Monthly outlook for Ash Lake, MN: average high 49.8°, average low 36.8°. That is 5.5° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 0.4 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 1 November (62.2°), the coolest 31 October (27.2°).
49.8°/36.8°
Average high / low
+5.5°
Above normal
4 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.4 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
28 October – 6 November
51.2°
41.9°
+5.2°
7 November – 16 November
47.5°
36°
+6.4°
17 November – 26 November
at normal
30.8°
—
October records over 66 years
81.5°2 October 2023All-time high
14°31 October 1996All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Orr (12 mi).
Thu, 2944° / 33°0
44 °
Ash Lake, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 44°, low 33°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind13.1 mph W
Humidity73%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point30°
Fri, 3048° / 31°0
48 °
Ash Lake, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 48°, low 31°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind4.9 mph W
Humidity63%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point32°
Sat, 3154° / 27°0
54 °
Ash Lake, Saturday, 31 October
Mostly clear. High 54°, low 27°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind3 mph SE
Humidity72%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Sun, 0162° / 39°0
62 °
Ash Lake, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 62°, low 39°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind9.6 mph S
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Mon, 0260° / 51°0
60 °
Ash Lake, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 60°, low 51°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind11.1 mph SE
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Tue, 0352° / 47°0
52 °
Ash Lake, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 52°, low 47°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind10.2 mph E
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Wed, 0450° / 45°0.17
50 °
Ash Lake, Wednesday, 4 November
Light rain. High 50°, low 45°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind8.2 mph N
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Thu, 0545° / 33°0
45 °
Ash Lake, Thursday, 5 November
Clear. High 45°, low 33°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind8.9 mph N
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Fri, 0642° / 29°0
42 °
Ash Lake, Friday, 6 November
Overcast. High 42°, low 29°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind4.9 mph S
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Sat, 0747° / 30°0
47 °
Ash Lake, Saturday, 7 November
Partly cloudy. High 47°, low 30°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind9 mph S
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Sun, 0852° / 34°0
52 °
Ash Lake, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 52°, low 34°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind7.6 mph S
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Mon, 0953° / 39°0
53 °
Ash Lake, Monday, 9 November
Overcast. High 53°, low 39°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind8.7 mph S
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Tue, 1056° / 41°0.01
56 °
Ash Lake, Tuesday, 10 November
Light rain. High 56°, low 41°.
Pressure29.59 inHg
Wind9.1 mph W
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Wed, 1142° / 34°0.04
42 °
Ash Lake, Wednesday, 11 November
Light snow. High 42°, low 34°.
Pressure29.59 inHg
Wind9.5 mph W
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Thu, 1236° / 32°0.06
36 °
Ash Lake, Thursday, 12 November
Light snow. High 36°, low 32°.
Pressure29.53 inHg
Wind7.9 mph NW
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 1335° / 25°0.07
35 °
Ash Lake, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high58° (2016)
Record low-3° (1986)
Sat, 1436° / 25°0.04
36 °
Ash Lake, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high55° (2023)
Record low3° (1982)
Sun, 1536° / 25°0.04
36 °
Ash Lake, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high55° (2001)
Record low12° (2002)
Mon, 1635° / 24°0.08
35 °
Ash Lake, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high53° (2023)
Record low8° (1989)
Tue, 1734° / 25°0.07
34 °
Ash Lake, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high34°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high61° (2001)
Record low6° (2018)
Wed, 1833° / 23°0.08
33 °
Ash Lake, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high33°
Average low23°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high53° (2015)
Record low-1° (1986)
Thu, 1933° / 23°0.08
33 °
Ash Lake, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high33°
Average low23°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high50° (2012)
Record low1° (2018)
Fri, 2031° / 21°0.07
31 °
Ash Lake, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high31°
Average low21°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high48° (1982)
Record low-1° (1978)
Sat, 2131° / 19°0.04
31 °
Ash Lake, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high31°
Average low19°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high57° (1990)
Record low-4° (2018)
Sun, 2230° / 19°0.03
30 °
Ash Lake, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high30°
Average low19°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high50° (2006)
Record low-2° (1978)
Mon, 2329° / 19°0.06
29 °
Ash Lake, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high29°
Average low19°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high46° (2009)
Record low-2° (1995)
Tue, 2430° / 18°0.05
30 °
Ash Lake, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high30°
Average low18°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high47° (1984)
Record low-11° (1995)
Wed, 2529° / 18°0.04
29 °
Ash Lake, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high29°
Average low18°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high49° (1984)
Record low-11° (1985)
Thu, 2627° / 17°0.06
27 °
Ash Lake, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high27°
Average low17°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high44° (1962)
Record low-8° (1977)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Ash Lake, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Ash Lake, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.