Weather in Swormville, NY
Swormville, Sunday, 15 November, 05:46
Overcast. Feels like 33°. High 42°, low 39°.
Monthly outlook for Swormville, NY: average high 50.1°, average low 39.2°. That is 3.4° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 0 days (about 0.1 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 21 November (58.7°), the coolest 24 November (26.6°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 November – 24 November | 49.6° | 44.7° | +2.7° |
| 25 November – 4 December | 51° | 41.7° | +5.2° |
| 5 December – 14 December | at normal | 37.3° | — |
November records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Amherst (4 mi).
0Swormville, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 45°, low 40°.
0
Swormville, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 52°, low 39°.
0
Swormville, Wednesday, 18 November
Partly cloudy. High 53°, low 43°.
0Swormville, Thursday, 19 November
Overcast. High 55°, low 45°.
0Swormville, Friday, 20 November
Partly cloudy. High 56°, low 46°.
0Swormville, Saturday, 21 November
Overcast. High 59°, low 44°.
0.01
Swormville, Sunday, 22 November
Light rain. High 55°, low 43°.
0.02
Swormville, Monday, 23 November
Light snow. High 40°, low 31°.
0Swormville, Tuesday, 24 November
Clear. High 39°, low 27°.
0Swormville, Wednesday, 25 November
Overcast. High 46°, low 31°.
0
Swormville, Thursday, 26 November
Mostly clear. High 51°, low 37°.
0Swormville, Friday, 27 November
Clear. High 54°, low 40°.
0Swormville, Saturday, 28 November
Mostly clear. High 55°, low 42°.
0Swormville, Sunday, 29 November
Clear. High 54°, low 42°.
0Swormville, Monday, 30 November
Overcast. High 46°, low 38°.
0.16Swormville, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Swormville, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11
Swormville, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Swormville, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Swormville, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Swormville, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Swormville, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05Swormville, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Swormville, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Swormville, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Swormville, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Swormville, Saturday, 12 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Swormville, Sunday, 13 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Swormville, Monday, 14 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Swormville, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Swormville, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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