Monthly outlook for Elm Beach, NY: average high 46.1°, average low 35.6°. That is 1.2° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 1.0 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 21 November (56.1°), the coolest 24 November (28.8°).
46.1°/35.6°
Average high / low
+1.2°
Above normal
5 / 7
Wet days / normal
1.0 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
11 November – 20 November
46.8°
44.9°
+1.1°
21 November – 30 November
45°
42.1°
+1.6°
1 December – 10 December
at normal
37.7°
—
November records over 66 years
73.4°6 November 2022All-time high
6.3°23 November 2018All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Covert (8 mi).
Thu, 1248° / 40°0.47
48 °
Elm Beach, Thursday, 12 November
Rain. High 48°, low 40°.
Pressure29.65 inHg
Wind12.3 mph NE
Humidity95%
Visibility2.7 mi
Dew point43°
Fri, 1341° / 36°0.11
41 °
Elm Beach, Friday, 13 November
Snow. High 41°, low 36°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind11.8 mph N
Humidity72%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point30°
Sat, 1442° / 38°0.05
42 °
Elm Beach, Saturday, 14 November
Light rain. High 42°, low 38°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind12.1 mph NW
Humidity76%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point33°
Sun, 1544° / 40°0.16
44 °
Elm Beach, Sunday, 15 November
Light rain. High 44°, low 40°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind12 mph NW
Humidity82%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point37°
Mon, 1644° / 37°0
44 °
Elm Beach, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 44°, low 37°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind10.9 mph NW
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Tue, 1744° / 31°0
44 °
Elm Beach, Tuesday, 17 November
Overcast. High 44°, low 31°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind4.2 mph N
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Wed, 1848° / 31°0
48 °
Elm Beach, Wednesday, 18 November
Overcast. High 48°, low 31°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind9.8 mph N
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Thu, 1950° / 31°0
50 °
Elm Beach, Thursday, 19 November
Mostly clear. High 50°, low 31°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind7.6 mph N
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Fri, 2054° / 35°0
54 °
Elm Beach, Friday, 20 November
Partly cloudy. High 54°, low 35°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind6.4 mph S
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Sat, 2156° / 42°0.03
56 °
Elm Beach, Saturday, 21 November
Light rain. High 56°, low 42°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind19.9 mph SW
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Sun, 2249° / 38°0.13
49 °
Elm Beach, Sunday, 22 November
Snow. High 49°, low 38°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind16.5 mph W
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Mon, 2342° / 31°0
42 °
Elm Beach, Monday, 23 November
Mostly clear. High 42°, low 31°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind11.6 mph W
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Tue, 2442° / 29°0.01
42 °
Elm Beach, Tuesday, 24 November
Light snow. High 42°, low 29°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind12.7 mph SW
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Wed, 2540° / 36°0.02
40 °
Elm Beach, Wednesday, 25 November
Light rain. High 40°, low 36°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind13.1 mph SW
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Thu, 2641° / 36°0.03
41 °
Elm Beach, Thursday, 26 November
Light rain. High 41°, low 36°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind8.4 mph S
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 2742° / 32°0.09
42 °
Elm Beach, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high61° (1988)
Record low19° (1977)
Sat, 2843° / 32°0.2
43 °
Elm Beach, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high65° (1990)
Record low16° (1996)
Sun, 2940° / 31°0.11
40 °
Elm Beach, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high60° (2005)
Record low16° (2014)
Mon, 3040° / 30°0.09
40 °
Elm Beach, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high61° (1991)
Record low10° (1976)
Tue, 0140° / 29°0.15
40 °
Elm Beach, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high60° (2006)
Record low12° (1976)
Wed, 0239° / 28°0.11
39 °
Elm Beach, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high58° (1998)
Record low9° (1976)
Thu, 0339° / 28°0.12
39 °
Elm Beach, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high58° (1982)
Record low8° (1976)
Fri, 0438° / 27°0.08
38 °
Elm Beach, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high64° (2012)
Record low9° (1989)
Sat, 0538° / 28°0.09
38 °
Elm Beach, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high63° (1982)
Record low9° (1971)
Sun, 0638° / 28°0.11
38 °
Elm Beach, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high64° (1998)
Record low16° (1976)
Mon, 0735° / 26°0.1
35 °
Elm Beach, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high63° (1998)
Record low13° (1969)
Tue, 0836° / 26°0.07
36 °
Elm Beach, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high60° (1966)
Record low10° (1976)
Wed, 0936° / 26°0.12
36 °
Elm Beach, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high57° (1966)
Record low7° (2025)
Thu, 1037° / 27°0.13
37 °
Elm Beach, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high57° (1966)
Record low8° (1995)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Elm Beach, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Elm Beach, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.