Monthly outlook for Orwell, NY: average high 53.2°, average low 38.2°. That is 0.8° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 1.5 inches), against a normal of 8 days and 3.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 13 October (71°), the coolest 18 October (27.9°).
53.2°/38.2°
Average high / low
−0.8°
Below normal
6 / 8
Wet days / normal
1.5 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
11 October – 20 October
55.9°
55.6°
+0.1°
21 October – 30 October
48.7°
51.8°
-1.7°
31 October – 9 November
at normal
48.5°
—
October records over 66 years
80.1°4 October 2023All-time high
21°20 October 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Redfield (7 mi).
Mon, 1263° / 45°0.01
63 °
Orwell, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 63°, low 45°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind6.5 mph NW
Humidity75%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point54°
Tue, 1371° / 55°0.43
71 °
Orwell, Tuesday, 13 October
Rain. High 71°, low 55°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind10.6 mph S
Humidity90%
Visibility4.7 mi
Dew point61°
Wed, 1463° / 55°0.2
63 °
Orwell, Wednesday, 14 October
Rain. High 63°, low 55°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind11.2 mph W
Humidity86%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point55°
Thu, 1552° / 43°0.02
52 °
Orwell, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 52°, low 43°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind15.8 mph N
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Fri, 1660° / 42°0.59
60 °
Orwell, Friday, 16 October
Rain. High 60°, low 42°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind13.8 mph W
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Sat, 1751° / 32°0.1
51 °
Orwell, Saturday, 17 October
Snow. High 51°, low 32°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind11.2 mph N
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Sun, 1841° / 28°0
41 °
Orwell, Sunday, 18 October
Mostly clear. High 41°, low 28°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind10.9 mph N
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
Mon, 1946° / 28°0
46 °
Orwell, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 46°, low 28°.
Pressure30.65 inHg
Wind5.6 mph W
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Tue, 2051° / 32°0
51 °
Orwell, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 51°, low 32°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind5.3 mph SE
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Wed, 2154° / 36°0
54 °
Orwell, Wednesday, 21 October
Overcast. High 54°, low 36°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind8.8 mph SE
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Thu, 2261° / 42°0.01
61 °
Orwell, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 61°, low 42°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind11.2 mph SW
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Fri, 2350° / 37°0.05
50 °
Orwell, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 50°, low 37°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind7.9 mph N
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Sat, 2439° / 29°0.01
39 °
Orwell, Saturday, 24 October
Light snow. High 39°, low 29°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind8.6 mph NW
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Sun, 2543° / 29°0
43 °
Orwell, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 43°, low 29°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind7.2 mph NW
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Mon, 2646° / 32°0.04
46 °
Orwell, Monday, 26 October
Snow. High 46°, low 32°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind5.3 mph S
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 2751° / 39°0.2
51 °
Orwell, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high70° (2023)
Record low25° (1976)
Wed, 2851° / 38°0.2
51 °
Orwell, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high71° (1984)
Record low25° (1976)
Thu, 2949° / 37°0.12
49 °
Orwell, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high66° (1989)
Record low25° (2013)
Fri, 3050° / 37°0.12
50 °
Orwell, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high70° (2024)
Record low25° (2008)
Sat, 3151° / 37°0.17
51 °
Orwell, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high72° (2024)
Record low23° (1988)
Sun, 0151° / 38°0.22
51 °
Orwell, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.22 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high66° (2024)
Record low27° (1965)
Mon, 0250° / 38°0.26
50 °
Orwell, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.26 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high68° (1971)
Record low21° (2002)
Tue, 0350° / 37°0.17
50 °
Orwell, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high67° (1961)
Record low18° (2002)
Wed, 0448° / 36°0.18
48 °
Orwell, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high67° (2015)
Record low24° (2013)
Thu, 0548° / 37°0.18
48 °
Orwell, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high69° (2022)
Record low23° (1962)
Fri, 0648° / 37°0.21
48 °
Orwell, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high69° (2005)
Record low24° (1962)
Sat, 0746° / 34°0.14
46 °
Orwell, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high67° (1975)
Record low14° (1962)
Sun, 0846° / 33°0.17
46 °
Orwell, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high64° (1975)
Record low14° (1992)
Mon, 0946° / 33°0.15
46 °
Orwell, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high66° (2020)
Record low13° (1971)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Orwell, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Orwell, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.