Monthly outlook for Jerden Falls, NY: average high 56.2°, average low 41.1°. That is 1.4° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 2.8 inches), against a normal of 8 days and 2.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 24 October (67.2°), the coolest 27 October (28.4°).
56.2°/41.1°
Average high / low
+1.4°
Above normal
4 / 8
Wet days / normal
2.8 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
13 October – 22 October
58°
54.7°
+1.8°
23 October – 1 November
53.2°
51.2°
+1.1°
2 November – 11 November
at normal
47.1°
—
October records over 66 years
85.1°4 October 2023All-time high
15.6°24 October 1969All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — New Bremen (11 mi).
Wed, 1462° / 52°0.14
62 °
Jerden Falls, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 62°, low 52°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind8.3 mph W
Humidity86%
Visibility5.3 mi
Dew point53°
Thu, 1556° / 46°0
56 °
Jerden Falls, Thursday, 15 October
Overcast. High 56°, low 46°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind4.1 mph N
Humidity51%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point34°
Fri, 1663° / 42°1.19
63 °
Jerden Falls, Friday, 16 October
Heavy rain. High 63°, low 42°.
Pressure29.38 inHg
Wind12.4 mph S
Humidity98%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point60°
Sat, 1741° / 32°0.03
41 °
Jerden Falls, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 41°, low 32°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind14.8 mph NW
Humidity65%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point18°
Sun, 1854° / 31°0
54 °
Jerden Falls, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 54°, low 31°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind14.5 mph SW
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Mon, 1960° / 43°0
60 °
Jerden Falls, Monday, 19 October
Overcast. High 60°, low 43°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind11 mph S
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Tue, 2059° / 43°0
59 °
Jerden Falls, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 59°, low 43°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind8.9 mph W
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Wed, 2159° / 39°0
59 °
Jerden Falls, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 59°, low 39°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind4.8 mph NE
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Thu, 2262° / 41°0
62 °
Jerden Falls, Thursday, 22 October
Mostly clear. High 62°, low 41°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind11.4 mph S
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Fri, 2366° / 53°0
66 °
Jerden Falls, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 66°, low 53°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind12.1 mph S
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Sat, 2467° / 52°0
67 °
Jerden Falls, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 67°, low 52°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind15.5 mph SW
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Sun, 2550° / 40°0
50 °
Jerden Falls, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 50°, low 40°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind13 mph W
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Mon, 2647° / 35°0.13
47 °
Jerden Falls, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 47°, low 35°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind6.9 mph W
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Tue, 2742° / 28°0
42 °
Jerden Falls, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 42°, low 28°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind10 mph NW
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Wed, 2847° / 29°0
47 °
Jerden Falls, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 47°, low 29°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind5.7 mph SE
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Thu, 2949° / 35°0.12
49 °
Jerden Falls, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high66° (1989)
Record low24° (1965)
Fri, 3049° / 35°0.11
49 °
Jerden Falls, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high72° (2024)
Record low22° (2008)
Sat, 3151° / 35°0.11
51 °
Jerden Falls, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high74° (2024)
Record low21° (1988)
Sun, 0151° / 37°0.19
51 °
Jerden Falls, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high69° (2024)
Record low25° (1965)
Mon, 0250° / 37°0.2
50 °
Jerden Falls, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high69° (1971)
Record low19° (2008)
Tue, 0350° / 36°0.13
50 °
Jerden Falls, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high67° (1982)
Record low13° (2002)
Wed, 0448° / 35°0.15
48 °
Jerden Falls, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high68° (2022)
Record low22° (1989)
Thu, 0548° / 36°0.17
48 °
Jerden Falls, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high72° (2022)
Record low19° (1962)
Fri, 0648° / 36°0.19
48 °
Jerden Falls, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high69° (2022)
Record low19° (1962)
Sat, 0746° / 33°0.11
46 °
Jerden Falls, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high67° (1975)
Record low10° (1962)
Sun, 0845° / 32°0.14
45 °
Jerden Falls, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high67° (2020)
Record low12° (1991)
Mon, 0946° / 32°0.13
46 °
Jerden Falls, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high70° (2020)
Record low6° (1991)
Tue, 1046° / 33°0.16
46 °
Jerden Falls, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high70° (2020)
Record low12° (1991)
Wed, 1144° / 33°0.17
44 °
Jerden Falls, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high65° (2020)
Record low10° (2017)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Jerden Falls, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Jerden Falls, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.