Weather in Black Creek, NY
Black Creek, Saturday, 31 October, 13:37
Clear. Feels like 46°. High 51°, low 36°.
Monthly outlook for Black Creek, NY: average high 54.2°, average low 41.5°. That is 3.4° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 1.8 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 4 November (67.4°), the coolest 14 November (28.2°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 October – 9 November | 59.5° | 50° | +5.3° |
| 10 November – 19 November | 45.3° | 44.2° | +0.6° |
| 20 November – 29 November | at normal | 41.3° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Belfast (5 mi).
0
Black Creek, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 65°, low 37°.
0Black Creek, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 66°, low 45°.
0.01
Black Creek, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 66°, low 51°.
0Black Creek, Wednesday, 4 November
Clear. High 67°, low 50°.
0.17Black Creek, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 60°, low 54°.
0.26Black Creek, Friday, 6 November
Rain. High 60°, low 49°.
0.54Black Creek, Saturday, 7 November
Rain. High 55°, low 53°.
0.17Black Creek, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 52°, low 43°.
0Black Creek, Monday, 9 November
Overcast. High 53°, low 41°.
0Black Creek, Tuesday, 10 November
Clear. High 54°, low 37°.
0Black Creek, Wednesday, 11 November
Clear. High 53°, low 36°.
0.16Black Creek, Thursday, 12 November
Light rain. High 43°, low 39°.
0
Black Creek, Friday, 13 November
Light snow. High 39°, low 29°.
0.23Black Creek, Saturday, 14 November
Snow. High 44°, low 28°.
0.27Black Creek, Sunday, 15 November
Snow. High 39°, low 36°.
0.14
Black Creek, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Black Creek, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Black Creek, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Black Creek, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Black Creek, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Black Creek, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Black Creek, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06
Black Creek, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Black Creek, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Black Creek, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19Black Creek, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Black Creek, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.22Black Creek, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Black Creek, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Black Creek, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Black Creek, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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