Monthly outlook for Shadow, VA: average high 68.4°, average low 59.1°. That is 0.2° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 1.7 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 8 October (80.3°), the coolest 7 October (48.7°).
68.4°/59.1°
Average high / low
+0.2°
Above normal
3 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.7 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
7 October – 16 October
71.7°
69.3°
+1.3°
17 October – 26 October
63°
65.7°
-1.5°
27 October – 5 November
at normal
63.2°
—
October records over 66 years
93.7°2 October 2019All-time high
35.8°27 October 1962All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Yorktown (14 mi).
Thu, 0880° / 55°0
80 °
Shadow, Thursday, 8 October
Clear. High 80°, low 55°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind6.8 mph SW
Humidity61%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point61°
Fri, 0973° / 60°0
73 °
Shadow, Friday, 9 October
Overcast. High 73°, low 60°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind2.7 mph E
Humidity47%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point52°
Sat, 1072° / 66°0
72 °
Shadow, Saturday, 10 October
Overcast. High 72°, low 66°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind10.1 mph SE
Humidity57%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point56°
Sun, 1174° / 70°1.46
74 °
Shadow, Sunday, 11 October
Heavy rain. High 74°, low 70°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind19.3 mph SE
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point68°
Mon, 1277° / 67°0.07
77 °
Shadow, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 77°, low 67°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind17.3 mph SW
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point65°
Tue, 1375° / 64°0.01
75 °
Shadow, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 75°, low 64°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind10.6 mph NW
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
Wed, 1468° / 59°0.14
68 °
Shadow, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 68°, low 59°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind20.6 mph N
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Thu, 1563° / 57°0
63 °
Shadow, Thursday, 15 October
Partly cloudy. High 63°, low 57°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind10.8 mph NE
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Fri, 1665° / 58°0
65 °
Shadow, Friday, 16 October
Clear. High 65°, low 58°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind9.8 mph NE
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Sat, 1763° / 59°0.03
63 °
Shadow, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 63°, low 59°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind17.1 mph N
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Sun, 1859° / 53°0
59 °
Shadow, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 59°, low 53°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind17 mph NW
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Mon, 1961° / 52°0
61 °
Shadow, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 61°, low 52°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind10 mph SE
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Tue, 2065° / 57°0
65 °
Shadow, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 65°, low 57°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind8.8 mph E
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Wed, 2165° / 59°0
65 °
Shadow, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 65°, low 59°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind10.7 mph NE
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Thu, 2265° / 60°0
65 °
Shadow, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 65°, low 60°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind8.1 mph NE
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 2365° / 55°0.09
65 °
Shadow, Friday, 23 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low55°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high82° (2007)
Record low43° (1969)
Sat, 2465° / 55°0.09
65 °
Shadow, Saturday, 24 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low55°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high80° (2020)
Record low40° (1969)
Sun, 2565° / 54°0.17
65 °
Shadow, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low54°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high76° (2021)
Record low42° (2006)
Mon, 2664° / 55°0.15
64 °
Shadow, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low55°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high79° (2023)
Record low38° (1962)
Tue, 2764° / 55°0.12
64 °
Shadow, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low55°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high81° (2010)
Record low36° (1962)
Wed, 2864° / 54°0.15
64 °
Shadow, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low54°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high82° (2023)
Record low39° (1976)
Thu, 2963° / 53°0.21
63 °
Shadow, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low53°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high83° (2023)
Record low38° (1976)
Fri, 3062° / 52°0.09
62 °
Shadow, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low52°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high83° (2023)
Record low39° (1965)
Sat, 3164° / 53°0.08
64 °
Shadow, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low53°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high81° (2019)
Record low41° (2008)
Sun, 0164° / 54°0.15
64 °
Shadow, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low54°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high77° (1974)
Record low41° (2023)
Mon, 0264° / 54°0.15
64 °
Shadow, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low54°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high78° (1971)
Record low37° (2023)
Tue, 0364° / 52°0.11
64 °
Shadow, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low52°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high78° (2017)
Record low38° (2023)
Wed, 0462° / 51°0.15
62 °
Shadow, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high76° (1974)
Record low37° (1966)
Thu, 0562° / 51°0.15
62 °
Shadow, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high76° (2003)
Record low38° (1991)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Shadow, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Shadow, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.