Monthly outlook for Arenal, NM: average high 96.1°, average low 73.3°. That is 4.4° above the climate normal for August. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 0.6 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 0.5 inches. The warmest day looks like 9 August (109.9°), the coolest 8 August (66.9°).
96.1°/73.3°
Average high / low
+4.4°
Above normal
5 / 3
Wet days / normal
0.6 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
8 August – 17 August
97°
88.5°
+4.7°
18 August – 27 August
94.8°
87.2°
+4.3°
28 August – 6 September
at normal
86.3°
—
August records over 66 years
101.8°6 August 2023All-time high
52.3°24 August 1968All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Albuquerque (5 mi).
Sun, 09110° / 71°0.02
110 °
Arenal, Sunday, 9 August
Light rain. High 110°, low 71°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind7.8 mph SW
Humidity19%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point44°
Mon, 1098° / 69°0.08
98 °
Arenal, Monday, 10 August
Rain. High 98°, low 69°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind2.8 mph W
Humidity23%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point47°
Tue, 1198° / 77°0.03
98 °
Arenal, Tuesday, 11 August
Light rain. High 98°, low 77°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind5.3 mph NW
Humidity25%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point49°
Wed, 1296° / 76°0
96 °
Arenal, Wednesday, 12 August
Overcast. High 96°, low 76°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind5.3 mph SW
Humidity31%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point53°
Thu, 1394° / 74°0.02
94 °
Arenal, Thursday, 13 August
Light rain. High 94°, low 74°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind21.9 mph SW
Humidity31%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Fri, 1492° / 71°0.03
92 °
Arenal, Friday, 14 August
Light rain. High 92°, low 71°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind15.5 mph S
Humidity38%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Sat, 1595° / 75°0.02
95 °
Arenal, Saturday, 15 August
Light rain. High 95°, low 75°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind8.6 mph S
Humidity30%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Sun, 1694° / 74°0
94 °
Arenal, Sunday, 16 August
Clear. High 94°, low 74°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind13.1 mph N
Humidity32%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Mon, 1794° / 76°0
94 °
Arenal, Monday, 17 August
Overcast. High 94°, low 76°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind14.3 mph NW
Humidity29%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Tue, 1896° / 76°0.01
96 °
Arenal, Tuesday, 18 August
Light rain. High 96°, low 76°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind22.2 mph NW
Humidity23%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Wed, 1995° / 75°0.01
95 °
Arenal, Wednesday, 19 August
Light rain. High 95°, low 75°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind7.4 mph NW
Humidity26%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Thu, 2097° / 77°0.04
97 °
Arenal, Thursday, 20 August
Light rain. High 97°, low 77°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind20 mph SE
Humidity24%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Fri, 2195° / 72°0.04
95 °
Arenal, Friday, 21 August
Light rain. High 95°, low 72°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind25.3 mph E
Humidity28%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Sat, 2294° / 71°0.28
94 °
Arenal, Saturday, 22 August
Rain. High 94°, low 71°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind22.6 mph NE
Humidity32%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Sun, 2392° / 72°0.04
92 °
Arenal, Sunday, 23 August
Light rain. High 92°, low 72°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind15.5 mph E
Humidity30%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 2486° / 64°0.04
86 °
Arenal, Monday, 24 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high86°
Average low64°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high96° (2011)
Record low52° (1968)
Tue, 2587° / 63°0.02
87 °
Arenal, Tuesday, 25 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high87°
Average low63°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high97° (2019)
Record low55° (1966)
Wed, 2687° / 64°0.04
87 °
Arenal, Wednesday, 26 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high87°
Average low64°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high98° (2019)
Record low55° (2010)
Thu, 2786° / 64°0.04
86 °
Arenal, Thursday, 27 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high86°
Average low64°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high96° (2011)
Record low53° (1992)
Fri, 2887° / 64°0.01
87 °
Arenal, Friday, 28 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high87°
Average low64°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation5%
Record high96° (2011)
Record low54° (1987)
Sat, 2987° / 63°0.02
87 °
Arenal, Saturday, 29 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high87°
Average low63°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high94° (2011)
Record low54° (1988)
Sun, 3087° / 63°0.01
87 °
Arenal, Sunday, 30 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high87°
Average low63°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high96° (2011)
Record low53° (1987)
Mon, 3186° / 64°0.02
86 °
Arenal, Monday, 31 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high86°
Average low64°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high98° (2011)
Record low55° (1987)
Tue, 0186° / 63°0.02
86 °
Arenal, Tuesday, 1 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high86°
Average low63°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high95° (2013)
Record low55° (1987)
Wed, 0287° / 63°0.02
87 °
Arenal, Wednesday, 2 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high87°
Average low63°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high95° (2012)
Record low53° (1976)
Thu, 0386° / 63°0.01
86 °
Arenal, Thursday, 3 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high86°
Average low63°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation3%
Record high96° (2019)
Record low51° (1974)
Fri, 0486° / 63°0.02
86 °
Arenal, Friday, 4 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high86°
Average low63°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high95° (2000)
Record low49° (1961)
Sat, 0585° / 62°0.03
85 °
Arenal, Saturday, 5 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high85°
Average low62°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high95° (1979)
Record low51° (1988)
Sun, 0685° / 62°0.03
85 °
Arenal, Sunday, 6 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high85°
Average low62°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high95° (2020)
Record low51° (2004)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Arenal, NM are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Arenal, NM since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.