Monthly outlook for Ellisburg, NY: average high 48.5°, average low 39.1°. That is 1.8° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 1.8 inches), against a normal of 8 days and 2.5 inches. The warmest day looks like 4 November (73.5°), the coolest 15 November (26.3°).
48.5°/39.1°
Average high / low
+1.8°
Above normal
7 / 8
Wet days / normal
1.8 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
4 November – 13 November
52.9°
46.7°
+3.4°
14 November – 23 November
41.3°
42.3°
-0.5°
24 November – 3 December
at normal
40.1°
—
November records over 66 years
73.6°5 November 2022All-time high
7.2°23 November 2018All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Henderson (8 mi).
Thu, 0567° / 50°0.39
67 °
Ellisburg, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 67°, low 50°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind13.2 mph SW
Humidity88%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point57°
Fri, 0659° / 49°0
59 °
Ellisburg, Friday, 6 November
Overcast. High 59°, low 49°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind5.5 mph SW
Humidity75%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point51°
Sat, 0752° / 45°0.76
52 °
Ellisburg, Saturday, 7 November
Rain. High 52°, low 45°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind11.5 mph NE
Humidity95%
Visibility2.1 mi
Dew point49°
Sun, 0851° / 44°0.19
51 °
Ellisburg, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 51°, low 44°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind18.4 mph W
Humidity72%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point41°
Mon, 0947° / 44°0.09
47 °
Ellisburg, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 47°, low 44°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind24.2 mph NW
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Tue, 1055° / 44°0
55 °
Ellisburg, Tuesday, 10 November
Overcast. High 55°, low 44°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind13.8 mph NW
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Wed, 1150° / 42°0.04
50 °
Ellisburg, Wednesday, 11 November
Light rain. High 50°, low 42°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind12.4 mph NW
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Thu, 1239° / 31°0.09
39 °
Ellisburg, Thursday, 12 November
Snow. High 39°, low 31°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind12.5 mph N
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Fri, 1335° / 29°0.04
35 °
Ellisburg, Friday, 13 November
Light snow. High 35°, low 29°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind8.5 mph W
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Sat, 1438° / 28°0.01
38 °
Ellisburg, Saturday, 14 November
Light snow. High 38°, low 28°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind9.1 mph S
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Sun, 1538° / 26°0.01
38 °
Ellisburg, Sunday, 15 November
Light snow. High 38°, low 26°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind10.6 mph NW
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Mon, 1640° / 34°0.16
40 °
Ellisburg, Monday, 16 November
Snow. High 40°, low 34°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind9.6 mph NW
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Tue, 1741° / 33°0
41 °
Ellisburg, Tuesday, 17 November
Overcast. High 41°, low 33°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind7 mph N
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Wed, 1845° / 33°0
45 °
Ellisburg, Wednesday, 18 November
Clear. High 45°, low 33°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind10 mph SW
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Thu, 1946° / 38°0
46 °
Ellisburg, Thursday, 19 November
Overcast. High 46°, low 38°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind9.3 mph S
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 2042° / 35°0.16
42 °
Ellisburg, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high59° (2020)
Record low23° (1986)
Sat, 2141° / 33°0.17
41 °
Ellisburg, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high52° (1975)
Record low16° (2018)
Sun, 2240° / 33°0.14
40 °
Ellisburg, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high54° (1963)
Record low9° (2018)
Mon, 2341° / 33°0.14
41 °
Ellisburg, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high59° (1999)
Record low7° (2018)
Tue, 2441° / 33°0.15
41 °
Ellisburg, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high58° (2014)
Record low19° (2013)
Wed, 2541° / 33°0.13
41 °
Ellisburg, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high56° (2001)
Record low16° (1993)
Thu, 2641° / 34°0.25
41 °
Ellisburg, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.25 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high59° (1979)
Record low19° (1978)
Fri, 2741° / 34°0.16
41 °
Ellisburg, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation67%
Record high55° (1988)
Record low18° (1977)
Sat, 2841° / 33°0.23
41 °
Ellisburg, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.23 in
Chance of precipitation78%
Record high56° (1990)
Record low20° (2017)
Sun, 2940° / 32°0.19
40 °
Ellisburg, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high57° (2005)
Record low15° (1989)
Mon, 3040° / 32°0.21
40 °
Ellisburg, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation70%
Record high55° (1991)
Record low18° (2013)
Tue, 0139° / 31°0.26
39 °
Ellisburg, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.26 in
Chance of precipitation62%
Record high54° (1998)
Record low15° (1989)
Wed, 0238° / 30°0.16
38 °
Ellisburg, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation68%
Record high54° (1982)
Record low8° (1976)
Thu, 0338° / 29°0.19
38 °
Ellisburg, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high54° (1982)
Record low1° (1976)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Ellisburg, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Ellisburg, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.