Monthly outlook for Ellerslie, FL: average high 76.6°, average low 60.9°. That is 0.2° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 1 day (about 0.1 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 0.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 6 November (85.5°), the coolest 15 November (47.8°).
76.6°/60.9°
Average high / low
+0.2°
Above normal
1 / 3
Wet days / normal
0.1 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
6 November – 15 November
76.4°
76.8°
-0.3°
16 November – 25 November
77°
75°
+1.1°
26 November – 5 December
at normal
73.8°
—
November records over 66 years
89.2°10 November 2023All-time high
28.8°25 November 1970All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Dade City North (6 mi).
Sat, 0782° / 63°0
82 °
Ellerslie, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 82°, low 63°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind6 mph N
Humidity47%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point58°
Sun, 0880° / 58°0
80 °
Ellerslie, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 80°, low 58°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind2.9 mph NE
Humidity50%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point58°
Mon, 0978° / 61°0
78 °
Ellerslie, Monday, 9 November
Overcast. High 78°, low 61°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind5.9 mph NE
Humidity63%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point63°
Tue, 1078° / 67°0.05
78 °
Ellerslie, Tuesday, 10 November
Light rain. High 78°, low 67°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind5.9 mph E
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point64°
Wed, 1179° / 66°0.02
79 °
Ellerslie, Wednesday, 11 November
Light rain. High 79°, low 66°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind6.6 mph W
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point61°
Thu, 1277° / 64°0
77 °
Ellerslie, Thursday, 12 November
Overcast. High 77°, low 64°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind8.8 mph NW
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point57°
Fri, 1373° / 65°0
73 °
Ellerslie, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 73°, low 65°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind8.3 mph NW
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Sat, 1467° / 55°0
67 °
Ellerslie, Saturday, 14 November
Overcast. High 67°, low 55°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind11 mph NW
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Sun, 1564° / 48°0
64 °
Ellerslie, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 64°, low 48°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind10.5 mph NE
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Mon, 1671° / 53°0
71 °
Ellerslie, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 71°, low 53°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind11.9 mph NE
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Tue, 1770° / 56°0
70 °
Ellerslie, Tuesday, 17 November
Overcast. High 70°, low 56°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind10.5 mph NE
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Wed, 1879° / 61°0
79 °
Ellerslie, Wednesday, 18 November
Light rain. High 79°, low 61°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind12.8 mph E
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point57°
Thu, 1980° / 63°0
80 °
Ellerslie, Thursday, 19 November
Overcast. High 80°, low 63°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind12.3 mph NE
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
Fri, 2080° / 63°0
80 °
Ellerslie, Friday, 20 November
Clear. High 80°, low 63°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind8.9 mph E
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Sat, 2182° / 63°0
82 °
Ellerslie, Saturday, 21 November
Partly cloudy. High 82°, low 63°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind12.6 mph S
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point62°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 2274° / 57°0.04
74 °
Ellerslie, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high74°
Average low57°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high85° (1973)
Record low37° (1968)
Mon, 2374° / 57°0.1
74 °
Ellerslie, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high74°
Average low57°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high84° (2014)
Record low38° (1981)
Tue, 2475° / 57°0.03
75 °
Ellerslie, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high75°
Average low57°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high86° (2014)
Record low35° (1970)
Wed, 2575° / 58°0.11
75 °
Ellerslie, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high75°
Average low58°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high84° (1973)
Record low29° (1970)
Thu, 2676° / 57°0.07
76 °
Ellerslie, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high76°
Average low57°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high85° (2007)
Record low40° (1991)
Fri, 2775° / 58°0.04
75 °
Ellerslie, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high75°
Average low58°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high84° (1973)
Record low39° (2008)
Sat, 2874° / 57°0.04
74 °
Ellerslie, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high74°
Average low57°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high85° (1978)
Record low38° (2018)
Sun, 2973° / 56°0.04
73 °
Ellerslie, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high73°
Average low56°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high86° (1978)
Record low41° (2023)
Mon, 3074° / 56°0.06
74 °
Ellerslie, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high74°
Average low56°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high86° (2006)
Record low39° (1992)
Tue, 0173° / 56°0.03
73 °
Ellerslie, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high73°
Average low56°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high85° (1991)
Record low37° (1979)
Wed, 0273° / 55°0.03
73 °
Ellerslie, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high73°
Average low55°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high86° (1991)
Record low37° (2020)
Thu, 0373° / 55°0.02
73 °
Ellerslie, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high73°
Average low55°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high84° (2006)
Record low36° (2008)
Fri, 0473° / 54°0.1
73 °
Ellerslie, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high73°
Average low54°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high83° (1994)
Record low34° (1989)
Sat, 0573° / 55°0.04
73 °
Ellerslie, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high73°
Average low55°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high85° (2016)
Record low38° (1974)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Ellerslie, FL are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Ellerslie, FL since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.