Weather in Jerden Falls, NY
Jerden Falls, Sunday, 11 October, 16:00
Light rain. Feels like 56°. High 58°, low 45°.
Monthly outlook for Jerden Falls, NY: average high 51.8°, average low 37.7°. That is 1.5° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 2.9 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 2.5 inches. The warmest day looks like 13 October (64.7°), the coolest 18 October (23.7°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 October – 20 October | 51.5° | 55.6° | -2.3° |
| 21 October – 30 October | 52.2° | 51.6° | +0.3° |
| 31 October – 9 November | at normal | 48.3° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — New Bremen (11 mi).
0.04Jerden Falls, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 62°, low 44°.
1.27Jerden Falls, Tuesday, 13 October
Heavy rain. High 65°, low 47°.
0.02Jerden Falls, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 57°, low 49°.
0
Jerden Falls, Thursday, 15 October
Overcast. High 53°, low 42°.
0.75Jerden Falls, Friday, 16 October
Rain. High 48°, low 39°.
0.64
Jerden Falls, Saturday, 17 October
Snow. High 40°, low 29°.
0.12Jerden Falls, Sunday, 18 October
Light snow. High 35°, low 24°.
0Jerden Falls, Monday, 19 October
Overcast. High 46°, low 26°.
0.01Jerden Falls, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 50°, low 35°.
0
Jerden Falls, Wednesday, 21 October
Mostly clear. High 50°, low 37°.
0Jerden Falls, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 55°, low 38°.
0
Jerden Falls, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 59°, low 40°.
0.03Jerden Falls, Saturday, 24 October
Light rain. High 53°, low 42°.
0Jerden Falls, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 48°, low 35°.
0.06Jerden Falls, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 48°, low 33°.
0.16
Jerden Falls, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Jerden Falls, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Jerden Falls, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11
Jerden Falls, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Jerden Falls, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19Jerden Falls, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.2Jerden Falls, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Jerden Falls, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Jerden Falls, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Jerden Falls, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19Jerden Falls, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Jerden Falls, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Jerden Falls, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Jerden Falls, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Jerden Falls, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Jerden Falls, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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