Monthly outlook for Welch Hill, NY: average high 39.8°, average low 28.3°. That is 0.4° below the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 1.7 inches), against a normal of 9 days and 2.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 22 November (52.8°), the coolest 27 November (15.9°).
39.8°/28.3°
Average high / low
−0.4°
Below normal
7 / 9
Wet days / normal
1.7 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
14 November – 23 November
44°
41°
+1.6°
24 November – 3 December
32.8°
38.3°
-3.1°
4 December – 13 December
at normal
33.4°
—
November records over 66 years
70°5 November 2022All-time high
-14.3°23 November 2018All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Leyden (8 mi).
Sun, 1534° / 29°0.04
34 °
Welch Hill, Sunday, 15 November
Snow. High 34°, low 29°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind8.4 mph NW
Humidity89%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point30°
Mon, 1639° / 32°0
39 °
Welch Hill, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 39°, low 32°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind7 mph NW
Humidity75%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point26°
Tue, 1744° / 35°0
44 °
Welch Hill, Tuesday, 17 November
Overcast. High 44°, low 35°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind10.8 mph W
Humidity78%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point37°
Wed, 1849° / 38°0
49 °
Welch Hill, Wednesday, 18 November
Overcast. High 49°, low 38°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind12.3 mph W
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Thu, 1951° / 37°0
51 °
Welch Hill, Thursday, 19 November
Overcast. High 51°, low 37°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind10.6 mph SW
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Fri, 2045° / 29°0.01
45 °
Welch Hill, Friday, 20 November
Light rain. High 45°, low 29°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind14.1 mph W
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Sat, 2148° / 24°0
48 °
Welch Hill, Saturday, 21 November
Clear. High 48°, low 24°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind8.8 mph S
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point14°
Sun, 2253° / 40°0.02
53 °
Welch Hill, Sunday, 22 November
Light rain. High 53°, low 40°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind12.5 mph S
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Mon, 2345° / 25°0.29
45 °
Welch Hill, Monday, 23 November
Snow. High 45°, low 25°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind13.3 mph SW
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Tue, 2429° / 23°0.02
29 °
Welch Hill, Tuesday, 24 November
Light snow. High 29°, low 23°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind6.5 mph W
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
Wed, 2525° / 21°0.13
25 °
Welch Hill, Wednesday, 25 November
Light snow. High 25°, low 21°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind13.9 mph NW
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point15°
Thu, 2630° / 24°0.24
30 °
Welch Hill, Thursday, 26 November
Snow. High 30°, low 24°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind13.5 mph SW
Humidity89%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Fri, 2728° / 16°0.18
28 °
Welch Hill, Friday, 27 November
Snow. High 28°, low 16°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind11 mph W
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
Sat, 2840° / 18°0.17
40 °
Welch Hill, Saturday, 28 November
Rain. High 40°, low 18°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind20.8 mph S
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
Sun, 2945° / 33°0.48
45 °
Welch Hill, Sunday, 29 November
Snow. High 45°, low 33°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind17.9 mph S
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 3038° / 26°0.19
38 °
Welch Hill, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation70%
Record high60° (2006)
Record low1° (2013)
Tue, 0137° / 24°0.27
37 °
Welch Hill, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.27 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high55° (2006)
Record low-1° (1989)
Wed, 0236° / 23°0.17
36 °
Welch Hill, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low23°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation63%
Record high55° (1982)
Record low-7° (1989)
Thu, 0336° / 22°0.19
36 °
Welch Hill, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low22°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high58° (1982)
Record low-9° (1976)
Fri, 0434° / 21°0.15
34 °
Welch Hill, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high34°
Average low21°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high61° (2012)
Record low-4° (1966)
Sat, 0534° / 21°0.14
34 °
Welch Hill, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high34°
Average low21°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high58° (1999)
Record low-12° (2025)
Sun, 0635° / 23°0.21
35 °
Welch Hill, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low23°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation62%
Record high58° (1982)
Record low4° (2007)
Mon, 0733° / 20°0.16
33 °
Welch Hill, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high33°
Average low20°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation63%
Record high59° (1998)
Record low-1° (1964)
Tue, 0831° / 18°0.12
31 °
Welch Hill, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high31°
Average low18°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high52° (1966)
Record low-7° (2000)
Wed, 0933° / 19°0.17
33 °
Welch Hill, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high33°
Average low19°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high53° (1966)
Record low-10° (1989)
Thu, 1034° / 20°0.16
34 °
Welch Hill, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high34°
Average low20°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation62%
Record high56° (1966)
Record low-6° (1968)
Fri, 1133° / 20°0.17
33 °
Welch Hill, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high33°
Average low20°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation67%
Record high54° (2015)
Record low-9° (1968)
Sat, 1233° / 19°0.16
33 °
Welch Hill, Saturday, 12 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high33°
Average low19°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high51° (2015)
Record low-14° (1988)
Sun, 1332° / 19°0.13
32 °
Welch Hill, Sunday, 13 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high32°
Average low19°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high50° (1991)
Record low-10° (2000)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Welch Hill, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Welch Hill, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.