Weather in Chapel Hill, AR
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 31 October, 18:29
Fog. Feels like 67°. High 69°, low 63°.
Monthly outlook for Chapel Hill, AR: average high 69.8°, average low 53.5°. That is 3.2° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 1.8 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 2.3 inches. The warmest day looks like 2 November (80.8°), the coolest 15 November (38.5°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 October – 9 November | 73° | 65.2° | +4.4° |
| 10 November – 19 November | 64.4° | 61.6° | +1.6° |
| 20 November – 29 November | at normal | 58° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Gillham (10 mi).
0.03
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 76°, low 60°.
0
Chapel Hill, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 81°, low 62°.
1.01Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 3 November
Heavy rain. High 74°, low 62°.
0
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 4 November
Mostly clear. High 72°, low 54°.
0
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 5 November
Clear. High 75°, low 54°.
0.04Chapel Hill, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 76°, low 54°.
0Chapel Hill, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 72°, low 55°.
0Chapel Hill, Sunday, 8 November
Overcast. High 65°, low 51°.
0Chapel Hill, Monday, 9 November
Clear. High 70°, low 47°.
0Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 10 November
Overcast. High 74°, low 49°.
0.07Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 11 November
Light rain. High 78°, low 52°.
0.42Chapel Hill, Thursday, 12 November
Light rain. High 70°, low 61°.
0Chapel Hill, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 71°, low 51°.
0Chapel Hill, Saturday, 14 November
Overcast. High 48°, low 43°.
0Chapel Hill, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 46°, low 38°.
0.19
Chapel Hill, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Chapel Hill, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Chapel Hill, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Chapel Hill, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Chapel Hill, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19
Chapel Hill, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.29Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.23Chapel Hill, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.22Chapel Hill, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Chapel Hill, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Chapel Hill, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chapel Hill, AR are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chapel Hill, AR since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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