Monthly outlook for Ash Lake, MN: average high 51.1°, average low 38.4°. That is 4.7° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 1.4 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 24 October (61.9°), the coolest 30 October (31.2°).
51.1°/38.4°
Average high / low
+4.7°
Above normal
7 / 5
Wet days / normal
1.4 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
24 October – 2 November
50.3°
44.4°
+3.2°
3 November – 12 November
52.5°
37.9°
+8.1°
13 November – 22 November
at normal
33.4°
—
October records over 66 years
81.5°2 October 2023All-time high
14°31 October 1996All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Orr (12 mi).
Sun, 2550° / 36°0
50 °
Ash Lake, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 50°, low 36°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind8.9 mph W
Humidity51%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point24°
Mon, 2644° / 31°0
44 °
Ash Lake, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 44°, low 31°.
Pressure30.56 inHg
Wind5.1 mph NE
Humidity67%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point26°
Tue, 2745° / 33°0.17
45 °
Ash Lake, Tuesday, 27 October
Light rain. High 45°, low 33°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind12.7 mph SE
Humidity98%
Visibility5.5 mi
Dew point40°
Wed, 2849° / 43°0.19
49 °
Ash Lake, Wednesday, 28 October
Rain. High 49°, low 43°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind13 mph SW
Humidity88%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point44°
Thu, 2946° / 34°0
46 °
Ash Lake, Thursday, 29 October
Mostly clear. High 46°, low 34°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind10.6 mph W
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Fri, 3049° / 31°0.2
49 °
Ash Lake, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 49°, low 31°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind9.5 mph E
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Sat, 3157° / 46°0.19
57 °
Ash Lake, Saturday, 31 October
Light rain. High 57°, low 46°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind7.7 mph S
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Sun, 0153° / 43°0.37
53 °
Ash Lake, Sunday, 1 November
Rain. High 53°, low 43°.
Pressure29.59 inHg
Wind13.1 mph NW
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Mon, 0249° / 42°0.05
49 °
Ash Lake, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 49°, low 42°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind13.5 mph N
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Tue, 0353° / 37°0
53 °
Ash Lake, Tuesday, 3 November
Clear. High 53°, low 37°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind8.7 mph NE
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Wed, 0451° / 36°0
51 °
Ash Lake, Wednesday, 4 November
Partly cloudy. High 51°, low 36°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind7.9 mph E
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Thu, 0547° / 37°0
47 °
Ash Lake, Thursday, 5 November
Overcast. High 47°, low 37°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind6.7 mph S
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Fri, 0653° / 39°0
53 °
Ash Lake, Friday, 6 November
Overcast. High 53°, low 39°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind7.2 mph SW
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Sat, 0756° / 39°0
56 °
Ash Lake, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 56°, low 39°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind6.8 mph SW
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Sun, 0856° / 41°0
56 °
Ash Lake, Sunday, 8 November
Mostly clear. High 56°, low 41°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind9.1 mph SE
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 0938° / 27°0.07
38 °
Ash Lake, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high62° (2020)
Record low6° (2017)
Tue, 1035° / 26°0.06
35 °
Ash Lake, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high59° (2010)
Record low-2° (2017)
Wed, 1135° / 25°0.05
35 °
Ash Lake, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high54° (2010)
Record low3° (1995)
Thu, 1234° / 24°0.04
34 °
Ash Lake, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high34°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high53° (2016)
Record low-3° (1966)
Fri, 1335° / 25°0.07
35 °
Ash Lake, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high58° (2016)
Record low-3° (1986)
Sat, 1436° / 25°0.04
36 °
Ash Lake, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high55° (2023)
Record low3° (1982)
Sun, 1536° / 25°0.04
36 °
Ash Lake, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high55° (2001)
Record low12° (2002)
Mon, 1635° / 24°0.08
35 °
Ash Lake, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high53° (2023)
Record low8° (1989)
Tue, 1734° / 25°0.07
34 °
Ash Lake, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high34°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high61° (2001)
Record low6° (2018)
Wed, 1833° / 23°0.08
33 °
Ash Lake, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high33°
Average low23°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high53° (2015)
Record low-1° (1986)
Thu, 1933° / 23°0.08
33 °
Ash Lake, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high33°
Average low23°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high50° (2012)
Record low1° (2018)
Fri, 2031° / 21°0.07
31 °
Ash Lake, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high31°
Average low21°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high48° (1982)
Record low-1° (1978)
Sat, 2131° / 19°0.04
31 °
Ash Lake, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high31°
Average low19°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high57° (1990)
Record low-4° (2018)
Sun, 2230° / 19°0.03
30 °
Ash Lake, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high30°
Average low19°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high50° (2006)
Record low-2° (1978)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Ash Lake, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Ash Lake, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.