Monthly outlook for Riley, MN: average high 51.6°, average low 36.3°. That is 3.9° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 1.6 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 23 October (67.8°), the coolest 30 October (27.9°).
51.6°/36.3°
Average high / low
+3.9°
Above normal
6 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.6 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
21 October – 30 October
54.1°
46.4°
+4.3°
31 October – 9 November
47.5°
40.6°
+3.8°
10 November – 19 November
at normal
34.6°
—
October records over 66 years
81.3°1 October 2023All-time high
11.7°30 October 1988All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Hibbing (3 mi).
Thu, 2263° / 31°0
63 °
Riley, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 63°, low 31°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind5.3 mph SE
Humidity63%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point45°
Fri, 2368° / 35°0
68 °
Riley, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 68°, low 35°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind10.5 mph S
Humidity85%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point54°
Sat, 2467° / 52°0.18
67 °
Riley, Saturday, 24 October
Rain. High 67°, low 52°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind13.4 mph S
Humidity62%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point52°
Sun, 2550° / 39°0.03
50 °
Riley, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 50°, low 39°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind8.8 mph N
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Mon, 2641° / 38°0.31
41 °
Riley, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 41°, low 38°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind10.1 mph NE
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Tue, 2742° / 32°0.01
42 °
Riley, Tuesday, 27 October
Light rain. High 42°, low 32°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind8.3 mph S
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Wed, 2849° / 33°0.08
49 °
Riley, Wednesday, 28 October
Light rain. High 49°, low 33°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind10.3 mph NW
Humidity88%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Thu, 2949° / 29°0
49 °
Riley, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 49°, low 29°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind9.9 mph W
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point18°
Fri, 3047° / 28°0
47 °
Riley, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 47°, low 28°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind12 mph SE
Humidity33%
Visibility—
Dew point17°
Sat, 3148° / 40°0.46
48 °
Riley, Saturday, 31 October
Rain. High 48°, low 40°.
Pressure29.56 inHg
Wind15.5 mph SE
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Sun, 0149° / 40°0
49 °
Riley, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 49°, low 40°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind8.3 mph SW
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Mon, 0249° / 35°0
49 °
Riley, Monday, 2 November
Clear. High 49°, low 35°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind6.1 mph N
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Tue, 0350° / 33°0
50 °
Riley, Tuesday, 3 November
Clear. High 50°, low 33°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind7.8 mph NE
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Wed, 0442° / 37°0.24
42 °
Riley, Wednesday, 4 November
Light rain. High 42°, low 37°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind10.3 mph NE
Humidity88%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Thu, 0547° / 42°0.28
47 °
Riley, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 47°, low 42°.
Pressure29.47 inHg
Wind9.3 mph NE
Humidity98%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 0640° / 29°0.05
40 °
Riley, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high64° (2016)
Record low-1° (1991)
Sat, 0740° / 28°0.04
40 °
Riley, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high64° (2020)
Record low-3° (1991)
Sun, 0839° / 27°0.05
39 °
Riley, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high64° (2020)
Record low-3° (2003)
Mon, 0938° / 27°0.07
38 °
Riley, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high62° (2020)
Record low1° (2017)
Tue, 1035° / 25°0.06
35 °
Riley, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high58° (2010)
Record low-7° (2017)
Wed, 1135° / 24°0.06
35 °
Riley, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high54° (2010)
Record low3° (2019)
Thu, 1234° / 22°0.05
34 °
Riley, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high34°
Average low22°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high51° (2016)
Record low-3° (1966)
Fri, 1335° / 24°0.07
35 °
Riley, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high60° (1999)
Record low-2° (1986)
Sat, 1436° / 24°0.03
36 °
Riley, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high55° (2023)
Record low0° (1982)
Sun, 1535° / 24°0.04
35 °
Riley, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high56° (2001)
Record low1° (2014)
Mon, 1635° / 23°0.08
35 °
Riley, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low23°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high58° (2023)
Record low8° (2014)
Tue, 1734° / 24°0.07
34 °
Riley, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high34°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high61° (2001)
Record low6° (2005)
Wed, 1834° / 22°0.08
34 °
Riley, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high34°
Average low22°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high54° (2015)
Record low1° (1986)
Thu, 1933° / 22°0.08
33 °
Riley, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high33°
Average low22°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high50° (2012)
Record low1° (1986)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Riley, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Riley, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.