Monthly outlook for Ulm, AR: average high 79.7°, average low 53.9°. That is 4.1° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 0 days (about 0.1 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 15 October (93.5°), the coolest 18 October (31.4°).
79.7°/53.9°
Average high / low
+4.1°
Above normal
0 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.1 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
11 October – 20 October
80.7°
73.3°
+4.1°
21 October – 30 October
78°
69.9°
+4.5°
31 October – 9 November
at normal
65.8°
—
October records over 66 years
93.4°2 October 2019All-time high
31.3°31 October 1993All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Clarendon (12 mi).
Mon, 1291° / 61°0
91 °
Ulm, Monday, 12 October
Clear. High 91°, low 61°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind7.2 mph SW
Humidity35%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point57°
Tue, 1393° / 70°0
93 °
Ulm, Tuesday, 13 October
Clear. High 93°, low 70°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind6.7 mph SW
Humidity50%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point67°
Wed, 1493° / 76°0.02
93 °
Ulm, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 93°, low 76°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind7 mph SW
Humidity57%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point73°
Thu, 1594° / 72°0
94 °
Ulm, Thursday, 15 October
Clear. High 94°, low 72°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind6.8 mph SW
Humidity29%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Fri, 1689° / 61°0.03
89 °
Ulm, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 89°, low 61°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind16.8 mph N
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point62°
Sat, 1754° / 41°0
54 °
Ulm, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 54°, low 41°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind18.9 mph N
Humidity19%
Visibility—
Dew point10°
Sun, 1859° / 31°0
59 °
Ulm, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 59°, low 31°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind9 mph NE
Humidity19%
Visibility—
Dew point10°
Mon, 1969° / 37°0
69 °
Ulm, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 69°, low 37°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind5.9 mph SE
Humidity17%
Visibility—
Dew point15°
Tue, 2076° / 43°0
76 °
Ulm, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 76°, low 43°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind8.3 mph S
Humidity16%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
Wed, 2179° / 48°0
79 °
Ulm, Wednesday, 21 October
Overcast. High 79°, low 48°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind8.1 mph S
Humidity20%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Thu, 2282° / 53°0
82 °
Ulm, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 82°, low 53°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind7 mph NE
Humidity21%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Fri, 2382° / 55°0
82 °
Ulm, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 82°, low 55°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind6 mph E
Humidity19%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Sat, 2485° / 56°0
85 °
Ulm, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 85°, low 56°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind6.8 mph NE
Humidity15%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Sun, 2569° / 55°0
69 °
Ulm, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 69°, low 55°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind14.2 mph NE
Humidity27%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Mon, 2671° / 46°0
71 °
Ulm, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 71°, low 46°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind6.6 mph N
Humidity22%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 2769° / 53°0.13
69 °
Ulm, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high69°
Average low53°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high84° (2023)
Record low42° (1994)
Wed, 2868° / 52°0.19
68 °
Ulm, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high68°
Average low52°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high84° (2024)
Record low38° (2017)
Thu, 2968° / 52°0.12
68 °
Ulm, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high68°
Average low52°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high83° (1971)
Record low34° (2017)
Fri, 3069° / 53°0.15
69 °
Ulm, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high69°
Average low53°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high85° (2016)
Record low35° (1993)
Sat, 3169° / 54°0.19
69 °
Ulm, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high69°
Average low54°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high85° (2016)
Record low31° (1993)
Sun, 0168° / 53°0.15
68 °
Ulm, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high68°
Average low53°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high83° (2000)
Record low31° (1993)
Mon, 0266° / 51°0.13
66 °
Ulm, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high66°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high81° (2017)
Record low36° (1966)
Tue, 0365° / 50°0.14
65 °
Ulm, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low50°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high83° (2016)
Record low29° (1966)
Wed, 0465° / 50°0.1
65 °
Ulm, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low50°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high82° (2024)
Record low27° (1991)
Thu, 0565° / 50°0.15
65 °
Ulm, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low50°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high80° (2017)
Record low29° (1991)
Fri, 0665° / 49°0.12
65 °
Ulm, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high79° (2024)
Record low32° (1967)
Sat, 0764° / 49°0.11
64 °
Ulm, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high79° (2023)
Record low29° (1993)
Sun, 0865° / 49°0.06
65 °
Ulm, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high81° (2023)
Record low26° (1991)
Mon, 0965° / 49°0.09
65 °
Ulm, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high80° (2022)
Record low24° (1991)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Ulm, AR are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Ulm, AR since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.