Monthly outlook for Elm Beach, NY: average high 54.5°, average low 41.4°. That is 2.8° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 1.4 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 4 November (70.1°), the coolest 12 November (28.7°).
54.5°/41.4°
Average high / low
+2.8°
Above normal
5 / 7
Wet days / normal
1.4 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
30 October – 8 November
58.8°
51.2°
+4.2°
9 November – 18 November
47.3°
45.8°
+0.8°
19 November – 28 November
at normal
42.9°
—
October records over 66 years
84.6°1 October 2019All-time high
26.1°23 October 1969All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Covert (8 mi).
Sat, 3155° / 43°0
55 °
Elm Beach, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 55°, low 43°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind4.6 mph NW
Humidity64%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point37°
Sun, 0163° / 42°0
63 °
Elm Beach, Sunday, 1 November
Clear. High 63°, low 42°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind5.1 mph S
Humidity66%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point45°
Mon, 0263° / 50°0
63 °
Elm Beach, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 63°, low 50°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind5.5 mph S
Humidity72%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point49°
Tue, 0366° / 55°0
66 °
Elm Beach, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 66°, low 55°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind6.1 mph S
Humidity64%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point49°
Wed, 0470° / 55°0
70 °
Elm Beach, Wednesday, 4 November
Overcast. High 70°, low 55°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind13.6 mph S
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Thu, 0564° / 58°0.15
64 °
Elm Beach, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 64°, low 58°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind13.3 mph S
Humidity89%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Fri, 0657° / 49°1.02
57 °
Elm Beach, Friday, 6 November
Rain. High 57°, low 49°.
Pressure29.47 inHg
Wind16.5 mph N
Humidity98%
Visibility—
Dew point57°
Sat, 0747° / 37°0.08
47 °
Elm Beach, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 47°, low 37°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind15.8 mph NW
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Sun, 0844° / 34°0
44 °
Elm Beach, Sunday, 8 November
Light snow. High 44°, low 34°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind15.7 mph N
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Mon, 0946° / 29°0
46 °
Elm Beach, Monday, 9 November
Overcast. High 46°, low 29°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind8.4 mph NW
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Tue, 1047° / 35°0
47 °
Elm Beach, Tuesday, 10 November
Overcast. High 47°, low 35°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind5.1 mph NE
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Wed, 1144° / 33°0.06
44 °
Elm Beach, Wednesday, 11 November
Snow. High 44°, low 33°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind8.5 mph N
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Thu, 1246° / 29°0
46 °
Elm Beach, Thursday, 12 November
Mostly clear. High 46°, low 29°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind10.1 mph NW
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Fri, 1349° / 33°0
49 °
Elm Beach, Friday, 13 November
Clear. High 49°, low 33°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind3.7 mph N
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Sat, 1452° / 34°0.02
52 °
Elm Beach, Saturday, 14 November
Light rain. High 52°, low 34°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind16.4 mph S
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 1545° / 34°0.15
45 °
Elm Beach, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high63° (1960)
Record low19° (1967)
Mon, 1645° / 33°0.13
45 °
Elm Beach, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high64° (1990)
Record low18° (2019)
Tue, 1744° / 33°0.12
44 °
Elm Beach, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high60° (1987)
Record low20° (1972)
Wed, 1844° / 33°0.07
44 °
Elm Beach, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high62° (2016)
Record low19° (2014)
Thu, 1945° / 33°0.09
45 °
Elm Beach, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high64° (1985)
Record low16° (2014)
Fri, 2044° / 33°0.11
44 °
Elm Beach, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high68° (1991)
Record low14° (1986)
Sat, 2142° / 31°0.09
42 °
Elm Beach, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high58° (2007)
Record low15° (1987)
Sun, 2242° / 31°0.12
42 °
Elm Beach, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high61° (1999)
Record low10° (2018)
Mon, 2343° / 31°0.07
43 °
Elm Beach, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high62° (1999)
Record low6° (2018)
Tue, 2442° / 31°0.09
42 °
Elm Beach, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high63° (2014)
Record low16° (2013)
Wed, 2543° / 31°0.1
43 °
Elm Beach, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high58° (2011)
Record low14° (1995)
Thu, 2643° / 32°0.21
43 °
Elm Beach, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high62° (1979)
Record low20° (1978)
Fri, 2742° / 32°0.09
42 °
Elm Beach, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high61° (1988)
Record low19° (1977)
Sat, 2843° / 32°0.2
43 °
Elm Beach, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high65° (1990)
Record low16° (1996)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Elm Beach, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Elm Beach, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.