Monthly outlook for Carlton, MN: average high 51.5°, average low 37.3°. That is 2.8° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 1.2 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 23 October (71.8°), the coolest 2 November (28.9°).
51.5°/37.3°
Average high / low
+2.8°
Above normal
5 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.2 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
23 October – 1 November
53°
48.2°
+2.7°
2 November – 11 November
49.1°
41.9°
+4°
12 November – 21 November
at normal
36.5°
—
October records over 66 years
84.2°4 October 2025All-time high
17.2°27 October 2020All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Wrenshall (3 mi).
Sat, 2471° / 50°0.09
71 °
Carlton, Saturday, 24 October
Light rain. High 71°, low 50°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind12.6 mph SW
Humidity56%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point51°
Sun, 2554° / 37°0
54 °
Carlton, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 54°, low 37°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind5.6 mph NW
Humidity46%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point28°
Mon, 2644° / 38°0
44 °
Carlton, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 44°, low 38°.
Pressure30.56 inHg
Wind5.6 mph E
Humidity65%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point29°
Tue, 2742° / 38°0.51
42 °
Carlton, Tuesday, 27 October
Rain. High 42°, low 38°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind11.9 mph E
Humidity99%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Wed, 2856° / 44°0.52
56 °
Carlton, Wednesday, 28 October
Rain. High 56°, low 44°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind17.7 mph SW
Humidity100%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Thu, 2955° / 38°0
55 °
Carlton, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 55°, low 38°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind17.8 mph SW
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Fri, 3045° / 34°0
45 °
Carlton, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 45°, low 34°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind7.6 mph NE
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Sat, 3144° / 35°0
44 °
Carlton, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 44°, low 35°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind11.8 mph E
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Sun, 0147° / 33°0
47 °
Carlton, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 47°, low 33°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind5.7 mph N
Humidity33%
Visibility—
Dew point16°
Mon, 0250° / 29°0
50 °
Carlton, Monday, 2 November
Clear. High 50°, low 29°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind6.6 mph NW
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Tue, 0353° / 31°0
53 °
Carlton, Tuesday, 3 November
Partly cloudy. High 53°, low 31°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind9 mph W
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Wed, 0449° / 34°0
49 °
Carlton, Wednesday, 4 November
Partly cloudy. High 49°, low 34°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind6.7 mph NW
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Thu, 0558° / 35°0
58 °
Carlton, Thursday, 5 November
Overcast. High 58°, low 35°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind11.5 mph SW
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Fri, 0645° / 38°0
45 °
Carlton, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 45°, low 38°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind19.1 mph NE
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Sat, 0740° / 38°0.06
40 °
Carlton, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 40°, low 38°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind18.9 mph E
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 0842° / 30°0.04
42 °
Carlton, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high68° (2020)
Record low-1° (2003)
Mon, 0941° / 29°0.08
41 °
Carlton, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high65° (2020)
Record low8° (2017)
Tue, 1038° / 28°0.1
38 °
Carlton, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high60° (2010)
Record low2° (2017)
Wed, 1138° / 26°0.07
38 °
Carlton, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high56° (1964)
Record low8° (1986)
Thu, 1236° / 25°0.06
36 °
Carlton, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high53° (2011)
Record low-4° (1966)
Fri, 1338° / 26°0.07
38 °
Carlton, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high63° (1999)
Record low-1° (1982)
Sat, 1438° / 27°0.03
38 °
Carlton, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high59° (2001)
Record low6° (1982)
Sun, 1538° / 26°0.04
38 °
Carlton, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high60° (2001)
Record low-1° (2014)
Mon, 1638° / 26°0.09
38 °
Carlton, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high64° (2023)
Record low9° (2014)
Tue, 1737° / 26°0.06
37 °
Carlton, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high63° (2001)
Record low6° (2005)
Wed, 1837° / 25°0.07
37 °
Carlton, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high58° (2001)
Record low4° (2014)
Thu, 1936° / 25°0.09
36 °
Carlton, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high53° (2024)
Record low9° (1969)
Fri, 2034° / 23°0.09
34 °
Carlton, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high34°
Average low23°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high52° (1982)
Record low3° (2014)
Sat, 2134° / 21°0.04
34 °
Carlton, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high34°
Average low21°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high62° (1990)
Record low-3° (2014)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Carlton, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Carlton, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.