Monthly outlook for Carlton, MN: average high 52.1°, average low 39.8°. That is 3.7° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 1.5 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 31 October (61.6°), the coolest 9 November (30.4°).
52.1°/39.8°
Average high / low
+3.7°
Above normal
5 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.5 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
25 October – 3 November
53.3°
47.1°
+3.5°
4 November – 13 November
50°
40.4°
+5.3°
14 November – 23 November
at normal
35.8°
—
October records over 66 years
84.2°4 October 2025All-time high
17.2°27 October 2020All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Wrenshall (3 mi).
Mon, 2645° / 37°0.01
45 °
Carlton, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 45°, low 37°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind6.2 mph E
Humidity61%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point30°
Tue, 2746° / 38°0.24
46 °
Carlton, Tuesday, 27 October
Light rain. High 46°, low 38°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind12.9 mph E
Humidity95%
Visibility2.6 mi
Dew point42°
Wed, 2853° / 42°0.17
53 °
Carlton, Wednesday, 28 October
Rain. High 53°, low 42°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind13.3 mph W
Humidity74%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point45°
Thu, 2953° / 39°0
53 °
Carlton, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 53°, low 39°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind9.3 mph W
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Fri, 3049° / 39°0.04
49 °
Carlton, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 49°, low 39°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind9.3 mph E
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Sat, 3162° / 46°0.03
62 °
Carlton, Saturday, 31 October
Light rain. High 62°, low 46°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind9.2 mph SW
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Sun, 0154° / 52°0.91
54 °
Carlton, Sunday, 1 November
Heavy rain. High 54°, low 52°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind7.2 mph NW
Humidity99%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Mon, 0257° / 44°0
57 °
Carlton, Monday, 2 November
Clear. High 57°, low 44°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind9.6 mph W
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Tue, 0357° / 38°0
57 °
Carlton, Tuesday, 3 November
Clear. High 57°, low 38°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind8 mph S
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Wed, 0454° / 41°0.09
54 °
Carlton, Wednesday, 4 November
Light rain. High 54°, low 41°.
Pressure29.59 inHg
Wind13.3 mph NW
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Thu, 0547° / 38°0
47 °
Carlton, Thursday, 5 November
Partly cloudy. High 47°, low 38°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind15.3 mph NW
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Fri, 0658° / 37°0
58 °
Carlton, Friday, 6 November
Overcast. High 58°, low 37°.
Pressure29.59 inHg
Wind10.7 mph SW
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Sat, 0755° / 43°0
55 °
Carlton, Saturday, 7 November
Overcast. High 55°, low 43°.
Pressure29.38 inHg
Wind17.7 mph NW
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Sun, 0845° / 35°0
45 °
Carlton, Sunday, 8 November
Partly cloudy. High 45°, low 35°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind15.6 mph NW
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Mon, 0942° / 30°0
42 °
Carlton, Monday, 9 November
Mostly clear. High 42°, low 30°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind8.7 mph NW
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point21°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 1038° / 28°0.1
38 °
Carlton, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high60° (2010)
Record low2° (2017)
Wed, 1138° / 26°0.07
38 °
Carlton, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high56° (1964)
Record low8° (1986)
Thu, 1236° / 25°0.06
36 °
Carlton, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high53° (2011)
Record low-4° (1966)
Fri, 1338° / 26°0.07
38 °
Carlton, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high63° (1999)
Record low-1° (1982)
Sat, 1438° / 27°0.03
38 °
Carlton, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high59° (2001)
Record low6° (1982)
Sun, 1538° / 26°0.04
38 °
Carlton, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high60° (2001)
Record low-1° (2014)
Mon, 1638° / 26°0.09
38 °
Carlton, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high64° (2023)
Record low9° (2014)
Tue, 1737° / 26°0.06
37 °
Carlton, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high63° (2001)
Record low6° (2005)
Wed, 1837° / 25°0.07
37 °
Carlton, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high58° (2001)
Record low4° (2014)
Thu, 1936° / 25°0.09
36 °
Carlton, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high53° (2024)
Record low9° (1969)
Fri, 2034° / 23°0.09
34 °
Carlton, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high34°
Average low23°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high52° (1982)
Record low3° (2014)
Sat, 2134° / 21°0.04
34 °
Carlton, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high34°
Average low21°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high62° (1990)
Record low-3° (2014)
Sun, 2234° / 22°0.04
34 °
Carlton, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high34°
Average low22°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high50° (2012)
Record low2° (1977)
Mon, 2333° / 22°0.09
33 °
Carlton, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high33°
Average low22°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high48° (2001)
Record low5° (1989)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Carlton, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Carlton, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.