Monthly outlook for Saint Elmo, NY: average high 57.5°, average low 38°. That is 0.3° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 1.8 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 2.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 22 October (65.9°), the coolest 5 November (28.5°).
57.5°/38°
Average high / low
+0.3°
Above normal
3 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.8 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
21 October – 30 October
57.6°
57.8°
-0.1°
31 October – 9 November
57.4°
54.6°
+1.6°
10 November – 19 November
at normal
49.3°
—
October records over 66 years
85.8°2 October 2019All-time high
21.9°31 October 2011All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Shawangunk (7 mi).
Thu, 2266° / 40°0
66 °
Saint Elmo, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 66°, low 40°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind7.2 mph N
Humidity35%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point31°
Fri, 2354° / 38°0
54 °
Saint Elmo, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 54°, low 38°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind7 mph NE
Humidity49%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point32°
Sat, 2456° / 31°0
56 °
Saint Elmo, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 56°, low 31°.
Pressure30.56 inHg
Wind1.3 mph SE
Humidity50%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point34°
Sun, 2560° / 32°0
60 °
Saint Elmo, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 60°, low 32°.
Pressure30.56 inHg
Wind1.7 mph SE
Humidity55%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Mon, 2662° / 32°0
62 °
Saint Elmo, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 62°, low 32°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind3.7 mph W
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Tue, 2757° / 41°0
57 °
Saint Elmo, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 57°, low 41°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind6.6 mph NE
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Wed, 2851° / 39°0.03
51 °
Saint Elmo, Wednesday, 28 October
Light rain. High 51°, low 39°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind5.4 mph NE
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Thu, 2960° / 43°0.07
60 °
Saint Elmo, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 60°, low 43°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind15 mph W
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Fri, 3050° / 36°0
50 °
Saint Elmo, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 50°, low 36°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind13.3 mph NW
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Sat, 3156° / 35°0
56 °
Saint Elmo, Saturday, 31 October
Clear. High 56°, low 35°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind7.9 mph W
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Sun, 0163° / 38°0
63 °
Saint Elmo, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 63°, low 38°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind10.3 mph SW
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Mon, 0266° / 48°0.01
66 °
Saint Elmo, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 66°, low 48°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind5.2 mph SW
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Tue, 0364° / 54°1.43
64 °
Saint Elmo, Tuesday, 3 November
Rain. High 64°, low 54°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind12.8 mph SW
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point59°
Wed, 0448° / 32°0.23
48 °
Saint Elmo, Wednesday, 4 November
Rain. High 48°, low 32°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind16.4 mph NE
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Thu, 0547° / 29°0
47 °
Saint Elmo, Thursday, 5 November
Overcast. High 47°, low 29°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind5.3 mph NE
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 0653° / 40°0.09
53 °
Saint Elmo, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high78° (2024)
Record low28° (1967)
Sat, 0753° / 39°0.08
53 °
Saint Elmo, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high71° (2020)
Record low26° (1962)
Sun, 0852° / 38°0.2
52 °
Saint Elmo, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high72° (2020)
Record low25° (2019)
Mon, 0953° / 38°0.11
53 °
Saint Elmo, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high72° (2020)
Record low22° (2019)
Tue, 1053° / 38°0.15
53 °
Saint Elmo, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high71° (2020)
Record low22° (2017)
Wed, 1151° / 38°0.15
51 °
Saint Elmo, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high68° (2020)
Record low21° (2017)
Thu, 1250° / 36°0.15
50 °
Saint Elmo, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high67° (1964)
Record low23° (2019)
Fri, 1348° / 35°0.16
48 °
Saint Elmo, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high68° (1964)
Record low21° (1986)
Sat, 1449° / 35°0.13
49 °
Saint Elmo, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high67° (1989)
Record low10° (1986)
Sun, 1550° / 35°0.13
50 °
Saint Elmo, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high72° (1993)
Record low18° (1986)
Mon, 1649° / 35°0.13
49 °
Saint Elmo, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high68° (2005)
Record low18° (1967)
Tue, 1748° / 34°0.11
48 °
Saint Elmo, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high64° (2006)
Record low22° (2019)
Wed, 1848° / 34°0.1
48 °
Saint Elmo, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high67° (1963)
Record low19° (1997)
Thu, 1948° / 34°0.09
48 °
Saint Elmo, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high65° (1991)
Record low15° (1986)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Saint Elmo, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Saint Elmo, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.