Monthly outlook for Ausable Chasm, NY: average high 54.9°, average low 39.1°. That is 1.6° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 0.6 inches), against a normal of 6 days and 2.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 31 October (67.8°), the coolest 21 October (31°).
54.9°/39.1°
Average high / low
+1.6°
Above normal
5 / 6
Wet days / normal
0.6 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
18 October – 27 October
52°
53.1°
-0.6°
28 October – 6 November
59.8°
49.7°
+5.6°
7 November – 16 November
at normal
44.5°
—
October records over 66 years
80.1°4 October 2023All-time high
25.2°23 October 1969All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Keeseville (2 mi).
Mon, 1960° / 42°0
60 °
Ausable Chasm, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 60°, low 42°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind2.1 mph S
Humidity50%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point42°
Tue, 2055° / 40°0
55 °
Ausable Chasm, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 55°, low 40°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind8.1 mph N
Humidity53%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point36°
Wed, 2152° / 31°0
52 °
Ausable Chasm, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 52°, low 31°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind3.8 mph NE
Humidity61%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point37°
Thu, 2252° / 33°0
52 °
Ausable Chasm, Thursday, 22 October
Partly cloudy. High 52°, low 33°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind11.1 mph NW
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Fri, 2343° / 38°0
43 °
Ausable Chasm, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 43°, low 38°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind12.9 mph N
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Sat, 2455° / 34°0
55 °
Ausable Chasm, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 55°, low 34°.
Pressure30.62 inHg
Wind9.2 mph SE
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Sun, 2557° / 38°0.02
57 °
Ausable Chasm, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 57°, low 38°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind13.8 mph NW
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Mon, 2646° / 36°0
46 °
Ausable Chasm, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 46°, low 36°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind12.8 mph W
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Tue, 2747° / 37°0.06
47 °
Ausable Chasm, Tuesday, 27 October
Light rain. High 47°, low 37°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind11.5 mph W
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Wed, 2845° / 33°0
45 °
Ausable Chasm, Wednesday, 28 October
Clear. High 45°, low 33°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind6.4 mph S
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Thu, 2960° / 38°0.07
60 °
Ausable Chasm, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 60°, low 38°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind12.9 mph S
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Fri, 3062° / 49°0.09
62 °
Ausable Chasm, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 62°, low 49°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind10.2 mph W
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Sat, 3168° / 46°0.05
68 °
Ausable Chasm, Saturday, 31 October
Light rain. High 68°, low 46°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind10.5 mph S
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Sun, 0161° / 55°0.34
61 °
Ausable Chasm, Sunday, 1 November
Rain. High 61°, low 55°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind10.5 mph W
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Mon, 0263° / 46°0
63 °
Ausable Chasm, Monday, 2 November
Clear. High 63°, low 46°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind16.1 mph NW
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 0350° / 38°0.12
50 °
Ausable Chasm, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high69° (1982)
Record low24° (2002)
Wed, 0449° / 38°0.11
49 °
Ausable Chasm, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high67° (1987)
Record low27° (1989)
Thu, 0548° / 38°0.15
48 °
Ausable Chasm, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high69° (2022)
Record low24° (1965)
Fri, 0649° / 38°0.13
49 °
Ausable Chasm, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high68° (2022)
Record low26° (1987)
Sat, 0747° / 37°0.07
47 °
Ausable Chasm, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high66° (1975)
Record low20° (2002)
Sun, 0846° / 35°0.11
46 °
Ausable Chasm, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high68° (1975)
Record low25° (2019)
Mon, 0946° / 35°0.1
46 °
Ausable Chasm, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high63° (2011)
Record low22° (1976)
Tue, 1046° / 36°0.12
46 °
Ausable Chasm, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high63° (2020)
Record low20° (2017)
Wed, 1145° / 35°0.14
45 °
Ausable Chasm, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high64° (2002)
Record low18° (2017)
Thu, 1244° / 34°0.13
44 °
Ausable Chasm, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high62° (2012)
Record low17° (2019)
Fri, 1343° / 32°0.09
43 °
Ausable Chasm, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high58° (2012)
Record low10° (2019)
Sat, 1443° / 33°0.11
43 °
Ausable Chasm, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high62° (2011)
Record low17° (1986)
Sun, 1543° / 33°0.13
43 °
Ausable Chasm, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high60° (1989)
Record low17° (2018)
Mon, 1643° / 32°0.11
43 °
Ausable Chasm, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high63° (1989)
Record low14° (2019)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Ausable Chasm, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Ausable Chasm, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.