Monthly outlook for Elm Beach, NY: average high 58.3°, average low 40.6°. That is 3.2° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 0.4 inches), against a normal of 6 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 29 October (68.2°), the coolest 5 November (32.3°).
58.3°/40.6°
Average high / low
+3.2°
Above normal
3 / 6
Wet days / normal
0.4 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
23 October – 1 November
61.2°
53.5°
+4.3°
2 November – 11 November
53.5°
49.8°
+2.1°
12 November – 21 November
at normal
44.5°
—
October records over 66 years
84.6°1 October 2019All-time high
26.1°23 October 1969All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Covert (8 mi).
Sat, 2463° / 32°0
63 °
Elm Beach, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 63°, low 32°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind4.5 mph S
Humidity59%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point42°
Sun, 2564° / 33°0
64 °
Elm Beach, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 64°, low 33°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind7.9 mph S
Humidity56%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point41°
Mon, 2665° / 46°0
65 °
Elm Beach, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 65°, low 46°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind4.6 mph W
Humidity66%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point51°
Tue, 2748° / 40°0
48 °
Elm Beach, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 48°, low 40°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind6.9 mph N
Humidity61%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point32°
Wed, 2857° / 39°0
57 °
Elm Beach, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 57°, low 39°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind9.8 mph S
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Thu, 2968° / 49°0
68 °
Elm Beach, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 68°, low 49°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind9.5 mph S
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Fri, 3068° / 49°0
68 °
Elm Beach, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 68°, low 49°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind9.9 mph N
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Sat, 3160° / 44°0
60 °
Elm Beach, Saturday, 31 October
Mostly clear. High 60°, low 44°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind5.9 mph N
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Sun, 0161° / 44°0
61 °
Elm Beach, Sunday, 1 November
Mostly clear. High 61°, low 44°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind17.5 mph S
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Mon, 0257° / 43°0.19
57 °
Elm Beach, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 57°, low 43°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind15.8 mph S
Humidity89%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Tue, 0350° / 39°0.15
50 °
Elm Beach, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 50°, low 39°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind14.5 mph SW
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Wed, 0445° / 35°0.02
45 °
Elm Beach, Wednesday, 4 November
Light rain. High 45°, low 35°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind17.1 mph NW
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Thu, 0558° / 32°0.01
58 °
Elm Beach, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 58°, low 32°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind16.7 mph SW
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Fri, 0649° / 40°0
49 °
Elm Beach, Friday, 6 November
Overcast. High 49°, low 40°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind12.4 mph S
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Sat, 0761° / 46°0.04
61 °
Elm Beach, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 61°, low 46°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind19.8 mph S
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 0848° / 36°0.13
48 °
Elm Beach, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high69° (2020)
Record low24° (1976)
Mon, 0949° / 36°0.1
49 °
Elm Beach, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high71° (2020)
Record low21° (1976)
Tue, 1049° / 36°0.14
49 °
Elm Beach, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high71° (2020)
Record low20° (2017)
Wed, 1147° / 36°0.13
47 °
Elm Beach, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high65° (2012)
Record low22° (2017)
Thu, 1245° / 35°0.17
45 °
Elm Beach, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high66° (1964)
Record low18° (2019)
Fri, 1345° / 33°0.09
45 °
Elm Beach, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high59° (1964)
Record low17° (2019)
Sat, 1445° / 34°0.13
45 °
Elm Beach, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high64° (1994)
Record low18° (1986)
Sun, 1545° / 34°0.15
45 °
Elm Beach, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high63° (1960)
Record low19° (1967)
Mon, 1645° / 33°0.13
45 °
Elm Beach, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high64° (1990)
Record low18° (2019)
Tue, 1744° / 33°0.12
44 °
Elm Beach, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high60° (1987)
Record low20° (1972)
Wed, 1844° / 33°0.07
44 °
Elm Beach, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high62° (2016)
Record low19° (2014)
Thu, 1945° / 33°0.09
45 °
Elm Beach, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high64° (1985)
Record low16° (2014)
Fri, 2044° / 33°0.11
44 °
Elm Beach, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high68° (1991)
Record low14° (1986)
Sat, 2142° / 31°0.09
42 °
Elm Beach, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high58° (2007)
Record low15° (1987)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Elm Beach, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Elm Beach, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.