Weather in Dumfries, VA
Dumfries, Sunday, 11 October, 01:52
Light rain. Feels like 63°. High 69°, low 58°.
Monthly outlook for Dumfries, VA: average high 65.6°, average low 46°. That is 0.5° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 1.5 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 14 October (85.9°), the coolest 19 October (31.7°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 October – 20 October | 68.1° | 67.5° | +0.3° |
| 21 October – 30 October | 61.3° | 64° | -1.5° |
| 31 October – 9 November | at normal | 61.3° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Quantico (4 mi).
0.55Dumfries, Monday, 12 October
Heavy rain. High 74°, low 58°.
0
Dumfries, Tuesday, 13 October
Clear. High 81°, low 56°.
0Dumfries, Wednesday, 14 October
Clear. High 86°, low 64°.
0Dumfries, Thursday, 15 October
Clear. High 70°, low 54°.
0.02Dumfries, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 71°, low 53°.
0.02Dumfries, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 69°, low 42°.
0Dumfries, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 49°, low 37°.
0
Dumfries, Monday, 19 October
Partly cloudy. High 52°, low 32°.
0Dumfries, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 60°, low 35°.
0Dumfries, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 62°, low 38°.
0Dumfries, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 68°, low 41°.
0Dumfries, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 64°, low 48°.
0Dumfries, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 55°, low 41°.
0Dumfries, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 58°, low 38°.
0
Dumfries, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 60°, low 42°.
0.15Dumfries, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Dumfries, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.21Dumfries, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Dumfries, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06
Dumfries, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Dumfries, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Dumfries, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Dumfries, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Dumfries, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Dumfries, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Dumfries, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Dumfries, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Dumfries, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Dumfries, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Dumfries, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Dumfries, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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