Monthly outlook for Black Creek, NY: average high 49.3°, average low 35.2°. That is 1.7° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 1.0 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 4 November (72.5°), the coolest 16 November (21°).
49.3°/35.2°
Average high / low
+1.7°
Above normal
7 / 7
Wet days / normal
1.0 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
3 November – 12 November
53.5°
47.9°
+3.2°
13 November – 22 November
42.4°
43°
-0.3°
23 November – 2 December
at normal
40.3°
—
November records over 66 years
72°4 November 2003All-time high
-4.2°24 November 2000All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Belfast (5 mi).
Wed, 0472° / 52°0.01
72 °
Black Creek, Wednesday, 4 November
Light rain. High 72°, low 52°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind10 mph S
Humidity51%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point50°
Thu, 0566° / 46°0.16
66 °
Black Creek, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 66°, low 46°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind13.9 mph SW
Humidity59%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point49°
Fri, 0655° / 46°0.05
55 °
Black Creek, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 55°, low 46°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind8.8 mph SW
Humidity73%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point46°
Sat, 0744° / 38°0.25
44 °
Black Creek, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 44°, low 38°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind14.7 mph W
Humidity79%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point37°
Sun, 0845° / 38°0.11
45 °
Black Creek, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 45°, low 38°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind15.5 mph W
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Mon, 0946° / 38°0.11
46 °
Black Creek, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 46°, low 38°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind15.8 mph NW
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Tue, 1055° / 40°0
55 °
Black Creek, Tuesday, 10 November
Clear. High 55°, low 40°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind15.6 mph W
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Wed, 1142° / 32°0
42 °
Black Creek, Wednesday, 11 November
Overcast. High 42°, low 32°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind11.1 mph NW
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Thu, 1243° / 24°0
43 °
Black Creek, Thursday, 12 November
Overcast. High 43°, low 24°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind6.4 mph W
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
Fri, 1344° / 29°0.06
44 °
Black Creek, Friday, 13 November
Light rain. High 44°, low 29°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind12.3 mph SW
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Sat, 1440° / 26°0.18
40 °
Black Creek, Saturday, 14 November
Snow. High 40°, low 26°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind10.9 mph NW
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Sun, 1530° / 24°0.01
30 °
Black Creek, Sunday, 15 November
Light snow. High 30°, low 24°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind14.2 mph N
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
Mon, 1640° / 21°0
40 °
Black Creek, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 40°, low 21°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind8.6 mph NW
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
Tue, 1749° / 28°0
49 °
Black Creek, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 49°, low 28°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind11.5 mph W
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Wed, 1851° / 30°0
51 °
Black Creek, Wednesday, 18 November
Overcast. High 51°, low 30°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind8.2 mph SW
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Thu, 1944° / 30°0.1
44 °
Black Creek, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high66° (1985)
Record low5° (2014)
Fri, 2043° / 30°0.11
43 °
Black Creek, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high67° (1991)
Record low9° (1986)
Sat, 2141° / 29°0.09
41 °
Black Creek, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high56° (1991)
Record low11° (2014)
Sun, 2241° / 28°0.12
41 °
Black Creek, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high62° (1999)
Record low0° (2018)
Mon, 2342° / 28°0.06
42 °
Black Creek, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high63° (1979)
Record low-2° (2018)
Tue, 2441° / 28°0.09
41 °
Black Creek, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high59° (1979)
Record low-4° (2000)
Wed, 2542° / 29°0.09
42 °
Black Creek, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high57° (2001)
Record low10° (1997)
Thu, 2642° / 30°0.19
42 °
Black Creek, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high60° (1979)
Record low17° (2005)
Fri, 2741° / 30°0.11
41 °
Black Creek, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high62° (1990)
Record low10° (1996)
Sat, 2841° / 29°0.22
41 °
Black Creek, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.22 in
Chance of precipitation68%
Record high64° (1990)
Record low0° (1996)
Sun, 2939° / 28°0.09
39 °
Black Creek, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high61° (2006)
Record low9° (2013)
Mon, 3039° / 27°0.11
39 °
Black Creek, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high64° (2006)
Record low3° (1966)
Tue, 0138° / 27°0.15
38 °
Black Creek, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high59° (2006)
Record low5° (1963)
Wed, 0238° / 25°0.12
38 °
Black Creek, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high62° (1982)
Record low2° (1989)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Black Creek, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Black Creek, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.