Weather in Jerden Falls, NY
Jerden Falls, Sunday, 18 October, 17:18
Clear. Feels like 55°. High 57°, low 31°.
Monthly outlook for Jerden Falls, NY: average high 55.3°, average low 38.1°. That is 1.9° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 0.9 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 2.5 inches. The warmest day looks like 30 October (62.4°), the coolest 24 October (30.5°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 October – 27 October | 53.8° | 52.8° | +0.6° |
| 28 October – 6 November | 57.6° | 49.4° | +4.5° |
| 7 November – 16 November | at normal | 43.9° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — New Bremen (11 mi).
0Jerden Falls, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 59°, low 39°.
0
Jerden Falls, Tuesday, 20 October
Mostly clear. High 57°, low 39°.
0Jerden Falls, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 57°, low 34°.
0
Jerden Falls, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 50°, low 35°.
0Jerden Falls, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 47°, low 32°.
0Jerden Falls, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 55°, low 31°.
0Jerden Falls, Sunday, 25 October
Mostly clear. High 59°, low 42°.
0Jerden Falls, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 52°, low 40°.
0Jerden Falls, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 45°, low 31°.
0Jerden Falls, Wednesday, 28 October
Clear. High 50°, low 31°.
0
Jerden Falls, Thursday, 29 October
Partly cloudy. High 57°, low 38°.
0.13
Jerden Falls, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 62°, low 51°.
0.05Jerden Falls, Saturday, 31 October
Light rain. High 56°, low 44°.
0Jerden Falls, Sunday, 1 November
Clear. High 61°, low 42°.
0.74Jerden Falls, Monday, 2 November
Rain. High 59°, low 50°.
0.13Jerden Falls, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15
Jerden Falls, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Jerden Falls, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19Jerden Falls, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Jerden Falls, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Jerden Falls, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Jerden Falls, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Jerden Falls, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Jerden Falls, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.18Jerden Falls, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Jerden Falls, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Jerden Falls, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Jerden Falls, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Jerden Falls, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Jerden Falls, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Jerden Falls, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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