Monthly outlook for Chapel Hill, AR: average high 77.6°, average low 57.1°. That is 7.8° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.9 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 2.2 inches. The warmest day looks like 15 November (87.6°), the coolest 7 November (50°).
77.6°/57.1°
Average high / low
+7.8°
Above normal
2 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.9 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
1 November – 10 November
75.6°
64.8°
+6°
11 November – 20 November
81°
61.3°
+11°
21 November – 30 November
at normal
57.5°
—
November records over 66 years
84.4°18 November 2025All-time high
20.1°12 November 2019All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Gillham (10 mi).
Mon, 0280° / 66°0.08
80 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 80°, low 66°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind9.4 mph S
Humidity96%
Visibility5.7 mi
Dew point70°
Tue, 0374° / 59°0.77
74 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 3 November
Heavy rain. High 74°, low 59°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind10.6 mph SW
Humidity97%
Visibility5.8 mi
Dew point69°
Wed, 0471° / 53°0
71 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 4 November
Partly cloudy. High 71°, low 53°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind6.6 mph W
Humidity46%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point47°
Thu, 0575° / 52°0
75 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 5 November
Partly cloudy. High 75°, low 52°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind6.2 mph SW
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Fri, 0669° / 53°0
69 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 6 November
Clear. High 69°, low 53°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind8 mph N
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Sat, 0773° / 50°0
73 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 7 November
Overcast. High 73°, low 50°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind4.6 mph W
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Sun, 0878° / 51°0
78 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 78°, low 51°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind5.6 mph W
Humidity30%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Mon, 0979° / 52°0
79 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 9 November
Clear. High 79°, low 52°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind5.5 mph SW
Humidity29%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Tue, 1079° / 56°0
79 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 10 November
Overcast. High 79°, low 56°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind9.3 mph S
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Wed, 1179° / 57°0
79 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 11 November
Overcast. High 79°, low 57°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind5.6 mph NW
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Thu, 1279° / 57°0
79 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 12 November
Clear. High 79°, low 57°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind5.9 mph NE
Humidity36%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Fri, 1377° / 52°0
77 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 77°, low 52°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind6.6 mph S
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Sat, 1482° / 60°0
82 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 14 November
Partly cloudy. High 82°, low 60°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind12.9 mph SW
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point59°
Sun, 1588° / 67°0
88 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 15 November
Clear. High 88°, low 67°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind14.5 mph SW
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Mon, 1681° / 63°0
81 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 16 November
Mostly clear. High 81°, low 63°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind13.6 mph SW
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 1762° / 45°0.15
62 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high78° (2013)
Record low28° (2014)
Wed, 1861° / 46°0.19
61 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high84° (2025)
Record low24° (2014)
Thu, 1961° / 46°0.17
61 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high82° (2025)
Record low31° (1980)
Fri, 2060° / 46°0.12
60 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high72° (2012)
Record low29° (2022)
Sat, 2160° / 45°0.11
60 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high76° (2025)
Record low29° (1964)
Sun, 2259° / 44°0.16
59 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high71° (1966)
Record low25° (1964)
Mon, 2358° / 44°0.19
58 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high71° (1973)
Record low28° (1972)
Tue, 2458° / 43°0.29
58 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.29 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high73° (1965)
Record low24° (1970)
Wed, 2558° / 42°0.15
58 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high72° (1965)
Record low27° (1975)
Thu, 2658° / 44°0.23
58 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.23 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high77° (1965)
Record low25° (1993)
Fri, 2758° / 42°0.22
58 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.22 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high73° (1989)
Record low25° (1975)
Sat, 2854° / 40°0.14
54 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high71° (1998)
Record low26° (1976)
Sun, 2956° / 41°0.17
56 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high73° (2022)
Record low21° (1976)
Mon, 3055° / 40°0.18
55 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high70° (1970)
Record low24° (1976)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chapel Hill, AR are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chapel Hill, AR since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.