As of 05:16 EDT

Weather in Commonwealth, VA

57°

Commonwealth, Thursday, 8 October, 05:16

Clear. Feels like 56°. High 79°, low 54°.

Pressure29.88 inHg

Wind3.4 mph W

Humidity92%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point54°

See detailed hourly forecast

Monthly outlook for Commonwealth, VA: average high 73.6°, average low 55.2°. That is 3.3° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 1.1 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 20 October (83.5°), the coolest 15 October (46.6°).

73.6°/55.2°

Average high / low

+3.3°

Above normal

5 / 4

Wet days / normal

1.1 in

Precipitation this month

Ten-day blocks vs climate normal

Period	Forecast high	Normal	Difference
8 October – 17 October	74.8°	68.9°	+3.3°
18 October – 27 October	71.6°	65°	+3.7°
28 October – 6 November	at normal	62.4°	—

October records over 66 years

97.3°3 October 2019All-time high

28.8°27 October 1962All-time low

Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Charlottesville (3 mi).

Fri, 0977° / 47°

77 °

Commonwealth, Friday, 9 October

Overcast. High 77°, low 47°.

Pressure30.21 inHg

Wind4 mph S

Humidity38%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point46°

Sat, 1070° / 58°

0.08

70 °

Commonwealth, Saturday, 10 October

Rain. High 70°, low 58°.

Pressure30.45 inHg

Wind5.2 mph NE

Humidity51%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point49°

Sun, 1166° / 57°

0.7

66 °

Commonwealth, Sunday, 11 October

Rain. High 66°, low 57°.

Pressure30.24 inHg

Wind7.5 mph E

Humidity97%

Visibility2.5 mi

Dew point62°

Mon, 1273° / 63°

0.15

73 °

Commonwealth, Monday, 12 October

Light rain. High 73°, low 63°.

Pressure29.80 inHg

Wind4.9 mph NE

Humidity89%

Visibility—

Dew point65°

Tue, 1380° / 60°

0.01

80 °

Commonwealth, Tuesday, 13 October

Light rain. High 80°, low 60°.

Pressure29.80 inHg

Wind7.4 mph NE

Humidity52%

Visibility—

Dew point58°

Wed, 1470° / 48°

70 °

Commonwealth, Wednesday, 14 October

Clear. High 70°, low 48°.

Pressure30.09 inHg

Wind7.6 mph N

Humidity44%

Visibility—

Dew point38°

Thu, 1572° / 47°

72 °

Commonwealth, Thursday, 15 October

Clear. High 72°, low 47°.

Pressure30.30 inHg

Wind7.8 mph S

Humidity51%

Visibility—

Dew point41°

Fri, 1681° / 52°

81 °

Commonwealth, Friday, 16 October

Clear. High 81°, low 52°.

Pressure30.24 inHg

Wind8.3 mph S

Humidity52%

Visibility—

Dew point49°

Sat, 1779° / 55°

79 °

Commonwealth, Saturday, 17 October

Clear. High 79°, low 55°.

Pressure30.18 inHg

Wind10 mph NE

Humidity58%

Visibility—

Dew point61°

Sun, 1861° / 48°

61 °

Commonwealth, Sunday, 18 October

Overcast. High 61°, low 48°.

Pressure30.42 inHg

Wind4.7 mph NE

Humidity54%

Visibility—

Dew point38°

Mon, 1977° / 52°

77 °

Commonwealth, Monday, 19 October

Partly cloudy. High 77°, low 52°.

Pressure30.27 inHg

Wind3.6 mph S

Humidity55%

Visibility—

Dew point50°

Tue, 2083° / 61°

0.06

83 °

Commonwealth, Tuesday, 20 October

Light rain. High 83°, low 61°.

Pressure30.12 inHg

Wind3.8 mph N

Humidity58%

Visibility—

Dew point58°

Wed, 2170° / 63°

0.06

70 °

Commonwealth, Wednesday, 21 October

Light rain. High 70°, low 63°.

Pressure29.94 inHg

Wind3.9 mph E

Humidity89%

Visibility—

Dew point63°

Thu, 2266° / 59°

0.01

66 °

Commonwealth, Thursday, 22 October

Light rain. High 66°, low 59°.

Pressure30.00 inHg

Wind4 mph E

Humidity81%

Visibility—

Dew point56°

Fri, 2372° / 58°

72 °

Commonwealth, Friday, 23 October

Partly cloudy. High 72°, low 58°.

Pressure30.18 inHg

Wind4.4 mph SE

Humidity66%

Visibility—

Dew point54°

From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics

Sat, 2465° / 47°

0.06

65 °

Commonwealth, Saturday, 24 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high65°

Average low47°

Average precipitation0.06 in

Chance of precipitation23%

Record high81° (2012)

Record low31° (1969)

Sun, 2564° / 47°

0.19

64 °

Commonwealth, Sunday, 25 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high64°

Average low47°

Average precipitation0.19 in

Chance of precipitation30%

Record high78° (2021)

Record low33° (2006)

Mon, 2663° / 47°

0.14

63 °

Commonwealth, Monday, 26 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high63°

Average low47°

Average precipitation0.14 in

Chance of precipitation23%

Record high80° (2023)

Record low31° (1962)

Tue, 2764° / 46°

0.14

64 °

Commonwealth, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high64°

Average low46°

Average precipitation0.14 in

Chance of precipitation28%

Record high80° (2023)

Record low29° (1962)

Wed, 2864° / 47°

0.1

64 °

Commonwealth, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high64°

Average low47°

Average precipitation0.1 in

Chance of precipitation22%

Record high84° (2023)

Record low31° (1976)

Thu, 2963° / 45°

0.2

63 °

Commonwealth, Thursday, 29 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high63°

Average low45°

Average precipitation0.2 in

Chance of precipitation20%

Record high85° (2023)

Record low29° (1976)

Fri, 3062° / 43°

0.11

62 °

Commonwealth, Friday, 30 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high62°

Average low43°

Average precipitation0.11 in

Chance of precipitation25%

Record high81° (2023)

Record low30° (2011)

Sat, 3164° / 45°

0.05

64 °

Commonwealth, Saturday, 31 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high64°

Average low45°

Average precipitation0.05 in

Chance of precipitation18%

Record high78° (1974)

Record low32° (1968)

Sun, 0164° / 46°

0.13

64 °

Commonwealth, Sunday, 1 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high64°

Average low46°

Average precipitation0.13 in

Chance of precipitation27%

Record high82° (1974)

Record low33° (1962)

Mon, 0263° / 46°

0.14

63 °

Commonwealth, Monday, 2 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high63°

Average low46°

Average precipitation0.14 in

Chance of precipitation28%

Record high81° (1974)

Record low28° (2023)

Tue, 0363° / 44°

0.06

63 °

Commonwealth, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high63°

Average low44°

Average precipitation0.06 in

Chance of precipitation25%

Record high79° (2016)

Record low30° (2023)

Wed, 0460° / 43°

0.17

60 °

Commonwealth, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high60°

Average low43°

Average precipitation0.17 in

Chance of precipitation27%

Record high80° (1974)

Record low27° (2006)

Thu, 0560° / 43°

0.09

60 °

Commonwealth, Thursday, 5 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high60°

Average low43°

Average precipitation0.09 in

Chance of precipitation23%

Record high78° (1975)

Record low28° (1991)

Fri, 0660° / 43°

0.07

60 °

Commonwealth, Friday, 6 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high60°

Average low43°

Average precipitation0.07 in

Chance of precipitation18%

Record high81° (2024)

Record low27° (1967)

About the monthly outlook

How accurate is a 30-day forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Commonwealth, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above normal" mean?

We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

They are real temperature extremes recorded in Commonwealth, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is it updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.