Monthly outlook for Ash Lake, MN: average high 38.6°, average low 29°. That is 3.5° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 0.6 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 0.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 16 November (50.5°), the coolest 26 November (13.7°).
38.6°/29°
Average high / low
+3.5°
Above normal
5 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.6 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
11 November – 20 November
42.8°
34.1°
+4.8°
21 November – 30 November
31.6°
28.3°
+1.8°
1 December – 10 December
at normal
22.5°
—
November records over 66 years
66.2°2 November 2022All-time high
-18.4°29 November 1985All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Orr (12 mi).
Thu, 1233° / 25°0
33 °
Ash Lake, Thursday, 12 November
Overcast. High 33°, low 25°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind7 mph N
Humidity88%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point21°
Fri, 1334° / 25°0
34 °
Ash Lake, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 34°, low 25°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind3.4 mph N
Humidity89%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point21°
Sat, 1440° / 25°0
40 °
Ash Lake, Saturday, 14 November
Clear. High 40°, low 25°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind1.8 mph S
Humidity67%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point20°
Sun, 1545° / 27°0
45 °
Ash Lake, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 45°, low 27°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind8 mph S
Humidity62%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point26°
Mon, 1650° / 38°0
50 °
Ash Lake, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 50°, low 38°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind12.2 mph S
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Tue, 1748° / 38°0
48 °
Ash Lake, Tuesday, 17 November
Overcast. High 48°, low 38°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind11.5 mph S
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Wed, 1850° / 40°0
50 °
Ash Lake, Wednesday, 18 November
Partly cloudy. High 50°, low 40°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind9.3 mph S
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Thu, 1948° / 38°0.18
48 °
Ash Lake, Thursday, 19 November
Light rain. High 48°, low 38°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind9.7 mph NE
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Fri, 2039° / 30°0.06
39 °
Ash Lake, Friday, 20 November
Light rain. High 39°, low 30°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind6.7 mph NW
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Sat, 2138° / 28°0
38 °
Ash Lake, Saturday, 21 November
Overcast. High 38°, low 28°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind5 mph SW
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Sun, 2237° / 30°0
37 °
Ash Lake, Sunday, 22 November
Overcast. High 37°, low 30°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind6.4 mph N
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Mon, 2333° / 27°0
33 °
Ash Lake, Monday, 23 November
Light snow. High 33°, low 27°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind5.8 mph S
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
Tue, 2432° / 26°0.1
32 °
Ash Lake, Tuesday, 24 November
Light snow. High 32°, low 26°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind7.6 mph NW
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Wed, 2528° / 21°0.15
28 °
Ash Lake, Wednesday, 25 November
Light snow. High 28°, low 21°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind9.8 mph NW
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Thu, 2621° / 14°0.09
21 °
Ash Lake, Thursday, 26 November
Light snow. High 21°, low 14°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind11.4 mph NW
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point14°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 2726° / 16°0.05
26 °
Ash Lake, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high26°
Average low16°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high45° (1962)
Record low-11° (1985)
Sat, 2826° / 15°0.06
26 °
Ash Lake, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high26°
Average low15°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high43° (1962)
Record low-12° (1985)
Sun, 2928° / 15°0.03
28 °
Ash Lake, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high28°
Average low15°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high47° (1998)
Record low-18° (1985)
Mon, 3026° / 15°0.04
26 °
Ash Lake, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high26°
Average low15°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high44° (1962)
Record low-11° (1964)
Tue, 0125° / 13°0.05
25 °
Ash Lake, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high25°
Average low13°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high50° (1962)
Record low-14° (1976)
Wed, 0224° / 12°0.03
24 °
Ash Lake, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high24°
Average low12°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high49° (1982)
Record low-21° (1976)
Thu, 0324° / 12°0.03
24 °
Ash Lake, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high24°
Average low12°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high50° (1962)
Record low-16° (1972)
Fri, 0424° / 11°0.04
24 °
Ash Lake, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high24°
Average low11°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high47° (1962)
Record low-17° (1991)
Sat, 0524° / 11°0.04
24 °
Ash Lake, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high24°
Average low11°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high43° (2015)
Record low-15° (1964)
Sun, 0621° / 8°0.04
21 °
Ash Lake, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high21°
Average low8°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high41° (2015)
Record low-21° (1972)
Mon, 0721° / 8°0.02
21 °
Ash Lake, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high21°
Average low8°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high45° (2023)
Record low-18° (2013)
Tue, 0821° / 9°0.04
21 °
Ash Lake, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high21°
Average low9°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high41° (2015)
Record low-21° (2013)
Wed, 0922° / 8°0.05
22 °
Ash Lake, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high22°
Average low8°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high42° (2006)
Record low-17° (1972)
Thu, 1019° / 6°0.02
19 °
Ash Lake, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high19°
Average low6°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high38° (1979)
Record low-23° (1977)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Ash Lake, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Ash Lake, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.