Monthly outlook for Elm Beach, NY: average high 58.2°, average low 43°. That is 2.9° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 1.4 inches), against a normal of 6 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 30 October (68°), the coolest 24 October (29.8°).
58.2°/43°
Average high / low
+2.9°
Above normal
7 / 6
Wet days / normal
1.4 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
22 October – 31 October
60.1°
53.7°
+3.5°
1 November – 10 November
55°
50.5°
+2.5°
11 November – 20 November
at normal
44.9°
—
October records over 66 years
84.6°1 October 2019All-time high
26.1°23 October 1969All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Covert (8 mi).
Fri, 2358° / 36°0
58 °
Elm Beach, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 58°, low 36°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind3.4 mph N
Humidity66%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Sat, 2461° / 30°0
61 °
Elm Beach, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 61°, low 30°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind3.7 mph SE
Humidity64%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point42°
Sun, 2562° / 43°0
62 °
Elm Beach, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 62°, low 43°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind7.7 mph S
Humidity56%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point41°
Mon, 2661° / 46°0
61 °
Elm Beach, Monday, 26 October
Mostly clear. High 61°, low 46°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind4 mph W
Humidity72%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point51°
Tue, 2748° / 39°0
48 °
Elm Beach, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 48°, low 39°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind6.8 mph NE
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Wed, 2852° / 39°0.02
52 °
Elm Beach, Wednesday, 28 October
Light rain. High 52°, low 39°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind9 mph S
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Thu, 2966° / 44°0
66 °
Elm Beach, Thursday, 29 October
Mostly clear. High 66°, low 44°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind13.2 mph S
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Fri, 3068° / 52°0.08
68 °
Elm Beach, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 68°, low 52°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind11 mph S
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Sat, 3160° / 50°0.01
60 °
Elm Beach, Saturday, 31 October
Light rain. High 60°, low 50°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind11.4 mph SE
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Sun, 0162° / 56°0.3
62 °
Elm Beach, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 62°, low 56°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind22.3 mph S
Humidity89%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Mon, 0263° / 53°0.06
63 °
Elm Beach, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 63°, low 53°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind7.7 mph S
Humidity88%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
Tue, 0353° / 48°0.11
53 °
Elm Beach, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 53°, low 48°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind9.2 mph N
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Wed, 0453° / 40°0.48
53 °
Elm Beach, Wednesday, 4 November
Rain. High 53°, low 40°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind5.8 mph SE
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Thu, 0550° / 43°0.3
50 °
Elm Beach, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 50°, low 43°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind13.8 mph W
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Fri, 0649° / 36°0.04
49 °
Elm Beach, Friday, 6 November
Snow. High 49°, low 36°.
Pressure29.59 inHg
Wind16.9 mph W
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 0748° / 37°0.1
48 °
Elm Beach, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high69° (2020)
Record low19° (1962)
Sun, 0848° / 36°0.13
48 °
Elm Beach, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high69° (2020)
Record low24° (1976)
Mon, 0949° / 36°0.1
49 °
Elm Beach, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high71° (2020)
Record low21° (1976)
Tue, 1049° / 36°0.14
49 °
Elm Beach, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high71° (2020)
Record low20° (2017)
Wed, 1147° / 36°0.13
47 °
Elm Beach, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high65° (2012)
Record low22° (2017)
Thu, 1245° / 35°0.17
45 °
Elm Beach, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high66° (1964)
Record low18° (2019)
Fri, 1345° / 33°0.09
45 °
Elm Beach, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high59° (1964)
Record low17° (2019)
Sat, 1445° / 34°0.13
45 °
Elm Beach, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high64° (1994)
Record low18° (1986)
Sun, 1545° / 34°0.15
45 °
Elm Beach, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high63° (1960)
Record low19° (1967)
Mon, 1645° / 33°0.13
45 °
Elm Beach, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high64° (1990)
Record low18° (2019)
Tue, 1744° / 33°0.12
44 °
Elm Beach, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high60° (1987)
Record low20° (1972)
Wed, 1844° / 33°0.07
44 °
Elm Beach, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high62° (2016)
Record low19° (2014)
Thu, 1945° / 33°0.09
45 °
Elm Beach, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high64° (1985)
Record low16° (2014)
Fri, 2044° / 33°0.11
44 °
Elm Beach, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high68° (1991)
Record low14° (1986)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Elm Beach, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Elm Beach, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.