Weather in Natural Dam, AR
Natural Dam, Thursday, 22 October, 08:45
Clear. Feels like 57°. High 79°, low 50°.
Monthly outlook for Natural Dam, AR: average high 73.2°, average low 55.4°. That is 4.8° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 1.5 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 22 October (78.7°), the coolest 22 October (50.2°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 October – 31 October | 74.4° | 66.1° | +4.6° |
| 1 November – 10 November | 71.2° | 61.9° | +5.2° |
| 11 November – 20 November | at normal | 58.2° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Elohim City (10 mi).
0
Natural Dam, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 78°, low 52°.
0Natural Dam, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 76°, low 54°.
0Natural Dam, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 74°, low 55°.
0Natural Dam, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 71°, low 56°.
0
Natural Dam, Tuesday, 27 October
Partly cloudy. High 72°, low 54°.
0Natural Dam, Wednesday, 28 October
Clear. High 78°, low 54°.
0Natural Dam, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 77°, low 58°.
0Natural Dam, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 73°, low 56°.
0.92
Natural Dam, Saturday, 31 October
Rain. High 65°, low 55°.
0.04Natural Dam, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 68°, low 56°.
0.49Natural Dam, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 65°, low 61°.
0Natural Dam, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 73°, low 58°.
0Natural Dam, Wednesday, 4 November
Overcast. High 71°, low 56°.
0Natural Dam, Thursday, 5 November
Partly cloudy. High 75°, low 54°.
0.01Natural Dam, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 76°, low 56°.
0.12
Natural Dam, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Natural Dam, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12
Natural Dam, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Natural Dam, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Natural Dam, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Natural Dam, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Natural Dam, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Natural Dam, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Natural Dam, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Natural Dam, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Natural Dam, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Natural Dam, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Natural Dam, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Natural Dam, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Natural Dam, AR are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Natural Dam, AR since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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