Monthly outlook for Natural Dam, AR: average high 70.9°, average low 54.6°. That is 4.1° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 0.4 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 25 October (79°), the coolest 9 November (44.1°).
70.9°/54.6°
Average high / low
+4.1°
Above normal
4 / 5
Wet days / normal
0.4 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
25 October – 3 November
72.5°
64.5°
+4.5°
4 November – 13 November
68.3°
60.7°
+4.2°
14 November – 23 November
at normal
57.5°
—
October records over 66 years
91.8°8 October 1963All-time high
26.2°31 October 1993All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Elohim City (10 mi).
Mon, 2676° / 52°0
76 °
Natural Dam, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 76°, low 52°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind6.3 mph SE
Humidity39%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point45°
Tue, 2776° / 52°0
76 °
Natural Dam, Tuesday, 27 October
Partly cloudy. High 76°, low 52°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind6.8 mph S
Humidity44%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point48°
Wed, 2877° / 57°0
77 °
Natural Dam, Wednesday, 28 October
Clear. High 77°, low 57°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind7 mph S
Humidity48%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point52°
Thu, 2977° / 57°0
77 °
Natural Dam, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 77°, low 57°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind6.2 mph S
Humidity53%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point56°
Fri, 3069° / 57°0.08
69 °
Natural Dam, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 69°, low 57°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind6.7 mph SE
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Sat, 3163° / 57°0.15
63 °
Natural Dam, Saturday, 31 October
Light rain. High 63°, low 57°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind6.2 mph SE
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Sun, 0167° / 59°0.05
67 °
Natural Dam, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 67°, low 59°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind6 mph N
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
Mon, 0271° / 58°0
71 °
Natural Dam, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 71°, low 58°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind3.8 mph NE
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Tue, 0370° / 56°0.01
70 °
Natural Dam, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 70°, low 56°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind4.1 mph NE
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Wed, 0472° / 54°0
72 °
Natural Dam, Wednesday, 4 November
Overcast. High 72°, low 54°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind4 mph SE
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Thu, 0563° / 56°0
63 °
Natural Dam, Thursday, 5 November
Overcast. High 63°, low 56°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind9.1 mph SE
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Fri, 0670° / 52°0
70 °
Natural Dam, Friday, 6 November
Overcast. High 70°, low 52°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind8.8 mph SE
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Sat, 0773° / 57°0
73 °
Natural Dam, Saturday, 7 November
Overcast. High 73°, low 57°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind5.1 mph SW
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Sun, 0866° / 54°0.07
66 °
Natural Dam, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 66°, low 54°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind9.3 mph NW
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Mon, 0965° / 44°0
65 °
Natural Dam, Monday, 9 November
Overcast. High 65°, low 44°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind7.1 mph W
Humidity24%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 1060° / 45°0.13
60 °
Natural Dam, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high75° (2022)
Record low20° (2018)
Wed, 1159° / 43°0.1
59 °
Natural Dam, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high77° (1989)
Record low24° (2019)
Thu, 1258° / 42°0.1
58 °
Natural Dam, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high75° (1999)
Record low15° (2019)
Fri, 1358° / 42°0.08
58 °
Natural Dam, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high76° (1999)
Record low17° (1986)
Sat, 1458° / 44°0.09
58 °
Natural Dam, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high77° (1999)
Record low22° (2018)
Sun, 1558° / 43°0.17
58 °
Natural Dam, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high80° (2025)
Record low24° (2018)
Mon, 1658° / 42°0.12
58 °
Natural Dam, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high78° (2016)
Record low26° (1997)
Tue, 1758° / 43°0.14
58 °
Natural Dam, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high75° (2016)
Record low24° (2014)
Wed, 1858° / 43°0.15
58 °
Natural Dam, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high79° (2025)
Record low21° (2014)
Thu, 1958° / 43°0.16
58 °
Natural Dam, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high75° (2025)
Record low23° (2022)
Fri, 2057° / 42°0.12
57 °
Natural Dam, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high72° (1989)
Record low23° (2022)
Sat, 2157° / 42°0.09
57 °
Natural Dam, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high73° (2025)
Record low23° (1964)
Sun, 2256° / 41°0.11
56 °
Natural Dam, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high70° (1999)
Record low22° (1964)
Mon, 2356° / 41°0.11
56 °
Natural Dam, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high71° (1966)
Record low24° (1970)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Natural Dam, AR are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Natural Dam, AR since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.