Monthly outlook for Muddy Fork, AR: average high 78.2°, average low 57.3°. That is 3.7° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 1 day (about 1.2 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 24 October (85.6°), the coolest 18 October (47.2°).
78.2°/57.3°
Average high / low
+3.7°
Above normal
1 / 5
Wet days / normal
1.2 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
16 October – 25 October
76.9°
72.5°
+2.4°
26 October – 4 November
80.4°
68.6°
+6.6°
5 November – 14 November
at normal
64.6°
—
October records over 66 years
94.6°8 October 1963All-time high
30.6°31 October 1993All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Murfreesboro (13 mi).
Sat, 1766° / 48°0
66 °
Muddy Fork, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 66°, low 48°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind8 mph NE
Humidity44%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Sun, 1868° / 47°0
68 °
Muddy Fork, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 68°, low 47°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind3.9 mph E
Humidity39%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point37°
Mon, 1973° / 49°0
73 °
Muddy Fork, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 73°, low 49°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind4.3 mph SE
Humidity40%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point43°
Tue, 2076° / 52°0
76 °
Muddy Fork, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 76°, low 52°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind4.1 mph E
Humidity37%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point43°
Wed, 2179° / 54°0
79 °
Muddy Fork, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 79°, low 54°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind5.8 mph NE
Humidity29%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Thu, 2284° / 55°0
84 °
Muddy Fork, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 84°, low 55°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind4.2 mph NE
Humidity19%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Fri, 2386° / 59°0
86 °
Muddy Fork, Friday, 23 October
Mostly clear. High 86°, low 59°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind4.4 mph SE
Humidity21%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Sat, 2486° / 59°0
86 °
Muddy Fork, Saturday, 24 October
Partly cloudy. High 86°, low 59°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind6.2 mph SE
Humidity22%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Sun, 2583° / 58°0
83 °
Muddy Fork, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 83°, low 58°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind5.8 mph E
Humidity27%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Mon, 2685° / 58°0
85 °
Muddy Fork, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 85°, low 58°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind4.8 mph NE
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Tue, 2782° / 60°0
82 °
Muddy Fork, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 82°, low 60°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind9.8 mph SE
Humidity31%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Wed, 2874° / 63°0
74 °
Muddy Fork, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 74°, low 63°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind8.5 mph S
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Thu, 2983° / 66°0
83 °
Muddy Fork, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 83°, low 66°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind9.3 mph S
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
Fri, 3081° / 68°0
81 °
Muddy Fork, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 81°, low 68°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind9.8 mph SE
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
Sat, 3178° / 66°1.2
78 °
Muddy Fork, Saturday, 31 October
Heavy rain. High 78°, low 66°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind11.7 mph S
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point67°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 0168° / 53°0.19
68 °
Muddy Fork, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high68°
Average low53°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high82° (2016)
Record low32° (2019)
Mon, 0267° / 51°0.1
67 °
Muddy Fork, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high67°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high82° (2012)
Record low33° (1991)
Tue, 0366° / 50°0.09
66 °
Muddy Fork, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high66°
Average low50°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high81° (2012)
Record low28° (1991)
Wed, 0466° / 50°0.18
66 °
Muddy Fork, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high66°
Average low50°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high82° (2024)
Record low28° (1991)
Thu, 0566° / 50°0.13
66 °
Muddy Fork, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high66°
Average low50°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high79° (1978)
Record low29° (1991)
Fri, 0666° / 50°0.14
66 °
Muddy Fork, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high66°
Average low50°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high77° (1963)
Record low35° (1993)
Sat, 0766° / 50°0.1
66 °
Muddy Fork, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high66°
Average low50°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high81° (2005)
Record low30° (1993)
Sun, 0865° / 50°0.1
65 °
Muddy Fork, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low50°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high79° (2023)
Record low30° (1991)
Mon, 0966° / 50°0.15
66 °
Muddy Fork, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high66°
Average low50°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high80° (2022)
Record low27° (1991)
Tue, 1065° / 49°0.11
65 °
Muddy Fork, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high78° (2006)
Record low29° (2018)
Wed, 1164° / 48°0.14
64 °
Muddy Fork, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high78° (1969)
Record low31° (2025)
Thu, 1262° / 47°0.1
62 °
Muddy Fork, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high76° (1978)
Record low23° (2019)
Fri, 1362° / 46°0.09
62 °
Muddy Fork, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high79° (2007)
Record low20° (2019)
Sat, 1463° / 47°0.1
63 °
Muddy Fork, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high80° (1999)
Record low29° (1986)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Muddy Fork, AR are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Muddy Fork, AR since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.