Monthly outlook for Ash Lake, MN: average high 43.8°, average low 32.1°. That is 7.5° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 0.6 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 0.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 21 November (52.7°), the coolest 23 November (20.9°).
43.8°/32.1°
Average high / low
+7.5°
Above normal
4 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.6 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
15 November – 24 November
43.2°
32.2°
+6.1°
25 November – 4 December
44.8°
26°
+10.5°
5 December – 14 December
at normal
21°
—
November records over 66 years
66.2°2 November 2022All-time high
-18.4°29 November 1985All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Orr (12 mi).
Mon, 1648° / 27°0
48 °
Ash Lake, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 48°, low 27°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind9.4 mph SW
Humidity61%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point33°
Tue, 1746° / 35°0
46 °
Ash Lake, Tuesday, 17 November
Overcast. High 46°, low 35°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind8.1 mph S
Humidity83%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point41°
Wed, 1850° / 36°0
50 °
Ash Lake, Wednesday, 18 November
Partly cloudy. High 50°, low 36°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind9.5 mph S
Humidity69%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point39°
Thu, 1944° / 36°0.06
44 °
Ash Lake, Thursday, 19 November
Light rain. High 44°, low 36°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind13.2 mph W
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Fri, 2041° / 33°0.05
41 °
Ash Lake, Friday, 20 November
Light rain. High 41°, low 33°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind7.1 mph S
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Sat, 2153° / 32°0.41
53 °
Ash Lake, Saturday, 21 November
Snow. High 53°, low 32°.
Pressure29.44 inHg
Wind14.7 mph NW
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Sun, 2229° / 22°0.07
29 °
Ash Lake, Sunday, 22 November
Snow. High 29°, low 22°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind16.1 mph N
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point16°
Mon, 2333° / 21°0
33 °
Ash Lake, Monday, 23 November
Clear. High 33°, low 21°.
Pressure30.56 inHg
Wind10.7 mph S
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point16°
Tue, 2440° / 29°0
40 °
Ash Lake, Tuesday, 24 November
Partly cloudy. High 40°, low 29°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind13 mph S
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Wed, 2544° / 34°0
44 °
Ash Lake, Wednesday, 25 November
Overcast. High 44°, low 34°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind10.2 mph S
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Thu, 2647° / 41°0
47 °
Ash Lake, Thursday, 26 November
Overcast. High 47°, low 41°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind8.1 mph S
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Fri, 2745° / 40°0
45 °
Ash Lake, Friday, 27 November
Overcast. High 45°, low 40°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind8.3 mph NW
Humidity98%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Sat, 2842° / 35°0
42 °
Ash Lake, Saturday, 28 November
Overcast. High 42°, low 35°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind6 mph W
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Sun, 2945° / 35°0
45 °
Ash Lake, Sunday, 29 November
Partly cloudy. High 45°, low 35°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind8.2 mph W
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Mon, 3045° / 33°0
45 °
Ash Lake, Monday, 30 November
Clear. High 45°, low 33°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind4.6 mph SW
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 0125° / 13°0.05
25 °
Ash Lake, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high25°
Average low13°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high50° (1962)
Record low-14° (1976)
Wed, 0224° / 12°0.03
24 °
Ash Lake, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high24°
Average low12°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high49° (1982)
Record low-21° (1976)
Thu, 0324° / 12°0.03
24 °
Ash Lake, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high24°
Average low12°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high50° (1962)
Record low-16° (1972)
Fri, 0424° / 11°0.04
24 °
Ash Lake, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high24°
Average low11°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high47° (1962)
Record low-17° (1991)
Sat, 0524° / 11°0.04
24 °
Ash Lake, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high24°
Average low11°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high43° (2015)
Record low-15° (1964)
Sun, 0621° / 8°0.04
21 °
Ash Lake, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high21°
Average low8°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high41° (2015)
Record low-21° (1972)
Mon, 0721° / 8°0.02
21 °
Ash Lake, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high21°
Average low8°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high45° (2023)
Record low-18° (2013)
Tue, 0821° / 9°0.04
21 °
Ash Lake, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high21°
Average low9°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high41° (2015)
Record low-21° (2013)
Wed, 0922° / 8°0.05
22 °
Ash Lake, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high22°
Average low8°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high42° (2006)
Record low-17° (1972)
Thu, 1019° / 6°0.02
19 °
Ash Lake, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high19°
Average low6°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high38° (1979)
Record low-23° (1977)
Fri, 1120° / 5°0.02
20 °
Ash Lake, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high20°
Average low5°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high40° (2011)
Record low-25° (1995)
Sat, 1220° / 7°0.04
20 °
Ash Lake, Saturday, 12 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high20°
Average low7°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high40° (1998)
Record low-26° (1995)
Sun, 1320° / 7°0.05
20 °
Ash Lake, Sunday, 13 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high20°
Average low7°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high38° (2014)
Record low-20° (1995)
Mon, 1422° / 8°0.05
22 °
Ash Lake, Monday, 14 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high22°
Average low8°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high45° (1998)
Record low-18° (2025)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Ash Lake, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Ash Lake, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.