Monthly outlook for Dawson, MN: average high 63.2°, average low 48.2°. That is 2.8° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 0.8 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.2 inches. The warmest day looks like 10 October (83.4°), the coolest 17 October (38.7°).
63.2°/48.2°
Average high / low
+2.8°
Above normal
4 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.8 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
8 October – 17 October
65.9°
59.4°
+3.6°
18 October – 27 October
58.9°
55.3°
+2°
28 October – 6 November
at normal
49.7°
—
October records over 66 years
90.5°1 October 2023All-time high
10.2°26 October 2020All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Milan (14 mi).
Fri, 0975° / 47°0
75 °
Dawson, Friday, 9 October
Mostly clear. High 75°, low 47°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind9.1 mph SE
Humidity62%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point51°
Sat, 1083° / 60°0
83 °
Dawson, Saturday, 10 October
Clear. High 83°, low 60°.
Pressure29.62 inHg
Wind19.4 mph S
Humidity43%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point55°
Sun, 1181° / 60°0
81 °
Dawson, Sunday, 11 October
Overcast. High 81°, low 60°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind7.9 mph S
Humidity48%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point56°
Mon, 1260° / 51°0.21
60 °
Dawson, Monday, 12 October
Rain. High 60°, low 51°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind8.2 mph N
Humidity71%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point48°
Tue, 1356° / 50°0
56 °
Dawson, Tuesday, 13 October
Overcast. High 56°, low 50°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind10 mph NW
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Wed, 1459° / 50°0.26
59 °
Dawson, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 59°, low 50°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind16.4 mph E
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Thu, 1571° / 52°0.04
71 °
Dawson, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 71°, low 52°.
Pressure29.47 inHg
Wind24.1 mph SW
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Fri, 1648° / 44°0
48 °
Dawson, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 48°, low 44°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind20.2 mph W
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Sat, 1754° / 39°0
54 °
Dawson, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 54°, low 39°.
Pressure30.68 inHg
Wind7.9 mph S
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Sun, 1853° / 44°0.12
53 °
Dawson, Sunday, 18 October
Light rain. High 53°, low 44°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind14.2 mph S
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Mon, 1959° / 51°0.11
59 °
Dawson, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 59°, low 51°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind15.3 mph SW
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Tue, 2066° / 49°0
66 °
Dawson, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 66°, low 49°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind16.5 mph NW
Humidity32%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Wed, 2169° / 47°0
69 °
Dawson, Wednesday, 21 October
Overcast. High 69°, low 47°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind15.4 mph W
Humidity32%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Thu, 2251° / 42°0.04
51 °
Dawson, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 51°, low 42°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind25.1 mph NW
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Fri, 2355° / 40°0
55 °
Dawson, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 55°, low 40°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind20 mph SE
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 2454° / 38°0.03
54 °
Dawson, Saturday, 24 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high79° (1989)
Record low18° (2020)
Sun, 2554° / 39°0.04
54 °
Dawson, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high81° (1989)
Record low22° (2020)
Mon, 2655° / 38°0.06
55 °
Dawson, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high80° (1989)
Record low10° (2020)
Tue, 2753° / 38°0.09
53 °
Dawson, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high74° (1999)
Record low10° (2020)
Wed, 2852° / 37°0.04
52 °
Dawson, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high75° (2024)
Record low21° (1967)
Thu, 2952° / 36°0.07
52 °
Dawson, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high74° (2004)
Record low22° (1988)
Fri, 3051° / 37°0.1
51 °
Dawson, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high69° (1965)
Record low18° (1991)
Sat, 3151° / 35°0.09
51 °
Dawson, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high73° (1964)
Record low20° (1996)
Sun, 0149° / 35°0.06
49 °
Dawson, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high71° (1990)
Record low16° (1984)
Mon, 0249° / 34°0.04
49 °
Dawson, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high73° (2022)
Record low12° (1991)
Tue, 0348° / 34°0.04
48 °
Dawson, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high73° (1978)
Record low8° (1991)
Wed, 0448° / 32°0.02
48 °
Dawson, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high74° (2020)
Record low-5° (1991)
Thu, 0549° / 33°0.03
49 °
Dawson, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high71° (2001)
Record low8° (1991)
Fri, 0648° / 33°0.05
48 °
Dawson, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high75° (2020)
Record low-4° (1991)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Dawson, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Dawson, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.