Monthly outlook for Elm Beach, NY: average high 57.8°, average low 39°. That is 2.5° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 1.8 inches), against a normal of 6 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 2 November (67.1°), the coolest 5 November (32°).
57.8°/39°
Average high / low
+2.5°
Above normal
5 / 6
Wet days / normal
1.8 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
21 October – 30 October
58.3°
54°
+2.3°
31 October – 9 November
57.1°
50.9°
+3.5°
10 November – 19 November
at normal
45.4°
—
October records over 66 years
84.6°1 October 2019All-time high
26.1°23 October 1969All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Covert (8 mi).
Thu, 2263° / 34°0
63 °
Elm Beach, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 63°, low 34°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind8.9 mph NW
Humidity71%
Visibility3.8 mi
Dew point47°
Fri, 2354° / 35°0
54 °
Elm Beach, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 54°, low 35°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind3.7 mph NE
Humidity64%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Sat, 2459° / 42°0
59 °
Elm Beach, Saturday, 24 October
Mostly clear. High 59°, low 42°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind4.5 mph S
Humidity62%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point41°
Sun, 2560° / 42°0
60 °
Elm Beach, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 60°, low 42°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind7 mph S
Humidity60%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Mon, 2663° / 44°0
63 °
Elm Beach, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 63°, low 44°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind4.4 mph S
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Tue, 2753° / 41°0
53 °
Elm Beach, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 53°, low 41°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind7 mph NE
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Wed, 2863° / 41°0
63 °
Elm Beach, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 63°, low 41°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind15.5 mph S
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Thu, 2956° / 36°0.3
56 °
Elm Beach, Thursday, 29 October
Snow. High 56°, low 36°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind19.3 mph W
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Fri, 3048° / 34°0.06
48 °
Elm Beach, Friday, 30 October
Light snow. High 48°, low 34°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind17.2 mph W
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Sat, 3156° / 35°0
56 °
Elm Beach, Saturday, 31 October
Clear. High 56°, low 35°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind10.3 mph S
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Sun, 0167° / 44°0
67 °
Elm Beach, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 67°, low 44°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind12.3 mph SW
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Mon, 0267° / 51°0.14
67 °
Elm Beach, Monday, 2 November
Rain. High 67°, low 51°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind10.4 mph S
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Tue, 0359° / 44°1.29
59 °
Elm Beach, Tuesday, 3 November
Rain. High 59°, low 44°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind17.4 mph N
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
Wed, 0444° / 33°0.05
44 °
Elm Beach, Wednesday, 4 November
Light rain. High 44°, low 33°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind17.3 mph N
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Thu, 0550° / 32°0
50 °
Elm Beach, Thursday, 5 November
Clear. High 50°, low 32°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind16.1 mph S
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 0650° / 38°0.1
50 °
Elm Beach, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high73° (2022)
Record low28° (2012)
Sat, 0748° / 37°0.1
48 °
Elm Beach, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high69° (2020)
Record low19° (1962)
Sun, 0848° / 36°0.13
48 °
Elm Beach, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high69° (2020)
Record low24° (1976)
Mon, 0949° / 36°0.1
49 °
Elm Beach, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high71° (2020)
Record low21° (1976)
Tue, 1049° / 36°0.14
49 °
Elm Beach, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high71° (2020)
Record low20° (2017)
Wed, 1147° / 36°0.13
47 °
Elm Beach, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high65° (2012)
Record low22° (2017)
Thu, 1245° / 35°0.17
45 °
Elm Beach, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high66° (1964)
Record low18° (2019)
Fri, 1345° / 33°0.09
45 °
Elm Beach, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high59° (1964)
Record low17° (2019)
Sat, 1445° / 34°0.13
45 °
Elm Beach, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high64° (1994)
Record low18° (1986)
Sun, 1545° / 34°0.15
45 °
Elm Beach, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high63° (1960)
Record low19° (1967)
Mon, 1645° / 33°0.13
45 °
Elm Beach, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high64° (1990)
Record low18° (2019)
Tue, 1744° / 33°0.12
44 °
Elm Beach, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high60° (1987)
Record low20° (1972)
Wed, 1844° / 33°0.07
44 °
Elm Beach, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high62° (2016)
Record low19° (2014)
Thu, 1945° / 33°0.09
45 °
Elm Beach, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high64° (1985)
Record low16° (2014)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Elm Beach, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Elm Beach, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.