Monthly outlook for Dayton, AR: average high 83.7°, average low 61.7°. That is 5.6° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 1 day (about 0.4 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 14 October (94.5°), the coolest 23 October (49.3°).
83.7°/61.7°
Average high / low
+5.6°
Above normal
1 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.4 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
8 October – 17 October
89.2°
74.6°
+8.1°
18 October – 27 October
74.4°
70.6°
+2.1°
28 October – 6 November
at normal
66.3°
—
October records over 66 years
93.2°8 October 1963All-time high
28.9°31 October 1993All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Lavaca (15 mi).
Fri, 0988° / 59°0
88 °
Dayton, Friday, 9 October
Clear. High 88°, low 59°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind3.3 mph E
Humidity48%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point61°
Sat, 1084° / 62°0
84 °
Dayton, Saturday, 10 October
Overcast. High 84°, low 62°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind4.8 mph E
Humidity44%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point57°
Sun, 1189° / 67°0
89 °
Dayton, Sunday, 11 October
Overcast. High 89°, low 67°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind8.7 mph W
Humidity36%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point56°
Mon, 1290° / 68°0
90 °
Dayton, Monday, 12 October
Clear. High 90°, low 68°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind9 mph SW
Humidity31%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Tue, 1393° / 68°0
93 °
Dayton, Tuesday, 13 October
Clear. High 93°, low 68°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind7.5 mph SW
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point67°
Wed, 1494° / 71°0
94 °
Dayton, Wednesday, 14 October
Clear. High 94°, low 71°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind11.4 mph S
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point64°
Thu, 1594° / 76°0
94 °
Dayton, Thursday, 15 October
Clear. High 94°, low 76°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind11.2 mph SW
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point65°
Fri, 1693° / 63°0
93 °
Dayton, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 93°, low 63°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind7.7 mph N
Humidity35%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Sat, 1778° / 57°0
78 °
Dayton, Saturday, 17 October
Mostly clear. High 78°, low 57°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind8.6 mph NE
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Sun, 1880° / 53°0
80 °
Dayton, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 80°, low 53°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind6.4 mph E
Humidity32%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Mon, 1967° / 63°0.42
67 °
Dayton, Monday, 19 October
Rain. High 67°, low 63°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind3.8 mph SE
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point65°
Tue, 2066° / 59°0.01
66 °
Dayton, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 66°, low 59°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind5.5 mph E
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point59°
Wed, 2178° / 56°0
78 °
Dayton, Wednesday, 21 October
Partly cloudy. High 78°, low 56°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind5 mph SE
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Thu, 2280° / 58°0
80 °
Dayton, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 80°, low 58°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind7.8 mph N
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Fri, 2375° / 49°0
75 °
Dayton, Friday, 23 October
Partly cloudy. High 75°, low 49°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind6.7 mph SE
Humidity28%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 2469° / 53°0.16
69 °
Dayton, Saturday, 24 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high69°
Average low53°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high88° (2024)
Record low38° (1981)
Sun, 2568° / 52°0.13
68 °
Dayton, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high68°
Average low52°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high84° (2024)
Record low39° (1982)
Mon, 2669° / 52°0.11
69 °
Dayton, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high69°
Average low52°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high84° (2014)
Record low39° (1994)
Tue, 2768° / 51°0.15
68 °
Dayton, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high68°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high83° (1963)
Record low39° (1994)
Wed, 2867° / 51°0.17
67 °
Dayton, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high67°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high87° (2024)
Record low35° (2017)
Thu, 2968° / 51°0.15
68 °
Dayton, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high68°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high84° (2024)
Record low33° (2017)
Fri, 3069° / 51°0.19
69 °
Dayton, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high69°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high83° (2024)
Record low32° (1993)
Sat, 3168° / 52°0.26
68 °
Dayton, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high68°
Average low52°
Average precipitation0.26 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high85° (2016)
Record low29° (1993)
Sun, 0167° / 50°0.17
67 °
Dayton, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high67°
Average low50°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high82° (2016)
Record low30° (2023)
Mon, 0265° / 49°0.07
65 °
Dayton, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high82° (2012)
Record low29° (1991)
Tue, 0365° / 48°0.14
65 °
Dayton, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high81° (1978)
Record low23° (1991)
Wed, 0465° / 48°0.17
65 °
Dayton, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high81° (1978)
Record low24° (1991)
Thu, 0565° / 48°0.24
65 °
Dayton, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.24 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high81° (2017)
Record low29° (1991)
Fri, 0665° / 47°0.11
65 °
Dayton, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high80° (2023)
Record low32° (1993)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Dayton, AR are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Dayton, AR since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.