Monthly outlook for Northumberland, NY: average high 52.6°, average low 37.9°. That is 1.7° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 2.1 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 3 November (65.5°), the coolest 12 November (25.5°).
52.6°/37.9°
Average high / low
+1.7°
Above normal
6 / 5
Wet days / normal
2.1 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
30 October – 8 November
59.8°
51.2°
+4.8°
9 November – 18 November
40.6°
45.8°
-2.9°
19 November – 28 November
at normal
42.2°
—
October records over 66 years
82.4°7 October 1963All-time high
23.9°31 October 2020All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Moreau (6 mi).
Sat, 3152° / 33°0
52 °
Northumberland, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 52°, low 33°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind6 mph NW
Humidity49%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point25°
Sun, 0160° / 33°0
60 °
Northumberland, Sunday, 1 November
Clear. High 60°, low 33°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind4 mph S
Humidity59%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point39°
Mon, 0265° / 38°0
65 °
Northumberland, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 65°, low 38°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind3.9 mph S
Humidity57%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point43°
Tue, 0366° / 44°0
66 °
Northumberland, Tuesday, 3 November
Partly cloudy. High 66°, low 44°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind4.7 mph SW
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Wed, 0465° / 48°0
65 °
Northumberland, Wednesday, 4 November
Overcast. High 65°, low 48°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind7.6 mph S
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Thu, 0563° / 53°0
63 °
Northumberland, Thursday, 5 November
Overcast. High 63°, low 53°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind10.2 mph S
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Fri, 0663° / 57°1.02
63 °
Northumberland, Friday, 6 November
Rain. High 63°, low 57°.
Pressure29.59 inHg
Wind4.7 mph NE
Humidity98%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
Sat, 0760° / 41°0.34
60 °
Northumberland, Saturday, 7 November
Rain. High 60°, low 41°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind14 mph NW
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Sun, 0848° / 32°0
48 °
Northumberland, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 48°, low 32°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind12.1 mph NW
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Mon, 0943° / 31°0
43 °
Northumberland, Monday, 9 November
Overcast. High 43°, low 31°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind7 mph NE
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Tue, 1041° / 32°0.13
41 °
Northumberland, Tuesday, 10 November
Snow. High 41°, low 32°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind7 mph N
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Wed, 1139° / 31°0.17
39 °
Northumberland, Wednesday, 11 November
Snow. High 39°, low 31°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind7.5 mph N
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Thu, 1242° / 26°0
42 °
Northumberland, Thursday, 12 November
Clear. High 42°, low 26°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind1.7 mph SE
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Fri, 1337° / 32°0.31
37 °
Northumberland, Friday, 13 November
Snow. High 37°, low 32°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind3.2 mph N
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Sat, 1441° / 35°0.09
41 °
Northumberland, Saturday, 14 November
Snow. High 41°, low 35°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind2 mph SW
Humidity98%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 1545° / 32°0.15
45 °
Northumberland, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high63° (2008)
Record low18° (2018)
Mon, 1645° / 31°0.13
45 °
Northumberland, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high64° (2006)
Record low13° (1972)
Tue, 1744° / 31°0.14
44 °
Northumberland, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high64° (2006)
Record low12° (1972)
Wed, 1844° / 31°0.09
44 °
Northumberland, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high64° (1963)
Record low21° (2020)
Thu, 1944° / 30°0.09
44 °
Northumberland, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high61° (1985)
Record low14° (1997)
Fri, 2043° / 31°0.19
43 °
Northumberland, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high68° (1991)
Record low14° (1986)
Sat, 2142° / 29°0.13
42 °
Northumberland, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high58° (1991)
Record low14° (2018)
Sun, 2241° / 29°0.11
41 °
Northumberland, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high59° (1999)
Record low-5° (2018)
Mon, 2341° / 29°0.11
41 °
Northumberland, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high62° (1999)
Record low-4° (2018)
Tue, 2442° / 29°0.09
42 °
Northumberland, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high64° (1999)
Record low10° (1971)
Wed, 2542° / 29°0.15
42 °
Northumberland, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high58° (2001)
Record low9° (1997)
Thu, 2642° / 30°0.22
42 °
Northumberland, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.22 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high63° (1979)
Record low13° (1978)
Fri, 2742° / 29°0.13
42 °
Northumberland, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high58° (1999)
Record low13° (1978)
Sat, 2843° / 30°0.21
43 °
Northumberland, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high63° (1990)
Record low10° (2002)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Northumberland, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Northumberland, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.