Weather in Cragsmoor, NY
Cragsmoor, Sunday, 1 November, 02:26
Overcast. Feels like 33°. High 59°, low 31°.
Monthly outlook for Cragsmoor, NY: average high 53°, average low 40.1°. That is 0.3° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 4.5 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 2 November (66°), the coolest 1 November (31.4°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 November – 10 November | 56.8° | 54.2° | +1.4° |
| 11 November – 20 November | 46.6° | 48.8° | -1.2° |
| 21 November – 30 November | at normal | 46° | — |
November records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Shawangunk (7 mi).
0Cragsmoor, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 66°, low 36°.
0.02
Cragsmoor, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 61°, low 41°.
0
Cragsmoor, Wednesday, 4 November
Clear. High 65°, low 43°.
0.32Cragsmoor, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 59°, low 49°.
0.76Cragsmoor, Friday, 6 November
Rain. High 64°, low 54°.
1Cragsmoor, Saturday, 7 November
Heavy rain. High 55°, low 53°.
0.01Cragsmoor, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 53°, low 41°.
0.07Cragsmoor, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 43°, low 41°.
0.05Cragsmoor, Tuesday, 10 November
Light rain. High 43°, low 40°.
0.03Cragsmoor, Wednesday, 11 November
Light rain. High 41°, low 36°.
0Cragsmoor, Thursday, 12 November
Overcast. High 46°, low 35°.
0Cragsmoor, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 46°, low 32°.
2.13Cragsmoor, Saturday, 14 November
Heavy rain. High 49°, low 39°.
0.13Cragsmoor, Sunday, 15 November
Light rain. High 45°, low 36°.
0
Cragsmoor, Monday, 16 November
Partly cloudy. High 52°, low 33°.
0.11Cragsmoor, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Cragsmoor, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Cragsmoor, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Cragsmoor, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Cragsmoor, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15
Cragsmoor, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Cragsmoor, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Cragsmoor, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Cragsmoor, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.23Cragsmoor, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Cragsmoor, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.22Cragsmoor, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Cragsmoor, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Cragsmoor, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Cragsmoor, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Cragsmoor, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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