Weather in Cragsmoor, NY
Cragsmoor, Sunday, 15 November, 17:32
Overcast. Feels like 29°. High 42°, low 32°.
Monthly outlook for Cragsmoor, NY: average high 49.5°, average low 34°. That is 1.5° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 2.5 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.2 inches. The warmest day looks like 27 November (58.5°), the coolest 24 November (23.4°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 November – 24 November | 48.9° | 47.4° | +0.8° |
| 25 November – 4 December | 50.5° | 44.7° | +3.2° |
| 5 December – 14 December | at normal | 40° | — |
November records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Shawangunk (7 mi).
0Cragsmoor, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 42°, low 33°.
0
Cragsmoor, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 50°, low 32°.
0
Cragsmoor, Wednesday, 18 November
Mostly clear. High 54°, low 34°.
0
Cragsmoor, Thursday, 19 November
Partly cloudy. High 56°, low 32°.
0Cragsmoor, Friday, 20 November
Clear. High 55°, low 36°.
0Cragsmoor, Saturday, 21 November
Overcast. High 51°, low 34°.
0.29
Cragsmoor, Sunday, 22 November
Rain. High 48°, low 41°.
0Cragsmoor, Monday, 23 November
Clear. High 47°, low 28°.
0Cragsmoor, Tuesday, 24 November
Clear. High 42°, low 23°.
0Cragsmoor, Wednesday, 25 November
Overcast. High 43°, low 25°.
0.02Cragsmoor, Thursday, 26 November
Light rain. High 45°, low 37°.
1.46Cragsmoor, Friday, 27 November
Heavy rain. High 59°, low 46°.
0Cragsmoor, Saturday, 28 November
Partly cloudy. High 52°, low 39°.
0Cragsmoor, Sunday, 29 November
Overcast. High 50°, low 35°.
0.73Cragsmoor, Monday, 30 November
Heavy rain. High 54°, low 36°.
0.15
Cragsmoor, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Cragsmoor, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Cragsmoor, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Cragsmoor, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Cragsmoor, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Cragsmoor, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Cragsmoor, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Cragsmoor, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19Cragsmoor, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Cragsmoor, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.22Cragsmoor, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Cragsmoor, Saturday, 12 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Cragsmoor, Sunday, 13 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19Cragsmoor, Monday, 14 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Cragsmoor, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Cragsmoor, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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