Monthly outlook for Black Creek, NY: average high 45.1°, average low 33°. That is 0.4° below the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 9 days (about 1.2 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 4 November (71.4°), the coolest 13 November (20.7°).
45.1°/33°
Average high / low
−0.4°
Below normal
9 / 7
Wet days / normal
1.2 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
4 November – 13 November
50.1°
47°
+1.7°
14 November – 23 November
36.6°
42.8°
-3.5°
24 November – 3 December
at normal
39.9°
—
November records over 66 years
72°4 November 2003All-time high
-4.2°24 November 2000All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Belfast (5 mi).
Thu, 0564° / 46°0.13
64 °
Black Creek, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 64°, low 46°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind14.4 mph SW
Humidity63%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point50°
Fri, 0658° / 43°0.09
58 °
Black Creek, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 58°, low 43°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind10.5 mph SW
Humidity59%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point43°
Sat, 0744° / 40°0.43
44 °
Black Creek, Saturday, 7 November
Rain. High 44°, low 40°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind10.5 mph W
Humidity90%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Sun, 0848° / 41°0.09
48 °
Black Creek, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 48°, low 41°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind14.2 mph W
Humidity59%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point33°
Mon, 0943° / 38°0.06
43 °
Black Creek, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 43°, low 38°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind18.7 mph NW
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Tue, 1055° / 35°0
55 °
Black Creek, Tuesday, 10 November
Mostly clear. High 55°, low 35°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind13.4 mph SW
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Wed, 1147° / 35°0
47 °
Black Creek, Wednesday, 11 November
Partly cloudy. High 47°, low 35°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind12.4 mph NW
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Thu, 1236° / 28°0
36 °
Black Creek, Thursday, 12 November
Light rain. High 36°, low 28°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind13.9 mph NW
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Fri, 1334° / 21°0.1
34 °
Black Creek, Friday, 13 November
Light snow. High 34°, low 21°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind7.8 mph W
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point18°
Sat, 1435° / 22°0.11
35 °
Black Creek, Saturday, 14 November
Light snow. High 35°, low 22°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind6.7 mph SW
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Sun, 1532° / 22°0.15
32 °
Black Creek, Sunday, 15 November
Snow. High 32°, low 22°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind11.2 mph N
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Mon, 1633° / 28°0.07
33 °
Black Creek, Monday, 16 November
Light snow. High 33°, low 28°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind12.7 mph NW
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Tue, 1735° / 29°0.01
35 °
Black Creek, Tuesday, 17 November
Light snow. High 35°, low 29°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind6.4 mph N
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Wed, 1841° / 22°0
41 °
Black Creek, Wednesday, 18 November
Mostly clear. High 41°, low 22°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind6.6 mph W
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Thu, 1944° / 27°0
44 °
Black Creek, Thursday, 19 November
Overcast. High 44°, low 27°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind8.3 mph SW
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 2043° / 30°0.11
43 °
Black Creek, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high67° (1991)
Record low9° (1986)
Sat, 2141° / 29°0.09
41 °
Black Creek, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high56° (1991)
Record low11° (2014)
Sun, 2241° / 28°0.12
41 °
Black Creek, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high62° (1999)
Record low0° (2018)
Mon, 2342° / 28°0.06
42 °
Black Creek, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high63° (1979)
Record low-2° (2018)
Tue, 2441° / 28°0.09
41 °
Black Creek, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high59° (1979)
Record low-4° (2000)
Wed, 2542° / 29°0.09
42 °
Black Creek, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high57° (2001)
Record low10° (1997)
Thu, 2642° / 30°0.19
42 °
Black Creek, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high60° (1979)
Record low17° (2005)
Fri, 2741° / 30°0.11
41 °
Black Creek, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high62° (1990)
Record low10° (1996)
Sat, 2841° / 29°0.22
41 °
Black Creek, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.22 in
Chance of precipitation68%
Record high64° (1990)
Record low0° (1996)
Sun, 2939° / 28°0.09
39 °
Black Creek, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high61° (2006)
Record low9° (2013)
Mon, 3039° / 27°0.11
39 °
Black Creek, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high64° (2006)
Record low3° (1966)
Tue, 0138° / 27°0.15
38 °
Black Creek, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high59° (2006)
Record low5° (1963)
Wed, 0238° / 25°0.12
38 °
Black Creek, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high62° (1982)
Record low2° (1989)
Thu, 0338° / 24°0.11
38 °
Black Creek, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high63° (1982)
Record low-1° (1966)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Black Creek, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Black Creek, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.