Weather in Arenal, NM
Arenal, Friday, 16 October, 23:39
Clear. Feels like 44°. High 65°, low 44°.
Monthly outlook for Arenal, NM: average high 67.6°, average low 51.4°. That is 0.3° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 10 days (about 2.5 inches), against a normal of 2 days and 0.4 inches. The warmest day looks like 24 October (74.1°), the coolest 17 October (41.1°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 October – 25 October | 69.5° | 68.5° | +0.6° |
| 26 October – 4 November | 64.3° | 63.6° | +0.4° |
| 5 November – 14 November | at normal | 60.4° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — South Valley (3 mi).
0
Arenal, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 70°, low 41°.
0
Arenal, Sunday, 18 October
Light rain. High 67°, low 50°.
0.11Arenal, Monday, 19 October
Rain. High 73°, low 50°.
0.11Arenal, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 71°, low 52°.
0.33Arenal, Wednesday, 21 October
Rain. High 73°, low 54°.
0.71Arenal, Thursday, 22 October
Rain. High 69°, low 54°.
0.33Arenal, Friday, 23 October
Rain. High 65°, low 55°.
0.08Arenal, Saturday, 24 October
Light rain. High 74°, low 55°.
0.05Arenal, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 67°, low 53°.
0
Arenal, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 67°, low 54°.
0.06Arenal, Tuesday, 27 October
Light rain. High 70°, low 57°.
0.7Arenal, Wednesday, 28 October
Rain. High 64°, low 57°.
0.06Arenal, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 61°, low 48°.
0Arenal, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 60°, low 47°.
0Arenal, Saturday, 31 October
Clear. High 64°, low 50°.
0.01
Arenal, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Arenal, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Arenal, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Arenal, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.01Arenal, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.01Arenal, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Arenal, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.01Arenal, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.01Arenal, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.01Arenal, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Arenal, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Arenal, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Arenal, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Arenal, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Arenal, NM are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Arenal, NM since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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