Monthly outlook for Carlton, MN: average high 52.6°, average low 37.6°. That is 2.2° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 1.0 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.2 inches. The warmest day looks like 23 October (66.4°), the coolest 27 October (18.2°).
52.6°/37.6°
Average high / low
+2.2°
Above normal
2 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.0 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
19 October – 28 October
54.2°
50.2°
+2.2°
29 October – 7 November
50°
44.7°
+3°
8 November – 17 November
at normal
38.3°
—
October records over 66 years
84.2°4 October 2025All-time high
17.2°27 October 2020All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Wrenshall (3 mi).
Tue, 2063° / 46°0
63 °
Carlton, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 63°, low 46°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind5.6 mph SE
Humidity71%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point47°
Wed, 2164° / 46°0
64 °
Carlton, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 64°, low 46°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind3.7 mph NW
Humidity64%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point49°
Thu, 2259° / 45°0
59 °
Carlton, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 59°, low 45°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind5.8 mph E
Humidity78%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point49°
Fri, 2366° / 50°0
66 °
Carlton, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 66°, low 50°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind11.1 mph S
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Sat, 2462° / 49°0.02
62 °
Carlton, Saturday, 24 October
Light rain. High 62°, low 49°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind12.8 mph W
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Sun, 2547° / 34°0
47 °
Carlton, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 47°, low 34°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind17.9 mph W
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
Mon, 2635° / 32°0.67
35 °
Carlton, Monday, 26 October
Snow. High 35°, low 32°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind5.8 mph E
Humidity100%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Tue, 2737° / 18°0
37 °
Carlton, Tuesday, 27 October
Mostly clear. High 37°, low 18°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind4.1 mph NW
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Wed, 2848° / 24°0
48 °
Carlton, Wednesday, 28 October
Partly cloudy. High 48°, low 24°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind5.8 mph S
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Thu, 2954° / 40°0.02
54 °
Carlton, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 54°, low 40°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind14.1 mph SE
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Fri, 3058° / 39°0.28
58 °
Carlton, Friday, 30 October
Rain. High 58°, low 39°.
Pressure29.29 inHg
Wind26 mph SW
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Sat, 3142° / 33°0
42 °
Carlton, Saturday, 31 October
Light rain. High 42°, low 33°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind23.2 mph W
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Sun, 0148° / 29°0
48 °
Carlton, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 48°, low 29°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind8.9 mph W
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
Mon, 0250° / 34°0
50 °
Carlton, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 50°, low 34°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind8.9 mph SW
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Tue, 0348° / 39°0.01
48 °
Carlton, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 48°, low 39°.
Pressure29.65 inHg
Wind12.8 mph SE
Humidity88%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Wed, 0443° / 31°0.06
43 °
Carlton, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high65° (2020)
Record low1° (1991)
Thu, 0543° / 31°0.04
43 °
Carlton, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high65° (2016)
Record low5° (1991)
Fri, 0643° / 31°0.07
43 °
Carlton, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high69° (2020)
Record low2° (1991)
Sat, 0743° / 30°0.04
43 °
Carlton, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high68° (2020)
Record low-2° (1991)
Sun, 0842° / 30°0.04
42 °
Carlton, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high68° (2020)
Record low-1° (2003)
Mon, 0941° / 29°0.08
41 °
Carlton, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high65° (2020)
Record low8° (2017)
Tue, 1038° / 28°0.1
38 °
Carlton, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high60° (2010)
Record low2° (2017)
Wed, 1138° / 26°0.07
38 °
Carlton, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high56° (1964)
Record low8° (1986)
Thu, 1236° / 25°0.06
36 °
Carlton, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high53° (2011)
Record low-4° (1966)
Fri, 1338° / 26°0.07
38 °
Carlton, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high63° (1999)
Record low-1° (1982)
Sat, 1438° / 27°0.03
38 °
Carlton, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high59° (2001)
Record low6° (1982)
Sun, 1538° / 26°0.04
38 °
Carlton, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high60° (2001)
Record low-1° (2014)
Mon, 1638° / 26°0.09
38 °
Carlton, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high64° (2023)
Record low9° (2014)
Tue, 1737° / 26°0.06
37 °
Carlton, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high63° (2001)
Record low6° (2005)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Carlton, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Carlton, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.