Monthly outlook for Elm Beach, NY: average high 57.7°, average low 42.9°. That is 4.6° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 0.8 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 3 November (68.1°), the coolest 8 November (32°).
57.7°/42.9°
Average high / low
+4.6°
Above normal
4 / 7
Wet days / normal
0.8 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
30 October – 8 November
60.1°
51.2°
+5°
9 November – 18 November
53.6°
45.8°
+4.3°
19 November – 28 November
at normal
42.9°
—
October records over 66 years
84.6°1 October 2019All-time high
26.1°23 October 1969All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Covert (8 mi).
Sat, 3155° / 42°0
55 °
Elm Beach, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 55°, low 42°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind4.2 mph NW
Humidity63%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point37°
Sun, 0164° / 43°0
64 °
Elm Beach, Sunday, 1 November
Clear. High 64°, low 43°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind6.1 mph S
Humidity62%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point44°
Mon, 0265° / 49°0
65 °
Elm Beach, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 65°, low 49°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind4 mph S
Humidity64%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point49°
Tue, 0368° / 52°0
68 °
Elm Beach, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 68°, low 52°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind11.9 mph S
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Wed, 0468° / 54°0
68 °
Elm Beach, Wednesday, 4 November
Partly cloudy. High 68°, low 54°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind14.4 mph S
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Thu, 0566° / 59°0.28
66 °
Elm Beach, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 66°, low 59°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind16.9 mph S
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Fri, 0665° / 41°0.29
65 °
Elm Beach, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 65°, low 41°.
Pressure29.44 inHg
Wind19 mph NW
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Sat, 0745° / 34°0
45 °
Elm Beach, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 45°, low 34°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind17 mph NW
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Sun, 0847° / 32°0
47 °
Elm Beach, Sunday, 8 November
Overcast. High 47°, low 32°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind9.1 mph NW
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Mon, 0950° / 32°0.03
50 °
Elm Beach, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 50°, low 32°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind14.6 mph N
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Tue, 1043° / 37°0.02
43 °
Elm Beach, Tuesday, 10 November
Light rain. High 43°, low 37°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind12 mph N
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Wed, 1151° / 32°0
51 °
Elm Beach, Wednesday, 11 November
Mostly clear. High 51°, low 32°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind7.9 mph NW
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Thu, 1256° / 38°0.11
56 °
Elm Beach, Thursday, 12 November
Light rain. High 56°, low 38°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind9.4 mph S
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Fri, 1364° / 47°0
64 °
Elm Beach, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 64°, low 47°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind12.7 mph NW
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Sat, 1458° / 48°0
58 °
Elm Beach, Saturday, 14 November
Overcast. High 58°, low 48°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind6.6 mph N
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 1545° / 34°0.15
45 °
Elm Beach, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high63° (1960)
Record low19° (1967)
Mon, 1645° / 33°0.13
45 °
Elm Beach, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high64° (1990)
Record low18° (2019)
Tue, 1744° / 33°0.12
44 °
Elm Beach, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high60° (1987)
Record low20° (1972)
Wed, 1844° / 33°0.07
44 °
Elm Beach, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high62° (2016)
Record low19° (2014)
Thu, 1945° / 33°0.09
45 °
Elm Beach, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high64° (1985)
Record low16° (2014)
Fri, 2044° / 33°0.11
44 °
Elm Beach, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high68° (1991)
Record low14° (1986)
Sat, 2142° / 31°0.09
42 °
Elm Beach, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high58° (2007)
Record low15° (1987)
Sun, 2242° / 31°0.12
42 °
Elm Beach, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high61° (1999)
Record low10° (2018)
Mon, 2343° / 31°0.07
43 °
Elm Beach, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high62° (1999)
Record low6° (2018)
Tue, 2442° / 31°0.09
42 °
Elm Beach, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high63° (2014)
Record low16° (2013)
Wed, 2543° / 31°0.1
43 °
Elm Beach, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high58° (2011)
Record low14° (1995)
Thu, 2643° / 32°0.21
43 °
Elm Beach, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high62° (1979)
Record low20° (1978)
Fri, 2742° / 32°0.09
42 °
Elm Beach, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high61° (1988)
Record low19° (1977)
Sat, 2843° / 32°0.2
43 °
Elm Beach, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high65° (1990)
Record low16° (1996)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Elm Beach, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Elm Beach, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.