Monthly outlook for Black Creek, NY: average high 54.3°, average low 38.4°. That is 3.1° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 0.5 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 29 October (72°), the coolest 8 November (25.3°).
54.3°/38.4°
Average high / low
+3.1°
Above normal
4 / 7
Wet days / normal
0.5 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
29 October – 7 November
59.7°
50.6°
+5°
8 November – 17 November
45.4°
45°
+0.2°
18 November – 27 November
at normal
42°
—
October records over 66 years
83.1°5 October 2025All-time high
20.3°20 October 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Belfast (5 mi).
Fri, 3052° / 36°0.05
52 °
Black Creek, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 52°, low 36°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind13 mph NW
Humidity70%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point37°
Sat, 3152° / 34°0
52 °
Black Creek, Saturday, 31 October
Clear. High 52°, low 34°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind5.2 mph NW
Humidity57%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point34°
Sun, 0161° / 38°0
61 °
Black Creek, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 61°, low 38°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind6.7 mph S
Humidity45%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point36°
Mon, 0267° / 45°0
67 °
Black Creek, Monday, 2 November
Partly cloudy. High 67°, low 45°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind6.2 mph SW
Humidity53%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point44°
Tue, 0363° / 49°0
63 °
Black Creek, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 63°, low 49°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind11.5 mph S
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Wed, 0460° / 49°0
60 °
Black Creek, Wednesday, 4 November
Overcast. High 60°, low 49°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind16.6 mph S
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Thu, 0559° / 53°0.18
59 °
Black Creek, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 59°, low 53°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind18.3 mph SE
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Fri, 0661° / 52°0.24
61 °
Black Creek, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 61°, low 52°.
Pressure29.53 inHg
Wind14.9 mph S
Humidity88%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Sat, 0750° / 30°0.06
50 °
Black Creek, Saturday, 7 November
Snow. High 50°, low 30°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind12.1 mph NW
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Sun, 0841° / 25°0
41 °
Black Creek, Sunday, 8 November
Mostly clear. High 41°, low 25°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind13.2 mph NW
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Mon, 0944° / 26°0
44 °
Black Creek, Monday, 9 November
Overcast. High 44°, low 26°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind7.9 mph NW
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Tue, 1043° / 34°0
43 °
Black Creek, Tuesday, 10 November
Light rain. High 43°, low 34°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind4.7 mph NE
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Wed, 1145° / 35°0.01
45 °
Black Creek, Wednesday, 11 November
Light snow. High 45°, low 35°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind7.8 mph NW
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Thu, 1247° / 30°0
47 °
Black Creek, Thursday, 12 November
Clear. High 47°, low 30°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind10 mph NW
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Fri, 1352° / 33°0
52 °
Black Creek, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 52°, low 33°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind4.7 mph SW
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 1444° / 32°0.13
44 °
Black Creek, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high64° (1994)
Record low6° (1996)
Sun, 1544° / 31°0.16
44 °
Black Creek, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high62° (2009)
Record low7° (1996)
Mon, 1644° / 31°0.14
44 °
Black Creek, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high61° (1990)
Record low2° (1967)
Tue, 1743° / 31°0.13
43 °
Black Creek, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high58° (1987)
Record low20° (1969)
Wed, 1843° / 31°0.07
43 °
Black Creek, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high66° (2016)
Record low9° (1972)
Thu, 1944° / 30°0.1
44 °
Black Creek, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high66° (1985)
Record low5° (2014)
Fri, 2043° / 30°0.11
43 °
Black Creek, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high67° (1991)
Record low9° (1986)
Sat, 2141° / 29°0.09
41 °
Black Creek, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high56° (1991)
Record low11° (2014)
Sun, 2241° / 28°0.12
41 °
Black Creek, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high62° (1999)
Record low0° (2018)
Mon, 2342° / 28°0.06
42 °
Black Creek, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high63° (1979)
Record low-2° (2018)
Tue, 2441° / 28°0.09
41 °
Black Creek, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high59° (1979)
Record low-4° (2000)
Wed, 2542° / 29°0.09
42 °
Black Creek, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high57° (2001)
Record low10° (1997)
Thu, 2642° / 30°0.19
42 °
Black Creek, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high60° (1979)
Record low17° (2005)
Fri, 2741° / 30°0.11
41 °
Black Creek, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high62° (1990)
Record low10° (1996)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Black Creek, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Black Creek, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.