Monthly outlook for Welch Hill, NY: average high 36.6°, average low 27.1°. That is 2.3° below the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 1.5 inches), against a normal of 9 days and 2.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 21 November (50.3°), the coolest 25 November (13.5°).
36.6°/27.1°
Average high / low
−2.3°
Below normal
4 / 9
Wet days / normal
1.5 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
13 November – 22 November
41.5°
41.3°
+0.1°
23 November – 2 December
28.5°
38.7°
-5.7°
3 December – 12 December
at normal
33.7°
—
November records over 66 years
70°5 November 2022All-time high
-14.3°23 November 2018All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Leyden (8 mi).
Sat, 1433° / 29°0.15
33 °
Welch Hill, Saturday, 14 November
Snow. High 33°, low 29°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind10.1 mph NW
Humidity88%
Visibility2.7 mi
Dew point31°
Sun, 1535° / 29°0.03
35 °
Welch Hill, Sunday, 15 November
Light snow. High 35°, low 29°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind9.1 mph NW
Humidity90%
Visibility5.5 mi
Dew point30°
Mon, 1636° / 30°0
36 °
Welch Hill, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 36°, low 30°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind7.2 mph NW
Humidity84%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point30°
Tue, 1743° / 36°0
43 °
Welch Hill, Tuesday, 17 November
Overcast. High 43°, low 36°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind9.5 mph W
Humidity81%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point36°
Wed, 1848° / 38°0
48 °
Welch Hill, Wednesday, 18 November
Overcast. High 48°, low 38°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind11.4 mph W
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Thu, 1947° / 36°0
47 °
Welch Hill, Thursday, 19 November
Overcast. High 47°, low 36°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind10.1 mph SW
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Fri, 2046° / 35°0
46 °
Welch Hill, Friday, 20 November
Partly cloudy. High 46°, low 35°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind11.9 mph W
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Sat, 2150° / 32°0
50 °
Welch Hill, Saturday, 21 November
Overcast. High 50°, low 32°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind15.9 mph S
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Sun, 2245° / 27°0.08
45 °
Welch Hill, Sunday, 22 November
Snow. High 45°, low 27°.
Pressure29.62 inHg
Wind15.3 mph S
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Mon, 2326° / 22°0.73
26 °
Welch Hill, Monday, 23 November
Snow. High 26°, low 22°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind14.8 mph W
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Tue, 2426° / 20°0.47
26 °
Welch Hill, Tuesday, 24 November
Snow. High 26°, low 20°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind10.7 mph SW
Humidity98%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Wed, 2524° / 14°0.02
24 °
Welch Hill, Wednesday, 25 November
Light snow. High 24°, low 14°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind9.6 mph NW
Humidity90%
Visibility—
Dew point17°
Thu, 2629° / 17°0.03
29 °
Welch Hill, Thursday, 26 November
Light snow. High 29°, low 17°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind13.4 mph SW
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Fri, 2731° / 22°0
31 °
Welch Hill, Friday, 27 November
Light snow. High 31°, low 22°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind9.5 mph SW
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Sat, 2835° / 20°0
35 °
Welch Hill, Saturday, 28 November
Partly cloudy. High 35°, low 20°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind5.7 mph S
Humidity99%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 2938° / 26°0.19
38 °
Welch Hill, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high60° (2005)
Record low7° (2013)
Mon, 3038° / 26°0.19
38 °
Welch Hill, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation70%
Record high60° (2006)
Record low1° (2013)
Tue, 0137° / 24°0.27
37 °
Welch Hill, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.27 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high55° (2006)
Record low-1° (1989)
Wed, 0236° / 23°0.17
36 °
Welch Hill, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low23°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation63%
Record high55° (1982)
Record low-7° (1989)
Thu, 0336° / 22°0.19
36 °
Welch Hill, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low22°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high58° (1982)
Record low-9° (1976)
Fri, 0434° / 21°0.15
34 °
Welch Hill, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high34°
Average low21°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high61° (2012)
Record low-4° (1966)
Sat, 0534° / 21°0.14
34 °
Welch Hill, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high34°
Average low21°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high58° (1999)
Record low-12° (2025)
Sun, 0635° / 23°0.21
35 °
Welch Hill, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low23°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation62%
Record high58° (1982)
Record low4° (2007)
Mon, 0733° / 20°0.16
33 °
Welch Hill, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high33°
Average low20°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation63%
Record high59° (1998)
Record low-1° (1964)
Tue, 0831° / 18°0.12
31 °
Welch Hill, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high31°
Average low18°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high52° (1966)
Record low-7° (2000)
Wed, 0933° / 19°0.17
33 °
Welch Hill, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high33°
Average low19°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high53° (1966)
Record low-10° (1989)
Thu, 1034° / 20°0.16
34 °
Welch Hill, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high34°
Average low20°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation62%
Record high56° (1966)
Record low-6° (1968)
Fri, 1133° / 20°0.17
33 °
Welch Hill, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high33°
Average low20°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation67%
Record high54° (2015)
Record low-9° (1968)
Sat, 1233° / 19°0.16
33 °
Welch Hill, Saturday, 12 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high33°
Average low19°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high51° (2015)
Record low-14° (1988)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Welch Hill, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Welch Hill, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.