Monthly outlook for Hard Point, NY: average high 62°, average low 43.5°. That is 1.9° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 1.0 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 2.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 16 October (70.4°), the coolest 19 October (32.7°).
62°/43.5°
Average high / low
+1.9°
Above normal
3 / 7
Wet days / normal
1.0 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
9 October – 18 October
61.4°
59.7°
+0.9°
19 October – 28 October
62.9°
55.9°
+3.9°
29 October – 7 November
at normal
52.6°
—
October records over 66 years
85.8°1 October 2019All-time high
27.7°20 October 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Aurelius (11 mi).
Sat, 1070° / 41°0
70 °
Hard Point, Saturday, 10 October
Overcast. High 70°, low 41°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind5.3 mph SE
Humidity61%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point47°
Sun, 1161° / 55°0.28
61 °
Hard Point, Sunday, 11 October
Rain. High 61°, low 55°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind12.3 mph SE
Humidity79%
Visibility3.2 mi
Dew point52°
Mon, 1262° / 53°0.02
62 °
Hard Point, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 62°, low 53°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind7.7 mph NW
Humidity79%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point56°
Tue, 1365° / 53°0.44
65 °
Hard Point, Tuesday, 13 October
Rain. High 65°, low 53°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind9.6 mph N
Humidity98%
Visibility—
Dew point63°
Wed, 1456° / 44°0
56 °
Hard Point, Wednesday, 14 October
Overcast. High 56°, low 44°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind7 mph N
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Thu, 1558° / 36°0
58 °
Hard Point, Thursday, 15 October
Overcast. High 58°, low 36°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind11.3 mph S
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Fri, 1670° / 52°0.22
70 °
Hard Point, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 70°, low 52°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind19.8 mph S
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Sat, 1754° / 48°0.01
54 °
Hard Point, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 54°, low 48°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind12.1 mph W
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Sun, 1851° / 35°0
51 °
Hard Point, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 51°, low 35°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind8.5 mph N
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Mon, 1957° / 33°0
57 °
Hard Point, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 57°, low 33°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind4.4 mph NE
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Tue, 2059° / 36°0
59 °
Hard Point, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 59°, low 36°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind5.6 mph NE
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Wed, 2164° / 39°0
64 °
Hard Point, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 64°, low 39°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind6.2 mph S
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Thu, 2266° / 41°0
66 °
Hard Point, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 66°, low 41°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind6.2 mph S
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Fri, 2366° / 42°0
66 °
Hard Point, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 66°, low 42°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind3.9 mph N
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Sat, 2465° / 43°0
65 °
Hard Point, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 65°, low 43°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind4.7 mph NE
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 2556° / 44°0.14
56 °
Hard Point, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high78° (1963)
Record low32° (1962)
Mon, 2655° / 44°0.14
55 °
Hard Point, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high77° (1963)
Record low33° (1972)
Tue, 2755° / 43°0.14
55 °
Hard Point, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high76° (2023)
Record low29° (1976)
Wed, 2854° / 42°0.13
54 °
Hard Point, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high75° (1984)
Record low29° (1976)
Thu, 2952° / 41°0.11
52 °
Hard Point, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high69° (1989)
Record low29° (1965)
Fri, 3053° / 41°0.11
53 °
Hard Point, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high75° (2024)
Record low32° (1990)
Sat, 3154° / 41°0.14
54 °
Hard Point, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high76° (2024)
Record low30° (1988)
Sun, 0155° / 42°0.14
55 °
Hard Point, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high71° (1974)
Record low32° (1965)
Mon, 0254° / 42°0.21
54 °
Hard Point, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high73° (1982)
Record low27° (1965)
Tue, 0354° / 41°0.09
54 °
Hard Point, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high70° (1982)
Record low31° (1996)
Wed, 0452° / 40°0.13
52 °
Hard Point, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high71° (1994)
Record low29° (1989)
Thu, 0552° / 40°0.12
52 °
Hard Point, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high73° (2024)
Record low27° (1991)
Fri, 0651° / 40°0.12
51 °
Hard Point, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high75° (2022)
Record low30° (1967)
Sat, 0750° / 38°0.12
50 °
Hard Point, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high69° (1975)
Record low26° (1962)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Hard Point, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Hard Point, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.