As of 17:21 CDT

Weather in Commerce, TX

88°

Commerce, Wednesday, 7 October, 17:21

Clear. Feels like 86°. High 88°, low 60°.

Pressure29.94 inHg

Wind2.9 mph SE

Humidity33%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point57°

See detailed hourly forecast

Monthly outlook for Commerce, TX: average high 83.8°, average low 64.5°. That is 4.3° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 2.0 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 2.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 14 October (91.2°), the coolest 19 October (55.7°).

83.8°/64.5°

Average high / low

+4.3°

Above normal

3 / 4

Wet days / normal

2.0 in

Precipitation this month

Ten-day blocks vs climate normal

Period	Forecast high	Normal	Difference
7 October – 16 October	87°	77.1°	+5.5°
17 October – 26 October	78.4°	73.5°	+2.7°
27 October – 5 November	at normal	69°	—

October records over 66 years

93.9°1 October 1977All-time high

29.7°31 October 1993All-time low

Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Cumby (8 mi).

Thu, 0889° / 62°

89 °

Commerce, Thursday, 8 October

Partly cloudy. High 89°, low 62°.

Pressure30.03 inHg

Wind4.9 mph E

Humidity56%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point63°

Fri, 0985° / 62°

85 °

Commerce, Friday, 9 October

Clear. High 85°, low 62°.

Pressure30.06 inHg

Wind5.7 mph E

Humidity53%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point63°

Sat, 1085° / 64°

85 °

Commerce, Saturday, 10 October

Clear. High 85°, low 64°.

Pressure29.97 inHg

Wind5.8 mph E

Humidity59%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point65°

Sun, 1186° / 64°

86 °

Commerce, Sunday, 11 October

Overcast. High 86°, low 64°.

Pressure29.97 inHg

Wind7.4 mph S

Humidity53%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point61°

Mon, 1285° / 67°

85 °

Commerce, Monday, 12 October

Partly cloudy. High 85°, low 67°.

Pressure29.97 inHg

Wind10.2 mph S

Humidity63%

Visibility—

Dew point66°

Tue, 1389° / 71°

89 °

Commerce, Tuesday, 13 October

Mostly clear. High 89°, low 71°.

Pressure29.94 inHg

Wind11.1 mph S

Humidity53%

Visibility—

Dew point67°

Wed, 1491° / 73°

91 °

Commerce, Wednesday, 14 October

Mostly clear. High 91°, low 73°.

Pressure29.88 inHg

Wind18.4 mph S

Humidity48%

Visibility—

Dew point65°

Thu, 1583° / 74°

83 °

Commerce, Thursday, 15 October

Overcast. High 83°, low 74°.

Pressure29.97 inHg

Wind18.9 mph S

Humidity69%

Visibility—

Dew point69°

Fri, 1691° / 72°

0.05

91 °

Commerce, Friday, 16 October

Light rain. High 91°, low 72°.

Pressure30.09 inHg

Wind14.3 mph NE

Humidity54%

Visibility—

Dew point66°

Sat, 1777° / 64°

0.04

77 °

Commerce, Saturday, 17 October

Light rain. High 77°, low 64°.

Pressure30.21 inHg

Wind16.1 mph NE

Humidity53%

Visibility—

Dew point54°

Sun, 1877° / 58°

77 °

Commerce, Sunday, 18 October

Overcast. High 77°, low 58°.

Pressure30.21 inHg

Wind13.8 mph E

Humidity32%

Visibility—

Dew point40°

Mon, 1981° / 56°

81 °

Commerce, Monday, 19 October

Partly cloudy. High 81°, low 56°.

Pressure30.24 inHg

Wind12.5 mph E

Humidity26%

Visibility—

Dew point37°

Tue, 2085° / 62°

85 °

Commerce, Tuesday, 20 October

Overcast. High 85°, low 62°.

Pressure30.21 inHg

Wind7.5 mph SE

Humidity33%

Visibility—

Dew point46°

Wed, 2180° / 64°

0.67

80 °

Commerce, Wednesday, 21 October

Rain. High 80°, low 64°.

Pressure30.03 inHg

Wind13.1 mph S

Humidity62%

Visibility—

Dew point64°

Thu, 2271° / 59°

1.26

71 °

Commerce, Thursday, 22 October

Heavy rain. High 71°, low 59°.

Pressure29.88 inHg

Wind15.3 mph N

Humidity75%

Visibility—

Dew point57°

From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics

Fri, 2372° / 57°

0.16

72 °

Commerce, Friday, 23 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high72°

Average low57°

Average precipitation0.16 in

Chance of precipitation27%

Record high88° (2024)

Record low43° (1982)

Sat, 2472° / 56°

0.13

72 °

Commerce, Saturday, 24 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high72°

Average low56°

Average precipitation0.13 in

Chance of precipitation22%

Record high89° (2003)

Record low40° (1982)

Sun, 2572° / 55°

0.17

72 °

Commerce, Sunday, 25 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high72°

Average low55°

Average precipitation0.17 in

Chance of precipitation40%

Record high86° (2024)

Record low40° (1982)

Mon, 2672° / 55°

0.13

72 °

Commerce, Monday, 26 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high72°

Average low55°

Average precipitation0.13 in

Chance of precipitation30%

Record high87° (2021)

Record low43° (1976)

Tue, 2771° / 55°

0.11

71 °

Commerce, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high71°

Average low55°

Average precipitation0.11 in

Chance of precipitation28%

Record high85° (2024)

Record low40° (1997)

Wed, 2870° / 54°

0.2

70 °

Commerce, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high70°

Average low54°

Average precipitation0.2 in

Chance of precipitation25%

Record high86° (2024)

Record low35° (2017)

Thu, 2971° / 54°

0.15

71 °

Commerce, Thursday, 29 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high71°

Average low54°

Average precipitation0.15 in

Chance of precipitation27%

Record high87° (2024)

Record low37° (2020)

Fri, 3070° / 54°

0.24

70 °

Commerce, Friday, 30 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high70°

Average low54°

Average precipitation0.24 in

Chance of precipitation37%

Record high85° (2003)

Record low35° (1993)

Sat, 3170° / 54°

0.17

70 °

Commerce, Saturday, 31 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high70°

Average low54°

Average precipitation0.17 in

Chance of precipitation28%

Record high85° (2003)

Record low30° (1993)

Sun, 0169° / 53°

0.14

69 °

Commerce, Sunday, 1 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high69°

Average low53°

Average precipitation0.14 in

Chance of precipitation28%

Record high83° (2003)

Record low32° (2019)

Mon, 0267° / 52°

0.09

67 °

Commerce, Monday, 2 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high67°

Average low52°

Average precipitation0.09 in

Chance of precipitation22%

Record high83° (2017)

Record low33° (1991)

Tue, 0367° / 51°

0.11

67 °

Commerce, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high67°

Average low51°

Average precipitation0.11 in

Chance of precipitation30%

Record high83° (1978)

Record low29° (1991)

Wed, 0467° / 51°

0.14

67 °

Commerce, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high67°

Average low51°

Average precipitation0.14 in

Chance of precipitation25%

Record high82° (1987)

Record low27° (1991)

Thu, 0568° / 51°

0.13

68 °

Commerce, Thursday, 5 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high68°

Average low51°

Average precipitation0.13 in

Chance of precipitation20%

Record high83° (2017)

Record low31° (1991)

About the monthly outlook

How accurate is a 30-day forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Commerce, TX are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above normal" mean?

We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

They are real temperature extremes recorded in Commerce, TX since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is it updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.