Monthly outlook for Chapel Hill, AR: average high 56.1°, average low 38.4°. That is 1.9° below the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 1.6 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 20 November (74.3°), the coolest 24 November (20.8°).
56.1°/38.4°
Average high / low
−1.9°
Below normal
2 / 5
Wet days / normal
1.6 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
13 November – 22 November
61.8°
60.8°
+0.6°
23 November – 2 December
46.4°
56.8°
-5.8°
3 December – 12 December
at normal
53.9°
—
November records over 66 years
84.4°18 November 2025All-time high
20.1°12 November 2019All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Gillham (10 mi).
Sat, 1458° / 36°0.04
58 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 14 November
Light rain. High 58°, low 36°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind8.1 mph E
Humidity45%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point31°
Sun, 1546° / 42°0.81
46 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 15 November
Rain. High 46°, low 42°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind10.7 mph E
Humidity97%
Visibility2.6 mi
Dew point44°
Mon, 1659° / 45°0.01
59 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 16 November
Light rain. High 59°, low 45°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind6.9 mph E
Humidity47%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Tue, 1762° / 42°0
62 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 62°, low 42°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind7.7 mph E
Humidity46%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point39°
Wed, 1867° / 45°0
67 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 18 November
Mostly clear. High 67°, low 45°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind7.1 mph E
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Thu, 1966° / 53°0
66 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 19 November
Overcast. High 66°, low 53°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind6.2 mph E
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Fri, 2074° / 52°0
74 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 20 November
Partly cloudy. High 74°, low 52°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind8.2 mph S
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Sat, 2168° / 54°0.02
68 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 21 November
Light rain. High 68°, low 54°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind9.8 mph N
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Sun, 2256° / 40°0
56 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 22 November
Overcast. High 56°, low 40°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind9.1 mph N
Humidity25%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
Mon, 2348° / 32°0
48 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 23 November
Clear. High 48°, low 32°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind11.6 mph N
Humidity24%
Visibility—
Dew point11°
Tue, 2441° / 21°0
41 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 24 November
Partly cloudy. High 41°, low 21°.
Pressure30.65 inHg
Wind6.4 mph NE
Humidity18%
Visibility—
Dew point-4°
Wed, 2543° / 24°0
43 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 25 November
Overcast. High 43°, low 24°.
Pressure30.68 inHg
Wind5 mph E
Humidity19%
Visibility—
Dew point-1°
Thu, 2648° / 22°0
48 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 26 November
Clear. High 48°, low 22°.
Pressure30.56 inHg
Wind4.9 mph S
Humidity19%
Visibility—
Dew point3°
Fri, 2755° / 26°0
55 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 27 November
Clear. High 55°, low 26°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind6.9 mph SE
Humidity20%
Visibility—
Dew point8°
Sat, 2844° / 38°0.73
44 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 28 November
Rain. High 44°, low 38°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind6 mph E
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 2956° / 41°0.17
56 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high73° (2022)
Record low21° (1976)
Mon, 3055° / 40°0.18
55 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high70° (1970)
Record low24° (1976)
Tue, 0156° / 40°0.06
56 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high71° (2012)
Record low25° (2006)
Wed, 0256° / 41°0.13
56 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high74° (2012)
Record low22° (1985)
Thu, 0357° / 41°0.25
57 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.25 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high73° (2012)
Record low25° (1985)
Fri, 0455° / 40°0.14
55 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high69° (1998)
Record low26° (2006)
Sat, 0555° / 40°0.15
55 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high73° (1998)
Record low26° (2009)
Sun, 0654° / 40°0.17
54 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high72° (2022)
Record low24° (1972)
Mon, 0753° / 39°0.09
53 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high73° (1966)
Record low24° (1972)
Tue, 0854° / 39°0.17
54 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high71° (2007)
Record low23° (2006)
Wed, 0955° / 39°0.16
55 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high71° (2021)
Record low18° (2005)
Thu, 1053° / 38°0.12
53 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high73° (2021)
Record low20° (1995)
Fri, 1153° / 37°0.15
53 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high70° (1996)
Record low24° (1962)
Sat, 1253° / 38°0.17
53 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 12 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high70° (1996)
Record low14° (1962)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chapel Hill, AR are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chapel Hill, AR since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.