Weather in Ellerslie, FL
Ellerslie, Tuesday, 27 October, 05:05
Overcast. Feels like 65°. High 82°, low 65°.
Monthly outlook for Ellerslie, FL: average high 81.3°, average low 67.8°. That is 1.5° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 1.8 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 1.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 4 November (86.6°), the coolest 7 November (58°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 October – 5 November | 83° | 79.2° | +2.1° |
| 6 November – 15 November | 78.5° | 76.8° | +0.9° |
| 16 November – 25 November | at normal | 75° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Dade City North (6 mi).
0.15
Ellerslie, Wednesday, 28 October
Rain. High 81°, low 67°.
0Ellerslie, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 83°, low 71°.
0.01Ellerslie, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 83°, low 69°.
0.38Ellerslie, Saturday, 31 October
Rain. High 79°, low 69°.
0.91Ellerslie, Sunday, 1 November
Rain. High 80°, low 67°.
0.1Ellerslie, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 84°, low 67°.
0
Ellerslie, Tuesday, 3 November
Clear. High 85°, low 69°.
0Ellerslie, Wednesday, 4 November
Overcast. High 87°, low 72°.
0.02Ellerslie, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 85°, low 71°.
0Ellerslie, Friday, 6 November
Overcast. High 74°, low 63°.
0Ellerslie, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 75°, low 58°.
0.12Ellerslie, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 78°, low 65°.
0.08Ellerslie, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 79°, low 68°.
0.01Ellerslie, Tuesday, 10 November
Light rain. High 79°, low 72°.
0.02Ellerslie, Wednesday, 11 November
Light rain. High 86°, low 71°.
0.05
Ellerslie, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04
Ellerslie, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05Ellerslie, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Ellerslie, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Ellerslie, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Ellerslie, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Ellerslie, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Ellerslie, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Ellerslie, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Ellerslie, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Ellerslie, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Ellerslie, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Ellerslie, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Ellerslie, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Ellerslie, FL are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Ellerslie, FL since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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