Weather in Natural Dam, AR
Natural Dam, Friday, 13 November, 05:13
Clear. Feels like 33°. High 53°, low 32°.
Monthly outlook for Natural Dam, AR: average high 54.2°, average low 38.7°. That is 1.2° below the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 3.3 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 2.2 inches. The warmest day looks like 21 November (69.9°), the coolest 25 November (26°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 November – 22 November | 58.3° | 57.7° | +0.3° |
| 23 November – 2 December | 47.4° | 53.5° | -3.4° |
| 3 December – 12 December | at normal | 50.1° | — |
November records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Elohim City (10 mi).
0
Natural Dam, Saturday, 14 November
Overcast. High 53°, low 28°.
0.18
Natural Dam, Sunday, 15 November
Rain. High 44°, low 41°.
0
Natural Dam, Monday, 16 November
Mostly clear. High 55°, low 43°.
0
Natural Dam, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 57°, low 39°.
0
Natural Dam, Wednesday, 18 November
Partly cloudy. High 63°, low 44°.
0Natural Dam, Thursday, 19 November
Overcast. High 60°, low 51°.
0Natural Dam, Friday, 20 November
Mostly clear. High 69°, low 50°.
0Natural Dam, Saturday, 21 November
Overcast. High 70°, low 51°.
1.13Natural Dam, Sunday, 22 November
Heavy rain. High 60°, low 56°.
1.99Natural Dam, Monday, 23 November
Heavy rain. High 61°, low 41°.
0Natural Dam, Tuesday, 24 November
Clear. High 38°, low 29°.
0Natural Dam, Wednesday, 25 November
Clear. High 44°, low 26°.
0Natural Dam, Thursday, 26 November
Overcast. High 46°, low 30°.
0Natural Dam, Friday, 27 November
Clear. High 47°, low 29°.
0Natural Dam, Saturday, 28 November
Overcast. High 49°, low 31°.
0.13
Natural Dam, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Natural Dam, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Natural Dam, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Natural Dam, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Natural Dam, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Natural Dam, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Natural Dam, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Natural Dam, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05Natural Dam, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Natural Dam, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Natural Dam, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Natural Dam, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Natural Dam, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Natural Dam, Saturday, 12 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Natural Dam, AR are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Natural Dam, AR since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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