As of 13:16 EDT

Weather in Commonwealth, VA

73°

Commonwealth, Friday, 9 October, 13:16

Overcast. Feels like 73°. High 74°, low 49°.

Pressure30.21 inHg

Wind0 mph N

Humidity62%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point58°

See detailed hourly forecast

Monthly outlook for Commonwealth, VA: average high 68°, average low 48.1°. That is 0.3° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 4.1 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 13 October (82.3°), the coolest 19 October (35.7°).

68°/48.1°

Average high / low

+0.3°

Above normal

6 / 4

Wet days / normal

4.1 in

Precipitation this month

Ten-day blocks vs climate normal

Period	Forecast high	Normal	Difference
9 October – 18 October	71.2°	68.6°	+1.4°
19 October – 28 October	62.7°	64.7°	-1.1°
29 October – 7 November	at normal	62°	—

October records over 66 years

97.3°3 October 2019All-time high

28.8°27 October 1962All-time low

Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Charlottesville (3 mi).

Sat, 1068° / 54°

0.55

68 °

Commonwealth, Saturday, 10 October

Rain. High 68°, low 54°.

Pressure30.39 inHg

Wind5.4 mph NE

Humidity54%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point49°

Sun, 1168° / 53°

1.27

68 °

Commonwealth, Sunday, 11 October

Heavy rain. High 68°, low 53°.

Pressure29.97 inHg

Wind8.1 mph NE

Humidity99%

Visibility2.8 mi

Dew point63°

Mon, 1276° / 58°

76 °

Commonwealth, Monday, 12 October

Mostly clear. High 76°, low 58°.

Pressure29.88 inHg

Wind10.8 mph NW

Humidity61%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point60°

Tue, 1382° / 55°

82 °

Commonwealth, Tuesday, 13 October

Clear. High 82°, low 55°.

Pressure29.85 inHg

Wind5.3 mph W

Humidity62%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point64°

Wed, 1479° / 63°

0.06

79 °

Commonwealth, Wednesday, 14 October

Light rain. High 79°, low 63°.

Pressure29.97 inHg

Wind5.9 mph W

Humidity71%

Visibility—

Dew point65°

Thu, 1567° / 51°

67 °

Commonwealth, Thursday, 15 October

Mostly clear. High 67°, low 51°.

Pressure30.27 inHg

Wind5.2 mph NE

Humidity56%

Visibility—

Dew point44°

Fri, 1679° / 58°

0.05

79 °

Commonwealth, Friday, 16 October

Light rain. High 79°, low 58°.

Pressure30.03 inHg

Wind10.9 mph SW

Humidity94%

Visibility—

Dew point59°

Sat, 1763° / 43°

0.01

63 °

Commonwealth, Saturday, 17 October

Light rain. High 63°, low 43°.

Pressure30.03 inHg

Wind13.7 mph NW

Humidity37%

Visibility—

Dew point31°

Sun, 1856° / 37°

56 °

Commonwealth, Sunday, 18 October

Clear. High 56°, low 37°.

Pressure30.36 inHg

Wind7.4 mph N

Humidity40%

Visibility—

Dew point25°

Mon, 1957° / 36°

57 °

Commonwealth, Monday, 19 October

Clear. High 57°, low 36°.

Pressure30.50 inHg

Wind4.2 mph S

Humidity44%

Visibility—

Dew point28°

Tue, 2065° / 39°

65 °

Commonwealth, Tuesday, 20 October

Clear. High 65°, low 39°.

Pressure30.47 inHg

Wind4.3 mph E

Humidity48%

Visibility—

Dew point35°

Wed, 2164° / 42°

64 °

Commonwealth, Wednesday, 21 October

Clear. High 64°, low 42°.

Pressure30.53 inHg

Wind4.2 mph E

Humidity56%

Visibility—

Dew point40°

Thu, 2265° / 44°

65 °

Commonwealth, Thursday, 22 October

Clear. High 65°, low 44°.

Pressure30.39 inHg

Wind5.1 mph S

Humidity63%

Visibility—

Dew point44°

Fri, 2367° / 47°

0.75

67 °

Commonwealth, Friday, 23 October

Rain. High 67°, low 47°.

Pressure30.12 inHg

Wind5.5 mph S

Humidity66%

Visibility—

Dew point48°

Sat, 2459° / 42°

1.38

59 °

Commonwealth, Saturday, 24 October

Rain. High 59°, low 42°.

Pressure29.77 inHg

Wind12 mph NW

Humidity92%

Visibility—

Dew point49°

From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics

Sun, 2564° / 47°

0.19

64 °

Commonwealth, Sunday, 25 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high64°

Average low47°

Average precipitation0.19 in

Chance of precipitation30%

Record high78° (2021)

Record low33° (2006)

Mon, 2663° / 47°

0.14

63 °

Commonwealth, Monday, 26 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high63°

Average low47°

Average precipitation0.14 in

Chance of precipitation23%

Record high80° (2023)

Record low31° (1962)

Tue, 2764° / 46°

0.14

64 °

Commonwealth, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high64°

Average low46°

Average precipitation0.14 in

Chance of precipitation28%

Record high80° (2023)

Record low29° (1962)

Wed, 2864° / 47°

0.1

64 °

Commonwealth, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high64°

Average low47°

Average precipitation0.1 in

Chance of precipitation22%

Record high84° (2023)

Record low31° (1976)

Thu, 2963° / 45°

0.2

63 °

Commonwealth, Thursday, 29 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high63°

Average low45°

Average precipitation0.2 in

Chance of precipitation20%

Record high85° (2023)

Record low29° (1976)

Fri, 3062° / 43°

0.11

62 °

Commonwealth, Friday, 30 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high62°

Average low43°

Average precipitation0.11 in

Chance of precipitation25%

Record high81° (2023)

Record low30° (2011)

Sat, 3164° / 45°

0.05

64 °

Commonwealth, Saturday, 31 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high64°

Average low45°

Average precipitation0.05 in

Chance of precipitation18%

Record high78° (1974)

Record low32° (1968)

Sun, 0164° / 46°

0.13

64 °

Commonwealth, Sunday, 1 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high64°

Average low46°

Average precipitation0.13 in

Chance of precipitation27%

Record high82° (1974)

Record low33° (1962)

Mon, 0263° / 46°

0.14

63 °

Commonwealth, Monday, 2 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high63°

Average low46°

Average precipitation0.14 in

Chance of precipitation28%

Record high81° (1974)

Record low28° (2023)

Tue, 0363° / 44°

0.06

63 °

Commonwealth, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high63°

Average low44°

Average precipitation0.06 in

Chance of precipitation25%

Record high79° (2016)

Record low30° (2023)

Wed, 0460° / 43°

0.17

60 °

Commonwealth, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high60°

Average low43°

Average precipitation0.17 in

Chance of precipitation27%

Record high80° (1974)

Record low27° (2006)

Thu, 0560° / 43°

0.09

60 °

Commonwealth, Thursday, 5 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high60°

Average low43°

Average precipitation0.09 in

Chance of precipitation23%

Record high78° (1975)

Record low28° (1991)

Fri, 0660° / 43°

0.07

60 °

Commonwealth, Friday, 6 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high60°

Average low43°

Average precipitation0.07 in

Chance of precipitation18%

Record high81° (2024)

Record low27° (1967)

Sat, 0760° / 42°

0.1

60 °

Commonwealth, Saturday, 7 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high60°

Average low42°

Average precipitation0.1 in

Chance of precipitation20%

Record high80° (2024)

Record low28° (1967)

About the monthly outlook

How accurate is a 30-day forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Commonwealth, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above normal" mean?

We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

They are real temperature extremes recorded in Commonwealth, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is it updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.