Monthly outlook for Ellisburg, NY: average high 53.2°, average low 41.1°. That is 2.9° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 1.0 inches), against a normal of 8 days and 2.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 29 October (71.3°), the coolest 11 November (26.4°).
53.2°/41.1°
Average high / low
+2.9°
Above normal
6 / 8
Wet days / normal
1.0 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
29 October – 7 November
60.3°
49.6°
+6°
8 November – 17 November
41.4°
44.5°
-1.7°
18 November – 27 November
at normal
41.5°
—
October records over 66 years
82.4°5 October 2023All-time high
27.3°31 October 2020All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Henderson (8 mi).
Fri, 3057° / 39°0.09
57 °
Ellisburg, Friday, 30 October
Rain. High 57°, low 39°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind13.8 mph W
Humidity63%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point39°
Sat, 3153° / 35°0
53 °
Ellisburg, Saturday, 31 October
Partly cloudy. High 53°, low 35°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind5 mph NW
Humidity55%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point32°
Sun, 0159° / 42°0
59 °
Ellisburg, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 59°, low 42°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind9.1 mph S
Humidity69%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point43°
Mon, 0257° / 49°0
57 °
Ellisburg, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 57°, low 49°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind8.1 mph S
Humidity75%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point48°
Tue, 0363° / 53°0
63 °
Ellisburg, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 63°, low 53°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind11.3 mph S
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Wed, 0466° / 55°0
66 °
Ellisburg, Wednesday, 4 November
Clear. High 66°, low 55°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind17.7 mph SE
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Thu, 0562° / 54°0.02
62 °
Ellisburg, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 62°, low 54°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind18.1 mph S
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Fri, 0666° / 51°0.56
66 °
Ellisburg, Friday, 6 November
Rain. High 66°, low 51°.
Pressure29.53 inHg
Wind12.8 mph N
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
Sat, 0749° / 41°0.05
49 °
Ellisburg, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 49°, low 41°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind14.3 mph NW
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Sun, 0842° / 33°0
42 °
Ellisburg, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 42°, low 33°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind10.4 mph N
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Mon, 0943° / 31°0
43 °
Ellisburg, Monday, 9 November
Overcast. High 43°, low 31°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind9.9 mph NE
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
Tue, 1044° / 35°0.04
44 °
Ellisburg, Tuesday, 10 November
Snow. High 44°, low 35°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind9.1 mph NE
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Wed, 1140° / 26°0
40 °
Ellisburg, Wednesday, 11 November
Clear. High 40°, low 26°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind9.1 mph NE
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
Thu, 1242° / 30°0
42 °
Ellisburg, Thursday, 12 November
Mostly clear. High 42°, low 30°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind7.3 mph SE
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Fri, 1338° / 37°0.12
38 °
Ellisburg, Friday, 13 November
Light rain. High 38°, low 37°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind11.9 mph SE
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 1443° / 36°0.13
43 °
Ellisburg, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high58° (1994)
Record low19° (2019)
Sun, 1543° / 36°0.18
43 °
Ellisburg, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high56° (1989)
Record low19° (1967)
Mon, 1643° / 35°0.18
43 °
Ellisburg, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high58° (1989)
Record low13° (2019)
Tue, 1743° / 35°0.16
43 °
Ellisburg, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high58° (2023)
Record low18° (2019)
Wed, 1843° / 36°0.12
43 °
Ellisburg, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high57° (2016)
Record low22° (2018)
Thu, 1943° / 35°0.11
43 °
Ellisburg, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high58° (2016)
Record low24° (1986)
Fri, 2042° / 35°0.16
42 °
Ellisburg, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high59° (2020)
Record low23° (1986)
Sat, 2141° / 33°0.17
41 °
Ellisburg, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high52° (1975)
Record low16° (2018)
Sun, 2240° / 33°0.14
40 °
Ellisburg, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high54° (1963)
Record low9° (2018)
Mon, 2341° / 33°0.14
41 °
Ellisburg, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high59° (1999)
Record low7° (2018)
Tue, 2441° / 33°0.15
41 °
Ellisburg, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high58° (2014)
Record low19° (2013)
Wed, 2541° / 33°0.13
41 °
Ellisburg, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high56° (2001)
Record low16° (1993)
Thu, 2641° / 34°0.25
41 °
Ellisburg, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.25 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high59° (1979)
Record low19° (1978)
Fri, 2741° / 34°0.16
41 °
Ellisburg, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation67%
Record high55° (1988)
Record low18° (1977)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Ellisburg, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Ellisburg, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.