Monthly outlook for Ash Lake, MN: average high 45.8°, average low 33.7°. That is 5.1° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 1.8 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 0.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 3 November (55.3°), the coolest 6 November (27°).
45.8°/33.7°
Average high / low
+5.1°
Above normal
2 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.8 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
3 November – 12 November
46.5°
37.9°
+4.8°
13 November – 22 November
44.7°
33.4°
+6.3°
23 November – 2 December
at normal
27°
—
November records over 66 years
66.2°2 November 2022All-time high
-18.4°29 November 1985All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Orr (12 mi).
Wed, 0447° / 45°1.45
47 °
Ash Lake, Wednesday, 4 November
Rain. High 47°, low 45°.
Pressure29.65 inHg
Wind12.8 mph NE
Humidity99%
Visibility1.4 mi
Dew point46°
Thu, 0544° / 32°0
44 °
Ash Lake, Thursday, 5 November
Overcast. High 44°, low 32°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind10.7 mph N
Humidity73%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point29°
Fri, 0643° / 27°0
43 °
Ash Lake, Friday, 6 November
Clear. High 43°, low 27°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind2.6 mph S
Humidity67%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point27°
Sat, 0745° / 28°0
45 °
Ash Lake, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 45°, low 28°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind6.6 mph S
Humidity63%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point29°
Sun, 0849° / 32°0
49 °
Ash Lake, Sunday, 8 November
Overcast. High 49°, low 32°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind9 mph W
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Mon, 0949° / 38°0
49 °
Ash Lake, Monday, 9 November
Overcast. High 49°, low 38°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind10.4 mph SW
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Tue, 1046° / 34°0
46 °
Ash Lake, Tuesday, 10 November
Partly cloudy. High 46°, low 34°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind8.4 mph W
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Wed, 1144° / 31°0
44 °
Ash Lake, Wednesday, 11 November
Clear. High 44°, low 31°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind6.4 mph E
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Thu, 1243° / 30°0
43 °
Ash Lake, Thursday, 12 November
Overcast. High 43°, low 30°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind5.8 mph SW
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Fri, 1347° / 31°0
47 °
Ash Lake, Friday, 13 November
Clear. High 47°, low 31°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind7.1 mph SW
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Sat, 1449° / 34°0
49 °
Ash Lake, Saturday, 14 November
Clear. High 49°, low 34°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind5.4 mph W
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Sun, 1539° / 36°0
39 °
Ash Lake, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 39°, low 36°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind12.7 mph N
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Mon, 1641° / 32°0
41 °
Ash Lake, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 41°, low 32°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind8.6 mph NE
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Tue, 1745° / 31°0
45 °
Ash Lake, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 45°, low 31°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind5.1 mph SW
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Wed, 1846° / 32°0
46 °
Ash Lake, Wednesday, 18 November
Clear. High 46°, low 32°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind8.8 mph SW
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Thu, 1933° / 23°0.08
33 °
Ash Lake, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high33°
Average low23°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high50° (2012)
Record low1° (2018)
Fri, 2031° / 21°0.07
31 °
Ash Lake, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high31°
Average low21°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high48° (1982)
Record low-1° (1978)
Sat, 2131° / 19°0.04
31 °
Ash Lake, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high31°
Average low19°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high57° (1990)
Record low-4° (2018)
Sun, 2230° / 19°0.03
30 °
Ash Lake, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high30°
Average low19°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high50° (2006)
Record low-2° (1978)
Mon, 2329° / 19°0.06
29 °
Ash Lake, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high29°
Average low19°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high46° (2009)
Record low-2° (1995)
Tue, 2430° / 18°0.05
30 °
Ash Lake, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high30°
Average low18°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high47° (1984)
Record low-11° (1995)
Wed, 2529° / 18°0.04
29 °
Ash Lake, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high29°
Average low18°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high49° (1984)
Record low-11° (1985)
Thu, 2627° / 17°0.06
27 °
Ash Lake, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high27°
Average low17°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high44° (1962)
Record low-8° (1977)
Fri, 2726° / 16°0.05
26 °
Ash Lake, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high26°
Average low16°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high45° (1962)
Record low-11° (1985)
Sat, 2826° / 15°0.06
26 °
Ash Lake, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high26°
Average low15°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high43° (1962)
Record low-12° (1985)
Sun, 2928° / 15°0.03
28 °
Ash Lake, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high28°
Average low15°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high47° (1998)
Record low-18° (1985)
Mon, 3026° / 15°0.04
26 °
Ash Lake, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high26°
Average low15°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high44° (1962)
Record low-11° (1964)
Tue, 0125° / 13°0.05
25 °
Ash Lake, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high25°
Average low13°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high50° (1962)
Record low-14° (1976)
Wed, 0224° / 12°0.03
24 °
Ash Lake, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high24°
Average low12°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high49° (1982)
Record low-21° (1976)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Ash Lake, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Ash Lake, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.