Monthly outlook for Chapel Hill, AR: average high 76.8°, average low 54.5°. That is 4.9° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 6.4 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.5 inches. The warmest day looks like 30 October (84.7°), the coolest 4 November (45.8°).
76.8°/54.5°
Average high / low
+4.9°
Above normal
2 / 5
Wet days / normal
6.4 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
21 October – 30 October
81.6°
69.5°
+6.7°
31 October – 9 November
68.9°
65.2°
+2°
10 November – 19 November
at normal
61.6°
—
October records over 66 years
93.9°8 October 1963All-time high
28.9°31 October 1993All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Gillham (10 mi).
Thu, 2282° / 47°0
82 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 82°, low 47°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind3.2 mph E
Humidity29%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point43°
Fri, 2381° / 49°0
81 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 81°, low 49°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind6 mph E
Humidity32%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point45°
Sat, 2483° / 57°0
83 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 83°, low 57°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind5.1 mph SE
Humidity33%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point47°
Sun, 2579° / 58°0
79 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 25 October
Partly cloudy. High 79°, low 58°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind6.7 mph E
Humidity29%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Mon, 2680° / 57°0
80 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 80°, low 57°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind5.2 mph NE
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Tue, 2780° / 60°0
80 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 80°, low 60°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind4.2 mph W
Humidity26%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Wed, 2884° / 56°0
84 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 28 October
Clear. High 84°, low 56°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind5.5 mph S
Humidity35%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Thu, 2984° / 61°0
84 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 84°, low 61°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind4.3 mph SW
Humidity30%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Fri, 3085° / 60°0
85 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 85°, low 60°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind6 mph S
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Sat, 3173° / 62°0.94
73 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 31 October
Heavy rain. High 73°, low 62°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind9.8 mph S
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Sun, 0173° / 63°5.39
73 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 1 November
Heavy rain. High 73°, low 63°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind9.4 mph SW
Humidity98%
Visibility—
Dew point69°
Mon, 0264° / 52°0.03
64 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 64°, low 52°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind13.4 mph NW
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Tue, 0367° / 49°0
67 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 3 November
Mostly clear. High 67°, low 49°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind12 mph NW
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Wed, 0465° / 46°0
65 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 4 November
Overcast. High 65°, low 46°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind10.1 mph W
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Thu, 0572° / 46°0
72 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 5 November
Mostly clear. High 72°, low 46°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind7.8 mph SW
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 0665° / 48°0.14
65 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high77° (2023)
Record low33° (1993)
Sat, 0765° / 49°0.1
65 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high80° (2005)
Record low28° (1993)
Sun, 0864° / 49°0.09
64 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high80° (2023)
Record low28° (1991)
Mon, 0964° / 49°0.13
64 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high79° (2022)
Record low26° (1991)
Tue, 1064° / 48°0.12
64 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high77° (1963)
Record low27° (2018)
Wed, 1163° / 46°0.13
63 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high76° (1969)
Record low31° (1960)
Thu, 1261° / 45°0.1
61 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high74° (1978)
Record low20° (2019)
Fri, 1361° / 45°0.09
61 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high78° (2007)
Record low21° (2019)
Sat, 1462° / 46°0.1
62 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high79° (2025)
Record low27° (2014)
Sun, 1561° / 46°0.19
61 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high80° (2025)
Record low26° (2018)
Mon, 1661° / 45°0.19
61 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high78° (2016)
Record low28° (1970)
Tue, 1762° / 45°0.15
62 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high78° (2013)
Record low28° (2014)
Wed, 1861° / 46°0.19
61 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high84° (2025)
Record low24° (2014)
Thu, 1961° / 46°0.17
61 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high82° (2025)
Record low31° (1980)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chapel Hill, AR are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chapel Hill, AR since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.