Monthly outlook for Vance, AR: average high 83.2°, average low 57.8°. That is 5.7° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 1.4 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 14 October (95.9°), the coolest 18 October (40.5°).
83.2°/57.8°
Average high / low
+5.7°
Above normal
3 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.4 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
6 October – 15 October
87.8°
74.3°
+7.5°
16 October – 25 October
75.6°
70°
+3.1°
26 October – 4 November
at normal
66.3°
—
October records over 66 years
94.3°2 October 2019All-time high
30.2°31 October 1993All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Diaz (10 mi).
Wed, 0787° / 52°0
87 °
Vance, Wednesday, 7 October
Clear. High 87°, low 52°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind3 mph SW
Humidity35%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point51°
Thu, 0889° / 57°0
89 °
Vance, Thursday, 8 October
Clear. High 89°, low 57°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind7.4 mph NE
Humidity50%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point63°
Fri, 0990° / 62°0
90 °
Vance, Friday, 9 October
Clear. High 90°, low 62°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind3.9 mph SE
Humidity39%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point57°
Sat, 1076° / 63°1.14
76 °
Vance, Saturday, 10 October
Heavy rain. High 76°, low 63°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind8.2 mph NE
Humidity56%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point59°
Sun, 1182° / 62°0.2
82 °
Vance, Sunday, 11 October
Rain. High 82°, low 62°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind15.7 mph N
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point57°
Mon, 1289° / 63°0
89 °
Vance, Monday, 12 October
Clear. High 89°, low 63°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind7.9 mph SW
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
Tue, 1394° / 67°0
94 °
Vance, Tuesday, 13 October
Clear. High 94°, low 67°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind8.7 mph SW
Humidity31%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Wed, 1496° / 72°0
96 °
Vance, Wednesday, 14 October
Clear. High 96°, low 72°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind13 mph SW
Humidity35%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
Thu, 1592° / 73°0.07
92 °
Vance, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 92°, low 73°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind23.1 mph SW
Humidity38%
Visibility—
Dew point61°
Fri, 1673° / 57°0
73 °
Vance, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 73°, low 57°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind17.1 mph N
Humidity15%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
Sat, 1772° / 49°0
72 °
Vance, Saturday, 17 October
Mostly clear. High 72°, low 49°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind18 mph NW
Humidity16%
Visibility—
Dew point21°
Sun, 1867° / 40°0
67 °
Vance, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 67°, low 40°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind7.3 mph N
Humidity29%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Mon, 1979° / 48°0
79 °
Vance, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 79°, low 48°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind8.9 mph SW
Humidity22%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Tue, 2081° / 53°0
81 °
Vance, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 81°, low 53°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind7 mph S
Humidity24%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Wed, 2181° / 54°0
81 °
Vance, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 81°, low 54°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind5.6 mph S
Humidity20%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Thu, 2271° / 53°0.11
71 °
Vance, Thursday, 22 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high71°
Average low53°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high84° (1963)
Record low39° (2018)
Fri, 2370° / 53°0.1
70 °
Vance, Friday, 23 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high70°
Average low53°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high84° (2024)
Record low37° (2006)
Sat, 2468° / 53°0.08
68 °
Vance, Saturday, 24 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high68°
Average low53°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high83° (2023)
Record low33° (1981)
Sun, 2568° / 52°0.11
68 °
Vance, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high68°
Average low52°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high84° (2024)
Record low37° (1981)
Mon, 2668° / 52°0.11
68 °
Vance, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high68°
Average low52°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high84° (2014)
Record low37° (1990)
Tue, 2767° / 51°0.16
67 °
Vance, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high67°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high83° (1963)
Record low40° (2001)
Wed, 2866° / 50°0.15
66 °
Vance, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high66°
Average low50°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high82° (1971)
Record low35° (2017)
Thu, 2967° / 50°0.13
67 °
Vance, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high67°
Average low50°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high83° (1971)
Record low32° (2017)
Fri, 3068° / 51°0.14
68 °
Vance, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high68°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high83° (2016)
Record low33° (1980)
Sat, 3168° / 52°0.19
68 °
Vance, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high68°
Average low52°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high83° (2016)
Record low30° (1993)
Sun, 0166° / 51°0.18
66 °
Vance, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high66°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high82° (2000)
Record low29° (1993)
Mon, 0265° / 49°0.1
65 °
Vance, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high80° (2016)
Record low34° (1966)
Tue, 0364° / 48°0.1
64 °
Vance, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high83° (2016)
Record low27° (1966)
Wed, 0464° / 49°0.09
64 °
Vance, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high80° (2024)
Record low23° (1991)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Vance, AR are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Vance, AR since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.