Monthly outlook for Tonawanda, NY: average high 58.4°, average low 44.9°. That is 3.2° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 0.4 inches), against a normal of 6 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 29 October (65.9°), the coolest 24 October (36.2°).
58.4°/44.9°
Average high / low
+3.2°
Above normal
3 / 6
Wet days / normal
0.4 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
24 October – 2 November
61.1°
53.9°
+4°
3 November – 12 November
54.1°
49.6°
+2.5°
13 November – 22 November
at normal
44.8°
—
October records over 66 years
81.9°8 October 2018All-time high
27.5°29 October 1965All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Kenmore (3 mi).
Sun, 2564° / 39°0
64 °
Tonawanda, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 64°, low 39°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind5.9 mph S
Humidity56%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point43°
Mon, 2662° / 50°0
62 °
Tonawanda, Monday, 26 October
Partly cloudy. High 62°, low 50°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind6.7 mph W
Humidity67%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point50°
Tue, 2749° / 40°0
49 °
Tonawanda, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 49°, low 40°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind6.4 mph NE
Humidity62%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point35°
Wed, 2857° / 38°0
57 °
Tonawanda, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 57°, low 38°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind6.7 mph E
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Thu, 2966° / 52°0
66 °
Tonawanda, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 66°, low 52°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind10.5 mph SW
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Fri, 3066° / 55°0
66 °
Tonawanda, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 66°, low 55°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind7.8 mph SW
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Sat, 3162° / 48°0
62 °
Tonawanda, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 62°, low 48°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind8.7 mph E
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Sun, 0164° / 50°0
64 °
Tonawanda, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 64°, low 50°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind14.6 mph S
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Mon, 0258° / 50°0.3
58 °
Tonawanda, Monday, 2 November
Rain. High 58°, low 50°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind14.4 mph SW
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Tue, 0354° / 43°0.06
54 °
Tonawanda, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 54°, low 43°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind12.6 mph NW
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Wed, 0445° / 37°0.06
45 °
Tonawanda, Wednesday, 4 November
Snow. High 45°, low 37°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind11.9 mph W
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Thu, 0557° / 40°0
57 °
Tonawanda, Thursday, 5 November
Overcast. High 57°, low 40°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind17.2 mph SW
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Fri, 0655° / 40°0
55 °
Tonawanda, Friday, 6 November
Overcast. High 55°, low 40°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind10.8 mph S
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Sat, 0762° / 53°0.03
62 °
Tonawanda, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 62°, low 53°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind17.6 mph SW
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Sun, 0851° / 48°0
51 °
Tonawanda, Sunday, 8 November
Overcast. High 51°, low 48°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind11.3 mph NW
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 0950° / 38°0.09
50 °
Tonawanda, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high68° (2020)
Record low25° (2019)
Tue, 1049° / 38°0.12
49 °
Tonawanda, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high69° (2020)
Record low19° (1991)
Wed, 1147° / 38°0.15
47 °
Tonawanda, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high66° (2020)
Record low23° (2017)
Thu, 1246° / 36°0.09
46 °
Tonawanda, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high65° (2012)
Record low17° (2019)
Fri, 1345° / 35°0.07
45 °
Tonawanda, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high61° (1961)
Record low15° (2019)
Sat, 1446° / 36°0.11
46 °
Tonawanda, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high63° (1994)
Record low20° (1986)
Sun, 1546° / 36°0.17
46 °
Tonawanda, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high62° (1989)
Record low19° (1967)
Mon, 1646° / 35°0.12
46 °
Tonawanda, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high64° (1988)
Record low18° (2019)
Tue, 1745° / 35°0.1
45 °
Tonawanda, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high62° (1987)
Record low15° (2019)
Wed, 1846° / 35°0.06
46 °
Tonawanda, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high66° (2016)
Record low20° (2014)
Thu, 1946° / 35°0.09
46 °
Tonawanda, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high65° (1985)
Record low17° (2014)
Fri, 2045° / 34°0.09
45 °
Tonawanda, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high64° (1985)
Record low19° (2022)
Sat, 2143° / 34°0.11
43 °
Tonawanda, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high56° (1975)
Record low16° (1987)
Sun, 2243° / 33°0.11
43 °
Tonawanda, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high63° (1999)
Record low16° (2018)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Tonawanda, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Tonawanda, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.