Weather in Jerden Falls, NY
Jerden Falls, Thursday, 15 October, 14:09
Overcast. Feels like 52°. High 55°, low 43°.
Monthly outlook for Jerden Falls, NY: average high 53.4°, average low 37.1°. That is 0.5° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 1.6 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 2.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 19 October (63.8°), the coolest 24 October (31°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 October – 24 October | 54.7° | 53.7° | +0.6° |
| 25 October – 3 November | 51.2° | 50.6° | +0.4° |
| 4 November – 13 November | at normal | 45.7° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — New Bremen (11 mi).
1.34
Jerden Falls, Friday, 16 October
Heavy rain. High 63°, low 45°.
0
Jerden Falls, Saturday, 17 October
Mostly clear. High 44°, low 35°.
0Jerden Falls, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 55°, low 31°.
0
Jerden Falls, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 64°, low 44°.
0Jerden Falls, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 63°, low 42°.
0Jerden Falls, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 53°, low 38°.
0Jerden Falls, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 53°, low 36°.
0Jerden Falls, Friday, 23 October
Mostly clear. High 45°, low 32°.
0
Jerden Falls, Saturday, 24 October
Partly cloudy. High 52°, low 31°.
0Jerden Falls, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 55°, low 34°.
0Jerden Falls, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 51°, low 36°.
0.02Jerden Falls, Tuesday, 27 October
Light rain. High 53°, low 35°.
0.03Jerden Falls, Wednesday, 28 October
Light rain. High 53°, low 34°.
0.1Jerden Falls, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 43°, low 35°.
0.07Jerden Falls, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 53°, low 44°.
0.11
Jerden Falls, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19Jerden Falls, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.2Jerden Falls, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Jerden Falls, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Jerden Falls, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Jerden Falls, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19Jerden Falls, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Jerden Falls, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Jerden Falls, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Jerden Falls, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Jerden Falls, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Jerden Falls, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.18Jerden Falls, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Jerden Falls, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Jerden Falls, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Jerden Falls, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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