Monthly outlook for Black Creek, NY: average high 47.6°, average low 38°. That is 1.3° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 9 days (about 1.6 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 5 November (64.8°), the coolest 12 November (26.8°).
47.6°/38°
Average high / low
+1.3°
Above normal
9 / 7
Wet days / normal
1.6 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
5 November – 14 November
46.2°
46.5°
-0.1°
15 November – 24 November
49.9°
42.5°
+4.1°
25 November – 4 December
at normal
39.5°
—
November records over 66 years
72°4 November 2003All-time high
-4.2°24 November 2000All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Belfast (5 mi).
Fri, 0658° / 42°0.06
58 °
Black Creek, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 58°, low 42°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind10.8 mph W
Humidity71%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point45°
Sat, 0744° / 38°0.1
44 °
Black Creek, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 44°, low 38°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind9.2 mph W
Humidity78%
Visibility6.1 mi
Dew point36°
Sun, 0850° / 42°0.02
50 °
Black Creek, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 50°, low 42°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind14.9 mph SW
Humidity52%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point31°
Mon, 0944° / 39°0.02
44 °
Black Creek, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 44°, low 39°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind16.8 mph NW
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Tue, 1052° / 38°0.01
52 °
Black Creek, Tuesday, 10 November
Light rain. High 52°, low 38°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind19.9 mph SW
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Wed, 1143° / 35°0.05
43 °
Black Creek, Wednesday, 11 November
Snow. High 43°, low 35°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind9.6 mph W
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Thu, 1234° / 27°0.05
34 °
Black Creek, Thursday, 12 November
Light snow. High 34°, low 27°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind10.2 mph NW
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Fri, 1332° / 29°0.06
32 °
Black Creek, Friday, 13 November
Light snow. High 32°, low 29°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind9.4 mph NW
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Sat, 1440° / 31°0.02
40 °
Black Creek, Saturday, 14 November
Light snow. High 40°, low 31°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind11.5 mph NW
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Sun, 1543° / 35°0.01
43 °
Black Creek, Sunday, 15 November
Light rain. High 43°, low 35°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind12.3 mph W
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Mon, 1651° / 33°0.21
51 °
Black Creek, Monday, 16 November
Rain. High 51°, low 33°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind5.2 mph SW
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Tue, 1754° / 48°0.06
54 °
Black Creek, Tuesday, 17 November
Light rain. High 54°, low 48°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind11.4 mph SW
Humidity90%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Wed, 1858° / 51°0.01
58 °
Black Creek, Wednesday, 18 November
Light rain. High 58°, low 51°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind13 mph SW
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Thu, 1952° / 36°0.88
52 °
Black Creek, Thursday, 19 November
Snow. High 52°, low 36°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind14.6 mph NW
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Fri, 2040° / 35°0
40 °
Black Creek, Friday, 20 November
Overcast. High 40°, low 35°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind13.6 mph W
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 2141° / 29°0.09
41 °
Black Creek, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high56° (1991)
Record low11° (2014)
Sun, 2241° / 28°0.12
41 °
Black Creek, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high62° (1999)
Record low0° (2018)
Mon, 2342° / 28°0.06
42 °
Black Creek, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high63° (1979)
Record low-2° (2018)
Tue, 2441° / 28°0.09
41 °
Black Creek, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high59° (1979)
Record low-4° (2000)
Wed, 2542° / 29°0.09
42 °
Black Creek, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high57° (2001)
Record low10° (1997)
Thu, 2642° / 30°0.19
42 °
Black Creek, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high60° (1979)
Record low17° (2005)
Fri, 2741° / 30°0.11
41 °
Black Creek, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high62° (1990)
Record low10° (1996)
Sat, 2841° / 29°0.22
41 °
Black Creek, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.22 in
Chance of precipitation68%
Record high64° (1990)
Record low0° (1996)
Sun, 2939° / 28°0.09
39 °
Black Creek, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high61° (2006)
Record low9° (2013)
Mon, 3039° / 27°0.11
39 °
Black Creek, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high64° (2006)
Record low3° (1966)
Tue, 0138° / 27°0.15
38 °
Black Creek, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high59° (2006)
Record low5° (1963)
Wed, 0238° / 25°0.12
38 °
Black Creek, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high62° (1982)
Record low2° (1989)
Thu, 0338° / 24°0.11
38 °
Black Creek, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high63° (1982)
Record low-1° (1966)
Fri, 0437° / 24°0.09
37 °
Black Creek, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high62° (2012)
Record low-16° (1966)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Black Creek, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Black Creek, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.