Monthly outlook for Welch Hill, NY: average high 42.6°, average low 32.7°. That is 0.5° below the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 1.8 inches), against a normal of 8 days and 2.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 6 November (58.3°), the coolest 14 November (22.1°).
42.6°/32.7°
Average high / low
−0.5°
Below normal
6 / 8
Wet days / normal
1.8 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
6 November – 15 November
41.3°
44.7°
-1.9°
16 November – 25 November
44.8°
40.5°
+2.4°
26 November – 5 December
at normal
37.2°
—
November records over 66 years
70°5 November 2022All-time high
-14.3°23 November 2018All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Leyden (8 mi).
Sat, 0747° / 39°0.85
47 °
Welch Hill, Saturday, 7 November
Rain. High 47°, low 39°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind9.4 mph W
Humidity99%
Visibility4.4 mi
Dew point42°
Sun, 0846° / 40°0.15
46 °
Welch Hill, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 46°, low 40°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind15 mph W
Humidity73%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point37°
Mon, 0942° / 37°0.42
42 °
Welch Hill, Monday, 9 November
Rain. High 42°, low 37°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind12.4 mph NW
Humidity89%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point37°
Tue, 1045° / 38°0.03
45 °
Welch Hill, Tuesday, 10 November
Light rain. High 45°, low 38°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind12.4 mph SW
Humidity84%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Wed, 1143° / 37°0
43 °
Welch Hill, Wednesday, 11 November
Overcast. High 43°, low 37°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind9.2 mph W
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Thu, 1237° / 25°0
37 °
Welch Hill, Thursday, 12 November
Overcast. High 37°, low 25°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind5.6 mph N
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Fri, 1333° / 23°0
33 °
Welch Hill, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 33°, low 23°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind7.4 mph N
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point14°
Sat, 1432° / 22°0
32 °
Welch Hill, Saturday, 14 November
Overcast. High 32°, low 22°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind10.2 mph N
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point14°
Sun, 1530° / 24°0.04
30 °
Welch Hill, Sunday, 15 November
Light snow. High 30°, low 24°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind10.9 mph NW
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Mon, 1639° / 25°0
39 °
Welch Hill, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 39°, low 25°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind10.5 mph W
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Tue, 1747° / 30°0
47 °
Welch Hill, Tuesday, 17 November
Overcast. High 47°, low 30°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind13.3 mph W
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Wed, 1849° / 34°0
49 °
Welch Hill, Wednesday, 18 November
Clear. High 49°, low 34°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind7.3 mph S
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Thu, 1954° / 43°0.19
54 °
Welch Hill, Thursday, 19 November
Rain. High 54°, low 43°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind15.2 mph S
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Fri, 2045° / 31°0.06
45 °
Welch Hill, Friday, 20 November
Light rain. High 45°, low 31°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind17.2 mph W
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Sat, 2136° / 29°0.03
36 °
Welch Hill, Saturday, 21 November
Snow. High 36°, low 29°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind7.2 mph SW
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 2239° / 27°0.15
39 °
Welch Hill, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high58° (1963)
Record low-2° (2018)
Mon, 2340° / 26°0.13
40 °
Welch Hill, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high63° (1979)
Record low-14° (2018)
Tue, 2439° / 26°0.15
39 °
Welch Hill, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high62° (2014)
Record low-1° (2000)
Wed, 2540° / 27°0.15
40 °
Welch Hill, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high58° (2001)
Record low3° (1995)
Thu, 2640° / 29°0.27
40 °
Welch Hill, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.27 in
Chance of precipitation63%
Record high62° (1979)
Record low12° (1978)
Fri, 2739° / 28°0.18
39 °
Welch Hill, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation67%
Record high59° (1988)
Record low-2° (1994)
Sat, 2840° / 28°0.26
40 °
Welch Hill, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.26 in
Chance of precipitation80%
Record high65° (1990)
Record low5° (1996)
Sun, 2938° / 26°0.19
38 °
Welch Hill, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high60° (2005)
Record low7° (2013)
Mon, 3038° / 26°0.19
38 °
Welch Hill, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation70%
Record high60° (2006)
Record low1° (2013)
Tue, 0137° / 24°0.27
37 °
Welch Hill, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.27 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high55° (2006)
Record low-1° (1989)
Wed, 0236° / 23°0.17
36 °
Welch Hill, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low23°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation63%
Record high55° (1982)
Record low-7° (1989)
Thu, 0336° / 22°0.19
36 °
Welch Hill, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low22°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high58° (1982)
Record low-9° (1976)
Fri, 0434° / 21°0.15
34 °
Welch Hill, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high34°
Average low21°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high61° (2012)
Record low-4° (1966)
Sat, 0534° / 21°0.14
34 °
Welch Hill, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high34°
Average low21°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high58° (1999)
Record low-12° (2025)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Welch Hill, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Welch Hill, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.