Weather in Ellisburg, NY
Ellisburg, Thursday, 5 November, 16:32
Overcast. Feels like 62°. High 68°, low 58°.
Monthly outlook for Ellisburg, NY: average high 47.6°, average low 38.8°. That is 1.5° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 1.3 inches), against a normal of 8 days and 2.5 inches. The warmest day looks like 5 November (68.1°), the coolest 15 November (26.8°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 November – 14 November | 50.3° | 46.1° | +2.3° |
| 15 November – 24 November | 43.2° | 42.1° | +0.6° |
| 25 November – 4 December | at normal | 39.6° | — |
November records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Henderson (8 mi).
0
Ellisburg, Friday, 6 November
Mostly clear. High 65°, low 53°.
0.63
Ellisburg, Saturday, 7 November
Rain. High 56°, low 45°.
0.26Ellisburg, Sunday, 8 November
Rain. High 51°, low 47°.
0.12Ellisburg, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 49°, low 44°.
0.01Ellisburg, Tuesday, 10 November
Light rain. High 51°, low 45°.
0.02Ellisburg, Wednesday, 11 November
Light rain. High 48°, low 38°.
0Ellisburg, Thursday, 12 November
Overcast. High 38°, low 29°.
0
Ellisburg, Friday, 13 November
Partly cloudy. High 37°, low 27°.
0Ellisburg, Saturday, 14 November
Overcast. High 39°, low 28°.
0Ellisburg, Sunday, 15 November
Partly cloudy. High 38°, low 27°.
0Ellisburg, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 40°, low 30°.
0Ellisburg, Tuesday, 17 November
Overcast. High 39°, low 33°.
0.01Ellisburg, Wednesday, 18 November
Light rain. High 46°, low 33°.
0.08Ellisburg, Thursday, 19 November
Light rain. High 52°, low 45°.
0Ellisburg, Friday, 20 November
Partly cloudy. High 46°, low 38°.
0.17Ellisburg, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Ellisburg, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14
Ellisburg, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Ellisburg, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Ellisburg, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.25Ellisburg, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Ellisburg, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.23Ellisburg, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19Ellisburg, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.21Ellisburg, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.26Ellisburg, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Ellisburg, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19Ellisburg, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Ellisburg, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Ellisburg, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Ellisburg, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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