Monthly outlook for Elevon, VA: average high 70.4°, average low 51.6°. That is 0.8° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 1.6 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 13 October (85.3°), the coolest 22 October (38.4°).
70.4°/51.6°
Average high / low
+0.8°
Above normal
3 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.6 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
7 October – 16 October
72.7°
70.3°
+1.3°
17 October – 26 October
66.7°
66.3°
+0.2°
27 October – 5 November
at normal
63.8°
—
October records over 66 years
94.1°2 October 2019All-time high
32.7°29 October 1976All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Tappahannock (12 mi).
Thu, 0879° / 53°0
79 °
Elevon, Thursday, 8 October
Clear. High 79°, low 53°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind6.3 mph NW
Humidity50%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point57°
Fri, 0975° / 52°0
75 °
Elevon, Friday, 9 October
Overcast. High 75°, low 52°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind2.4 mph N
Humidity40%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point47°
Sat, 1075° / 56°0
75 °
Elevon, Saturday, 10 October
Overcast. High 75°, low 56°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind5.2 mph E
Humidity46%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point50°
Sun, 1169° / 61°0.57
69 °
Elevon, Sunday, 11 October
Rain. High 69°, low 61°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind12.6 mph SE
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point64°
Mon, 1277° / 69°0.94
77 °
Elevon, Monday, 12 October
Heavy rain. High 77°, low 69°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind9.2 mph NW
Humidity90%
Visibility—
Dew point69°
Tue, 1385° / 63°0
85 °
Elevon, Tuesday, 13 October
Clear. High 85°, low 63°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind11.7 mph SW
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point57°
Wed, 1464° / 51°0.06
64 °
Elevon, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 64°, low 51°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind16.4 mph NW
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Thu, 1564° / 45°0
64 °
Elevon, Thursday, 15 October
Clear. High 64°, low 45°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind11 mph N
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Fri, 1668° / 46°0
68 °
Elevon, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 68°, low 46°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind9.4 mph N
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Sat, 1770° / 54°0
70 °
Elevon, Saturday, 17 October
Overcast. High 70°, low 54°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind8.1 mph NE
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Sun, 1876° / 55°0
76 °
Elevon, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 76°, low 55°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind6.2 mph N
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Mon, 1971° / 50°0
71 °
Elevon, Monday, 19 October
Mostly clear. High 71°, low 50°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind10.1 mph N
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Tue, 2065° / 44°0
65 °
Elevon, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 65°, low 44°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind6.6 mph NW
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Wed, 2162° / 43°0
62 °
Elevon, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 62°, low 43°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind11.3 mph NW
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Thu, 2256° / 38°0
56 °
Elevon, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 56°, low 38°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind13 mph N
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 2367° / 51°0.1
67 °
Elevon, Friday, 23 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high67°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high83° (2007)
Record low40° (1997)
Sat, 2466° / 52°0.07
66 °
Elevon, Saturday, 24 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high66°
Average low52°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high82° (2001)
Record low36° (1969)
Sun, 2565° / 51°0.14
65 °
Elevon, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high78° (2021)
Record low39° (2013)
Mon, 2664° / 51°0.15
64 °
Elevon, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high80° (2023)
Record low36° (1962)
Tue, 2765° / 51°0.12
65 °
Elevon, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high81° (2010)
Record low33° (1962)
Wed, 2865° / 51°0.11
65 °
Elevon, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high84° (2023)
Record low35° (1976)
Thu, 2963° / 49°0.19
63 °
Elevon, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high85° (2023)
Record low33° (1976)
Fri, 3063° / 48°0.09
63 °
Elevon, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high83° (2023)
Record low34° (1965)
Sat, 3164° / 49°0.05
64 °
Elevon, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high80° (2019)
Record low38° (1968)
Sun, 0165° / 51°0.11
65 °
Elevon, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high82° (1974)
Record low38° (2002)
Mon, 0265° / 51°0.1
65 °
Elevon, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high80° (1971)
Record low35° (2023)
Tue, 0364° / 49°0.07
64 °
Elevon, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high81° (2016)
Record low36° (2023)
Wed, 0462° / 47°0.14
62 °
Elevon, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high80° (1974)
Record low33° (2006)
Thu, 0562° / 48°0.11
62 °
Elevon, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high79° (1961)
Record low32° (1991)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Elevon, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Elevon, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.