Monthly outlook for Chapel Hill, AR: average high 70.5°, average low 54.8°. That is 3.4° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 1.3 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.3 inches. The warmest day looks like 1 November (80.4°), the coolest 12 November (41.4°).
70.5°/54.8°
Average high / low
+3.4°
Above normal
4 / 5
Wet days / normal
1.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
30 October – 8 November
73.6°
65.6°
+4.5°
9 November – 18 November
65.2°
61.9°
+1.8°
19 November – 28 November
at normal
58.5°
—
October records over 66 years
93.9°8 October 1963All-time high
28.9°31 October 1993All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Gillham (10 mi).
Sat, 3177° / 58°0.04
77 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 31 October
Light rain. High 77°, low 58°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind5.6 mph E
Humidity73%
Visibility4.3 mi
Dew point61°
Sun, 0180° / 61°0
80 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 80°, low 61°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind5.2 mph NE
Humidity58%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point62°
Mon, 0274° / 64°0.11
74 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 74°, low 64°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind9.3 mph SE
Humidity97%
Visibility3.8 mi
Dew point68°
Tue, 0375° / 64°0.5
75 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 3 November
Rain. High 75°, low 64°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind7.9 mph S
Humidity99%
Visibility4.2 mi
Dew point68°
Wed, 0464° / 58°0
64 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 4 November
Overcast. High 64°, low 58°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind11.9 mph NW
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Thu, 0576° / 52°0
76 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 5 November
Clear. High 76°, low 52°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind6.6 mph NW
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Fri, 0677° / 54°0
77 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 6 November
Partly cloudy. High 77°, low 54°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind2.7 mph S
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Sat, 0776° / 55°0
76 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 7 November
Overcast. High 76°, low 55°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind10.3 mph E
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Sun, 0861° / 57°0.27
61 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 8 November
Rain. High 61°, low 57°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind17.7 mph E
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Mon, 0968° / 56°0.3
68 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 9 November
Rain. High 68°, low 56°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind8.8 mph S
Humidity88%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
Tue, 1060° / 51°0
60 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 10 November
Overcast. High 60°, low 51°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind10.4 mph NW
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Wed, 1162° / 43°0
62 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 11 November
Partly cloudy. High 62°, low 43°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind7.1 mph N
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Thu, 1268° / 41°0.02
68 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 12 November
Light rain. High 68°, low 41°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind10.4 mph S
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Fri, 1371° / 54°0.02
71 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 13 November
Light rain. High 71°, low 54°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind6.8 mph S
Humidity33%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Sat, 1462° / 48°0
62 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 14 November
Clear. High 62°, low 48°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind12.5 mph NW
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 1561° / 46°0.19
61 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high80° (2025)
Record low26° (2018)
Mon, 1661° / 45°0.19
61 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high78° (2016)
Record low28° (1970)
Tue, 1762° / 45°0.15
62 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high78° (2013)
Record low28° (2014)
Wed, 1861° / 46°0.19
61 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high84° (2025)
Record low24° (2014)
Thu, 1961° / 46°0.17
61 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high82° (2025)
Record low31° (1980)
Fri, 2060° / 46°0.12
60 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high72° (2012)
Record low29° (2022)
Sat, 2160° / 45°0.11
60 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high76° (2025)
Record low29° (1964)
Sun, 2259° / 44°0.16
59 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high71° (1966)
Record low25° (1964)
Mon, 2358° / 44°0.19
58 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high71° (1973)
Record low28° (1972)
Tue, 2458° / 43°0.29
58 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.29 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high73° (1965)
Record low24° (1970)
Wed, 2558° / 42°0.15
58 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high72° (1965)
Record low27° (1975)
Thu, 2658° / 44°0.23
58 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.23 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high77° (1965)
Record low25° (1993)
Fri, 2758° / 42°0.22
58 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.22 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high73° (1989)
Record low25° (1975)
Sat, 2854° / 40°0.14
54 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high71° (1998)
Record low26° (1976)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chapel Hill, AR are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chapel Hill, AR since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.