Monthly outlook for Riley, MN: average high 54.6°, average low 39.8°. That is 4.5° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 2.3 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.2 inches. The warmest day looks like 24 October (71°), the coolest 26 October (26.8°).
54.6°/39.8°
Average high / low
+4.5°
Above normal
4 / 5
Wet days / normal
2.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
17 October – 26 October
58.9°
48.1°
+6°
27 October – 5 November
47.6°
42.9°
+2.6°
6 November – 15 November
at normal
36.7°
—
October records over 66 years
81.3°1 October 2023All-time high
11.7°30 October 1988All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Hibbing (3 mi).
Sun, 1863° / 44°0
63 °
Riley, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 63°, low 44°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind9.8 mph SW
Humidity52%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Mon, 1962° / 40°0
62 °
Riley, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 62°, low 40°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind5.7 mph E
Humidity43%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point35°
Tue, 2061° / 39°0
61 °
Riley, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 61°, low 39°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind8.6 mph SE
Humidity68%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point46°
Wed, 2160° / 46°0
60 °
Riley, Wednesday, 21 October
Overcast. High 60°, low 46°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind6.5 mph S
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Thu, 2260° / 43°0
60 °
Riley, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 60°, low 43°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind8.2 mph SE
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Fri, 2362° / 48°0.02
62 °
Riley, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 62°, low 48°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind14.4 mph SE
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Sat, 2471° / 56°0.01
71 °
Riley, Saturday, 24 October
Light rain. High 71°, low 56°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind14.4 mph S
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Sun, 2549° / 34°0
49 °
Riley, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 49°, low 34°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind12.4 mph NW
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Mon, 2642° / 27°0
42 °
Riley, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 42°, low 27°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind7.3 mph N
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point16°
Tue, 2746° / 29°0
46 °
Riley, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 46°, low 29°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind12.1 mph SE
Humidity36%
Visibility—
Dew point16°
Wed, 2842° / 40°0.3
42 °
Riley, Wednesday, 28 October
Rain. High 42°, low 40°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind12.5 mph S
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Thu, 2951° / 40°0.27
51 °
Riley, Thursday, 29 October
Rain. High 51°, low 40°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind12.6 mph NW
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Fri, 3050° / 38°0.01
50 °
Riley, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 50°, low 38°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind13.4 mph S
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Sat, 3150° / 48°1.18
50 °
Riley, Saturday, 31 October
Heavy rain. High 50°, low 48°.
Pressure29.41 inHg
Wind12.5 mph N
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Sun, 0147° / 37°0.52
47 °
Riley, Sunday, 1 November
Rain. High 47°, low 37°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind19.2 mph NW
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 0242° / 30°0.06
42 °
Riley, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high67° (2022)
Record low6° (1984)
Tue, 0341° / 29°0.04
41 °
Riley, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high63° (2022)
Record low9° (1991)
Wed, 0440° / 29°0.04
40 °
Riley, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high61° (1975)
Record low3° (1991)
Thu, 0540° / 29°0.04
40 °
Riley, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high63° (1975)
Record low4° (1991)
Fri, 0640° / 29°0.05
40 °
Riley, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high64° (2016)
Record low-1° (1991)
Sat, 0740° / 28°0.04
40 °
Riley, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high64° (2020)
Record low-3° (1991)
Sun, 0839° / 27°0.05
39 °
Riley, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high64° (2020)
Record low-3° (2003)
Mon, 0938° / 27°0.07
38 °
Riley, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high62° (2020)
Record low1° (2017)
Tue, 1035° / 25°0.06
35 °
Riley, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high58° (2010)
Record low-7° (2017)
Wed, 1135° / 24°0.06
35 °
Riley, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high54° (2010)
Record low3° (2019)
Thu, 1234° / 22°0.05
34 °
Riley, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high34°
Average low22°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high51° (2016)
Record low-3° (1966)
Fri, 1335° / 24°0.07
35 °
Riley, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high60° (1999)
Record low-2° (1986)
Sat, 1436° / 24°0.03
36 °
Riley, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high55° (2023)
Record low0° (1982)
Sun, 1535° / 24°0.04
35 °
Riley, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high56° (2001)
Record low1° (2014)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Riley, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Riley, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.