Monthly outlook for Mesa, NM: average high 73.5°, average low 56.4°. That is 0.2° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 8 days (about 2.3 inches), against a normal of 2 days and 0.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 11 October (83.8°), the coolest 17 October (47.8°).
73.5°/56.4°
Average high / low
−0.2°
Below normal
8 / 2
Wet days / normal
2.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
7 October – 16 October
78.3°
75°
+1.8°
17 October – 26 October
65.5°
71.3°
-3.2°
27 October – 5 November
at normal
66.6°
—
October records over 66 years
95.2°7 October 1979All-time high
20.1°27 October 2020All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Dunlap (11 mi).
Thu, 0880° / 54°0
80 °
Mesa, Thursday, 8 October
Mostly clear. High 80°, low 54°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind2.4 mph SE
Humidity38%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point49°
Fri, 0977° / 54°0
77 °
Mesa, Friday, 9 October
Clear. High 77°, low 54°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind12.4 mph S
Humidity32%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point44°
Sat, 1079° / 57°0
79 °
Mesa, Saturday, 10 October
Clear. High 79°, low 57°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind12.2 mph S
Humidity44%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point51°
Sun, 1184° / 61°0
84 °
Mesa, Sunday, 11 October
Clear. High 84°, low 61°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind13.5 mph S
Humidity32%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point46°
Mon, 1282° / 61°0.02
82 °
Mesa, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 82°, low 61°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind13 mph S
Humidity38%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Tue, 1375° / 64°0.69
75 °
Mesa, Tuesday, 13 October
Rain. High 75°, low 64°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind12.1 mph SW
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point62°
Wed, 1475° / 63°0.37
75 °
Mesa, Wednesday, 14 October
Rain. High 75°, low 63°.
Pressure29.62 inHg
Wind28.2 mph W
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Thu, 1571° / 56°0
71 °
Mesa, Thursday, 15 October
Clear. High 71°, low 56°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind14.3 mph W
Humidity31%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Fri, 1678° / 57°0.23
78 °
Mesa, Friday, 16 October
Rain. High 78°, low 57°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind22.1 mph NE
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Sat, 1754° / 48°0.39
54 °
Mesa, Saturday, 17 October
Rain. High 54°, low 48°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind23.2 mph NE
Humidity90%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Sun, 1862° / 51°0.16
62 °
Mesa, Sunday, 18 October
Light rain. High 62°, low 51°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind12.5 mph S
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Mon, 1972° / 60°0.06
72 °
Mesa, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 72°, low 60°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind10.9 mph S
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Tue, 2070° / 59°0.17
70 °
Mesa, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 70°, low 59°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind10.7 mph SE
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point57°
Wed, 2167° / 55°0.26
67 °
Mesa, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 67°, low 55°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind18.2 mph NE
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Thu, 2267° / 50°0
67 °
Mesa, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 67°, low 50°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind12.6 mph SE
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 2370° / 48°0.11
70 °
Mesa, Friday, 23 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high70°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high89° (2003)
Record low33° (2008)
Sat, 2470° / 47°0.06
70 °
Mesa, Saturday, 24 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high70°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high85° (2012)
Record low34° (2019)
Sun, 2570° / 47°0.02
70 °
Mesa, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high70°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high84° (2021)
Record low30° (2019)
Mon, 2670° / 47°0.03
70 °
Mesa, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high70°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high87° (1979)
Record low22° (2020)
Tue, 2768° / 46°0.07
68 °
Mesa, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high68°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high84° (2025)
Record low20° (2020)
Wed, 2867° / 45°0.04
67 °
Mesa, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high67°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high85° (1994)
Record low26° (2020)
Thu, 2970° / 45°0.01
70 °
Mesa, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high70°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high86° (2003)
Record low31° (1980)
Fri, 3067° / 45°0.03
67 °
Mesa, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high67°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high83° (2021)
Record low24° (1993)
Sat, 3166° / 44°0.04
66 °
Mesa, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high66°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high85° (2016)
Record low21° (1991)
Sun, 0165° / 43°0.01
65 °
Mesa, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high82° (1994)
Record low15° (1991)
Mon, 0265° / 43°0.06
65 °
Mesa, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high80° (2012)
Record low22° (1991)
Tue, 0365° / 43°0.06
65 °
Mesa, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high82° (2023)
Record low18° (1991)
Wed, 0466° / 44°0.05
66 °
Mesa, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high66°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high84° (2025)
Record low23° (1991)
Thu, 0566° / 44°0.02
66 °
Mesa, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high66°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high80° (2023)
Record low24° (1991)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Mesa, NM are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Mesa, NM since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.