Monthly outlook for Carsonville, VA: average high 67.3°, average low 47.2°. That is 2.7° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 1 day (about 0.1 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 14 October (77.1°), the coolest 18 October (34.7°).
67.3°/47.2°
Average high / low
+2.7°
Above normal
1 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.1 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
12 October – 21 October
68°
63.5°
+2.5°
22 October – 31 October
66.1°
60.2°
+3.3°
1 November – 10 November
at normal
57.1°
—
October records over 66 years
87.6°3 October 2019All-time high
24.6°27 October 1962All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Baywood (5 mi).
Tue, 1375° / 52°0
75 °
Carsonville, Tuesday, 13 October
Clear. High 75°, low 52°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind7.6 mph W
Humidity59%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point58°
Wed, 1477° / 58°0
77 °
Carsonville, Wednesday, 14 October
Mostly clear. High 77°, low 58°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind6.7 mph NW
Humidity69%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point64°
Thu, 1577° / 59°0
77 °
Carsonville, Thursday, 15 October
Overcast. High 77°, low 59°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind8 mph S
Humidity68%
Visibility4.3 mi
Dew point64°
Fri, 1673° / 48°0.04
73 °
Carsonville, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 73°, low 48°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind15.6 mph W
Humidity67%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point61°
Sat, 1755° / 42°0
55 °
Carsonville, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 55°, low 42°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind16.1 mph NW
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Sun, 1853° / 35°0
53 °
Carsonville, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 53°, low 35°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind8.1 mph S
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Mon, 1962° / 35°0
62 °
Carsonville, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 62°, low 35°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind9.8 mph S
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Tue, 2069° / 47°0
69 °
Carsonville, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 69°, low 47°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind3.2 mph SW
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Wed, 2170° / 51°0
70 °
Carsonville, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 70°, low 51°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind5.4 mph NE
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Thu, 2260° / 48°0
60 °
Carsonville, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 60°, low 48°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind6.3 mph SE
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Fri, 2368° / 43°0
68 °
Carsonville, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 68°, low 43°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind3.5 mph S
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Sat, 2474° / 51°0
74 °
Carsonville, Saturday, 24 October
Partly cloudy. High 74°, low 51°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind3.6 mph W
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Sun, 2573° / 52°0
73 °
Carsonville, Sunday, 25 October
Partly cloudy. High 73°, low 52°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind8.5 mph W
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Mon, 2659° / 44°0.02
59 °
Carsonville, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 59°, low 44°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind19.4 mph NW
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Tue, 2762° / 36°0
62 °
Carsonville, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 62°, low 36°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind13.2 mph NW
Humidity25%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Wed, 2860° / 44°0.12
60 °
Carsonville, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high77° (2023)
Record low27° (1976)
Thu, 2959° / 42°0.12
59 °
Carsonville, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high76° (2023)
Record low28° (1976)
Fri, 3060° / 41°0.11
60 °
Carsonville, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high74° (2004)
Record low27° (2017)
Sat, 3159° / 43°0.13
59 °
Carsonville, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high72° (1974)
Record low31° (1993)
Sun, 0160° / 44°0.09
60 °
Carsonville, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high74° (1974)
Record low23° (2023)
Mon, 0260° / 43°0.19
60 °
Carsonville, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high75° (2016)
Record low25° (2023)
Tue, 0358° / 41°0.05
58 °
Carsonville, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high74° (2003)
Record low28° (1996)
Wed, 0456° / 40°0.14
56 °
Carsonville, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high73° (2003)
Record low26° (2006)
Thu, 0555° / 40°0.11
55 °
Carsonville, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high72° (1975)
Record low24° (1991)
Fri, 0657° / 40°0.09
57 °
Carsonville, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high71° (2015)
Record low25° (1967)
Sat, 0756° / 40°0.11
56 °
Carsonville, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high75° (2024)
Record low25° (1967)
Sun, 0856° / 39°0.07
56 °
Carsonville, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high72° (1975)
Record low24° (1976)
Mon, 0956° / 39°0.07
56 °
Carsonville, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high72° (2021)
Record low21° (2019)
Tue, 1056° / 39°0.13
56 °
Carsonville, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high72° (2006)
Record low22° (2025)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Carsonville, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Carsonville, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.