Monthly outlook for Ash Lake, MN: average high 48.4°, average low 38.7°. That is 6.2° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 2.6 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 0.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 16 November (58.4°), the coolest 12 November (28.9°).
48.4°/38.7°
Average high / low
+6.2°
Above normal
5 / 4
Wet days / normal
2.6 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
2 November – 11 November
45.3°
38.6°
+3.7°
12 November – 21 November
53.6°
33.8°
+11°
22 November – 1 December
at normal
27.7°
—
November records over 66 years
66.2°2 November 2022All-time high
-18.4°29 November 1985All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Orr (12 mi).
Tue, 0352° / 47°0.67
52 °
Ash Lake, Tuesday, 3 November
Rain. High 52°, low 47°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind9.5 mph N
Humidity98%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point51°
Wed, 0447° / 43°0.72
47 °
Ash Lake, Wednesday, 4 November
Rain. High 47°, low 43°.
Pressure29.59 inHg
Wind10.5 mph NE
Humidity99%
Visibility1.5 mi
Dew point45°
Thu, 0543° / 39°0.09
43 °
Ash Lake, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 43°, low 39°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind13 mph NE
Humidity72%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point35°
Fri, 0641° / 31°0
41 °
Ash Lake, Friday, 6 November
Overcast. High 41°, low 31°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind6.2 mph NE
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Sat, 0740° / 31°0
40 °
Ash Lake, Saturday, 7 November
Overcast. High 40°, low 31°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind6.8 mph S
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Sun, 0848° / 33°0
48 °
Ash Lake, Sunday, 8 November
Overcast. High 48°, low 33°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind8.9 mph W
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Mon, 0946° / 33°0
46 °
Ash Lake, Monday, 9 November
Overcast. High 46°, low 33°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind4.4 mph NW
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Tue, 1045° / 32°0
45 °
Ash Lake, Tuesday, 10 November
Clear. High 45°, low 32°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind6.7 mph NW
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Wed, 1137° / 31°0
37 °
Ash Lake, Wednesday, 11 November
Overcast. High 37°, low 31°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind5.9 mph NE
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Thu, 1243° / 29°0
43 °
Ash Lake, Thursday, 12 November
Partly cloudy. High 43°, low 29°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind8.6 mph S
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Fri, 1354° / 36°0
54 °
Ash Lake, Friday, 13 November
Clear. High 54°, low 36°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind10.1 mph SW
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Sat, 1456° / 45°0
56 °
Ash Lake, Saturday, 14 November
Mostly clear. High 56°, low 45°.
Pressure29.56 inHg
Wind11.3 mph W
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Sun, 1551° / 40°0
51 °
Ash Lake, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 51°, low 40°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind9.9 mph W
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Mon, 1658° / 43°0
58 °
Ash Lake, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 58°, low 43°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind11.1 mph S
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Tue, 1758° / 57°0.07
58 °
Ash Lake, Tuesday, 17 November
Light rain. High 58°, low 57°.
Pressure29.53 inHg
Wind11.5 mph S
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Wed, 1833° / 23°0.08
33 °
Ash Lake, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high33°
Average low23°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high53° (2015)
Record low-1° (1986)
Thu, 1933° / 23°0.08
33 °
Ash Lake, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high33°
Average low23°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high50° (2012)
Record low1° (2018)
Fri, 2031° / 21°0.07
31 °
Ash Lake, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high31°
Average low21°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high48° (1982)
Record low-1° (1978)
Sat, 2131° / 19°0.04
31 °
Ash Lake, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high31°
Average low19°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high57° (1990)
Record low-4° (2018)
Sun, 2230° / 19°0.03
30 °
Ash Lake, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high30°
Average low19°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high50° (2006)
Record low-2° (1978)
Mon, 2329° / 19°0.06
29 °
Ash Lake, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high29°
Average low19°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high46° (2009)
Record low-2° (1995)
Tue, 2430° / 18°0.05
30 °
Ash Lake, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high30°
Average low18°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high47° (1984)
Record low-11° (1995)
Wed, 2529° / 18°0.04
29 °
Ash Lake, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high29°
Average low18°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high49° (1984)
Record low-11° (1985)
Thu, 2627° / 17°0.06
27 °
Ash Lake, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high27°
Average low17°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high44° (1962)
Record low-8° (1977)
Fri, 2726° / 16°0.05
26 °
Ash Lake, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high26°
Average low16°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high45° (1962)
Record low-11° (1985)
Sat, 2826° / 15°0.06
26 °
Ash Lake, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high26°
Average low15°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high43° (1962)
Record low-12° (1985)
Sun, 2928° / 15°0.03
28 °
Ash Lake, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high28°
Average low15°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high47° (1998)
Record low-18° (1985)
Mon, 3026° / 15°0.04
26 °
Ash Lake, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high26°
Average low15°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high44° (1962)
Record low-11° (1964)
Tue, 0125° / 13°0.05
25 °
Ash Lake, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high25°
Average low13°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high50° (1962)
Record low-14° (1976)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Ash Lake, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Ash Lake, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.