Monthly outlook for Chapel Hill, AR: average high 77.5°, average low 54.8°. That is 5.9° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.6 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.4 inches. The warmest day looks like 24 October (83.7°), the coolest 25 October (45.3°).
77.5°/54.8°
Average high / low
+5.9°
Above normal
2 / 5
Wet days / normal
0.6 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
24 October – 2 November
78.3°
68°
+5.7°
3 November – 12 November
76.1°
64°
+6.7°
13 November – 22 November
at normal
60.8°
—
October records over 66 years
93.9°8 October 1963All-time high
28.9°31 October 1993All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Gillham (10 mi).
Sun, 2580° / 45°0
80 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 80°, low 45°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind4.9 mph SE
Humidity38%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point48°
Mon, 2678° / 49°0
78 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 78°, low 49°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind4.6 mph SE
Humidity41%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point48°
Tue, 2778° / 56°0
78 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 78°, low 56°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind3.4 mph SE
Humidity39%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point47°
Wed, 2882° / 56°0
82 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 28 October
Clear. High 82°, low 56°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind4.7 mph S
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Thu, 2983° / 59°0
83 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 83°, low 59°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind5.8 mph E
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Fri, 3080° / 60°0
80 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 80°, low 60°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind7 mph SE
Humidity23%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Sat, 3176° / 60°0
76 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 76°, low 60°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind7.7 mph S
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Sun, 0173° / 64°0.47
73 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 1 November
Rain. High 73°, low 64°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind11.2 mph SW
Humidity90%
Visibility—
Dew point67°
Mon, 0269° / 56°0
69 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 2 November
Mostly clear. High 69°, low 56°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind13.9 mph NW
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Tue, 0375° / 47°0
75 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 3 November
Clear. High 75°, low 47°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind10.6 mph NW
Humidity17%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Wed, 0474° / 47°0
74 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 4 November
Partly cloudy. High 74°, low 47°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind8.1 mph S
Humidity23%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Thu, 0576° / 46°0
76 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 5 November
Clear. High 76°, low 46°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind9.8 mph S
Humidity24%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Fri, 0675° / 54°0
75 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 6 November
Overcast. High 75°, low 54°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind10.9 mph S
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Sat, 0776° / 65°0.15
76 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 76°, low 65°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind10.4 mph S
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
Sun, 0881° / 61°0.03
81 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 81°, low 61°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind7.2 mph N
Humidity32%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 0964° / 49°0.13
64 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high79° (2022)
Record low26° (1991)
Tue, 1064° / 48°0.12
64 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high77° (1963)
Record low27° (2018)
Wed, 1163° / 46°0.13
63 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high76° (1969)
Record low31° (1960)
Thu, 1261° / 45°0.1
61 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high74° (1978)
Record low20° (2019)
Fri, 1361° / 45°0.09
61 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high78° (2007)
Record low21° (2019)
Sat, 1462° / 46°0.1
62 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high79° (2025)
Record low27° (2014)
Sun, 1561° / 46°0.19
61 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high80° (2025)
Record low26° (2018)
Mon, 1661° / 45°0.19
61 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high78° (2016)
Record low28° (1970)
Tue, 1762° / 45°0.15
62 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high78° (2013)
Record low28° (2014)
Wed, 1861° / 46°0.19
61 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high84° (2025)
Record low24° (2014)
Thu, 1961° / 46°0.17
61 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high82° (2025)
Record low31° (1980)
Fri, 2060° / 46°0.12
60 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high72° (2012)
Record low29° (2022)
Sat, 2160° / 45°0.11
60 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high76° (2025)
Record low29° (1964)
Sun, 2259° / 44°0.16
59 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high71° (1966)
Record low25° (1964)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chapel Hill, AR are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chapel Hill, AR since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.