Monthly outlook for Ash Lake, MN: average high 51.3°, average low 37°. That is 3.9° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 1.4 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 24 October (67.8°), the coolest 30 October (26.7°).
51.3°/37°
Average high / low
+3.9°
Above normal
4 / 5
Wet days / normal
1.4 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
21 October – 30 October
54.1°
46°
+4.5°
31 October – 9 November
46.5°
40.2°
+3.5°
10 November – 19 November
at normal
34.4°
—
October records over 66 years
81.5°2 October 2023All-time high
14°31 October 1996All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Orr (12 mi).
Thu, 2263° / 37°0
63 °
Ash Lake, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 63°, low 37°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind6.1 mph S
Humidity60%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point45°
Fri, 2368° / 43°0
68 °
Ash Lake, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 68°, low 43°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind10.7 mph S
Humidity81%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point53°
Sat, 2468° / 51°0.27
68 °
Ash Lake, Saturday, 24 October
Rain. High 68°, low 51°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind13.5 mph SW
Humidity61%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point52°
Sun, 2548° / 37°0
48 °
Ash Lake, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 48°, low 37°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind8 mph NW
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Mon, 2644° / 40°0.01
44 °
Ash Lake, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 44°, low 40°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind7.2 mph NE
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Tue, 2748° / 33°0
48 °
Ash Lake, Tuesday, 27 October
Partly cloudy. High 48°, low 33°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind10.1 mph S
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Wed, 2847° / 32°0.01
47 °
Ash Lake, Wednesday, 28 October
Light rain. High 47°, low 32°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind10.3 mph NW
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Thu, 2947° / 29°0
47 °
Ash Lake, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 47°, low 29°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind10 mph W
Humidity38%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
Fri, 3048° / 27°0
48 °
Ash Lake, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 48°, low 27°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind11.4 mph SE
Humidity33%
Visibility—
Dew point15°
Sat, 3146° / 40°0.59
46 °
Ash Lake, Saturday, 31 October
Rain. High 46°, low 40°.
Pressure29.56 inHg
Wind14.5 mph SE
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Sun, 0149° / 40°0
49 °
Ash Lake, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 49°, low 40°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind8.3 mph W
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Mon, 0247° / 32°0
47 °
Ash Lake, Monday, 2 November
Clear. High 47°, low 32°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind5.5 mph N
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Tue, 0349° / 32°0
49 °
Ash Lake, Tuesday, 3 November
Clear. High 49°, low 32°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind6.8 mph N
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Wed, 0443° / 34°0.14
43 °
Ash Lake, Wednesday, 4 November
Light rain. High 43°, low 34°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind8.8 mph NE
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Thu, 0546° / 40°0.35
46 °
Ash Lake, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 46°, low 40°.
Pressure29.50 inHg
Wind9.4 mph NE
Humidity98%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 0640° / 29°0.06
40 °
Ash Lake, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high65° (2016)
Record low2° (1991)
Sat, 0740° / 28°0.05
40 °
Ash Lake, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high61° (2016)
Record low-1° (1991)
Sun, 0838° / 28°0.05
38 °
Ash Lake, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high64° (2020)
Record low-1° (2003)
Mon, 0938° / 27°0.07
38 °
Ash Lake, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high62° (2020)
Record low6° (2017)
Tue, 1035° / 26°0.06
35 °
Ash Lake, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high59° (2010)
Record low-2° (2017)
Wed, 1135° / 25°0.05
35 °
Ash Lake, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high54° (2010)
Record low3° (1995)
Thu, 1234° / 24°0.04
34 °
Ash Lake, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high34°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high53° (2016)
Record low-3° (1966)
Fri, 1335° / 25°0.07
35 °
Ash Lake, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high58° (2016)
Record low-3° (1986)
Sat, 1436° / 25°0.04
36 °
Ash Lake, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high55° (2023)
Record low3° (1982)
Sun, 1536° / 25°0.04
36 °
Ash Lake, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high55° (2001)
Record low12° (2002)
Mon, 1635° / 24°0.08
35 °
Ash Lake, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high53° (2023)
Record low8° (1989)
Tue, 1734° / 25°0.07
34 °
Ash Lake, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high34°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high61° (2001)
Record low6° (2018)
Wed, 1833° / 23°0.08
33 °
Ash Lake, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high33°
Average low23°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high53° (2015)
Record low-1° (1986)
Thu, 1933° / 23°0.08
33 °
Ash Lake, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high33°
Average low23°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high50° (2012)
Record low1° (2018)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Ash Lake, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Ash Lake, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.