Monthly outlook for Bear Creek, NY: average high 54.5°, average low 44.7°. That is 0.3° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 1.3 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 2.3 inches. The warmest day looks like 1 November (65.4°), the coolest 23 October (37.3°).
54.5°/44.7°
Average high / low
+0.3°
Above normal
5 / 7
Wet days / normal
1.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
22 October – 31 October
55.5°
54.6°
+0.5°
1 November – 10 November
52.9°
51.6°
+0.7°
11 November – 20 November
at normal
45.9°
—
October records over 66 years
87.3°1 October 2019All-time high
28.4°20 October 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Sodus (12 mi).
Fri, 2356° / 37°0
56 °
Bear Creek, Friday, 23 October
Mostly clear. High 56°, low 37°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind15.1 mph NE
Humidity75%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point42°
Sat, 2456° / 46°0
56 °
Bear Creek, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 56°, low 46°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind3.3 mph SE
Humidity77%
Visibility3.0 mi
Dew point43°
Sun, 2558° / 49°0
58 °
Bear Creek, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 58°, low 49°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind4.9 mph SW
Humidity62%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point42°
Mon, 2659° / 53°0
59 °
Bear Creek, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 59°, low 53°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind12.8 mph NW
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Tue, 2756° / 46°0
56 °
Bear Creek, Tuesday, 27 October
Partly cloudy. High 56°, low 46°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind17.4 mph NE
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Wed, 2847° / 42°0.33
47 °
Bear Creek, Wednesday, 28 October
Light rain. High 47°, low 42°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind12.3 mph NW
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Thu, 2948° / 43°0
48 °
Bear Creek, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 48°, low 43°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind14.5 mph NW
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Fri, 3054° / 41°0
54 °
Bear Creek, Friday, 30 October
Mostly clear. High 54°, low 41°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind8.9 mph SW
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Sat, 3161° / 46°0
61 °
Bear Creek, Saturday, 31 October
Mostly clear. High 61°, low 46°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind12.9 mph S
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Sun, 0165° / 51°0
65 °
Bear Creek, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 65°, low 51°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind15.3 mph S
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Mon, 0257° / 51°0.41
57 °
Bear Creek, Monday, 2 November
Rain. High 57°, low 51°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind19.7 mph W
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Tue, 0348° / 42°0.18
48 °
Bear Creek, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 48°, low 42°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind33 mph NW
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Wed, 0445° / 38°0.14
45 °
Bear Creek, Wednesday, 4 November
Snow. High 45°, low 38°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind30.8 mph W
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Thu, 0555° / 49°0.17
55 °
Bear Creek, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 55°, low 49°.
Pressure29.56 inHg
Wind26.4 mph W
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Fri, 0646° / 44°0.02
46 °
Bear Creek, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 46°, low 44°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind24 mph W
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 0750° / 39°0.13
50 °
Bear Creek, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high71° (2020)
Record low29° (2002)
Sun, 0850° / 38°0.15
50 °
Bear Creek, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high71° (2020)
Record low26° (2019)
Mon, 0950° / 38°0.11
50 °
Bear Creek, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high72° (2020)
Record low23° (2019)
Tue, 1050° / 38°0.15
50 °
Bear Creek, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high76° (2020)
Record low21° (2017)
Wed, 1148° / 38°0.2
48 °
Bear Creek, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high70° (2020)
Record low23° (2017)
Thu, 1246° / 36°0.17
46 °
Bear Creek, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high68° (1964)
Record low20° (2019)
Fri, 1346° / 35°0.1
46 °
Bear Creek, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high62° (1964)
Record low17° (2019)
Sat, 1446° / 36°0.14
46 °
Bear Creek, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high67° (1994)
Record low20° (2019)
Sun, 1546° / 35°0.18
46 °
Bear Creek, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high65° (1960)
Record low20° (1967)
Mon, 1646° / 35°0.14
46 °
Bear Creek, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high65° (1990)
Record low17° (2019)
Tue, 1745° / 35°0.14
45 °
Bear Creek, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high62° (1987)
Record low13° (2019)
Wed, 1846° / 35°0.07
46 °
Bear Creek, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high64° (2016)
Record low19° (2014)
Thu, 1946° / 35°0.09
46 °
Bear Creek, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high67° (1985)
Record low18° (2014)
Fri, 2045° / 35°0.13
45 °
Bear Creek, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high70° (1991)
Record low23° (2022)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Bear Creek, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Bear Creek, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.