Weather in Natural Dam, AR
Natural Dam, Thursday, 29 October, 02:25
Mostly clear. Feels like 63°. High 81°, low 58°.
Monthly outlook for Natural Dam, AR: average high 67.1°, average low 52°. That is 2.9° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 1.8 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.4 inches. The warmest day looks like 29 October (81.4°), the coolest 13 November (41.9°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 October – 7 November | 68.5° | 62.9° | +3.1° |
| 8 November – 17 November | 64.7° | 59.3° | +3° |
| 18 November – 27 November | at normal | 56° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Elohim City (10 mi).
0
Natural Dam, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 74°, low 57°.
0.41Natural Dam, Saturday, 31 October
Rain. High 64°, low 57°.
0.03Natural Dam, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 72°, low 61°.
0.11Natural Dam, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 72°, low 62°.
1.11Natural Dam, Tuesday, 3 November
Heavy rain. High 69°, low 63°.
0.06Natural Dam, Wednesday, 4 November
Light rain. High 61°, low 53°.
0.04Natural Dam, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 60°, low 55°.
0
Natural Dam, Friday, 6 November
Clear. High 67°, low 52°.
0
Natural Dam, Saturday, 7 November
Overcast. High 63°, low 44°.
0Natural Dam, Sunday, 8 November
Overcast. High 67°, low 44°.
0.01Natural Dam, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 69°, low 48°.
0Natural Dam, Tuesday, 10 November
Overcast. High 59°, low 42°.
0Natural Dam, Wednesday, 11 November
Overcast. High 68°, low 47°.
0Natural Dam, Thursday, 12 November
Overcast. High 64°, low 46°.
0Natural Dam, Friday, 13 November
Clear. High 61°, low 42°.
0.09
Natural Dam, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Natural Dam, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Natural Dam, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14
Natural Dam, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Natural Dam, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Natural Dam, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Natural Dam, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Natural Dam, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Natural Dam, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Natural Dam, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.24Natural Dam, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Natural Dam, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.2
Natural Dam, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Natural Dam, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Natural Dam, AR are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Natural Dam, AR since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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