Monthly outlook for Ash Lake, MN: average high 44.9°, average low 32.1°. That is 2.8° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 1.0 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 1 November (60°), the coolest 8 November (22.9°).
44.9°/32.1°
Average high / low
+2.8°
Above normal
4 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.0 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
28 October – 6 November
50.1°
41.9°
+4.6°
7 November – 16 November
36.2°
36°
+0.1°
17 November – 26 November
at normal
30.8°
—
October records over 66 years
81.5°2 October 2023All-time high
14°31 October 1996All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Orr (12 mi).
Thu, 2943° / 32°0
43 °
Ash Lake, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 43°, low 32°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind13.8 mph W
Humidity74%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point30°
Fri, 3047° / 30°0
47 °
Ash Lake, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 47°, low 30°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind4.7 mph W
Humidity62%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point30°
Sat, 3153° / 29°0
53 °
Ash Lake, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 53°, low 29°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind4.1 mph S
Humidity59%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point35°
Sun, 0160° / 40°0
60 °
Ash Lake, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 60°, low 40°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind6.6 mph S
Humidity85%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point48°
Mon, 0259° / 51°0.44
59 °
Ash Lake, Monday, 2 November
Rain. High 59°, low 51°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind9.1 mph S
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Tue, 0354° / 40°0.2
54 °
Ash Lake, Tuesday, 3 November
Rain. High 54°, low 40°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind12.8 mph NW
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Wed, 0454° / 43°0.03
54 °
Ash Lake, Wednesday, 4 November
Light rain. High 54°, low 43°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind4.7 mph S
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Thu, 0548° / 32°0.03
48 °
Ash Lake, Thursday, 5 November
Snow. High 48°, low 32°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind12 mph NW
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Fri, 0632° / 28°0.11
32 °
Ash Lake, Friday, 6 November
Light snow. High 32°, low 28°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind13.3 mph NW
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point21°
Sat, 0735° / 23°0
35 °
Ash Lake, Saturday, 7 November
Mostly clear. High 35°, low 23°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind10.4 mph NW
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point17°
Sun, 0838° / 23°0
38 °
Ash Lake, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 38°, low 23°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind6 mph W
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
Mon, 0940° / 25°0
40 °
Ash Lake, Monday, 9 November
Mostly clear. High 40°, low 25°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind6.7 mph W
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Tue, 1032° / 26°0.01
32 °
Ash Lake, Tuesday, 10 November
Light snow. High 32°, low 26°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind8.5 mph N
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Wed, 1133° / 25°0
33 °
Ash Lake, Wednesday, 11 November
Overcast. High 33°, low 25°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind10.6 mph NW
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point21°
Thu, 1238° / 24°0
38 °
Ash Lake, Thursday, 12 November
Overcast. High 38°, low 24°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind7.7 mph SW
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 1335° / 25°0.07
35 °
Ash Lake, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high58° (2016)
Record low-3° (1986)
Sat, 1436° / 25°0.04
36 °
Ash Lake, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high55° (2023)
Record low3° (1982)
Sun, 1536° / 25°0.04
36 °
Ash Lake, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high55° (2001)
Record low12° (2002)
Mon, 1635° / 24°0.08
35 °
Ash Lake, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high53° (2023)
Record low8° (1989)
Tue, 1734° / 25°0.07
34 °
Ash Lake, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high34°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high61° (2001)
Record low6° (2018)
Wed, 1833° / 23°0.08
33 °
Ash Lake, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high33°
Average low23°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high53° (2015)
Record low-1° (1986)
Thu, 1933° / 23°0.08
33 °
Ash Lake, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high33°
Average low23°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high50° (2012)
Record low1° (2018)
Fri, 2031° / 21°0.07
31 °
Ash Lake, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high31°
Average low21°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high48° (1982)
Record low-1° (1978)
Sat, 2131° / 19°0.04
31 °
Ash Lake, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high31°
Average low19°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high57° (1990)
Record low-4° (2018)
Sun, 2230° / 19°0.03
30 °
Ash Lake, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high30°
Average low19°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high50° (2006)
Record low-2° (1978)
Mon, 2329° / 19°0.06
29 °
Ash Lake, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high29°
Average low19°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high46° (2009)
Record low-2° (1995)
Tue, 2430° / 18°0.05
30 °
Ash Lake, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high30°
Average low18°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high47° (1984)
Record low-11° (1995)
Wed, 2529° / 18°0.04
29 °
Ash Lake, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high29°
Average low18°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high49° (1984)
Record low-11° (1985)
Thu, 2627° / 17°0.06
27 °
Ash Lake, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high27°
Average low17°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high44° (1962)
Record low-8° (1977)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Ash Lake, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Ash Lake, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.