Monthly outlook for Ausable Chasm, NY: average high 53.1°, average low 40.4°. That is 0.8° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 8 days (about 3.2 inches), against a normal of 6 days and 2.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 19 October (64°), the coolest 18 October (32.4°).
53.1°/40.4°
Average high / low
−0.8°
Below normal
8 / 6
Wet days / normal
3.2 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
12 October – 21 October
54°
55.7°
-0.9°
22 October – 31 October
51.5°
51.5°
-0°
1 November – 10 November
at normal
48.2°
—
October records over 66 years
80.1°4 October 2023All-time high
25.2°23 October 1969All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Keeseville (2 mi).
Tue, 1356° / 41°1.75
56 °
Ausable Chasm, Tuesday, 13 October
Rain. High 56°, low 41°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind5.2 mph SE
Humidity99%
Visibility1.1 mi
Dew point52°
Wed, 1457° / 51°0.05
57 °
Ausable Chasm, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 57°, low 51°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind5.1 mph W
Humidity94%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point52°
Thu, 1553° / 42°0
53 °
Ausable Chasm, Thursday, 15 October
Mostly clear. High 53°, low 42°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind3.7 mph N
Humidity50%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point34°
Fri, 1649° / 39°0.65
49 °
Ausable Chasm, Friday, 16 October
Rain. High 49°, low 39°.
Pressure29.65 inHg
Wind11.1 mph NW
Humidity98%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Sat, 1741° / 35°0.15
41 °
Ausable Chasm, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 41°, low 35°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind18.7 mph W
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Sun, 1852° / 32°0
52 °
Ausable Chasm, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 52°, low 32°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind11.3 mph W
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Mon, 1964° / 37°0
64 °
Ausable Chasm, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 64°, low 37°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind9.3 mph S
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Tue, 2058° / 48°0.01
58 °
Ausable Chasm, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 58°, low 48°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind6.4 mph W
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Wed, 2148° / 37°0
48 °
Ausable Chasm, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 48°, low 37°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind11.1 mph N
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Thu, 2247° / 34°0
47 °
Ausable Chasm, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 47°, low 34°.
Pressure30.68 inHg
Wind5.6 mph SW
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Fri, 2356° / 38°0.15
56 °
Ausable Chasm, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 56°, low 38°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind10.8 mph S
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Sat, 2448° / 40°0
48 °
Ausable Chasm, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 48°, low 40°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind12.1 mph N
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Sun, 2552° / 40°0.01
52 °
Ausable Chasm, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 52°, low 40°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind13.5 mph S
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Mon, 2656° / 42°0.22
56 °
Ausable Chasm, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 56°, low 42°.
Pressure29.53 inHg
Wind12.4 mph NW
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Tue, 2750° / 38°0.15
50 °
Ausable Chasm, Tuesday, 27 October
Light rain. High 50°, low 38°.
Pressure29.32 inHg
Wind13.4 mph NW
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Wed, 2851° / 40°0.15
51 °
Ausable Chasm, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high73° (1984)
Record low26° (1976)
Thu, 2949° / 38°0.1
49 °
Ausable Chasm, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high66° (1989)
Record low28° (1965)
Fri, 3049° / 38°0.09
49 °
Ausable Chasm, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high66° (1989)
Record low28° (2002)
Sat, 3151° / 38°0.1
51 °
Ausable Chasm, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high72° (2024)
Record low28° (1972)
Sun, 0151° / 39°0.13
51 °
Ausable Chasm, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high65° (2019)
Record low26° (1965)
Mon, 0250° / 39°0.14
50 °
Ausable Chasm, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high65° (1971)
Record low22° (1965)
Tue, 0350° / 38°0.12
50 °
Ausable Chasm, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high69° (1982)
Record low24° (2002)
Wed, 0449° / 38°0.11
49 °
Ausable Chasm, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high67° (1987)
Record low27° (1989)
Thu, 0548° / 38°0.15
48 °
Ausable Chasm, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high69° (2022)
Record low24° (1965)
Fri, 0649° / 38°0.13
49 °
Ausable Chasm, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high68° (2022)
Record low26° (1987)
Sat, 0747° / 37°0.07
47 °
Ausable Chasm, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high66° (1975)
Record low20° (2002)
Sun, 0846° / 35°0.11
46 °
Ausable Chasm, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high68° (1975)
Record low25° (2019)
Mon, 0946° / 35°0.1
46 °
Ausable Chasm, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high63° (2011)
Record low22° (1976)
Tue, 1046° / 36°0.12
46 °
Ausable Chasm, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high63° (2020)
Record low20° (2017)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Ausable Chasm, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Ausable Chasm, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.