Weather in Arenal, NM
Arenal, Friday, 16 October, 10:44
Clear. Feels like 52°. High 67°, low 44°.
Monthly outlook for Arenal, NM: average high 65.8°, average low 50.2°. That is 0.7° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 3.1 inches), against a normal of 2 days and 0.4 inches. The warmest day looks like 19 October (72.6°), the coolest 17 October (39.7°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 October – 25 October | 67.8° | 68.5° | -0.4° |
| 26 October – 4 November | 62.3° | 63.6° | -0.7° |
| 5 November – 14 November | at normal | 60.4° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — South Valley (3 mi).
0
Arenal, Saturday, 17 October
Mostly clear. High 71°, low 40°.
0Arenal, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 69°, low 45°.
0.01
Arenal, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 73°, low 51°.
0.07Arenal, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 71°, low 51°.
0.9Arenal, Wednesday, 21 October
Rain. High 60°, low 55°.
1.28Arenal, Thursday, 22 October
Heavy rain. High 65°, low 58°.
0.3Arenal, Friday, 23 October
Rain. High 68°, low 55°.
0.03Arenal, Saturday, 24 October
Light rain. High 71°, low 57°.
0Arenal, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 63°, low 51°.
0
Arenal, Monday, 26 October
Partly cloudy. High 67°, low 52°.
0.21Arenal, Tuesday, 27 October
Light rain. High 63°, low 55°.
0Arenal, Wednesday, 28 October
Partly cloudy. High 66°, low 49°.
0.02Arenal, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 63°, low 49°.
0.32Arenal, Friday, 30 October
Rain. High 59°, low 47°.
0Arenal, Saturday, 31 October
Light rain. High 55°, low 44°.
0.01Arenal, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Arenal, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Arenal, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Arenal, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.01Arenal, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.01Arenal, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Arenal, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.01Arenal, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.01Arenal, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.01Arenal, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Arenal, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Arenal, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Arenal, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Arenal, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Arenal, NM are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Arenal, NM since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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