Monthly outlook for Swormville, NY: average high 54.7°, average low 38°. That is 0.3° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.5 inches), against a normal of 6 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 22 October (63.8°), the coolest 22 October (30.8°).
54.7°/38°
Average high / low
+0.3°
Above normal
2 / 6
Wet days / normal
0.5 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
21 October – 30 October
55.9°
54.8°
+0.6°
31 October – 9 November
52.8°
51.9°
+0.5°
10 November – 19 November
at normal
46.4°
—
October records over 66 years
82.9°5 October 2007All-time high
27°31 October 2020All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Amherst (4 mi).
Thu, 2264° / 31°0
64 °
Swormville, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 64°, low 31°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind8.4 mph N
Humidity71%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point50°
Fri, 2353° / 39°0
53 °
Swormville, Friday, 23 October
Partly cloudy. High 53°, low 39°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind5.9 mph NE
Humidity60%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Sat, 2457° / 32°0
57 °
Swormville, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 57°, low 32°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind1.4 mph SW
Humidity63%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Sun, 2562° / 41°0
62 °
Swormville, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 62°, low 41°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind8.8 mph SW
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Mon, 2663° / 48°0
63 °
Swormville, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 63°, low 48°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind9.8 mph SW
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Tue, 2750° / 39°0.13
50 °
Swormville, Tuesday, 27 October
Light rain. High 50°, low 39°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind11.1 mph N
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Wed, 2846° / 31°0
46 °
Swormville, Wednesday, 28 October
Clear. High 46°, low 31°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind8 mph E
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Thu, 2951° / 37°0
51 °
Swormville, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 51°, low 37°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind10.1 mph W
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Fri, 3050° / 38°0
50 °
Swormville, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 50°, low 38°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind13.6 mph W
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Sat, 3155° / 33°0
55 °
Swormville, Saturday, 31 October
Clear. High 55°, low 33°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind9.4 mph S
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Sun, 0164° / 50°0
64 °
Swormville, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 64°, low 50°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind17.8 mph S
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Mon, 0263° / 48°0.39
63 °
Swormville, Monday, 2 November
Rain. High 63°, low 48°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind18.7 mph W
Humidity88%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Tue, 0347° / 38°0
47 °
Swormville, Tuesday, 3 November
Partly cloudy. High 47°, low 38°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind14.3 mph NW
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Wed, 0446° / 36°0
46 °
Swormville, Wednesday, 4 November
Clear. High 46°, low 36°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind10.3 mph NW
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Thu, 0542° / 33°0
42 °
Swormville, Thursday, 5 November
Clear. High 42°, low 33°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind8.3 mph N
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 0651° / 40°0.09
51 °
Swormville, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high71° (2022)
Record low28° (1991)
Sat, 0749° / 39°0.1
49 °
Swormville, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high70° (1975)
Record low28° (2002)
Sun, 0849° / 38°0.08
49 °
Swormville, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high66° (1996)
Record low23° (2019)
Mon, 0950° / 38°0.09
50 °
Swormville, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high71° (2020)
Record low22° (1991)
Tue, 1050° / 38°0.12
50 °
Swormville, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high72° (2020)
Record low17° (1991)
Wed, 1148° / 37°0.15
48 °
Swormville, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high67° (2020)
Record low20° (2017)
Thu, 1247° / 35°0.09
47 °
Swormville, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high66° (2012)
Record low16° (2019)
Fri, 1346° / 35°0.07
46 °
Swormville, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high63° (1961)
Record low10° (2019)
Sat, 1446° / 36°0.11
46 °
Swormville, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high65° (1994)
Record low14° (1996)
Sun, 1546° / 35°0.17
46 °
Swormville, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high63° (1989)
Record low19° (1967)
Mon, 1646° / 35°0.13
46 °
Swormville, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high65° (1988)
Record low11° (1967)
Tue, 1745° / 34°0.1
45 °
Swormville, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high64° (1987)
Record low10° (2019)
Wed, 1846° / 35°0.07
46 °
Swormville, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high67° (2016)
Record low19° (2014)
Thu, 1946° / 34°0.09
46 °
Swormville, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high67° (1985)
Record low16° (2014)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Swormville, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Swormville, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.