Monthly outlook for Warda, TX: average high 81.5°, average low 63.4°. That is 0.1° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 2.9 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 11 October (93°), the coolest 22 October (50.4°).
81.5°/63.4°
Average high / low
+0.1°
Above normal
3 / 4
Wet days / normal
2.9 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
7 October – 16 October
91.5°
82.4°
+5°
17 October – 26 October
65°
79°
-7.8°
27 October – 5 November
at normal
75.1°
—
October records over 66 years
98.4°13 October 2024All-time high
33.4°31 October 1993All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Smithville (15 mi).
Thu, 0892° / 65°0
92 °
Warda, Thursday, 8 October
Clear. High 92°, low 65°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind4.9 mph NE
Humidity47%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point65°
Fri, 0991° / 66°0
91 °
Warda, Friday, 9 October
Clear. High 91°, low 66°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind9.6 mph NE
Humidity29%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point51°
Sat, 1091° / 69°0
91 °
Warda, Saturday, 10 October
Clear. High 91°, low 69°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind4 mph NW
Humidity44%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point63°
Sun, 1193° / 71°0
93 °
Warda, Sunday, 11 October
Clear. High 93°, low 71°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind7.1 mph S
Humidity43%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point62°
Mon, 1293° / 70°0
93 °
Warda, Monday, 12 October
Clear. High 93°, low 70°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind10.7 mph S
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point63°
Tue, 1392° / 77°0
92 °
Warda, Tuesday, 13 October
Partly cloudy. High 92°, low 77°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind11.4 mph S
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point69°
Wed, 1492° / 74°0
92 °
Warda, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 92°, low 74°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind15.5 mph S
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point70°
Thu, 1593° / 76°0.03
93 °
Warda, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 93°, low 76°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind17.8 mph S
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point66°
Fri, 1687° / 63°1.4
87 °
Warda, Friday, 16 October
Heavy rain. High 87°, low 63°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind15.2 mph N
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point71°
Sat, 1761° / 52°1.33
61 °
Warda, Saturday, 17 October
Heavy rain. High 61°, low 52°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind20 mph N
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Sun, 1866° / 52°0
66 °
Warda, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 66°, low 52°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind14.3 mph NE
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Mon, 1970° / 52°0
70 °
Warda, Monday, 19 October
Overcast. High 70°, low 52°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind9.5 mph NE
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Tue, 2064° / 60°0.01
64 °
Warda, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 64°, low 60°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind11.5 mph N
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Wed, 2156° / 54°0.11
56 °
Warda, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 56°, low 54°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind17 mph N
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Thu, 2273° / 50°0
73 °
Warda, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 73°, low 50°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind11.8 mph SW
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 2378° / 61°0.12
78 °
Warda, Friday, 23 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high78°
Average low61°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high92° (2003)
Record low44° (1990)
Sat, 2478° / 61°0.13
78 °
Warda, Saturday, 24 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high78°
Average low61°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high90° (2024)
Record low46° (2008)
Sun, 2578° / 60°0.13
78 °
Warda, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high78°
Average low60°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high91° (2010)
Record low43° (2005)
Mon, 2678° / 60°0.08
78 °
Warda, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high78°
Average low60°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high90° (2024)
Record low45° (1965)
Tue, 2777° / 59°0.06
77 °
Warda, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high77°
Average low59°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high92° (1995)
Record low44° (2020)
Wed, 2876° / 59°0.08
76 °
Warda, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high76°
Average low59°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high89° (2024)
Record low42° (2020)
Thu, 2976° / 58°0.14
76 °
Warda, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high76°
Average low58°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high89° (2024)
Record low40° (2017)
Fri, 3076° / 58°0.17
76 °
Warda, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high76°
Average low58°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high93° (2024)
Record low38° (1980)
Sat, 3176° / 58°0.14
76 °
Warda, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high76°
Average low58°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high88° (2024)
Record low33° (1993)
Sun, 0175° / 57°0.1
75 °
Warda, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high75°
Average low57°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high87° (2010)
Record low33° (2019)
Mon, 0274° / 56°0.1
74 °
Warda, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high74°
Average low56°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high86° (2024)
Record low38° (2023)
Tue, 0373° / 55°0.11
73 °
Warda, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high73°
Average low55°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high90° (2024)
Record low37° (1991)
Wed, 0473° / 56°0.14
73 °
Warda, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high73°
Average low56°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high87° (1988)
Record low32° (1991)
Thu, 0574° / 55°0.11
74 °
Warda, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high74°
Average low55°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high89° (1963)
Record low34° (1991)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Warda, TX are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Warda, TX since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.