Weather in Jerden Falls, NY
Jerden Falls, Monday, 12 October, 16:27
Overcast. Feels like 61°. High 61°, low 50°.
Monthly outlook for Jerden Falls, NY: average high 56.1°, average low 43.9°. That is 1.1° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 9 days (about 3.7 inches), against a normal of 8 days and 2.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 24 October (70.3°), the coolest 17 October (33.1°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 October – 21 October | 54.9° | 55.3° | -0.2° |
| 22 October – 31 October | 58.3° | 51.3° | +3.9° |
| 1 November – 10 November | at normal | 47.8° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — New Bremen (11 mi).
1.44
Jerden Falls, Tuesday, 13 October
Heavy rain. High 65°, low 54°.
0.04Jerden Falls, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 61°, low 51°.
0
Jerden Falls, Thursday, 15 October
Partly cloudy. High 54°, low 45°.
0.54Jerden Falls, Friday, 16 October
Rain. High 50°, low 40°.
0.23
Jerden Falls, Saturday, 17 October
Snow. High 41°, low 33°.
0Jerden Falls, Sunday, 18 October
Light rain. High 45°, low 35°.
0
Jerden Falls, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 54°, low 35°.
0Jerden Falls, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 58°, low 41°.
0Jerden Falls, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 60°, low 43°.
0Jerden Falls, Thursday, 22 October
Partly cloudy. High 60°, low 43°.
0.06Jerden Falls, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 58°, low 50°.
0.11Jerden Falls, Saturday, 24 October
Light rain. High 70°, low 57°.
0.88Jerden Falls, Sunday, 25 October
Heavy rain. High 58°, low 46°.
0.01Jerden Falls, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 52°, low 40°.
0.34Jerden Falls, Tuesday, 27 October
Rain. High 51°, low 39°.
0.17
Jerden Falls, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Jerden Falls, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Jerden Falls, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Jerden Falls, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19Jerden Falls, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.2Jerden Falls, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Jerden Falls, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Jerden Falls, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Jerden Falls, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19Jerden Falls, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Jerden Falls, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Jerden Falls, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Jerden Falls, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Jerden Falls, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Jerden Falls, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Jerden Falls, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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