Monthly outlook for Purcellville, VA: average high 57°, average low 40.8°. That is 0.4° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 0.7 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 3 November (72.3°), the coolest 17 November (26.1°).
57°/40.8°
Average high / low
+0.4°
Above normal
3 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.7 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
2 November – 11 November
62.5°
58.1°
+2.4°
12 November – 21 November
47.9°
53°
-2.8°
22 November – 1 December
at normal
50.4°
—
November records over 66 years
80.4°2 November 1971All-time high
13.8°24 November 1989All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Hamilton (2 mi).
Tue, 0372° / 43°0
72 °
Purcellville, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 72°, low 43°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind7.3 mph S
Humidity46%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point47°
Wed, 0471° / 53°0
71 °
Purcellville, Wednesday, 4 November
Mostly clear. High 71°, low 53°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind13.3 mph S
Humidity60%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point55°
Thu, 0571° / 60°0.37
71 °
Purcellville, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 71°, low 60°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind12.9 mph S
Humidity80%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point63°
Fri, 0667° / 54°0
67 °
Purcellville, Friday, 6 November
Overcast. High 67°, low 54°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind4.4 mph NW
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Sat, 0763° / 46°0
63 °
Purcellville, Saturday, 7 November
Overcast. High 63°, low 46°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind9.6 mph NW
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Sun, 0858° / 37°0.01
58 °
Purcellville, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 58°, low 37°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind13.6 mph S
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Mon, 0949° / 44°0.14
49 °
Purcellville, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 49°, low 44°.
Pressure29.59 inHg
Wind17.6 mph W
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Tue, 1053° / 37°0
53 °
Purcellville, Tuesday, 10 November
Clear. High 53°, low 37°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind16.1 mph W
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Wed, 1152° / 38°0
52 °
Purcellville, Wednesday, 11 November
Partly cloudy. High 52°, low 38°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind16.9 mph W
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Thu, 1250° / 36°0
50 °
Purcellville, Thursday, 12 November
Light rain. High 50°, low 36°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind9.6 mph W
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Fri, 1343° / 36°0.1
43 °
Purcellville, Friday, 13 November
Light rain. High 43°, low 36°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind3.6 mph NE
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Sat, 1448° / 35°0.03
48 °
Purcellville, Saturday, 14 November
Light rain. High 48°, low 35°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind11.6 mph NW
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Sun, 1553° / 33°0
53 °
Purcellville, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 53°, low 33°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind11.1 mph SW
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Mon, 1649° / 32°0.03
49 °
Purcellville, Monday, 16 November
Light rain. High 49°, low 32°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind16.4 mph NW
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Tue, 1743° / 26°0
43 °
Purcellville, Tuesday, 17 November
Overcast. High 43°, low 26°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind13 mph W
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point16°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Wed, 1853° / 37°0.06
53 °
Purcellville, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high72° (1963)
Record low25° (2014)
Thu, 1953° / 37°0.09
53 °
Purcellville, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high71° (1985)
Record low22° (2014)
Fri, 2053° / 38°0.07
53 °
Purcellville, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high75° (1985)
Record low25° (2021)
Sat, 2151° / 37°0.1
51 °
Purcellville, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high74° (1991)
Record low23° (2022)
Sun, 2251° / 37°0.1
51 °
Purcellville, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high69° (2007)
Record low23° (1964)
Mon, 2351° / 35°0.06
51 °
Purcellville, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high69° (1979)
Record low18° (1989)
Tue, 2451° / 36°0.13
51 °
Purcellville, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high68° (1979)
Record low14° (1989)
Wed, 2551° / 35°0.08
51 °
Purcellville, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high73° (1973)
Record low18° (1989)
Thu, 2652° / 37°0.15
52 °
Purcellville, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high67° (2025)
Record low24° (1971)
Fri, 2751° / 37°0.1
51 °
Purcellville, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high67° (1976)
Record low25° (1974)
Sat, 2852° / 37°0.19
52 °
Purcellville, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high69° (1990)
Record low25° (2014)
Sun, 2949° / 35°0.14
49 °
Purcellville, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high68° (1998)
Record low22° (2023)
Mon, 3048° / 35°0.11
48 °
Purcellville, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high69° (2001)
Record low19° (1976)
Tue, 0148° / 34°0.18
48 °
Purcellville, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high72° (2006)
Record low15° (1967)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Purcellville, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Purcellville, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.