Monthly outlook for Elm Beach, NY: average high 53.7°, average low 42.1°. That is 2.9° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 8 days (about 3.2 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 4 November (68.9°), the coolest 15 November (28.3°).
53.7°/42.1°
Average high / low
+2.9°
Above normal
8 / 7
Wet days / normal
3.2 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
1 November – 10 November
60.5°
50.5°
+5.6°
11 November – 20 November
42.2°
44.9°
-1.5°
21 November – 30 November
at normal
42.1°
—
November records over 66 years
73.4°6 November 2022All-time high
6.3°23 November 2018All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Covert (8 mi).
Mon, 0266° / 43°0
66 °
Elm Beach, Monday, 2 November
Mostly clear. High 66°, low 43°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind4.6 mph SE
Humidity58%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point49°
Tue, 0367° / 47°0.03
67 °
Elm Beach, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 67°, low 47°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind6.4 mph SE
Humidity58%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point49°
Wed, 0469° / 54°0
69 °
Elm Beach, Wednesday, 4 November
Partly cloudy. High 69°, low 54°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind11.3 mph S
Humidity64%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point54°
Thu, 0566° / 54°0.63
66 °
Elm Beach, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 66°, low 54°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind12.9 mph S
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point59°
Fri, 0660° / 50°0.49
60 °
Elm Beach, Friday, 6 November
Rain. High 60°, low 50°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind8.9 mph N
Humidity90%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Sat, 0755° / 53°0.73
55 °
Elm Beach, Saturday, 7 November
Rain. High 55°, low 53°.
Pressure29.50 inHg
Wind12.7 mph W
Humidity90%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Sun, 0858° / 48°0.03
58 °
Elm Beach, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 58°, low 48°.
Pressure29.53 inHg
Wind14.4 mph W
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Mon, 0950° / 42°0.09
50 °
Elm Beach, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 50°, low 42°.
Pressure29.62 inHg
Wind13.2 mph W
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Tue, 1052° / 45°0.06
52 °
Elm Beach, Tuesday, 10 November
Light rain. High 52°, low 45°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind15.2 mph W
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Wed, 1146° / 41°0.04
46 °
Elm Beach, Wednesday, 11 November
Light rain. High 46°, low 41°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind14.4 mph NW
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Thu, 1245° / 34°0.08
45 °
Elm Beach, Thursday, 12 November
Light rain. High 45°, low 34°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind5.9 mph SE
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Fri, 1339° / 35°0.83
39 °
Elm Beach, Friday, 13 November
Snow. High 39°, low 35°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind11.2 mph NE
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Sat, 1435° / 34°0.15
35 °
Elm Beach, Saturday, 14 November
Light snow. High 35°, low 34°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind7.7 mph N
Humidity100%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Sun, 1539° / 28°0
39 °
Elm Beach, Sunday, 15 November
Clear. High 39°, low 28°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind11.5 mph N
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Mon, 1649° / 29°0
49 °
Elm Beach, Monday, 16 November
Mostly clear. High 49°, low 29°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind10.9 mph W
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 1744° / 33°0.12
44 °
Elm Beach, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high60° (1987)
Record low20° (1972)
Wed, 1844° / 33°0.07
44 °
Elm Beach, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high62° (2016)
Record low19° (2014)
Thu, 1945° / 33°0.09
45 °
Elm Beach, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high64° (1985)
Record low16° (2014)
Fri, 2044° / 33°0.11
44 °
Elm Beach, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high68° (1991)
Record low14° (1986)
Sat, 2142° / 31°0.09
42 °
Elm Beach, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high58° (2007)
Record low15° (1987)
Sun, 2242° / 31°0.12
42 °
Elm Beach, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high61° (1999)
Record low10° (2018)
Mon, 2343° / 31°0.07
43 °
Elm Beach, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high62° (1999)
Record low6° (2018)
Tue, 2442° / 31°0.09
42 °
Elm Beach, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high63° (2014)
Record low16° (2013)
Wed, 2543° / 31°0.1
43 °
Elm Beach, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high58° (2011)
Record low14° (1995)
Thu, 2643° / 32°0.21
43 °
Elm Beach, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high62° (1979)
Record low20° (1978)
Fri, 2742° / 32°0.09
42 °
Elm Beach, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high61° (1988)
Record low19° (1977)
Sat, 2843° / 32°0.2
43 °
Elm Beach, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high65° (1990)
Record low16° (1996)
Sun, 2940° / 31°0.11
40 °
Elm Beach, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high60° (2005)
Record low16° (2014)
Mon, 3040° / 30°0.09
40 °
Elm Beach, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high61° (1991)
Record low10° (1976)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Elm Beach, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Elm Beach, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.