Monthly outlook for Franconia, VA: average high 70.8°, average low 53.7°. That is 3.3° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 1.4 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 14 October (86.2°), the coolest 18 October (41.6°).
70.8°/53.7°
Average high / low
+3.3°
Above normal
6 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.4 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
13 October – 22 October
71.9°
65.9°
+3.3°
23 October – 1 November
68.9°
62.5°
+3.6°
2 November – 11 November
at normal
59.3°
—
October records over 66 years
94.1°2 October 2019All-time high
30.6°28 October 1976All-time low
Wed, 1486° / 65°0.1
86 °
Franconia, Wednesday, 14 October
Rain. High 86°, low 65°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind6.8 mph SW
Humidity58%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point66°
Thu, 1568° / 58°0.35
68 °
Franconia, Thursday, 15 October
Heavy rain. High 68°, low 58°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind5.2 mph NE
Humidity70%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point52°
Fri, 1682° / 60°0.11
82 °
Franconia, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 82°, low 60°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind10.2 mph SW
Humidity75%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point68°
Sat, 1757° / 47°0.02
57 °
Franconia, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 57°, low 47°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind13.8 mph NW
Humidity50%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point36°
Sun, 1858° / 42°0
58 °
Franconia, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 58°, low 42°.
Pressure30.59 inHg
Wind5.9 mph NW
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Mon, 1968° / 43°0
68 °
Franconia, Monday, 19 October
Overcast. High 68°, low 43°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind9.5 mph SW
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Tue, 2070° / 54°0.05
70 °
Franconia, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 70°, low 54°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind4.2 mph SW
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Wed, 2172° / 56°0.02
72 °
Franconia, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 72°, low 56°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind3.1 mph SE
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Thu, 2275° / 55°0
75 °
Franconia, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 75°, low 55°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind4.2 mph NE
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Fri, 2375° / 56°0
75 °
Franconia, Friday, 23 October
Partly cloudy. High 75°, low 56°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind7.5 mph S
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Sat, 2477° / 59°0
77 °
Franconia, Saturday, 24 October
Partly cloudy. High 77°, low 59°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind12 mph NW
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Sun, 2562° / 52°0
62 °
Franconia, Sunday, 25 October
Partly cloudy. High 62°, low 52°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind11.1 mph N
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Mon, 2660° / 47°0
60 °
Franconia, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 60°, low 47°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind5.7 mph S
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Tue, 2770° / 54°0.04
70 °
Franconia, Tuesday, 27 October
Light rain. High 70°, low 54°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind9.5 mph S
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Wed, 2868° / 58°0.69
68 °
Franconia, Wednesday, 28 October
Rain. High 68°, low 58°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind11.9 mph S
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point63°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Thu, 2961° / 46°0.22
61 °
Franconia, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.22 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high80° (2023)
Record low32° (1965)
Fri, 3061° / 46°0.12
61 °
Franconia, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high81° (2023)
Record low33° (2011)
Sat, 3162° / 47°0.05
62 °
Franconia, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high80° (2024)
Record low34° (2011)
Sun, 0163° / 48°0.1
63 °
Franconia, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high82° (1974)
Record low37° (2002)
Mon, 0262° / 48°0.11
62 °
Franconia, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high79° (1971)
Record low34° (1976)
Tue, 0362° / 46°0.06
62 °
Franconia, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high77° (2017)
Record low34° (1996)
Wed, 0460° / 45°0.12
60 °
Franconia, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high81° (1974)
Record low31° (2006)
Thu, 0559° / 45°0.09
59 °
Franconia, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high78° (1961)
Record low28° (1991)
Fri, 0659° / 45°0.07
59 °
Franconia, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high80° (2024)
Record low30° (1967)
Sat, 0758° / 44°0.1
58 °
Franconia, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high79° (2024)
Record low29° (1962)
Sun, 0858° / 43°0.16
58 °
Franconia, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high75° (1975)
Record low30° (1967)
Mon, 0958° / 43°0.07
58 °
Franconia, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high80° (2023)
Record low28° (1976)
Tue, 1059° / 43°0.13
59 °
Franconia, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high73° (1975)
Record low31° (1973)
Wed, 1157° / 43°0.2
57 °
Franconia, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high74° (2024)
Record low24° (2017)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Franconia, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Franconia, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.