Monthly outlook for Carlton, MN: average high 51.6°, average low 41°. That is 6° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 3.2 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 1 November (61.1°), the coolest 12 November (32.2°).
51.6°/41°
Average high / low
+6°
Above normal
5 / 4
Wet days / normal
3.2 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
1 November – 10 November
51.3°
42.7°
+4.8°
11 November – 20 November
52.1°
36.9°
+8.4°
21 November – 30 November
at normal
31.5°
—
November records over 66 years
70.3°2 November 2022All-time high
-15.2°29 November 1985All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Wrenshall (3 mi).
Mon, 0253° / 50°1.44
53 °
Carlton, Monday, 2 November
Heavy rain. High 53°, low 50°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind11.4 mph E
Humidity99%
Visibility1.8 mi
Dew point53°
Tue, 0359° / 51°0.24
59 °
Carlton, Tuesday, 3 November
Rain. High 59°, low 51°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind4.5 mph N
Humidity89%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point56°
Wed, 0451° / 46°0.65
51 °
Carlton, Wednesday, 4 November
Rain. High 51°, low 46°.
Pressure29.62 inHg
Wind13.2 mph NE
Humidity95%
Visibility5.6 mi
Dew point48°
Thu, 0547° / 44°0.46
47 °
Carlton, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 47°, low 44°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind13 mph N
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Fri, 0645° / 35°0
45 °
Carlton, Friday, 6 November
Overcast. High 45°, low 35°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind5 mph NE
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Sat, 0753° / 35°0
53 °
Carlton, Saturday, 7 November
Partly cloudy. High 53°, low 35°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind13 mph NW
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Sun, 0847° / 37°0
47 °
Carlton, Sunday, 8 November
Overcast. High 47°, low 37°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind11.5 mph NW
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Mon, 0950° / 34°0
50 °
Carlton, Monday, 9 November
Clear. High 50°, low 34°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind13.7 mph NW
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Tue, 1048° / 35°0
48 °
Carlton, Tuesday, 10 November
Overcast. High 48°, low 35°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind8.2 mph S
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point21°
Wed, 1149° / 35°0
49 °
Carlton, Wednesday, 11 November
Overcast. High 49°, low 35°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind10 mph N
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Thu, 1245° / 32°0
45 °
Carlton, Thursday, 12 November
Overcast. High 45°, low 32°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind9.4 mph S
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Fri, 1357° / 42°0
57 °
Carlton, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 57°, low 42°.
Pressure29.59 inHg
Wind10.2 mph SW
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Sat, 1459° / 46°0
59 °
Carlton, Saturday, 14 November
Overcast. High 59°, low 46°.
Pressure29.38 inHg
Wind10.3 mph SW
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Sun, 1555° / 43°0
55 °
Carlton, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 55°, low 43°.
Pressure29.47 inHg
Wind5.5 mph W
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Mon, 1647° / 40°0.39
47 °
Carlton, Monday, 16 November
Rain. High 47°, low 40°.
Pressure29.44 inHg
Wind17.9 mph NE
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 1737° / 26°0.06
37 °
Carlton, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high63° (2001)
Record low6° (2005)
Wed, 1837° / 25°0.07
37 °
Carlton, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high58° (2001)
Record low4° (2014)
Thu, 1936° / 25°0.09
36 °
Carlton, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high53° (2024)
Record low9° (1969)
Fri, 2034° / 23°0.09
34 °
Carlton, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high34°
Average low23°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high52° (1982)
Record low3° (2014)
Sat, 2134° / 21°0.04
34 °
Carlton, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high34°
Average low21°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high62° (1990)
Record low-3° (2014)
Sun, 2234° / 22°0.04
34 °
Carlton, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high34°
Average low22°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high50° (2012)
Record low2° (1977)
Mon, 2333° / 22°0.09
33 °
Carlton, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high33°
Average low22°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high48° (2001)
Record low5° (1989)
Tue, 2433° / 20°0.04
33 °
Carlton, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high33°
Average low20°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high52° (2025)
Record low-13° (1997)
Wed, 2532° / 21°0.05
32 °
Carlton, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high32°
Average low21°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high48° (1984)
Record low-9° (1985)
Thu, 2631° / 20°0.06
31 °
Carlton, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high31°
Average low20°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high49° (2022)
Record low-5° (1977)
Fri, 2729° / 18°0.07
29 °
Carlton, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high29°
Average low18°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high50° (1998)
Record low-8° (1985)
Sat, 2829° / 17°0.06
29 °
Carlton, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high29°
Average low17°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high49° (2017)
Record low-6° (1976)
Sun, 2931° / 17°0.06
31 °
Carlton, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high31°
Average low17°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high56° (1998)
Record low-15° (1985)
Mon, 3030° / 19°0.06
30 °
Carlton, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high30°
Average low19°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high52° (1998)
Record low-13° (1964)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Carlton, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Carlton, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.