Weather in Elm Beach, NY
Elm Beach, Wednesday, 28 October, 19:31
Partly cloudy. Feels like 59°. High 64°, low 39°.
Monthly outlook for Elm Beach, NY: average high 55.1°, average low 43.3°. That is 2.6° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 2.3 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 29 October (70.1°), the coolest 12 November (34.3°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 October – 6 November | 60.3° | 52° | +4.6° |
| 7 November – 16 November | 46.4° | 46.6° | -0.1° |
| 17 November – 26 November | at normal | 43.2° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Covert (8 mi).
0
Elm Beach, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 70°, low 48°.
0.02
Elm Beach, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 54°, low 47°.
0
Elm Beach, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 55°, low 43°.
0
Elm Beach, Sunday, 1 November
Mostly clear. High 58°, low 44°.
0Elm Beach, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 62°, low 44°.
0Elm Beach, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 57°, low 51°.
0Elm Beach, Wednesday, 4 November
Overcast. High 64°, low 53°.
0.52Elm Beach, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 58°, low 55°.
0.53Elm Beach, Friday, 6 November
Rain. High 60°, low 47°.
0.04Elm Beach, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 47°, low 38°.
0Elm Beach, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 50°, low 35°.
0.14Elm Beach, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 47°, low 34°.
0.44Elm Beach, Tuesday, 10 November
Rain. High 49°, low 46°.
0.56Elm Beach, Wednesday, 11 November
Rain. High 44°, low 34°.
0.04
Elm Beach, Thursday, 12 November
Light snow. High 42°, low 34°.
0.09Elm Beach, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13
Elm Beach, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Elm Beach, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Elm Beach, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Elm Beach, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Elm Beach, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Elm Beach, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Elm Beach, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Elm Beach, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Elm Beach, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Elm Beach, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Elm Beach, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Elm Beach, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.21Elm Beach, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Elm Beach, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Elm Beach, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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