Monthly outlook for Vails Gate, NY: average high 61.6°, average low 43.4°. That is 0.4° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 5.6 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 13 October (72.6°), the coolest 19 October (28.9°).
61.6°/43.4°
Average high / low
+0.4°
Above normal
7 / 5
Wet days / normal
5.6 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
9 October – 18 October
63.3°
61.7°
+0.9°
19 October – 28 October
58.7°
58.4°
+0.2°
29 October – 7 November
at normal
54.9°
—
October records over 66 years
86.2°2 October 2019All-time high
21.7°31 October 2011All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Palm Tree (10 mi).
Sat, 1067° / 45°0
67 °
Vails Gate, Saturday, 10 October
Overcast. High 67°, low 45°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind2.4 mph E
Humidity57%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point44°
Sun, 1156° / 48°0.89
56 °
Vails Gate, Sunday, 11 October
Heavy rain. High 56°, low 48°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind7.6 mph E
Humidity95%
Visibility2.5 mi
Dew point55°
Mon, 1269° / 54°0.05
69 °
Vails Gate, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 69°, low 54°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind9.1 mph N
Humidity66%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point55°
Tue, 1373° / 53°0.18
73 °
Vails Gate, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 73°, low 53°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind8.6 mph SW
Humidity72%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point62°
Wed, 1463° / 47°0
63 °
Vails Gate, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 63°, low 47°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind7.3 mph N
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Thu, 1558° / 40°0
58 °
Vails Gate, Thursday, 15 October
Clear. High 58°, low 40°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind5.3 mph N
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Fri, 1665° / 44°0.44
65 °
Vails Gate, Friday, 16 October
Rain. High 65°, low 44°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind14.2 mph SW
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Sat, 1765° / 45°0.1
65 °
Vails Gate, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 65°, low 45°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind13 mph W
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Sun, 1849° / 34°0
49 °
Vails Gate, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 49°, low 34°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind11.2 mph W
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Mon, 1952° / 29°0
52 °
Vails Gate, Monday, 19 October
Overcast. High 52°, low 29°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind3 mph SE
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Tue, 2057° / 34°0
57 °
Vails Gate, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 57°, low 34°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind2.8 mph SW
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Wed, 2160° / 37°0
60 °
Vails Gate, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 60°, low 37°.
Pressure30.59 inHg
Wind4.7 mph S
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Thu, 2261° / 41°0
61 °
Vails Gate, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 61°, low 41°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind6 mph S
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Fri, 2361° / 45°0.18
61 °
Vails Gate, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 61°, low 45°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind9 mph S
Humidity99%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Sat, 2461° / 56°3.72
61 °
Vails Gate, Saturday, 24 October
Heavy rain. High 61°, low 56°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind18.2 mph NW
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 2558° / 44°0.11
58 °
Vails Gate, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high76° (1963)
Record low32° (1962)
Mon, 2657° / 44°0.14
57 °
Vails Gate, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high77° (1963)
Record low33° (1962)
Tue, 2757° / 43°0.17
57 °
Vails Gate, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high78° (1963)
Record low28° (1976)
Wed, 2857° / 42°0.19
57 °
Vails Gate, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high76° (2023)
Record low27° (1976)
Thu, 2955° / 41°0.19
55 °
Vails Gate, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high69° (1971)
Record low29° (1965)
Fri, 3055° / 40°0.11
55 °
Vails Gate, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high76° (2024)
Record low30° (2011)
Sat, 3156° / 41°0.06
56 °
Vails Gate, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high78° (2024)
Record low22° (2011)
Sun, 0156° / 42°0.09
56 °
Vails Gate, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high76° (1974)
Record low31° (1983)
Mon, 0256° / 42°0.1
56 °
Vails Gate, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high75° (1982)
Record low28° (2023)
Tue, 0356° / 42°0.1
56 °
Vails Gate, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high74° (2003)
Record low29° (1980)
Wed, 0455° / 41°0.06
55 °
Vails Gate, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high72° (1987)
Record low30° (2006)
Thu, 0554° / 40°0.13
54 °
Vails Gate, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high73° (2022)
Record low30° (1962)
Fri, 0653° / 40°0.09
53 °
Vails Gate, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high76° (2024)
Record low28° (2012)
Sat, 0753° / 39°0.07
53 °
Vails Gate, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high70° (2022)
Record low26° (1962)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Vails Gate, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Vails Gate, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.