Weather in Jerden Falls, NY
Jerden Falls, Friday, 23 October, 23:44
Overcast. Feels like 29°. High 54°, low 33°.
Monthly outlook for Jerden Falls, NY: average high 52.7°, average low 36.4°. That is 1.4° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 0.3 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 2.4 inches. The warmest day looks like 30 October (62.3°), the coolest 28 October (28°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 October – 1 November | 56.2° | 51.2° | +2.8° |
| 2 November – 11 November | 47° | 47.1° | -0.1° |
| 12 November – 21 November | at normal | 41.6° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — New Bremen (11 mi).
0
Jerden Falls, Saturday, 24 October
Partly cloudy. High 56°, low 29°.
0
Jerden Falls, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 62°, low 32°.
0.05
Jerden Falls, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 56°, low 42°.
0Jerden Falls, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 44°, low 30°.
0Jerden Falls, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 51°, low 28°.
0Jerden Falls, Thursday, 29 October
Partly cloudy. High 61°, low 44°.
0Jerden Falls, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 62°, low 47°.
0Jerden Falls, Saturday, 31 October
Clear. High 58°, low 42°.
0Jerden Falls, Sunday, 1 November
Clear. High 58°, low 43°.
0.07Jerden Falls, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 49°, low 44°.
0.09Jerden Falls, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 50°, low 39°.
0.03
Jerden Falls, Wednesday, 4 November
Light snow. High 38°, low 31°.
0.02Jerden Falls, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 49°, low 30°.
0Jerden Falls, Friday, 6 November
Overcast. High 44°, low 28°.
0.06Jerden Falls, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 52°, low 42°.
0.14
Jerden Falls, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Jerden Falls, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Jerden Falls, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Jerden Falls, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.18Jerden Falls, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Jerden Falls, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Jerden Falls, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Jerden Falls, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Jerden Falls, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Jerden Falls, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Jerden Falls, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Jerden Falls, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Jerden Falls, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Jerden Falls, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Jerden Falls, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Jerden Falls, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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