Monthly outlook for Tarpon Point, FL: average high 83.1°, average low 70.8°. That is 1.4° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 0.6 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 1.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 30 October (86.6°), the coolest 8 November (63°).
83.1°/70.8°
Average high / low
+1.4°
Above normal
6 / 3
Wet days / normal
0.6 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
27 October – 5 November
84.7°
81.3°
+1.9°
6 November – 15 November
80.6°
79.1°
+0.8°
16 November – 25 November
at normal
77.4°
—
October records over 66 years
96.3°1 October 2019All-time high
46.6°29 October 2008All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — North Port (5 mi).
Wed, 2886° / 69°0.04
86 °
Tarpon Point, Wednesday, 28 October
Light rain. High 86°, low 69°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind14.3 mph NE
Humidity67%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point69°
Thu, 2986° / 74°0
86 °
Tarpon Point, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 86°, low 74°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind12.9 mph NE
Humidity65%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point70°
Fri, 3087° / 71°0.02
87 °
Tarpon Point, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 87°, low 71°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind13.3 mph NE
Humidity59%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point68°
Sat, 3186° / 73°0.15
86 °
Tarpon Point, Saturday, 31 October
Light rain. High 86°, low 73°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind11.2 mph E
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point69°
Sun, 0183° / 71°0.12
83 °
Tarpon Point, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 83°, low 71°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind8.2 mph E
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point70°
Mon, 0284° / 73°0.05
84 °
Tarpon Point, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 84°, low 73°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind9.2 mph SW
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point67°
Tue, 0384° / 72°0
84 °
Tarpon Point, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 84°, low 72°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind9.9 mph S
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point67°
Wed, 0485° / 73°0
85 °
Tarpon Point, Wednesday, 4 November
Overcast. High 85°, low 73°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind11 mph S
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point65°
Thu, 0583° / 74°0.04
83 °
Tarpon Point, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 83°, low 74°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind14 mph SW
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point70°
Fri, 0677° / 71°0.02
77 °
Tarpon Point, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 77°, low 71°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind12.1 mph NW
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point64°
Sat, 0776° / 65°0
76 °
Tarpon Point, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 76°, low 65°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind10.1 mph N
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Sun, 0879° / 63°0
79 °
Tarpon Point, Sunday, 8 November
Mostly clear. High 79°, low 63°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind6.9 mph W
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Mon, 0983° / 73°0.09
83 °
Tarpon Point, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 83°, low 73°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind16.1 mph E
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point67°
Tue, 1083° / 74°0.03
83 °
Tarpon Point, Tuesday, 10 November
Light rain. High 83°, low 74°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind14 mph E
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point68°
Wed, 1185° / 71°0
85 °
Tarpon Point, Wednesday, 11 November
Mostly clear. High 85°, low 71°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind6.7 mph N
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point67°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Thu, 1279° / 63°0.02
79 °
Tarpon Point, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high79°
Average low63°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high89° (2024)
Record low41° (2025)
Fri, 1378° / 63°0.05
78 °
Tarpon Point, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high78°
Average low63°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high87° (1961)
Record low45° (1968)
Sat, 1478° / 63°0.05
78 °
Tarpon Point, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high78°
Average low63°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high87° (2024)
Record low46° (1968)
Sun, 1578° / 63°0.07
78 °
Tarpon Point, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high78°
Average low63°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high86° (1964)
Record low44° (1963)
Mon, 1678° / 62°0.07
78 °
Tarpon Point, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high78°
Average low62°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high87° (2015)
Record low43° (1969)
Tue, 1778° / 62°0.02
78 °
Tarpon Point, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high78°
Average low62°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation5%
Record high86° (1974)
Record low47° (1970)
Wed, 1878° / 62°0.04
78 °
Tarpon Point, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high78°
Average low62°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high88° (2015)
Record low46° (1970)
Thu, 1979° / 63°0.02
79 °
Tarpon Point, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high79°
Average low63°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high87° (1988)
Record low43° (2008)
Fri, 2078° / 62°0.04
78 °
Tarpon Point, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high78°
Average low62°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high86° (2015)
Record low46° (2008)
Sat, 2177° / 62°0.04
77 °
Tarpon Point, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high77°
Average low62°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high87° (2025)
Record low44° (1968)
Sun, 2276° / 61°0.04
76 °
Tarpon Point, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high76°
Average low61°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high85° (2025)
Record low43° (2000)
Mon, 2376° / 61°0.05
76 °
Tarpon Point, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high76°
Average low61°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high88° (2025)
Record low45° (1976)
Tue, 2477° / 61°0.01
77 °
Tarpon Point, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high77°
Average low61°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high85° (2025)
Record low42° (1970)
Wed, 2577° / 62°0.06
77 °
Tarpon Point, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high77°
Average low62°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high88° (2025)
Record low33° (1970)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Tarpon Point, FL are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Tarpon Point, FL since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.