Monthly outlook for Elm Beach, NY: average high 53.5°, average low 39.9°. That is 5.8° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 1.6 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 27 November (64.9°), the coolest 24 November (25.7°).
53.5°/39.9°
Average high / low
+5.8°
Above normal
3 / 7
Wet days / normal
1.6 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
15 November – 24 November
52°
43.6°
+4.6°
25 November – 4 December
56.1°
40.8°
+8.5°
5 December – 14 December
at normal
36.4°
—
November records over 66 years
73.4°6 November 2022All-time high
6.3°23 November 2018All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Covert (8 mi).
Mon, 1645° / 39°0
45 °
Elm Beach, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 45°, low 39°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind11.3 mph NW
Humidity74%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Tue, 1756° / 35°0
56 °
Elm Beach, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 56°, low 35°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind6.6 mph W
Humidity63%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point41°
Wed, 1856° / 39°0
56 °
Elm Beach, Wednesday, 18 November
Clear. High 56°, low 39°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind3.7 mph W
Humidity60%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Thu, 1958° / 39°0
58 °
Elm Beach, Thursday, 19 November
Overcast. High 58°, low 39°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind6.7 mph S
Humidity53%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Fri, 2057° / 47°0
57 °
Elm Beach, Friday, 20 November
Overcast. High 57°, low 47°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind10.2 mph SW
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Sat, 2159° / 41°0
59 °
Elm Beach, Saturday, 21 November
Overcast. High 59°, low 41°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind14.4 mph S
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Sun, 2259° / 48°0
59 °
Elm Beach, Sunday, 22 November
Overcast. High 59°, low 48°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind15.3 mph S
Humidity88%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Mon, 2344° / 32°0
44 °
Elm Beach, Monday, 23 November
Partly cloudy. High 44°, low 32°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind15.6 mph N
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Tue, 2443° / 26°0
43 °
Elm Beach, Tuesday, 24 November
Clear. High 43°, low 26°.
Pressure30.56 inHg
Wind6.6 mph S
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point12°
Wed, 2548° / 31°0
48 °
Elm Beach, Wednesday, 25 November
Overcast. High 48°, low 31°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind16.5 mph S
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point21°
Thu, 2656° / 45°0
56 °
Elm Beach, Thursday, 26 November
Overcast. High 56°, low 45°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind18 mph SE
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Fri, 2765° / 50°1.1
65 °
Elm Beach, Friday, 27 November
Heavy rain. High 65°, low 50°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind29.1 mph SE
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Sat, 2854° / 46°0
54 °
Elm Beach, Saturday, 28 November
Overcast. High 54°, low 46°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind16 mph S
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Sun, 2955° / 40°0
55 °
Elm Beach, Sunday, 29 November
Partly cloudy. High 55°, low 40°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind10 mph SW
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Mon, 3060° / 43°0.41
60 °
Elm Beach, Monday, 30 November
Rain. High 60°, low 43°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind26.5 mph S
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 0140° / 29°0.15
40 °
Elm Beach, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high60° (2006)
Record low12° (1976)
Wed, 0239° / 28°0.11
39 °
Elm Beach, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high58° (1998)
Record low9° (1976)
Thu, 0339° / 28°0.12
39 °
Elm Beach, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high58° (1982)
Record low8° (1976)
Fri, 0438° / 27°0.08
38 °
Elm Beach, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high64° (2012)
Record low9° (1989)
Sat, 0538° / 28°0.09
38 °
Elm Beach, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high63° (1982)
Record low9° (1971)
Sun, 0638° / 28°0.11
38 °
Elm Beach, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high64° (1998)
Record low16° (1976)
Mon, 0735° / 26°0.1
35 °
Elm Beach, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high63° (1998)
Record low13° (1969)
Tue, 0836° / 26°0.07
36 °
Elm Beach, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high60° (1966)
Record low10° (1976)
Wed, 0936° / 26°0.12
36 °
Elm Beach, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high57° (1966)
Record low7° (2025)
Thu, 1037° / 27°0.13
37 °
Elm Beach, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high57° (1966)
Record low8° (1995)
Fri, 1136° / 26°0.15
36 °
Elm Beach, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high57° (2021)
Record low7° (1977)
Sat, 1236° / 25°0.09
36 °
Elm Beach, Saturday, 12 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high56° (2015)
Record low-1° (1988)
Sun, 1336° / 26°0.11
36 °
Elm Beach, Sunday, 13 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high55° (2015)
Record low8° (1960)
Mon, 1435° / 25°0.14
35 °
Elm Beach, Monday, 14 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high59° (2015)
Record low5° (1976)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Elm Beach, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Elm Beach, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.