Monthly outlook for Ausable Chasm, NY: average high 56.2°, average low 38.7°. That is 2° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 0.7 inches), against a normal of 6 days and 2.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 19 October (63.2°), the coolest 18 October (32.8°).
56.2°/38.7°
Average high / low
+2°
Above normal
4 / 6
Wet days / normal
0.7 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
16 October – 25 October
55.8°
53.7°
+1.2°
26 October – 4 November
56.9°
50.4°
+3.6°
5 November – 14 November
at normal
45.6°
—
October records over 66 years
80.1°4 October 2023All-time high
25.2°23 October 1969All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Keeseville (2 mi).
Sat, 1748° / 35°0
48 °
Ausable Chasm, Saturday, 17 October
Overcast. High 48°, low 35°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind11.7 mph NW
Humidity57%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point19°
Sun, 1857° / 33°0
57 °
Ausable Chasm, Sunday, 18 October
Mostly clear. High 57°, low 33°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind6 mph S
Humidity53%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point36°
Mon, 1963° / 35°0
63 °
Ausable Chasm, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 63°, low 35°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind3 mph SE
Humidity50%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point41°
Tue, 2060° / 36°0
60 °
Ausable Chasm, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 60°, low 36°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind7.9 mph N
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Wed, 2154° / 36°0
54 °
Ausable Chasm, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 54°, low 36°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind4.9 mph NE
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Thu, 2256° / 35°0
56 °
Ausable Chasm, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 56°, low 35°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind10.3 mph S
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Fri, 2355° / 39°0
55 °
Ausable Chasm, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 55°, low 39°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind14.2 mph NW
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Sat, 2448° / 35°0
48 °
Ausable Chasm, Saturday, 24 October
Partly cloudy. High 48°, low 35°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind8.5 mph NE
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Sun, 2556° / 36°0
56 °
Ausable Chasm, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 56°, low 36°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind5.2 mph SE
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Mon, 2656° / 40°0
56 °
Ausable Chasm, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 56°, low 40°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind4.8 mph SW
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Tue, 2756° / 42°0
56 °
Ausable Chasm, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 56°, low 42°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind5.6 mph S
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Wed, 2857° / 44°0
57 °
Ausable Chasm, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 57°, low 44°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind8.7 mph S
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Thu, 2955° / 45°0.04
55 °
Ausable Chasm, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 55°, low 45°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind7 mph N
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Fri, 3060° / 45°0.1
60 °
Ausable Chasm, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 60°, low 45°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind9.2 mph S
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Sat, 3157° / 43°0.06
57 °
Ausable Chasm, Saturday, 31 October
Light rain. High 57°, low 43°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind13.5 mph N
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 0151° / 39°0.13
51 °
Ausable Chasm, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high65° (2019)
Record low26° (1965)
Mon, 0250° / 39°0.14
50 °
Ausable Chasm, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high65° (1971)
Record low22° (1965)
Tue, 0350° / 38°0.12
50 °
Ausable Chasm, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high69° (1982)
Record low24° (2002)
Wed, 0449° / 38°0.11
49 °
Ausable Chasm, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high67° (1987)
Record low27° (1989)
Thu, 0548° / 38°0.15
48 °
Ausable Chasm, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high69° (2022)
Record low24° (1965)
Fri, 0649° / 38°0.13
49 °
Ausable Chasm, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high68° (2022)
Record low26° (1987)
Sat, 0747° / 37°0.07
47 °
Ausable Chasm, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high66° (1975)
Record low20° (2002)
Sun, 0846° / 35°0.11
46 °
Ausable Chasm, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high68° (1975)
Record low25° (2019)
Mon, 0946° / 35°0.1
46 °
Ausable Chasm, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high63° (2011)
Record low22° (1976)
Tue, 1046° / 36°0.12
46 °
Ausable Chasm, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high63° (2020)
Record low20° (2017)
Wed, 1145° / 35°0.14
45 °
Ausable Chasm, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high64° (2002)
Record low18° (2017)
Thu, 1244° / 34°0.13
44 °
Ausable Chasm, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high62° (2012)
Record low17° (2019)
Fri, 1343° / 32°0.09
43 °
Ausable Chasm, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high58° (2012)
Record low10° (2019)
Sat, 1443° / 33°0.11
43 °
Ausable Chasm, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high62° (2011)
Record low17° (1986)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Ausable Chasm, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Ausable Chasm, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.