Weather in Monticello Forest, VA
Monticello Forest, Wednesday, 4 November, 02:18
Clear. Feels like 55°. High 73°, low 51°.
Monthly outlook for Monticello Forest, VA: average high 60°, average low 44.7°. That is 2° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.2 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 5 November (75.3°), the coolest 15 November (33.5°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 November – 13 November | 63.3° | 57.7° | +3.1° |
| 14 November – 23 November | 54.6° | 53.7° | +0.5° |
| 24 November – 3 December | at normal | 51.4° | — |
November records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Franconia (2 mi).
0.04
Monticello Forest, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 75°, low 58°.
0Monticello Forest, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 71°, low 58°.
0
Monticello Forest, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 57°, low 46°.
0
Monticello Forest, Sunday, 8 November
Partly cloudy. High 55°, low 43°.
0Monticello Forest, Monday, 9 November
Partly cloudy. High 59°, low 42°.
0Monticello Forest, Tuesday, 10 November
Clear. High 66°, low 45°.
0Monticello Forest, Wednesday, 11 November
Clear. High 63°, low 48°.
0
Monticello Forest, Thursday, 12 November
Overcast. High 57°, low 46°.
0.02Monticello Forest, Friday, 13 November
Light rain. High 58°, low 46°.
0.13Monticello Forest, Saturday, 14 November
Rain. High 58°, low 41°.
0Monticello Forest, Sunday, 15 November
Clear. High 45°, low 34°.
0Monticello Forest, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 50°, low 35°.
0Monticello Forest, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 55°, low 38°.
0Monticello Forest, Wednesday, 18 November
Clear. High 60°, low 41°.
0Monticello Forest, Thursday, 19 November
Overcast. High 59°, low 43°.
0.07Monticello Forest, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Monticello Forest, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Monticello Forest, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Monticello Forest, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Monticello Forest, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Monticello Forest, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13
Monticello Forest, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Monticello Forest, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Monticello Forest, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Monticello Forest, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Monticello Forest, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Monticello Forest, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Monticello Forest, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Monticello Forest, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Monticello Forest, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Monticello Forest, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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