 51°0
56 °
Bear Creek, Tuesday, 10 November
Mostly clear. High 56°, low 51°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind22.9 mph SW
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Wed, 1149° / 42°0
49 °
Bear Creek, Wednesday, 11 November
Overcast. High 49°, low 42°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind15.6 mph NE
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Thu, 1248° / 38°0
48 °
Bear Creek, Thursday, 12 November
Overcast. High 48°, low 38°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind18.8 mph W
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Fri, 1347° / 41°0.06
47 °
Bear Creek, Friday, 13 November
Light rain. High 47°, low 41°.
Pressure29.59 inHg
Wind21.4 mph NW
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Sat, 1441° / 36°0.02
41 °
Bear Creek, Saturday, 14 November
Light snow. High 41°, low 36°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind18.3 mph N
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Sun, 1544° / 38°0
44 °
Bear Creek, Sunday, 15 November
Partly cloudy. High 44°, low 38°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind11.9 mph W
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Mon, 1645° / 37°0.05
45 °
Bear Creek, Monday, 16 November
Light rain. High 45°, low 37°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind27 mph NW
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Tue, 1739° / 35°0.02
39 °
Bear Creek, Tuesday, 17 November
Light snow. High 39°, low 35°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind17.8 mph NW
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Wed, 1849° / 34°0
49 °
Bear Creek, Wednesday, 18 November
Partly cloudy. High 49°, low 34°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind22.3 mph SW
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Thu, 1951° / 43°0.07
51 °
Bear Creek, Thursday, 19 November
Light rain. High 51°, low 43°.
Pressure29.47 inHg
Wind29.1 mph NW
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 2045° / 35°0.13
45 °
Bear Creek, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high70° (1991)
Record low23° (2022)
Sat, 2143° / 33°0.13
43 °
Bear Creek, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high56° (1994)
Record low16° (1987)
Sun, 2243° / 33°0.14
43 °
Bear Creek, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high65° (1999)
Record low12° (2018)
Mon, 2344° / 33°0.11
44 °
Bear Creek, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high65° (1979)
Record low3° (2018)
Tue, 2444° / 33°0.13
44 °
Bear Creek, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high65° (2014)
Record low15° (2000)
Wed, 2544° / 33°0.1
44 °
Bear Creek, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high60° (2001)
Record low18° (1995)
Thu, 2644° / 34°0.23
44 °
Bear Creek, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.23 in
Chance of precipitation67%
Record high63° (1979)
Record low22° (1978)
Fri, 2743° / 34°0.13
43 °
Bear Creek, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation62%
Record high63° (1988)
Record low21° (1977)
Sat, 2844° / 33°0.25
44 °
Bear Creek, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.25 in
Chance of precipitation73%
Record high67° (1990)
Record low19° (2002)
Sun, 2942° / 33°0.16
42 °
Bear Creek, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high62° (2005)
Record low16° (2013)
Mon, 3042° / 32°0.14
42 °
Bear Creek, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation63%
Record high66° (1991)
Record low10° (2013)
Tue, 0141° / 31°0.19
41 °
Bear Creek, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high61° (1998)
Record low16° (1976)
Wed, 0240° / 30°0.15
40 °
Bear Creek, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation65%
Record high59° (1982)
Record low10° (1976)
Thu, 0340° / 30°0.16
40 °
Bear Creek, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high64° (1982)
Record low9° (1976)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Bear Creek, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Bear Creek, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.