Weather in Jerden Falls, NY
Jerden Falls, Tuesday, 13 October, 08:11
Light rain. Feels like 53°. High 64°, low 52°.
Monthly outlook for Jerden Falls, NY: average high 56.2°, average low 42.5°. That is 1.4° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 3.1 inches), against a normal of 8 days and 2.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 23 October (68.5°), the coolest 27 October (28.5°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 October – 22 October | 58.1° | 54.7° | +1.9° |
| 23 October – 1 November | 53° | 51.2° | +1° |
| 2 November – 11 November | at normal | 47.1° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — New Bremen (11 mi).
0.06Jerden Falls, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 63°, low 53°.
0
Jerden Falls, Thursday, 15 October
Overcast. High 55°, low 45°.
1.19Jerden Falls, Friday, 16 October
Heavy rain. High 57°, low 39°.
0.02Jerden Falls, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 41°, low 33°.
0.03Jerden Falls, Sunday, 18 October
Light rain. High 55°, low 32°.
0Jerden Falls, Monday, 19 October
Overcast. High 57°, low 38°.
0
Jerden Falls, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 64°, low 44°.
0
Jerden Falls, Wednesday, 21 October
Partly cloudy. High 64°, low 47°.
0Jerden Falls, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 62°, low 53°.
0.01Jerden Falls, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 68°, low 55°.
0.06Jerden Falls, Saturday, 24 October
Light rain. High 63°, low 47°.
0.01Jerden Falls, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 51°, low 41°.
0.03
Jerden Falls, Monday, 26 October
Snow. High 45°, low 36°.
0Jerden Falls, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 41°, low 29°.
0.13Jerden Falls, Wednesday, 28 October
Light rain. High 49°, low 37°.
0.12
Jerden Falls, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Jerden Falls, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Jerden Falls, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19Jerden Falls, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.2Jerden Falls, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Jerden Falls, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Jerden Falls, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Jerden Falls, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19Jerden Falls, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Jerden Falls, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Jerden Falls, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Jerden Falls, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Jerden Falls, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Jerden Falls, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Jerden Falls, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Jerden Falls, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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