Weather in Chapel Hill, AR
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 21 October, 07:07
Clear. Feels like 43°. High 81°, low 43°.
Monthly outlook for Chapel Hill, AR: average high 74.9°, average low 56.4°. That is 3.8° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 5.9 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.5 inches. The warmest day looks like 24 October (84.1°), the coolest 21 October (42.5°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 October – 30 October | 76.5° | 69.5° | +3.9° |
| 31 October – 9 November | 72° | 65.2° | +3.8° |
| 10 November – 19 November | at normal | 61.6° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Gillham (10 mi).
0
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 83°, low 49°.
0
Chapel Hill, Friday, 23 October
Partly cloudy. High 82°, low 58°.
0Chapel Hill, Saturday, 24 October
Partly cloudy. High 84°, low 58°.
0
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 80°, low 59°.
0Chapel Hill, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 79°, low 60°.
0Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 71°, low 59°.
0Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 28 October
Partly cloudy. High 76°, low 55°.
0.01
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 72°, low 58°.
0.31Chapel Hill, Friday, 30 October
Rain. High 57°, low 50°.
1.08Chapel Hill, Saturday, 31 October
Rain. High 58°, low 50°.
0.46Chapel Hill, Sunday, 1 November
Rain. High 71°, low 54°.
0Chapel Hill, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 78°, low 64°.
0.89Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 3 November
Rain. High 76°, low 64°.
3.1Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 4 November
Heavy rain. High 72°, low 63°.
0Chapel Hill, Thursday, 5 November
Partly cloudy. High 78°, low 61°.
0.14Chapel Hill, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Chapel Hill, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Chapel Hill, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13
Chapel Hill, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Chapel Hill, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Chapel Hill, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Chapel Hill, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19Chapel Hill, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19Chapel Hill, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Chapel Hill, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chapel Hill, AR are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chapel Hill, AR since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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