Monthly outlook for Swormville, NY: average high 56.4°, average low 42.9°. That is 1.7° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 1.3 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 29 October (69°), the coolest 24 October (32°).
56.4°/42.9°
Average high / low
+1.7°
Above normal
5 / 7
Wet days / normal
1.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
23 October – 1 November
59.9°
54.5°
+3°
2 November – 11 November
50.7°
50.7°
+0°
12 November – 21 November
at normal
45.5°
—
October records over 66 years
82.9°5 October 2007All-time high
27°31 October 2020All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Amherst (4 mi).
Sat, 2461° / 32°0
61 °
Swormville, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 61°, low 32°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind2 mph SW
Humidity56%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Sun, 2562° / 42°0
62 °
Swormville, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 62°, low 42°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind6.1 mph SW
Humidity52%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point41°
Mon, 2658° / 46°0
58 °
Swormville, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 58°, low 46°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind6.4 mph NW
Humidity72%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point48°
Tue, 2749° / 36°0
49 °
Swormville, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 49°, low 36°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind7.4 mph NE
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Wed, 2857° / 35°0
57 °
Swormville, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 57°, low 35°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind6 mph E
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Thu, 2969° / 48°0
69 °
Swormville, Thursday, 29 October
Partly cloudy. High 69°, low 48°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind14.5 mph SW
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Fri, 3062° / 51°0.17
62 °
Swormville, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 62°, low 51°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind13.2 mph SW
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Sat, 3160° / 46°0
60 °
Swormville, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 60°, low 46°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind8.9 mph S
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Sun, 0162° / 58°0.22
62 °
Swormville, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 62°, low 58°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind15.9 mph S
Humidity89%
Visibility—
Dew point57°
Mon, 0260° / 52°0.08
60 °
Swormville, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 60°, low 52°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind8.1 mph N
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point57°
Tue, 0351° / 46°0.02
51 °
Swormville, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 51°, low 46°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind9 mph NE
Humidity89%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Wed, 0453° / 43°0.37
53 °
Swormville, Wednesday, 4 November
Rain. High 53°, low 43°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind9.7 mph E
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Thu, 0550° / 44°0.37
50 °
Swormville, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 50°, low 44°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind12.9 mph W
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Fri, 0650° / 37°0.03
50 °
Swormville, Friday, 6 November
Snow. High 50°, low 37°.
Pressure29.56 inHg
Wind17 mph W
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Sat, 0740° / 33°0.01
40 °
Swormville, Saturday, 7 November
Light snow. High 40°, low 33°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind14.2 mph NW
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point15°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 0849° / 38°0.08
49 °
Swormville, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high66° (1996)
Record low23° (2019)
Mon, 0950° / 38°0.09
50 °
Swormville, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high71° (2020)
Record low22° (1991)
Tue, 1050° / 38°0.12
50 °
Swormville, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high72° (2020)
Record low17° (1991)
Wed, 1148° / 37°0.15
48 °
Swormville, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high67° (2020)
Record low20° (2017)
Thu, 1247° / 35°0.09
47 °
Swormville, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high66° (2012)
Record low16° (2019)
Fri, 1346° / 35°0.07
46 °
Swormville, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high63° (1961)
Record low10° (2019)
Sat, 1446° / 36°0.11
46 °
Swormville, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high65° (1994)
Record low14° (1996)
Sun, 1546° / 35°0.17
46 °
Swormville, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high63° (1989)
Record low19° (1967)
Mon, 1646° / 35°0.13
46 °
Swormville, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high65° (1988)
Record low11° (1967)
Tue, 1745° / 34°0.1
45 °
Swormville, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high64° (1987)
Record low10° (2019)
Wed, 1846° / 35°0.07
46 °
Swormville, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high67° (2016)
Record low19° (2014)
Thu, 1946° / 34°0.09
46 °
Swormville, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high67° (1985)
Record low16° (2014)
Fri, 2045° / 34°0.09
45 °
Swormville, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high65° (1991)
Record low19° (1986)
Sat, 2143° / 33°0.1
43 °
Swormville, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high56° (1975)
Record low16° (1987)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Swormville, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Swormville, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.