Weather in Cragsmoor, NY
Cragsmoor, Tuesday, 10 November, 11:48
Partly cloudy. Feels like 49°. High 53°, low 39°.
Monthly outlook for Cragsmoor, NY: average high 47.3°, average low 31.7°. That is 0.5° below the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 2.4 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 11 November (54.7°), the coolest 18 November (25.3°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 November – 19 November | 45.2° | 49.3° | -2.2° |
| 20 November – 29 November | 50.9° | 46.4° | +2.5° |
| 30 November – 9 December | at normal | 41.8° | — |
November records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Shawangunk (7 mi).
0
Cragsmoor, Wednesday, 11 November
Overcast. High 55°, low 42°.
0.76
Cragsmoor, Thursday, 12 November
Rain. High 45°, low 36°.
0.24Cragsmoor, Friday, 13 November
Light rain. High 38°, low 32°.
0.22
Cragsmoor, Saturday, 14 November
Snow. High 36°, low 30°.
0Cragsmoor, Sunday, 15 November
Partly cloudy. High 38°, low 26°.
0Cragsmoor, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 43°, low 27°.
0
Cragsmoor, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 46°, low 26°.
0Cragsmoor, Wednesday, 18 November
Clear. High 47°, low 25°.
0Cragsmoor, Thursday, 19 November
Clear. High 50°, low 27°.
0Cragsmoor, Friday, 20 November
Overcast. High 51°, low 29°.
0Cragsmoor, Saturday, 21 November
Overcast. High 54°, low 30°.
0
Cragsmoor, Sunday, 22 November
Mostly clear. High 52°, low 33°.
1.11Cragsmoor, Monday, 23 November
Rain. High 54°, low 40°.
0.04Cragsmoor, Tuesday, 24 November
Light rain. High 53°, low 36°.
0Cragsmoor, Wednesday, 25 November
Clear. High 43°, low 30°.
0.23
Cragsmoor, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Cragsmoor, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.22Cragsmoor, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Cragsmoor, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Cragsmoor, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Cragsmoor, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Cragsmoor, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Cragsmoor, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Cragsmoor, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Cragsmoor, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Cragsmoor, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Cragsmoor, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Cragsmoor, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19Cragsmoor, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Cragsmoor, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Cragsmoor, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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