Weather in Jerden Falls, NY
Jerden Falls, Sunday, 18 October, 01:30
Clear. Feels like 26°. High 55°, low 32°.
Monthly outlook for Jerden Falls, NY: average high 55.5°, average low 39.2°. That is 2.1° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 1.6 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 2.5 inches. The warmest day looks like 30 October (63.9°), the coolest 23 October (30.1°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 October – 27 October | 54.7° | 52.8° | +1.1° |
| 28 October – 6 November | 56.9° | 49.4° | +4.1° |
| 7 November – 16 November | at normal | 43.9° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — New Bremen (11 mi).
0
Jerden Falls, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 62°, low 38°.
0Jerden Falls, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 55°, low 39°.
0Jerden Falls, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 56°, low 33°.
0.03
Jerden Falls, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 52°, low 34°.
0
Jerden Falls, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 48°, low 30°.
0Jerden Falls, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 55°, low 34°.
0Jerden Falls, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 61°, low 42°.
0.17Jerden Falls, Monday, 26 October
Rain. High 49°, low 37°.
0Jerden Falls, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 54°, low 34°.
0Jerden Falls, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 56°, low 38°.
0Jerden Falls, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 61°, low 43°.
0.76Jerden Falls, Friday, 30 October
Heavy rain. High 64°, low 56°.
0.01Jerden Falls, Saturday, 31 October
Light rain. High 53°, low 43°.
0.59Jerden Falls, Sunday, 1 November
Rain. High 51°, low 44°.
0.05Jerden Falls, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 57°, low 50°.
0.13Jerden Falls, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15
Jerden Falls, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Jerden Falls, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19Jerden Falls, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Jerden Falls, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Jerden Falls, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Jerden Falls, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Jerden Falls, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Jerden Falls, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.18Jerden Falls, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Jerden Falls, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Jerden Falls, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Jerden Falls, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Jerden Falls, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Jerden Falls, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Jerden Falls, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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